The DOI matches its Crossref record, with a small difference in title or year; 79 of the 84 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
Open accessOverview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“SSPs 3 and 4 envision more pessimistic development trends, with little investment in education or health, fast growing population, and increasing inequalities.”
From The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6 (2016) · cites this paper as O'Neill et al., 2015
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“SSPs 1 and 5 envision relatively optimistic trends for human development, with substantial investments in education and health, rapid economic growth, and well-functioning institutions.”
From The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6 (2016) · cites this paper as O'Neill et al., 2015
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“SSP2 envisions a central pathway in which trends continue their historical patterns without substantial deviations.”
From The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6 (2016) · cites this paper as O'Neill et al., 2015
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“However, SSP5 assumes an energy intensive, fossilbased economy, while in SSP1 there is an increasing shift toward sustainable practices.”
From The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6 (2016) · cites this paper as O'Neill et al., 2015
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Capital in the Twenty-First Century
Piketty, T. (2014) · doi:10.4159/9780674369542 · Cited by 14,437
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Toward a New Conception of the Environment-Competitiveness Relationship
Porter, M. E., & Linde, C. V. D. (1995) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.9.4.97 · Cited by 13,365
The representative concentration pathways: an overview
van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., Hurtt, G. C., Kram, T., Krey, V., Lamarque, J.-F., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z · Cited by 7,741
Self-citationThe next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., et al. (2010) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08823 · Cited by 6,467
Self-citationSpecial report on emissions scenarios
Nakićenović, N., Alcamo, J. M., Davis, G. F., de Vries, B. J. M., Fenhann, J. V., Gaffin, S. R., Gregory, K., Griibler, A., Jung, T. Y., Kram, T., et al. (2000) · eScholarship (California Digital Library) · Cited by 3,423
Self-citationThe Moral Foundations of Trust
Uslaner, E. M. (2001) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511614934 · Cited by 2,892
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Carter, T. R., Mathur, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2 · Cited by 2,716
Self-citationTop Incomes in the Long Run of History
Atkinson, A. B., Piketty, T., & Saez, E. (2011) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.49.1.3 · Cited by 2,362
The Moral Foundations of TrustPreprint
Uslaner, E. M. (2005) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.824504 · Cited by 2,069
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- Jiang, 2014, Urbanization projections for the shared socioeconomic pathways, Global Environ. Change
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 501–600 of 1,004
Babaousmail, H., Hou, R., Ayugi, B. O., Sian, K. T. C. L. K., Ojara, M., Mumo, R., Chehbouni, A., & Ongoma, V. (2022) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.7644 · Cited by 61
Orlove, B. (2022) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-095719 · Cited by 67
Evolution of offshore wind resources in Northern Europe under climate change
Martinez, A., Murphy, L., & Iglesias, G. (2023) · Energy · doi:10.1016/j.energy.2023.126655 · Cited by 61
Adapting global shared socio-economic pathways for national scenarios in Japan
Chen, H., Matsuhashi, K., Takahashi, K., Fujimori, S., Honjo, K., & Gomi, K. (2020) · Sustainability Science · doi:10.1007/s11625-019-00780-y · Cited by 61
Effect of border policy on exposure and vulnerability to climate change
Benveniste, H., Oppenheimer, M., & Fleurbaey, M. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2007597117 · Cited by 69
