Intervening at the Setting Level to Prevent Behavioral Incidents in Residential Child Care: Efficacy of the CARE Program Model
Open accessAbstract
The current study examined the impact of a setting-level intervention on the prevention of aggressive or dangerous behavioral incidents involving youth living in group care environments. Eleven group care agencies implemented Children and Residential Experiences (CARE), a principle-based program that helps agencies use a set of evidence-informed principles to guide programming and enrich the relational dynamics throughout the agency. All agencies served mostly youth referred from child welfare. The 3-year implementation of CARE involved intensive agency-wide training and on-site consultation to agency leaders and managers around supporting and facilitating day-to-day application of the principles in both childcare and staff management arenas. Agencies provided data over 48 months on the monthly frequency of behavioral incidents most related to program objectives. Using multiple baseline interrupted time series analysis to assess program effects, we tested whether trends during the program implementation period declined significantly compared to the 12 months before implementation. Results showed significant program effects on incidents involving youth aggression toward adult staff, property destruction, and running away. Effects on aggression toward peers and self-harm were also found but were less consistent. Staff ratings of positive organizational social context (OSC) predicted fewer incidents, but there was no clear relationship between OSC and observed program effects. Findings support the potential efficacy of the CARE model and illustrate that intervening "upstream" at the setting level may help to prevent coercive caregiving patterns and increase opportunities for healthy social interactions.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This multiple-baseline interrupted time series of 11 residential group care agencies found that implementing the CARE setting-level program was associated with significant declines in monthly behavioral incidents, especially aggression toward staff, property destruction, and runaways. Effects on peer aggression and self-harm were less consistent across cohorts, and positive organizational social context predicted fewer incidents but did not clearly moderate program effects.
Key findings
- Across 11 agencies over 48 months, CARE implementation was associated with significant program effects for aggression toward staff (IRR = 0.87, 95% CI [0.81, 0.94]), property destruction (IRR = 0.86 [0.79, 0.92]), and runaway (IRR = 0.93 [0.87, 0.99]); implementation-period declines were 4–8% per month in cohort 1.
- Effects for aggression toward peers and self-harm were less consistent: overall program effects were IRR = 0.89 [0.84, 0.93] and 0.92 [0.85, 0.99], but cohort 1 showed declines (0.79 [0.73, 0.86]; 0.85 [0.78, 0.95]) while cohort 2 did not (0.98 [0.91, 1.04]; 0.97 [0.88, 1.08]).
- More positive baseline OSC predicted fewer incidents involving aggression toward peers (IRR = 0.31 [0.19, 0.51]) and property destruction (IRR = 0.29 [0.13, 0.62]); however, OSC did not clearly moderate observed program effects, and local implementation progress was not related to incident rates.
- Baseline monthly incident rate averaged 0.26 per resident; training reached an average of 78% of agency staff (range 68–88%), and all agencies received 12 quarterly visits over 36 months.
Methods
- Design: multiple baseline interrupted time series comparing a 12-month pre-implementation baseline to a 36-month implementation period in two successive cohorts (five agencies in 2010, six in 2011); 11 agencies served mostly youth referred from child welfare.
- Data: monthly agency administrative incident reports for five types (aggression toward staff, aggression toward peers, self-harm, property destruction, runaways), converted to per capita rates using average monthly residents; baseline staff OSC survey; consultant training/visit records and retrospective local implementation progress ratings.
- Analysis: mixed effects negative binomial regression estimating incidents per resident per month, with fixed effects for baseline and implementation trends, cohort, parent organization, OSC profile, exposure ln(Residents), and random effects for agency-level intercepts and trends.
Limitations
- Stated: incident reports rely on staff judgment about whether to file (except runaways), lack severity distinctions, and are agency-level, so cannot identify highly disruptive individuals; follow-up beyond 36 months is unknown; mechanisms of change are not identified.
- Stated/evident: cohort 2 did not show consistent effects for peer aggression and self-harm, so historical factors or cohort-specific conditions cannot be ruled out; increasing baseline trends for some outcomes may have contributed, though effects persisted after excluding agencies with baseline trends.
- Evident: local implementation progress ratings were retrospective and available only for the final year; the small number of agencies limited stable three-way interactions and may constrain generalizability.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
1 of 17 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
Higher baseline OSC profile scores predicted fewer incidents of aggression toward peers and property destruction.
