Climate-induced cross-border migration and change in demographic structure
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
A significant share of empirical evidence on environmental migration is derived from aggregated levels of analysis, bearing the danger of ecological fallacy.
“Micro-level studies are important given that a significant share of the empirical evidence gathered so far is derived from aggregated levels of analysis, i.e., the country or provincial level (Bohra-Mishra et al., 2017; Chen & Mueller, 2019; Feng et al., 2010; Hoffmann et al., 2020; Missirian & Schlenker, 2017; Thiede et al., 2016), which bears the danger of ecological fallacy”
From Environmental shocks and migration among a climate-vulnerable population in Bangladesh (2025) · cites this paper as Chen & Mueller, 2019
Cites
Duflo, E. (2019) · AEA Papers and Proceedings · doi:10.1257/pandp.109.612 · Cited by 11,235 · see citing works
How Much Should We Trust Differences-in-Differences Estimates?
Bertrand, M., Duflo, E., & Mullainathan, S. (2004) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/003355304772839588 · Cited by 10,641 · see citing works
U.S. Department of State (2017) · The SHAFR Guide Online · doi:10.1163/2468-1733_shafr_sim210040063 · Cited by 9,043 · see citing works
Xu, H. (2006) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/01431160600589179 · Cited by 6,084 · see citing works
Filmer, D. P., & Pritchett, L. H. (2001) · Demography · doi:10.2307/3088292 · Cited by 5,843 · see citing works
The Costs and Returns of Human Migration
Sjaastad, L. A. (1962) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/258726 · Cited by 3,205 · see citing works
Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production
Burke, M., Hsiang, S. M., & Miguel, E. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature15725 · Cited by 2,913 · see citing works
Neumann, B., Vafeidis, A. T., Zimmermann, J., & Nicholls, R. J. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0118571 · Cited by 2,865 · see citing works
The Costs and Returns of Human Migration
Sjaastad, L. A. (1970) · Palgrave Macmillan UK eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-349-15404-3_10 · Cited by 2,527 · see citing works
Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century
Dell, M., Jones, B. F., & Olken, B. A. (2012) · American Economic Journal Macroeconomics · doi:10.1257/mac.4.3.66 · Cited by 2,353 · see citing works
Networks in the Modern Economy: Mexican Migrants in the U. S. Labor Market
Munshi, K. (2003) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/003355303321675455 · Cited by 1,822 · see citing works
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
(2017) · American Economic Journal Applied Economics · doi:10.1257/app · Cited by 1,653 · see citing works
Consumption Smoothing, Migration, and Marriage: Evidence from Rural India
Rosenzweig, M. R., & Stark, O. (1989) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261633 · Cited by 1,206 · see citing works
Wealth, Weather Risk and the Composition and Profitability of Agricultural Investments
Rosenzweig, M. R., & Binswanger, H. P. (1993) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.2307/2234337 · Cited by 1,175 · see citing works
Hsiang, S. M. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1009510107 · Cited by 992 · see citing works
Analysis of Dynamic Thresholds for the Normalized Difference Water Index
Ji, L., Zhang, L., & Wylie, B. K. (2009) · Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing · doi:10.14358/pers.75.11.1307 · Cited by 836 · see citing works
Migration, Remittances, and the Family
Stark, O. (1988) · Economic Development and Cultural Change · doi:10.1086/451670 · Cited by 727 · see citing works
Underinvestment in a Profitable Technology: The Case of Seasonal Migration in Bangladesh
Bryan, G., Chowdhury, S., & Mobarak, A. M. (2014) · Econometrica · doi:10.3982/ecta10489 · Cited by 713 · see citing works
Natural disasters and population mobility in Bangladesh
Gray, C. L., & Mueller, V. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1115944109 · Cited by 687 · see citing works
Self-citationWelch, J. R., Vincent, J. R., Auffhammer, M., Moya, P., Dobermann, A., & Dawe, D. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1001222107 · Cited by 677 · see citing works
Linkages among climate change, crop yields and Mexico–US cross-border migration
Feng, S., Krueger, A. B., & Oppenheimer, M. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1002632107 · Cited by 635 · see citing works
Migration with endogenous moving costs.