Jing, C., Su, B., Zhai, J., Wang, Y., Lin, Q., Gao, M., Jiang, S., Chen, Z., & Jiang, T. (2022) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-022-01440-0 · Cited by 62
Uncertain Future of American Lithium: A Perspective until 2050
Miatto, A., Wolfram, P., Reck, B. K., & Graedel, T. E. (2021) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.1c03562 · Cited by 60
Xiang, Y., Wang, Y. V., Chen, Y., & Zhang, Q. (2021) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs14010115 · Cited by 60
Song, Y. H., Chung, ., & Shahid, S. (2022) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153953 · Cited by 62
Vitillo, J. G., Eisaman, M. D., Aradóttir, E. S., Passarini, F., Wang, T., & Sheehan, S. W. (2022) · iScience · doi:10.1016/j.isci.2022.104237 · Cited by 68
Raman, R., Lathabhai, H., Mandal, S., Kumar, C., & Nedungadi, P. (2023) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su151712982 · Cited by 49
Probability-Weighted Ensembles of U.S. County-Level Climate Projections for Climate Risk Analysis
Rasmussen, D. J., Meinshausen, M. A., & Kopp, R. E. (2016) · Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology · doi:10.1175/jamc-d-15-0302.1 · Cited by 58
Alternative futures for global biological invasions
Roura‐Pascual, N., Leung, B., Rabitsch, W., Rutting, L., Vervoort, J., Bacher, S., Dullinger, S., Erb, K., Jeschke, J. M., Katsanevakis, S., et al. (2021) · Sustainability Science · doi:10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6 · Cited by 67
Durán, A. P., Kuiper, J. J., Aguiar, A. P., Cheung, W. W. L., Diaw, M. C., Halouani, G., Hashimoto, S., Gasalla, M. A., Peterson, G., Schoolenberg, M. A., et al. (2023) · Sustainability Science · doi:10.1007/s11625-023-01316-1 · Cited by 59
Mitigation and Development Pathways in the Near to Mid-term
(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157926.006 · Cited by 72
Ren, X.-L., Weitzel, M., O'Neill, B., Lawrence, P., Meiyappan, P., Levis, S., Balistreri, E. J., & Dalton, M. (2018) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1791-1 · Cited by 60
Self-citationIbarrola‐Rivas, M., Granados-Ramírez, R., & Nonhebel, S. (2017) · Advances in Water Resources · doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2017.09.018 · Cited by 59
Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study
Daioglou, V., Rose, S. K., Bauer, N., Kitous, A., Muratori, M., Sano, F., Fujimori, S., Gidden, M., Kato, E., Keramidas, K., et al. (2020) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02799-y · Cited by 69
Bringing it all together: linking measures to secure nations’ food supply
Kummu, M., Fader, M., Gerten, D., Guillaume, J. H. A., Jalava, M., Jägermeyr, J., Pfister, S., Porkka, M., Siebert, S., & Varis, O. (2017) · Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability · doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2018.01.006 · Cited by 58
The future of fish in Africa: Employment and investment opportunities
Chan, C. Y., Tran, N. V., Cheong, K. C., Sulser, T. B., Cohen, P. J., Wiebe, K., & Nasr-Allah, A. (2021) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0261615 · Cited by 58
Global change scenarios in coastal river deltas and their sustainable development implications
Scown, M., Dunn, F., Dekker, S. C., van Vuuren, D. P., Karabil, S., Sutanudjaja, E. H., Santos, M. J., Minderhoud, P. S. J., Garmestani, A. S., & Middelkoop, H. (2023) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102736 · Cited by 58
A protocol to develop Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture
Mitter, H., Techen, A., Sinabell, F., Helming, K., Kok, K. I., Priess, J. A., Schmid, E., Bodirsky, B. L., Holman, I. P., Lehtonen, H. S., et al. (2019) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109701 · Cited by 58
Self-citationBukovsky, M., Gao, J., Mearns, L., & O'Neill, B. (2020) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1029/2020ef001782 · Cited by 40
Self-citationShayegh, S., Manoussi, V., & Dasgupta, S. (2020) · Climate and Development · doi:10.1080/17565529.2020.1857675 · Cited by 62
Zha, J., Shen, C., Zhao, D., Wu, J., & Fan, W. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abe2cd · Cited by 57