“OSC profile, centered at 2.0a | 0.31 [0.19, 0.51]** | 0.39 [0.15, 1.06] | 0.29 [0.13, 0.62]** | 0.73 [0.30, 1.77] | 0.56 [0.22, 1.45]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Effects of CARE on aggression toward peers were found but were less consistent.
“Effects on aggression toward peers and self-harm were also found but were less consistent.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Effects of CARE on self-harm were found but were less consistent.
“Effects on aggression toward peers and self-harm were also found but were less consistent.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was no clear relationship between OSC and observed program effects.
“Staff ratings of positive organizational social context (OSC) predicted fewer incidents, but there was no clear relationship between OSC and observed program effects.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
More negative OSC profiles were associated with a steeper baseline increase in aggression toward peers.
“More negative OSC profiles were associated with a steeper baseline increase in aggression toward peers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data
In the analyses excluding agencies with significant baseline trends, there were no significant differences by cohort.
“There were no significant differences by cohort.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the third year of intervention, LIP ratings indicated that six agencies had made "consistent" or "exemplary" progress and four agencies made "sporadic" progress.
“In the third year of intervention, LIP ratings averaged across the seven dimensions indicated that six agencies had made “consistent” or “exemplary” progress and four agencies made “sporadic” progress.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
OSC profile was unrelated to the baseline trends for incident types other than aggression toward peers.
“OSC profile was unrelated to the baseline trends for other incident types.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
During CARE implementation, significant decreases in incident rates of 4 to 8% per month were observed for all outcomes in cohort 1.
“During CARE implementation, significant decreases in incident rates of 4 to 8 % per month were observed for all outcomes in cohort 1.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The overall contrast for seasonality effects (calendar month) was not significant for any of the outcomes.
“The overall contrast was not significant for any of the outcomes, so calendar month was not included as a covariate in the final models.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was no simple relationship between OSC profile and LIP ratings.
“There was no simple relationship between OSC profile and LIP ratings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The six agencies with average OSC profiles were distributed evenly across the range of LIP ratings.
“The six agencies with average profiles (1.7 to 2.3) were distributed evenly across the range of LIP ratings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
OSC profile moderated the implementation trend for runaway incidents, with more negative OSC profile associated with greater improvement during the implementation period.
“OSC profile moderated the implementation trend for runaway incidents with more negative OSC profile associated with greater improvement during the implementation period.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In addition to staff training, most agencies engaged in many promising activities to improve their organizational functioning and facilitate more therapeutic interactions with youth.
“Our LIP assessment showed that in addition to staff training, most agencies engaged in many promising activities to improve their organizational functioning and facilitate more therapeutic interactions with youth.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The findings support the potential efficacy of the CARE model.
“Findings support the potential efficacy of the CARE model and illustrate that intervening “upstream” at the setting level may help to prevent coercive caregiving patterns and increase opportunities for healthy social interactions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Group care providers with little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma are less able to help residents manage emotions.
- Rests on an assumption: Group care providers with little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma are more likely to respond to distressed youth in ways that trigger dangerous behavioral incidents.
- Rests on an assumption: Incident reports are markers for a broader pattern of interaction among youth and adults, not simply indicators of behavioral dysregulation.
- Rests on an assumption: Staff who understand and respond with more sensitivity to emotionally distressed residents will be better able to diffuse momentary situations that would otherwise culminate in dangerous or destructive behaviors requiring formal documentation.
- Rests on an assumption: Staff who learn to set developmentally appropriate expectations will create fewer opportunities for youth to feel frustration or anger and more opportunities for success.
- Premisecitation
Many group care providers are not adequately prepared or supported to meet the developmental and relational needs of the youth they serve.
“Yet, many group care providers are not adequately prepared or supported to meet the developmental and relational needs of the youth they serve (Colton and Roberts 2007; Hoagwood et al. 2001; Kakuma et al. 2011).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Study design and conductown data
By modeling time trends during baseline and implementation periods separately, the study estimated differences in the rate of change between these periods, providing a clearer picture of the nature and timing of program effects.