Carrington, W. J., Detragiache, E., & Vishwanath, T. S. (1996) · American Economic Review · Cited by 488 · see citing works
A MODEL OF MIGRATION AND REMITTANCES APPLIED TO WESTERN KENYA
Hoddinott, J. F. (1994) · Oxford Economic Papers · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.oep.a042141 · Cited by 486 · see citing works
Selling Labor Low: Wage Responses to Productivity Shocks in Developing Countries
Jayachandran, S. (2006) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/503579 · Cited by 485 · see citing works
The migration response to increasing temperatures
Cattaneo, C., & Peri, G. (2016) · Journal of Development Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.05.004 · Cited by 467 · see citing works
Delinking Land Rights from Land Use: Certification and Migration in Mexico
de Janvry, A., Emerick, K., Gonzalez-Navarro, M., et al. (2015) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20130853 · Cited by 463 · see citing works
Motives for private transfers over the life cycle: An analytical framework and evidence for Peru
Cox, D., Eser, Z., & Jiménez, E. (1998) · Journal of Development Economics · doi:10.1016/s0304-3878(97)00056-4 · Cited by 448 · see citing works
Climatic factors as determinants of international migration
Beine, M., & Parsons, C. (2015) · The Scandinavian Journal of Economics · doi:10.1111/sjoe.12098 · Cited by 447 · see citing works
Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters
Bohra-Mishra, P., Oppenheimer, M., & Hsiang, S. M. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1317166111 · Cited by 434 · see citing works
Coastal climate change, soil salinity and human migration in Bangladesh
Chen, J., & Mueller, V. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0313-8 · Cited by 406 · see citing works
Self-citationClimate change, the monsoon, and rice yield in India
Auffhammer, M., Ramanathan, V., & Vincent, J. R. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0208-4 · Cited by 375 · see citing works
Climate variability and international migration: The importance of the agricultural linkage
Cai, R., Feng, S., Oppenheimer, M., & Pytlikova, M. (2016) · Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2016.06.005 · Cited by 322 · see citing works
Migration, Risk, and Liquidity Constraints in El Salvador
Halliday, T. J. (2006) · Economic Development and Cultural Change · doi:10.1086/503584 · Cited by 262 · see citing works
Migration and Financial Constraints: Evidence from Mexico
Angelucci, M. (2014) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1162/rest_a_00487 · Cited by 261 · see citing works
The ‘last resort’? Population movement in response to climate-related hazards in Bangladesh
Penning-Rowsell, E. C., Sultana, P., & Thompson, P. M. (2013) · Environmental Science & Policy · doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.03.009 · Cited by 241 · see citing works
del Ninno, C., Dorosh, P. A., & Smith, L. C. (2003) · World Development · doi:10.1016/s0305-750x(03)00071-8 · Cited by 225 · see citing works
Migratory Responses to Agricultural Risk in Northern Nigeria
Dillon, A., Mueller, V., & Salau, S. (2011) · American Journal of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1093/ajae/aar033 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
Self-citationUse of TRMM in determining the climatic characteristics of rainfall over Bangladesh
Islam, M. N., & Uyeda, H. (2006) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2006.11.011 · Cited by 192 · see citing works
Lu, X. B., Wrathall, D. J., Sundsøy, P., Nadiruzzaman, M., Wetter, E. W., Iqbal, A., Qureshi, T., Tatem, A. J., Canright, G., Engø‐Monsen, K., et al. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.02.002 · Cited by 188 · see citing works
Wealth Heterogeneity and the Income Elasticity of Migration
Bazzi, S. (2017) · American Economic Journal Applied Economics · doi:10.1257/app.20150548 · Cited by 186 · see citing works
Stecklov, G., Winters, P., Stampini, M., & Davis, B. (2005) · Demography · doi:10.1353/dem.2005.0037 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Flood inundation map of Bangladesh using MODIS time‐series images
Islam, A. K. M. S., Bala, S. K., & Haque, M. A. (2010) · Journal of Flood Risk Management · doi:10.1111/j.1753-318x.2010.01074.x · Cited by 181 · see citing works
Sovacool, B. K. (2017) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.10.014 · Cited by 178 · see citing works
Natural disasters, migration and education: an empirical analysis in developing countries
Drabo, A., & Mbaye, L. M. (2014) · Environment and Development Economics · doi:10.1017/s1355770x14000606 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Projections of on-farm salinity in coastal Bangladesh
Clarke, D., Williams, S., Jahiruddin, M., Parks, K., & Salehin, M. (2015) · Environmental Science Processes & Impacts · doi:10.1039/c4em00682h · Cited by 169 · see citing works
Measuring the environmental dimensions of human migration: The demographer's toolkit
Fussell, E., Hunter, L. M., & Gray, C. (2014) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.07.001 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
Disruption, not displacement: Environmental variability and temporary migration in Bangladesh
Call, M. A., Gray, C., Yunus, M., & Emch, M. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.08.008 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
Effect of salinity on food security in the context of interior coast of Bangladesh
Khanom, T. (2016) · Ocean & Coastal Management · doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2016.06.013 · Cited by 162 · see citing works
Rotten Kids or Manipulative Parents: Are Children Old Age Security in Western Kenya?