Menk, L., Terzi, S., Zebisch, M., Rome, E., Lückerath, D., Milde, K., & Kienberger, S. (2022) · Weather Climate and Society · doi:10.1175/wcas-d-21-0014.1 · Cited by 57
Shapiro, J., & McNeish, J.-A. (2021) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781003127611 · Cited by 67
Global energy scenarios: A geopolitical reality check
Blondeel, M., Price, J., Bradshaw, M., Pye, S., Dodds, P. E., Kuzemko, C., & Bridge, G. (2023) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102781 · Cited by 58
Integrating climate change induced flood risk into future population projections
Shu, E. G., Porter, J. R., Hauer, M. E., Olascoaga, S. S., Gourevitch, J. D., Wilson, B. J., Pope, M., Melecio-Vázquez, D., & Kearns, E. J. (2023) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-023-43493-8 · Cited by 69
Actors, decision-making, and institutions in quantitative system modelling
Cian, E. D., Dasgupta, S., Hof, A. F., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., Köhler, J., Pfluger, B., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2018.10.004 · Cited by 71
Sitas, N., Harmáčková, Z. V., Anticamara, J. A., Arneth, A., Badola, R., Biggs, R., Blanchard, R., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Coetzer, K., et al. (2019) · Ecology and Society · doi:10.5751/es-11039-240335 · Cited by 63
Self-citationRisk transfer policies and climate-induced immobility among smallholder farmers
Choquette-Levy, N., Wildemeersch, M., Oppenheimer, M., & Levin, S. A. (2021) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01205-4 · Cited by 59
Eekhout, J., Delsman, I., Baartman, J. E. M., van Eupen, M., van Haren, C., Contreras, S., Martínez‐López, J., & de Vente, J. (2024) · Agricultural Water Management · doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2024.108818 · Cited by 60
Methods for including income distribution in global CGE models for long-term climate change research
van Ruijven, B. J., O’Neill, B. C., & Château, J. (2015) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.08.017 · Cited by 56
Self-citationFuture changes of global potential evapotranspiration simulated from CMIP5 to CMIP6 models
Xinlei, L. I. U., Li, C., Zhao, T., & Han, L. (2020) · Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters · doi:10.1080/16742834.2020.1824983 · Cited by 56
Lloyd, S., Bangalore, M., Chalabi, Z., Kovats, R., Hallegatte, S., Rozenberg, J., Valin, H., & Havlík, P. (2018) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp2916 · Cited by 40
Future cooling gap in shared socioeconomic pathways
Andrijevic, M., Byers, E. A., Mastrucci, A., Smits, J. P. J. M., & Fuss, S. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2195 · Cited by 56
Lovino, M. A., Pierrestegui, M. J., Müller, O. V., Berbery, E. H., Müller, G. V., & Pastén, M. (2021) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-021-03012-4 · Cited by 55
Colombian climatology in CMIP5/CMIP6 models: Persistent biases and improvements
Arias, P. A., Ortega, G., Villegas, L. D., & Martínez, J. A. (2021) · Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia · doi:10.17533/udea.redin.20210525 · Cited by 62
A Global Analysis of the Relationship Between Urbanization and Fatalities in Earthquake-Prone Areas
He, C., Huang, Q., Bai, X., Robinson, D. T., Shi, P., Dou, Y., Zhao, B., Yan, J., Zhang, Q., Xu, F., et al. (2021) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Science · doi:10.1007/s13753-021-00385-z · Cited by 55
The hydrogen economy can reduce costs of climate change mitigation by up to 22%
Wolfram, P., Kyle, P., Fuhrman, J., O’Rourke, P., & McJeon, H. C. (2024) · One Earth · doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2024.04.012 · Cited by 55
Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions
Gilli, M., Calcaterra, M., Emmerling, J., & Granella, F. (2024) · Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103012 · Cited by 72
Koutroulis, A., Grillakis, M. G., Daliakopoulos, I. Ν., Tsanis, I. K., & Jacob, D. (2015) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.11.015 · Cited by 63