“By modeling time trends during baseline and implementation periods separately, we estimated differences in the rate of change between these periods, thus providing a clearer picture of the nature and timing of program effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
This explanation is consistent with results from Anglin's qualitative study based on interviews and observations across seven experienced CARE agencies that were actively working to sustain CARE after 4 years of implementation.
“This explanation is consistent with results from Anglin’s qualitative study (Holden et al. 2014) based on interviews and observations across seven experienced CARE agencies that were actively working to sustain CARE after 4 years of implementation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Holden et al. 2014
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationown data
Agencies' participation in CARE led to significant declines for three important types of behavioral incidents: aggression toward staff, property destruction, and runaways.
“The results support our first hypothesis indicating that agencies’ participation in CARE led to significant declines for three important types of behavioral incidents (aggression toward staff, property destruction, and runaways).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
In seven cases, agencies changed to a new management information system after the first 1-2 years of data collection but reported that this had no effect on whether reports were submitted.
“In seven cases, agencies changed to a new management information system after the first 1–2 years of data collection but reported that this had no effect on whether reports were submitted.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
It is plausible to attribute the downward trend in incident rates partly to improved youth-adult relationships and greater flexibility, such that staff were more likely to respond to transgressions in ways that avoided power struggles, hostility, or alienation.
“Within this programmatic context, it is plausible to attribute the downward trend in incident rates partly to improved youth-adult relationships and greater flexibility, such that staff were more likely to respond to transgressions in ways that avoided power struggles, hostility, or alienation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
For agencies rated by two consultants, reliability of LIP ratings was high (intraclass correlation = 0.78, 95% CI [0.61, 0.88]).
“For agencies rated by two consultants, reliability was high (intraclass correlation = 0.78, 95 % CI [0.61, 0.88]), and the two ratings were averaged.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
More positive OSC predicted fewer incidents involving aggression toward peers and property destruction.
“Our results supported the second hypothesis, indicating that more positive OSC predicted fewer incidents involving aggression toward peers and property destruction.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Although recording procedures varied across agencies, there were only minor changes across time within agencies.
“Although recording procedures varied across agencies, there were only minor changes across time within agencies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The current study illustrates a contextual approach that prevents dangerous incidents by providing a common set of principles that change how agency leaders and staff think and how they interact with residents and with each other.
“The current study illustrates a contextual approach that prevents dangerous incidents by providing a common set of principles that change how agency leaders and staff think and how they interact with residents and with each other.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
There have been few rigorous studies of organizational or setting-level interventions in the field of residential youth care.
“There have been few rigorous studies of organizational or setting-level interventions in the field of residential youth care (James 2014).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites James 2014
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Study design and conductnone given
With the exception of "runaways," the incident report data used in the study are based on the observations and judgments of agency staff about whether each incident required a formal report.
“First, with the exception of “runaways,” the incident report data used in our study are based on the observations and judgments of agency staff about whether each incident required a formal report.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The lack of a trend for runaway among agencies with positive OSC profiles is likely the result of a floor effect, because the baseline runaway rate for those agencies was already quite low (0.03 on average).
“Given that the runaway rate at baseline was already quite low for agencies with positive OSC profiles (0.03, on average), the lack of a trend is likely the result of a floor effect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Inclusion of resident census and OSC profile in the regression models adjusted for baseline cohort differences.
“Inclusion of resident census and OSC profile in our regression models adjusted for these baseline cohort differences.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
By focusing only at the staff and organization levels, CARE significantly reduced the prevalence of dangerous or destructive behavioral incidents that create a distressing, non-therapeutic environment in the daily lives of residents.
“Our research demonstrates that by focusing only at the staff and organization levels, CARE significantly reduced the prevalence of dangerous or destructive behavioral incidents that create a distressing, non-therapeutic environment in the daily lives of residents.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
Few setting-level interventions have reported evidence to demonstrate positive outcomes within group care settings.
“Few setting-level interventions have reported evidence to demonstrate positive outcomes within group care settings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The data do not make distinctions based on incident severity, so it is unclear whether there was a differential program effect for more versus less severe incidents.
“Our data do not make distinctions based on incident severity (e.g., some peer aggression incidents were likely more severe than others), so it is unclear whether there was a differential program effect for more vs. less severe incidents.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Two-sample t tests indicated that cohorts 1 and 2 were equivalent at baseline with regard to four of the five incident types as well as the overall frequency of incidents.
