Investigation of Shifts in Autism Reporting in the California Department of Developmental Services
Abstract
We investigated if shifts in the coding of qualifying conditions in the California Department of Developmental Services (DDS) have contributed to the increase in California children with autism observed in recent years. Qualifying condition codes for mental retardation (MR) and autism in DDS electronic files were compared to hard-copy records for samples of children born 1987, 1990, 1994, and 1997. Contrary to expectations, we did not find evidence of a coding shift from "MR only" to "both MR and autism" or an increase in the proportion of children with coded autism who lacked supportive diagnostic documentation in records (possible "misclassifications"). These results indicate that changes in DDS coding practices are unlikely to explain the increase in DDS clients with autism.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Independent studies have concluded that the increasing incidence of ASD cannot be explained entirely by increased awareness, broadening of diagnostic criteria, or improved detection.
“Independent studies have reached the common conclusion that this trend cannot be explained in its entirety by increased awareness, broadening of diagnostic criteria, or improved detection of ASD [ 5–8 ].”
From DNA methylation: a mechanism linking environmental chemical exposures to risk of autism spectrum disorders? (2016) · cites this paper as [5]
Factors other than diagnostic drift likely account for more than one-half of new ASD cases.
“In fact, these studies suggest that factors other than diagnostic drift likely account for more than one-half of new cases.”
From DNA methylation: a mechanism linking environmental chemical exposures to risk of autism spectrum disorders? (2016) · cites this paper as [5]
Cites
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th ed.
Carter, M. J. (2014) · Therapeutic Recreation Journal · Cited by 15,154 · see citing works
Drake, M. M. (1988) · American Journal of Occupational Therapy · doi:10.5014/ajot.42.10.683b · Cited by 5,303 · see citing works
International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision
Tassé, M. J., & Bush, K. (2018) · The SAGE Encyclopedia of Intellectual and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.4135/9781483392271.n276 · Cited by 1,922 · see citing works
Statistical Methods in Medical Research
Armitage, P., Berry, G., & Matthews, J. N. S. (2002) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9780470773666 · Cited by 1,638 · see citing works
Epidemiology of autistic conditions in young children: 1. Prevalence
Lotter, V. (1966) · Social Psychiatry · doi:10.1007/bf00584048 · Cited by 780 · see citing works
The epidemiology of autistic spectrum disorders: is the prevalence rising?
Wing, L., & Potter, D. (2002) · Mental Retardation and Developmental Disabilities Research Reviews · doi:10.1002/mrdd.10029 · Cited by 622 · see citing works
Incidence of autism spectrum disorders: Changes over time and their meaning*
Rutter, M. L. (2005) · Acta Paediatrica · doi:10.1111/j.1651-2227.2005.tb01779.x · Cited by 516 · see citing works
The Changing Prevalence of Autism in California
Croen, L., Grether, J. K., Hoogstrate, J., & Selvin, S. (2002) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1023/a:1015453830880 · Cited by 502 · see citing works
Self-citationStatistical Methods in Medical Research, 4th edn
Purdie, D. (2003) · Internal Medicine Journal · doi:10.1046/j.1445-5994.2002.00319.x · Cited by 493 · see citing works
Maternal and paternal age and risk of Autism Spectrum Disorders
Croen, L. A., Najjar, D. V., Fireman, B., & Grether, J. K. (2007) · Archives of Pediatrics & Adolescent Medicine · doi:10.1001/archpedi.161.4.334 · Cited by 410 · see citing works
Self-citationDescriptive epidemiology of autism in a California population: Who is at risk?
Croen, L. A., Grether, J. K., & Selvin, S. (2002) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1023/a:1015405914950 · Cited by 358 · see citing works
Self-citationShattuck, P. T. (2006) · PEDIATRICS · doi:10.1542/peds.2005-1516 · Cited by 333 · see citing works
National Autism Prevalence Trends From United States Special Education Data
Newschaffer, C. J., Falb, M. D., & Gurney, J. G. (2005) · PEDIATRICS · doi:10.1542/peds.2004-1958 · Cited by 316 · see citing works
Is Autism More Common Now than Ten Years Ago?