Hoddinott, J. F. (1992) · Economic Development and Cultural Change · doi:10.1086/451960 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Rice in Saline Soils: Physiology, Biochemistry, Genetics, and Management
Hussain, M., Ahmad, S., Hussain, S., Lal, R., Ul‐Allah, S., & Nawaz, A. (2017) · Advances in agronomy · doi:10.1016/bs.agron.2017.11.002 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Ex ante and ex post effects of hybrid index insurance in Bangladesh
Hill, R. V., Kumar, N., Magnan, N., Makhija, S., de Nicola, F., Spielman, D. J., & Ward, P. S. (2018) · Journal of Development Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2018.09.003 · Cited by 136 · see citing works
del Ninno, C., & Lundberg, M. (2005) · Economics & Human Biology · doi:10.1016/j.ehb.2004.12.002 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Temperature Changes, Household Consumption, and Internal Migration: Evidence from Tanzania
Hirvonen, K. (2016) · American Journal of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1093/ajae/aaw042 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
Decadal monitoring of the Niger Inner Delta flood dynamics using MODIS optical data
Ogilvie, A., Belaud, G., Delenne, C., Bailly, J., Bader, J., Oleksiak, A., Ferry, L., & Martin, D. (2015) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.036 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
Davis, K. F., Bhattachan, A., D’Odorico, P., & Suweis, S. S. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac4d4 · Cited by 122 · see citing works
River Salinity and Climate Change: Evidence from Coastal Bangladesh
Dasgupta, S., Kamal, F., Khan, Z. H., et al. (2014) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/1813-9450-6817 · Cited by 114 · see citing works
O’Brien, R., & Williams, M. S. (2010) · Global Political Economy · doi:10.1007/978-0-230-36614-5_13 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Do Limitations in Land Rights Transferability Influence Mobility Rates in Ethiopia?
de Brauw, A., & Mueller, V. (2012) · Journal of African Economies · doi:10.1093/jae/ejs007 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Self-citationArrival and withdrawal dates of the summer monsoon in Bangladesh
Ahmed, R., & Karmakar, S. (1993) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.3370130703 · Cited by 99 · see citing works
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
(2011) · American Economic Journal Macroeconomics · doi:10.1257/mac.3.3.i · Cited by 98 · see citing works
Effects of Flood on Agricultural Productivity in Bangladesh
Banerjee, L. (2010) · Oxford Development Studies · doi:10.1080/13600818.2010.505681 · Cited by 97 · see citing works
Validating Migration Responses to Flooding Using Satellite and Vital Registration Data
Chen, J. J., Mueller, V., Jia, Y., & Tseng, S. K.-H. (2017) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.p20171052 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Self-citationSatellites, Self-reports, and Submersion: Exposure to Floods in Bangladesh
Guiteras, R. P., Jina, A., & Mobarak, A. M. (2015) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.p20151095 · Cited by 82 · see citing works
Motives to Remit: Evidence from Tracked Internal Migrants in Ethiopia
de Brauw, A., Mueller, V., & Woldehanna, T. (2013) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.04.008 · Cited by 77 · see citing works
Self-citationNawrotzki, R., Riosmena, F., Hunter, L. M., & Runfola, D. M. (2015) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.002 · Cited by 77 · see citing works
How Resilient are Labour Markets to Natural Disasters? The Case of the 1998 Bangladesh Flood
Mueller, V., & Quisumbing, A. R. (2011) · The Journal of Development Studies · doi:10.1080/00220388.2011.579113 · Cited by 72 · see citing works
Self-citationExtreme weather and migration: evidence from Bangladesh
Carrico, A. R., & Donato, K. M. (2019) · Population and Environment · doi:10.1007/s11111-019-00322-9 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Environmentally induced migration from Bangladesh to India
Alam, S. (2003) · Strategic Analysis · doi:10.1080/09700160308450098 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Alpuerto, V., Norton, G. W., Alwang, J., & Ismail, A. M. (2009) · Review of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9353.2009.01466.x · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Migration Choice under Risk and Liquidity ConstraintsPreprint
Kleemans, M., & Kleemans, M. (2015) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.200702 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Moving to despair? Migration and well-being in Pakistan
Chen, J., Kosec, K., & Mueller, V. (2018) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.09.007 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
Self-citationEvaluating the Economic Cost of Coastal Flooding