“Two-sample t tests of unadjusted means indicated that cohorts 1 and 2 were equivalent at baseline with regard to four of the five incident types as well as the overall frequency of incidents.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The agency-level data do not allow identification of highly disruptive individuals that may enter care and affect incident trends.
“Our agency-level data also does not allow us to identify highly disruptive individuals that may enter care and affect incident trends.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Aggression in this setting exposes other vulnerable youth to "ambient stress" which adds to the cumulative developmental risk they already face.
“Finally, aggression in this setting exposes other vulnerable youth to “ambient stress” which adds to the cumulative developmental risk they already face (Evans 2003; Gorman-Smith and Tolan 1998).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Study design and conductreasoning
Comparing the baseline and implementation periods helps to rule out maturation as an alternative explanation.
“Comparing the baseline and implementation periods helps to rule out maturation (i.e., continuation of an existing trend) as an alternative explanation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The use of the interrupted time series design provides strong evidence to conclude that the observed improvements in agencies were at least partly due to their participation in CARE.
“Our use of the interrupted time series design provides strong evidence to conclude that the observed improvements in agencies were at least partly due to their participation in CARE.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
Including multiple agencies from across the state reduced potential selection effects.
“We also reduced potential selection effects by including multiple agencies from across the state.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Baseline cohort differences were found for self-harm, number of care days, and three OSC subscales.
“Baseline cohort differences were found for self-harm, number of care days, and three OSC subscales.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The study is strengthened by using uniform measurement and analytic methods across 11 agencies varying in size, staff characteristics, and cultural norms.
“Our study is strengthened further by using uniform measurement and analytic methods across 11 agencies varying in size, staff characteristics, and cultural norms.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Examining potential history effects by comparing cohort 1 and cohort 2 reduces the likelihood of historical factors as an alternative explanation.
“We examined potential history effects by comparing the five agencies implementing in 2010 (cohort 1) with a comparable group of six agencies that began implementation in 2011 (cohort 2). If program effects are found in both cohorts, historical factors become less likely as an alternative explanation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 24
- The quote only partly states this claim. 3
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 16
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe increasing baseline rates for some incident types may have contributed to the significant declines observed during implementation, but program effects persisted after excluding agencies with significant baseline trends, making regression to the mean a less plausible explanation for the findings.
“The increasing baseline rates for some incident types may have contributed to the significant declines observed during implementation. However, program effects persisted after excluding agencies with significant baseline trends, making regression to the mean a less plausible explanation for our findings (Smith 2012).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Smith 2012 source
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataCARE implementation was associated with significant declines in monthly incident rates involving property destruction, compared with the 12-month pre-implementation baseline.
“Results showed significant program effects on incidents involving youth aggression toward adult staff, property destruction, and running away.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataCARE implementation was associated with significant declines in monthly incident rates involving running away, compared with the 12-month pre-implementation baseline.
“Results showed significant program effects on incidents involving youth aggression toward adult staff, property destruction, and running away.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataCARE implementation was associated with significant declines in monthly incident rates involving youth aggression toward adult staff, compared with the 12-month pre-implementation baseline.
“Results showed significant program effects on incidents involving youth aggression toward adult staff, property destruction, and running away.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn cohort 2, whose baseline period was in 2010, an increasing trend was evident for property destruction, while other incident types showed no change.
“In cohort 2, for whom the baseline period was in 2010, an increasing trend was evident for property destruction, and other incident types showed no change.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataTraining sessions conducted in year 1 reached an average of 78% of agency staff (range 68 to 88%).
“Training sessions conducted in year 1 reached an average of 78 % of agency staff (range 68 to 88 %).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataHaving a parent organization and having a positive organizational social context (OSC) profile were associated with substantially lower rates of aggression toward peers and property destruction.
“Having a parent organization and having a positive OSC profile were associated with substantially lower rates of aggression toward peers and property destruction.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataSignificant variance between agencies was found in the frequency of incidents at the start of CARE and, to a lesser extent, in the trends over time.
“Significant variance between agencies was found in the frequency of incidents at the start of CARE and, to a lesser extent, in the trends over time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCohort 2 implementation trends did not differ from cohort 1 for aggression toward staff, property destruction, and runaway, but they did differ for aggression toward peers and self-harm.