Gillberg, C., Steffenburg, S., & Schaumann, H. (1991) · The British Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1192/bjp.158.3.403 · Cited by 261 · see citing works
Is There an Epidemic of Autism?
Fombonne, E. J. (2001) · PEDIATRICS · doi:10.1542/peds.107.2.411 · Cited by 242 · see citing works
Three Reasons Not to Believe in an Autism Epidemic
Gernsbacher, M. A., Dawson, M., & Goldsmith, H. H. (2005) · Current Directions in Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.0963-7214.2005.00334.x · Cited by 208 · see citing works
Analysis of Prevalence Trends of Autism Spectrum Disorder in Minnesota
Gurney, J. G., Fritz, M. S., Ness, K. K., Sievers, P., Newschaffer, C. J., & Shapiro, E. (2003) · Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine · doi:10.1001/archpedi.157.7.622 · Cited by 207 · see citing works
INFANTILE AUTISM AND OTHER CHILDHOOD PSYCHOSES IN A SWEDISH URBAN REGION. EPIDEMIOLOGICCAL ASPECTS
Gillberg, C. (1984) · Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/j.1469-7610.1984.tb01717.x · Cited by 200 · see citing works
The Incidence of Autism in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1976-1997
Barbaresi, W. J., Katusic, S. K., Colligan, R. C., Weaver, A. L., & Jacobsen, S. J. (2005) · Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine · doi:10.1001/archpedi.159.1.37 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
Gillberg, C. (1993) · Journal of Intellectual Disability Research · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2788.1993.tb00879.x · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Hillman, R. E., Kanafani, N., Takahashi, T., & Miles, J. H. (2000) · PubMed · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Blaxill, M. F., Baskin, D. S., & Spitzer, W. O. (2003) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1023/a:1022912115365 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
US Department of Education Data on “Autism” Are Not Reliable for Tracking Autism Prevalence
Laidler, J. R. (2005) · PEDIATRICS · doi:10.1542/peds.2004-2341 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Croen, L., & Grether, J. K. (2003) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1023/a:1022964132203 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Self-citationJick, H., Beach, K. J., & Kaye, J. A. (2005) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000190553.72757.15 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Herbert, M. R. (2010) · Current Opinion in Neurology · doi:10.1097/wco.0b013e328336a01f · Cited by 356 · see citing works
Keil, K. P., & Lein, P. J. (2016) · Environmental Epigenetics · doi:10.1093/eep/dvv012 · Cited by 167 · see citing works
Closely spaced pregnancies are associated with increased odds of autism in California sibling births
Cheslack-Postava, K., Liu, K., & Bearman, P. S. (2011) · Pediatrics · doi:10.1542/peds.2010-2371 · Cited by 143 · see citing works
Keyes, K. M., Susser, E., Cheslack-Postava, K., Fountain, C., Liu, K., & Bearman, P. S. (2012) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyr193 · Cited by 122 · see citing works
Stamou, M., Streifel, K. M., Goines, P. E., & Lein, P. J. (2013) · Neurotoxicology and Teratology · doi:10.1016/j.ntt.2012.12.001 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
- Authors
- Grether, J. K., Rosen, N. J., Smith, K. S., & Croen, L. A.
- Affiliations
- California Department of Public Health (US)
- Kaiser Permanente (US)
- Corresponding author
- Grether, Judith K.
- ORCID
- Croen, Lisa A.
- Venue
- Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders
- Published
- 2009-05-29
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 1412-1419
- ISSN
- 0162-3257 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-3432
- OpenAlex
- W2071639186
- Cited by
- 45
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2023: 2 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 3 · 2013: 3 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 2.26
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Autism Speaks (AS1758)
- California Department of Public Health
- U.S. Public Health Service (U10/CCU920392)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Autism Spectrum Disorder Research
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Medical Coding and Health Information
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Down syndrome and intellectual disability research
- Keywords
- autism spectrum disorder, intellectual disability, diagnostic misclassification, electronic health records, developmental disabilities services
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Autistic Disorder, California, Child, Child Health Services, Forms and Records Control, Government Agencies, Humans, Young Adult
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review