Desmet, K., Kopp, R. E., Kulp, S., et al. (2018) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w24918 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Alauddin, M., & Sharma, B. R. (2013) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.05.015 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Payo, A., Lázár, A. N., Clarke, D., et al. (2017) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1002/2016ef000530 · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Zhang, P., Deschênes, O., Meng, K. C., & Zhang, J. (2017) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w23991 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Neumann, K., Erben, U., Kruse, N., Wechsung, K., Schümann, M., Klugewitz, K., Scheffold, A., & Kühl, A. A. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0123867 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Youth Migration and Labour Constraints in African Agrarian Households
Mueller, V., Doss, C. R., & Quisumbing, A. R. (2018) · The Journal of Development Studies · doi:10.1080/00220388.2018.1430770 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Self-citationWomen, Insurance Capital, and Economic Development in Rural India
Rosenzweig, M. R. (1993) · The Journal of Human Resources · doi:10.2307/146292 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Dasgupta, S., Hossain, M. M., Huq, M., et al. (2016) · Climate Change Economics · doi:10.1142/s201000781650007x · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Assessment of TRMM data for precipitation measurement in B angladesh
Tarek, M. H., Hassan, A., Bhattacharjee, J., Choudhury, S. H., & Badruzzaman, A. B. M. (2017) · Meteorological Applications · doi:10.1002/met.1633 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Dasgupta, S., Hossain, M. M., Huq, M., et al. (2014) · doi:10.1596/1813-9450-7148 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Melkonyan, T., & Grigorian, D. A. (2012) · The Journal of Development Studies · doi:10.1080/00220388.2011.598507 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Weather, labor reallocation and industrial production: evidence from India
Colmer, J. (2018) · London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Alauddin, M., Amarasinghe, U. A., & Sharma, B. R. (2014) · Economic Analysis and Policy · doi:10.1016/j.eap.2014.02.005 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Anticipatory Migration and Local Labor Responses to Rural Climate Shocks
Quiñones, E. J. (2019) · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Hoffmann, R., Šedová, B., & Vinke, K. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102367 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
Rabbani, M. M. G., Cotton, M., & Friend, R. (2022) · Population and Environment · doi:10.1007/s11111-022-00402-3 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
How well can we predict climate migration? A review of forecasting models
Schewel, K., Dickerson, S., Madson, B., & Nagle Alverio, G. (2024) · Frontiers in Climate · doi:10.3389/fclim.2023.1189125 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
“Chen and Mueller (2019) examine household vulnerability to flooding and soil salinization to explore whether households with greater human, social, or physical capital are more inclined to migrate.”
InfluentialEnvironmental shocks and migration among a climate-vulnerable population in Bangladesh
Freihardt, J. (2025) · Population and Environment · doi:10.1007/s11111-025-00478-7 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
“…empirical evidence gathered so far is derived from aggregated levels of analysis, i.e., the country or pro-vincial level (Bohra-Mishra et al., 2017; Chen & Mueller, 2019; Feng et al., 2010; Hoffmann et al., 2020; Missirian & Schlenker, 2017; Thiede et al., 2016), which bears the danger of…”
- Authors
- Chen, J., & Mueller, V.
- Affiliations
- IZA - Institute of Labor Economics (DE)
- International Food Policy Research Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Mueller, Valerie
- Venue
- Population and Environment
- Published
- 2019-11-26
- Volume
- 41
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 98-125
- ISSN
- 0199-0039 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-7810
- OpenAlex
- W2990471337
- Cited by
- 25
- References
- 85
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 5
- FWCI
- 4.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Population and Environment (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (ICER-1342644)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Migration and Labor Dynamics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change Communication and Perception
- Keywords
- climate-induced migration, cross-border migration, environmental migration, demographic structure, soil salinity, floods, rainfall, monsoon onset, temperature, poverty, household vulnerability, Bangladesh, South Asia, national resilience, remote sensing
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review