“Cohort 2 trends did not differ from cohort 1 for sggression toward staff, property destruction, and runaway, but they did differ for aggression toward peers and self-harm.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataConsultants trained at least one local CARE educator at each agency within the first year.
“Consultants trained at least one local CARE educator at each agency within the first year, and additional educators were trained as needed to continue training new staff and provide refreshers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenAll agencies established an implementation team that remained intact throughout the study period.
“All agencies established an implementation team that remained intact throughout the study period.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataDuring the baseline period for cohort 1 (2009), there was an increasing trend for aggression toward peers, aggression toward staff, and property destruction.
“There was an increasing trend for aggression toward peers, aggression toward staff, and property destruction during baseline for cohort 1, which occurred in 2009.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThere was little variance in consultant-level implementation activities.
“There was little variance in consultant-level implementation activities.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor aggression toward staff, property destruction, and runaway, there was a declining trend during implementation, and it was significantly different from the baseline trend, as predicted.
“For aggression toward staff, property destruction, and runaway, there was a declining trend during implementation, and it was significantly different from the baseline trend, as predicted.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe three agencies with positive OSC profiles showed only sporadic progress, while the two in the negative range showed consistent progress.
“The three agencies with positive profiles, ranging from 2.8 to 3.0, showed only sporadic progress, while the two in the negative range (1.1 to 1.3) showed consistent progress.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenAlthough consultants followed a standard progression of activities, implementation unfolded in unique ways at different agencies, and what was essential at one agency may not have helped another.
“Although consultants followed a standard progression of activities, implementation unfolded in unique ways at different agencies, and what was essential at one agency may not have helped another.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe same pattern of a declining implementation trend significantly different from baseline held for aggression toward peers and self-harm, but was limited to cohort 1.
“This same pattern held for aggression toward peers and self-harm but was limited to cohort 1.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataOne agency was still considered to be in the planning stage and had made only minor progress, a rating of 2.
“One agency was still considered to be in the planning stage and had made only minor progress, a rating of 2.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataAll agencies participated in 12 quarterly visits over the 36-month implementation period.
“All agencies participated in 12 quarterly visits over the 36-month implementation period, lasting from 1 to 5 days depending on mutually determined need.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe data do not support the assumption that positive OSC would facilitate better implementation; agencies rated as having the most consistent progress tended to have either negative or average OSC profiles.
“The data do not support our assumption that positive OSC would facilitate better implementation; rather, agencies rated as having the most consistent progress tended to have either negative or average OSC profiles.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAt the start of CARE (month 0), per capita incident rates were greater than zero for all incident types, and there were no differences between cohorts.
“Per capita rates at month 0 were greater than zero for all incident types, and no cohort differences were found.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn post hoc analyses, significant effects of CARE on incident rates were found as previously described, but the LIP measure was not related to incident rates and did not moderate the relationship between CARE and the outcomes.
“Within these reduced models, significant effects of CARE were found, as previously described. In no case, however, was LIP related to incident rates nor did it moderate the relationship between CARE and the outcomes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn analyses excluding agencies with significant baseline trends, implementation trends decreased relative to baseline for aggression toward peers (IRR = 0.90, 95% CI [0.85, 0.97]), aggression toward staff (IRR = 0.91, 95% CI [0.84, 0.99]), property destruction (IRR = 0.88, 95% CI [0.79, 0.99]), and self-harm (IRR = 0.93, 95% CI [0.86, 1.00]).
“Implementation trends decreased relative to baseline for four variables: aggression toward peers (IRR = 0.90, 95 % CI [0.85, 0.97]), aggression toward staff (IRR = 0.91, 95 % CI [0.84, 0.99]), property destruction (IRR = 0.88, 95 % CI [0.79, 0.99]), and self-harm (IRR = 0.93, 95 % CI [0.86, 1.00]).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe third hypothesis was not supported: moderation of implementation trend by OSC profile was observed in only one variable and showed steeper incident reductions when baseline profiles were negative.
“Our third hypothesis was not supported. Moderation of implementation trend by OSC profile was observed in only one variable and showed steeper incident reductions when baseline profiles were negative.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationAspects of organizational social context can create shared expectations and beliefs that affect how providers work with consumers in children's services organizations.
