Spatiotemporal variability of human–fire interactions on the Navajo Nation
Open accessAbstract
Unraveling the effects of climate and land use on historical fire regimes provides important insights into broader human–fire–climate dynamics, which are necessary for ecologically based forest management. We developed a spatial human land‐use model for Navajo Nation forests across which we sampled a network of tree‐ring fire history sites to reflect contrasting historical land‐use intensity: high human use, primarily in the Chuska Mountains, and low human use, primarily on the central Defiance Plateau. We tested for and compared human‐ and climate‐driven changes in the fire regimes by applying change point detection, regression, and superposed epoch analyses. The historical fire regimes and fire–climate relationships reflect those of similar forests regionally and are similar between the two Navajo landscapes until the early 1800s. We then determined that a previously identified, localized, early (1830s) decline in fire activity was geographically widespread across higher human‐use sites. In contrast, fires continued to burn uninterrupted through this period at the lower use sites. Though the 1830s included significantly wet and cold periods that could have contributed to fire regime decline, human factors pose a more spatiotemporally consistent explanation. A rise in Navajo pastoralism in the 1820s–1830s was concentrated seasonally in the heavy use sites. By the 1880s, livestock numbers more than doubled, grazing became far more spatially widespread, and frequent fire regimes of Navajo forests collapsed. The last widespread fire recorded on either landscape was in 1886. In the Chuska Mountains, livestock and fire coexisted for over 50 yr between the initial 1832 fire decline and the end of frequent fires after 1886, an exceptional pattern in the western United States. Though unique in its timing, character, and spatial dynamics, the collapse of historical fire regimes in Navajo forests contributed to now over a century without frequent surface fire, leaving Navajo forests at risk for large, uncharacteristic high‐severity fires.
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With the exception of Northern Tonto territories, Ndee fire history sites exhibit a surplus of fire scars in the early earlywood, which is generally assigned to late April and May.
“With the exception of Northern Tonto territories, Ndee fire history sites exhibit a surplus of fire scars in the early earlywood, which is generally assigned to late April and May (56, 57).”
From Tree rings reveal persistent Western Apache (Ndee) fire stewardship and niche construction in the American Southwest (2025) · cites this paper as [56]
The Results (page unavailable) describe dormant and early-earlywood fire scars as predominant in Navajo forests, and the Historical fire regimes section places fires broadly in April–June. The paper studies Navajo Nation sites in the Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau; it does not establish a surplus at Ndee sites, a Northern Tonto exception, or a specific late-April-to-May assignment. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe early and middle earlywood scars at Ndee sites likely correspond to fires in late April, May, and June.
“These scars likely correspond to fires in late April, May, and June.”
From Tree rings reveal persistent Western Apache (Ndee) fire stewardship and niche construction in the American Southwest (2025) · cites this paper as [56]
The Results section says that early-earlywood scars recorded fires predominantly in spring and early summer at the paper’s Navajo Nation sites. It does not specify late April, May, or June, identify middle-earlywood scars in that timing statement, or establish the timing for Ndee sites. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
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- Authors
- Guiterman, C. H., Margolis, E. Q., Baisan, C. H., Falk, D. A., Allen, C. D., & Swetnam, T. W.
- Affiliations
- University of Arizona (US)
- Fort Collins Science Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Guiterman, Christopher H.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Ecosphere
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2019-11
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 11
- ISSN
- 2150-8925 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2983158926
- Cited by
- 40
- References
- 96
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 1.80
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Ecosphere (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- UA Campus Repository (The University of Arizona) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (F13F51318)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Rangeland and Wildlife Management
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- historical fire regimes, livestock grazing, fire-climate relationships, Chuska Mountains, land use, fire management
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