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Cited by 347

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 90 of the 90 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Detection and attribution of climate change: a regional perspective

Stott, Peter A., Gillett, Nathan P., Hegerl, Gabriele C., Karoly, David J., Stone, Dáithí A., Zhang, Xuebin, Zwiers, Francis·2010·WIREs Climate Change
DOI 10.1002/wcc.34
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Abstract

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change fourth assessment report, published in 2007 came to a more confident assessment of the causes of global temperature change than previous reports and concluded that ‘it is likely that there has been significant anthropogenic warming over the past 50 years averaged over each continent except Antarctica.’ Since then, warming over Antarctica has also been attributed to human influence, and further evidence has accumulated attributing a much wider range of climate changes to human activities. Such changes are broadly consistent with theoretical understanding, and climate model simulations, of how the planet is expected to respond. This paper reviews this evidence from a regional perspective to reflect a growing interest in understanding the regional effects of climate change, which can differ markedly across the globe. We set out the methodological basis for detection and attribution and discuss the spatial scales on which it is possible to make robust attribution statements. We review the evidence showing significant human‐induced changes in regional temperatures, and for the effects of external forcings on changes in the hydrological cycle, the cryosphere, circulation changes, oceanic changes, and changes in extremes. We then discuss future challenges for the science of attribution. To better assess the pace of change, and to understand more about the regional changes to which societies need to adapt, we will need to refine our understanding of the effects of external forcing and internal variability. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Detection and Attribution

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Metadata

Authors
Stott, P. A., Gillett, N. P., Hegerl, G. C., Karoly, D. J., Stone, D. A., Zhang, X., & Zwiers, F.
Venue
WIREs Climate Change
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2010-03
Volume
1
Issue
2
Pages
192-211
ISSN
  • 1757-7780 (ISSN-L)
  • 1757-7799
DOI
10.1002/wcc.34
OpenAlex
W2059932201
Cited by
347
References
90
FWCI
28.86
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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