“Aspects of organizational social context can create a set of shared expectations and beliefs that affect how providers work with consumers in children’s services organizations (Glisson et al. 2008).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Glisson et al. 2008 source
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataIntervening upstream at the setting level may help to prevent coercive caregiving patterns and increase opportunities for healthy social interactions.
“Findings support the potential efficacy of the CARE model and illustrate that intervening “upstream” at the setting level may help to prevent coercive caregiving patterns and increase opportunities for healthy social interactions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Group care providers with little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma are less able to help residents manage emotions.
- Rests on an assumption: Group care providers with little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma are more likely to respond to distressed youth in ways that trigger dangerous behavioral incidents.
- Rests on an assumption: Incident reports are markers for a broader pattern of interaction among youth and adults, not simply indicators of behavioral dysregulation.
- Rests on an assumption: Staff who understand and respond with more sensitivity to emotionally distressed residents will be better able to diffuse momentary situations that would otherwise culminate in dangerous or destructive behaviors requiring formal documentation.
- Rests on an assumption: Staff who learn to set developmentally appropriate expectations will create fewer opportunities for youth to feel frustration or anger and more opportunities for success.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
PremisecitationPrevention efforts can be enhanced by focusing on contextual factors that influence behavioral outcomes and provider practices.
“Prevention efforts can be enhanced by focusing on contextual factors that influence behavioral outcomes and provider practices (Biglan 2004).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Biglan 2004 source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationBehavioral incidents such as these can escalate into physical restraint or, in extreme cases, result in injury or death.
“Given that incidents such as these can escalate into physical restraint or, in extreme cases, result in injury or death (Day 2002; Nunno et al. 2006), the potential benefits of reducing behavioral incidents can be profound.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningThe results say little about the mechanism of change responsible for the drop in incidents.
“Finally, our results say little about the mechanism of change responsible for the drop in incidents.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationAttributing a causal inference to the program effect is strengthened if key threats to internal validity are addressed, including maturation, history, and selection.
“Attributing a causal inference to the program effect is strengthened if key threats to internal validity are addressed, including maturation, history, and selection (Shadish et al. 2002).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Shadish et al. 2002
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe multiple baseline interrupted time series design is recommended for evaluating interventions when randomized controlled trials are not practical.
“The multiple baseline interrupted time series design (ITS) is recommended for evaluating interventions when randomized controlled trials are not practical (Biglan et al. 2000; Shadish et al. 2002).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Biglan et al. 2000 source
- cites Shadish et al. 2002
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationStaff reported greater understanding of trauma's effect on youth behavior, leading to fewer confrontations and power struggles, less fear, and a more peaceful environment in the homes.
“Staff reported greater understanding of trauma’s effect on youth behavior, leading to fewer confrontations and power struggles, less fear, and a more peaceful environment in the homes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Holden et al. 2014
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningApproaches such as CARE may never replace individual-level program models, but they can create favorable conditions for effective prevention and health promotion.
“Approaches such as CARE may never replace individual-level program models, but they can create favorable conditions for effective prevention and health promotion.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe results are less consistent for aggression toward peers and self-harm; because significant declines were not observed in cohort 2, the decline in cohort 1 could be due to historical factors or conditions unique to those five agencies.
“Our results are less consistent for aggression toward peers and self-harm. Given that significant declines were not observed in cohort 2, we cannot rule out the possibility that the decline in cohort 1 was due to historical factors or some other conditions unique to those five agencies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningPoorer conditions at the start may make participants more motivated to try new innovation and more receptive to help, which would be consistent with the pattern that agencies with most consistent progress tended to have negative or average OSC profiles.
“This would be consistent with an explanation that poorer conditions at the start may make participants more motivated to try new innovation and more receptive to help.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe data allow for estimation of trends during the 36-month implementation period, but it is unknown whether these improvements continued.
“Our data allow for the estimation of trends during the 36-month implementation period, but it is unknown whether these improvements continued.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningCARE implementation did not address behavioral incident reporting or the conditions that should trigger a report, so the dependent variable was not confounded with the program content.
“Notably, CARE implementation did not address behavioral incident reporting or the conditions that should trigger a report. Therefore, the dependent variable was not confounded with the program content.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataAgency representatives indicated that there were no changes in the types of incidents requiring a formal report, the expectations or incentives to complete reports, or the definitions for any incident type.
