Employees recruitment: A prescriptive analytics approach via machine learning and mathematical programming
Open accessAbstract
In this paper, we propose a comprehensive analytics framework that can serve as a decision support tool for HR recruiters in real-world settings in order to improve hiring and placement decisions. The proposed framework follows two main phases: a local prediction scheme for recruitments' success at the level of a single job placement, and a mathematical model that provides a global recruitment optimization scheme for the organization, taking into account multilevel considerations. In the first phase, a key property of the proposed prediction approach is the interpretability of the machine learning (ML) model, which in this case is obtained by applying the Variable-Order Bayesian Network (VOBN) model to the recruitment data. Specifically, we used a uniquely large dataset that contains recruitment records of hundreds of thousands of employees over a decade and represents a wide range of heterogeneous populations. Our analysis shows that the VOBN model can provide both high accuracy and interpretability insights to HR professionals. Moreover, we show that using the interpretable VOBN can lead to unexpected and sometimes counter-intuitive insights that might otherwise be overlooked by recruiters who rely on conventional methods. We demonstrate that it is feasible to predict the successful placement of a candidate in a specific position at a pre-hire stage and utilize predictions to devise a global optimization model. Our results show that in comparison to actual recruitment decisions, the devised framework is capable of providing a balanced recruitment plan while improving both diversity and recruitment success rates, despite the inherent trade-off between the two.
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Predictive analytics have enabled people analytics teams to effectively enhance their recruitment practices, becoming more diverse and inclusive when screening and selecting candidates.
“Regarding gender equality (SDG 5); predictive analytics have enabled people analytics teams to effectively enhance their recruitment practices; becoming more diverse and inclusive when screening and selecting candidates (Pessach et al., 2020).”
From Reframing people analytics value creation: Balancing organizational performance and common good HRM values (2026) · cites this paper as Pessach et al., 2020
The Introduction reports that the proposed prediction-and-optimization model improved diversity and recruitment success compared with recruiters’ actual selections. But this was an evaluation of a proposed decision-support approach, not evidence that people analytics teams had adopted it and made their screening and selection practices more inclusive. The cited passages also do not establish a gender-specific outcome. (LLM, conf=0.85)
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- Authors
- Pessach, D., Singer, G., Avrahami, D., Chalutz Ben-Gal, H., Shmueli, E., & Ben-Gal, I.
- Affiliations
- Tel Aviv University (IL)
- Bar-Ilan University (IL)
- Corresponding author
- Pessach, Dana
- Venue
- Decision Support Systems
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-07
- Volume
- 134
- Pages
- 113290
- ISSN
- 0167-9236 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7252110
- OpenAlex
- W3014109009
- Cited by
- 304
- References
- 61
- Citations by year
- 2026: 46 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 74 · 2023: 57 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 7
- FWCI
- 32.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Decision Support Systems (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Koret Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › AI and HR Technologies
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Employer Branding and e-HRM
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computer Science Applications › Online Learning and Analytics
- Keywords
- personnel selection, hiring decisions, model interpretability, prescriptive analytics, recruitment optimization, diversity in hiring
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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