“Agency representatives indicated that there were no changes in the types of incidents requiring a formal report, the expectations or incentives to complete reports, or the definitions for any incident type.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe data collection process remained consistent except for one agency that assigned a staff member to complete the incident record form for half the study period but provided incident reports for the research team to code for the other half.
“Our data collection process remained consistent except for one agency that assigned a staff member to complete our incident record form for half the study period but provided incident reports for our team to code for the other half.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationOrganizational social context can facilitate or stifle attempts to adopt evidence-based practices and innovations.
“These can either facilitate or stifle attempts to adopt evidence-based practices and innovations (Aarons and Sawitzky 2006).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Aarons and Sawitzky 2006 source
The paper relies on this without support.
Group care providers with little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma are less able to help residents manage emotions.
“With little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma, they are less able to help residents manage emotions and more likely to respond to distressed youth in ways that trigger dangerous behavioral incidents (e.g., aggression, self-harm, running away).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Group care providers with little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma are more likely to respond to distressed youth in ways that trigger dangerous behavioral incidents.
“With little training in child development, behavior management, or dealing with complex trauma, they are less able to help residents manage emotions and more likely to respond to distressed youth in ways that trigger dangerous behavioral incidents (e.g., aggression, self-harm, running away).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Incident reports are markers for a broader pattern of interaction among youth and adults, not simply indicators of behavioral dysregulation.
“Incident reports are not simply indicators of behavioral dysregulation but also represent markers for a broader pattern of interaction among youth and adults.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Staff who understand and respond with more sensitivity to emotionally distressed residents will be better able to diffuse momentary situations that would otherwise culminate in dangerous or destructive behaviors requiring formal documentation.
“For example, staff that understand and respond with more sensitivity to emotionally distressed residents will be better able to diffuse momentary situations that would otherwise culminate in dangerous or destructive behaviors that require formal documentation.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Staff who learn to set developmentally appropriate expectations will create fewer opportunities for youth to feel frustration or anger and more opportunities for success.
“Similarly, by learning to set developmentally appropriate expectations, staff will create fewer opportunities for youth to feel frustration or anger and more opportunities for success.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Positive organizational social context (OSC) would facilitate better implementation of CARE.
“The data do not support our assumption that positive OSC would facilitate better implementation”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
A recent review found the design of the CARE evaluation to be the only one of seven studies that met inclusion criteria to have moderate rather than high risk of bias.
“a recent review of organization-wide, trauma-informed care models in out-of-home care settings found the design of the CARE evaluation, as reported in Izzo et al. (2016), to be the only one of seven studies that met inclusion criteria to have moderate rather than high risk of bias (Bailey et al., 2018).”
From AN EVIDENCE-BASED PROGRAM MODEL FOR FACILITATING THERAPEUTIC RESPONSES TO PAIN-BASED BEHAVIOR IN RESIDENTIAL CARE (2019) · cites this paper as Izzo et al. (2016)
In a previous quasi-experimental study of CARE involving 11 agencies, Izzo et al. (2016) found that CARE implementation led to significant reductions in behavioral incidents.
“In a previous quasi-experimental study of CARE involving 11 agencies (all of which were included in the current study), Izzo et al. (2016) used interrupted time series analysis to show that CARE implementation led to significant reductions in behavioral incidents”
From Improving relationship quality in group care settings: The impact of implementing the CARE model (2020) · cites this paper as Izzo et al. (2016)
Child perceptions of the quality of their relationship with staff improved during the implementation of CARE.
“As depicted in Figure 5 (Izzo & Smith, 2016), child perceptions of the quality of their relationship with staff improved during the implementation of CARE.”
From AN EVIDENCE-BASED PROGRAM MODEL FOR FACILITATING THERAPEUTIC RESPONSES TO PAIN-BASED BEHAVIOR IN RESIDENTIAL CARE (2019) · cites this paper as Izzo & Smith, 2016
The Method > Measures section identifies behavioral incidents, staff-rated organizational social context, and consultant-rated implementation progress as measures; it does not describe children's ratings of their relationships with staff. The Discussion suggests improved youth–adult relationships as a possible explanation for declining incidents, but does not report improved child perceptions. Searches for child perceptions, relationship ratings, and Figure 5 found no passage establishing the claimed change. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredChanges in staff childcare beliefs occurred during the first year of implementation.
“Changes in beliefs that occurred during the first year of implementation are presented in Figure 4 (Izzo & Smith, 2016).”
From AN EVIDENCE-BASED PROGRAM MODEL FOR FACILITATING THERAPEUTIC RESPONSES TO PAIN-BASED BEHAVIOR IN RESIDENTIAL CARE (2019) · cites this paper as Izzo & Smith, 2016
The Results (Program Implementation; page unavailable) report first-year staff training, not changes in staff childcare beliefs. The Discussion (page unavailable) mentions staff understanding of trauma in a separate study after four years of implementation. Searches for childcare beliefs and Figure 4 found no first-year belief-change finding in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Aggression-toward-peers estimate falls outside its confidence interval
MinorTable 3 reports a baseline trend estimate of 1.09 for aggression toward peers, but its stated 95% confidence interval ends at 1.05. A point estimate cannot lie outside its own confidence interval.
“1.09**”
“[1.04, 1.05]”
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“Other interventions have attended to the social and emotional competencies of children and young people (Taussig & Culhane, 2010; Taussig et al., 2019), while a smaller number of approaches have addressed organizational ethos within social care contexts (Izzo et al., 2016).”
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Pulgar, A., Ordiales, R., Álvarez, J. B., González‐García, C., & Bravo, A. (2026) · Children and Youth Services Review · doi:10.1016/j.childyouth.2026.109160 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Criminalising processes at the intersection of policing and residential care
Corrales, T., Paterson‐Young, C., Warren, I., Ryan, E., & McNamara, P. (2025) · Journal of Criminology · doi:10.1177/26338076251345166 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Nunno, M., McCabe, L. A., Izzo, C. V., Smith, E. G., Sellers, D. E., & Holden, M. J. (2021) · Child & Youth Care Forum · doi:10.1007/s10566-021-09650-0 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationEfficacy of Attitudes and Interventions of Social Work Professionals: A Review
Adrover, J. A. R., de Staritzky, T. C., & CAMPOS, J. F. (2022) · Revista de Cercetare si Interventie Sociala · doi:10.33788/rcis.79.9
Sabaté, M., Roca, J. S., & Arnau‐Sabatés, L. (2024) · Residential Treatment for Children & Youth · doi:10.1080/0886571x.2024.2369288
Response to violence committed by children at welfare facilities: evidence from Japan
Hirosawa, A., & Inatsuki, S. (2025) · Journal of Public Child Welfare · doi:10.1080/15548732.2025.2482570
かつて暴力に晒されてきた子どもにとって暴力はどのような意味を持つのか : ―児童福祉施設職員へのインタビュー調査を通して―
廣澤, 愛., 稲月, 聡., Hirosawa, A., & Inatsuki, S. (2024) · Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB)
Landress, H. N. (2026) · Developmental Child Welfare · doi:10.1177/25161032261502494
Breslin, G., Boyle, S., Johnson, M., Shannon, S., & Patterson, J. (2026) · Journal of Child & Adolescent Trauma · doi:10.1007/s40653-026-00910-6
Muzi, S., & Pace, C. S. (2026) · Attachment & Human Development · doi:10.1080/14616734.2026.2696130
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Izzo, C. V., Smith, E. G., Holden, M. J., Norton, C. I., Nunno, M. A., & Sellers, D. E.
- Affiliations
- Cornell University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Izzo, Charles V.
- Venue
- Prevention Science
- Published
- 2016-05-03
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 554-564
- ISSN
- 1389-4986 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-6695
- PMC
- PMC4887550
- OpenAlex
- W2345931275
- Cited by
- 56
- References
- 40
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 8.76
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Prevention Science (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- The Duke Endowment (1819-SP)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Safety Research › Child Welfare and Adoption
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Behavioral and Psychological Studies
- Keywords
- residential care for children, group care, youth aggression, property damage, running away, self-harm, child welfare, personnel management, upstream interventions, relational dynamics
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Child, Child Behavior, Child Care, Female, Humans, Interpersonal Relations, Male, Models, Theoretical, Organizational Innovation, Surveys and Questionnaires, Social Work, Evidence-Based Practice
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