Blanco, M., Ramos, F., Doorslaer, B. V., Martínez, P., Fumagalli, D., Ceglar, A., & Fernández, F. J. (2017) · Agricultural Systems · doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.05.013 · Cited by 64
Sachs, J., Moya, D., Giarola, S., & Hawkes, A. D. (2019) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.05.011 · Cited by 55
Yang, B., Liu, B., Peng, J., & Liu, X. (2022) · Technology in Society · doi:10.1016/j.techsoc.2022.102065 · Cited by 54
Arafeh‐Dalmau, N., Munguía‐Vega, A., Micheli, F., Vilalta-Navas, A., Villaseñor‐Derbez, J. C., la Mora, M. P.-D., Schoeman, D. S., Medellín–Ortiz, A., Cavanaugh, K. C., Sosa‐Nishizaki, O., et al. (2023) · One Earth · doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.002 · Cited by 54
Zhang, X., Wang, X., Zohner, C. M., Peñuelas, J., Li, Y., Wu, X., Zhang, Y., Liu, H., Shen, P., Jia, X., et al. (2025) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-025-56159-4 · Cited by 61
Systematically linking qualitative elements of scenarios across levels, scales, and sectors
Schweizer, V. J., & Kurniawan, J. H. (2016) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.12.014 · Cited by 54
Zimm, C., Sperling, F., & Busch, S. (2018) · Economies · doi:10.3390/economies6020020 · Cited by 54
Lucas, P., Hilderink, H. B. M., Janssen, P. H., Samir, K. C., van Vuuren, D. P., & Niessen, L. W. (2019) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.05.009 · Cited by 52
Zhai, R., Tao, F., Lall, U., Fu, B., Elliott, J. W., & Jägermeyr, J. (2020) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2019ef001398 · Cited by 54
The value of climate-resilient seeds for smallholder adaptation in sub-Saharan Africa
Cacho, O. J., Moss, J., Thornton, P. K., Herrero, M., Henderson, B., Bodirsky, B. L., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., & Lipper, L. (2020) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02817-z · Cited by 57
Xexakis, G., Hansmann, R., Volken, S. P., & Trutnevyte, E. (2020) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2020.110297 · Cited by 54
Levesque, A., Pietzcker, R., Baumstark, L., & Luderer, G. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abdf07 · Cited by 60
Global and regional health and food security under strict conservation scenarios
Henry, R., Arneth, A., Jung, M., Rabin, S. S., Rounsevell, M., Visconti, P., Warren, F., & Alexander, P. (2022) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-021-00844-x · Cited by 61
Caldwell, P. V., Martin, K. L., Vose, J. M., Baker, J. S., Warziniack, T., Costanza, J., Frey, G. E., Nehra, A., & Mihiar, C. (2023) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163550 · Cited by 53
Jia, Q., Jia, H., Li, Y., & Yin, D. (2023) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-22-0375.1 · Cited by 54
Pérez‐Alarcón, A., Fernández‐Alvarez, J. C., & Coll‐Hidalgo, P. (2023) · Environmental Processes · doi:10.1007/s40710-023-00649-4 · Cited by 59
Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments
Andrijevic, M., Schleussner, C., Cuaresma, J. C., Lissner, T., Muttarak, R., Riahi, K., Theokritoff, E., Thomas, A., van Maanen, N., & Byers, E. A. (2023) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01725-1 · Cited by 53
Self-citationNational contributions for decarbonizing the world economy in line with the G7 agreement
du Pont, Y. R., Jeffery, M. L., Gütschow, J., Christoff, P., & Meinshausen, M. A. (2016) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054005 · Cited by 56
The impacts of climate change on tourist mobility in mountain areas
Cavallaro, F., Ciari, F., Nocera, S., Prettenthaler, F. E., & Scuttari, A. (2016) · Journal of Sustainable Tourism · doi:10.1080/09669582.2016.1253092 · Cited by 53
Geiger, T. (2018) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-10-847-2018 · Cited by 53
Wang, H., & Chen, W. (2019) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.131 · Cited by 53
Reimann, L., Vollstedt, B., Koerth, J., Tsakiris, M., Beer, M., & Vafeidis, A. T. (2021) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2020.102691 · Cited by 53
Burning embers: synthesis of the health risks of climate change
Ebi, K. L., Boyer, C., Ogden, N., Paz, S., Berry, P., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Hess, J. J., & Woodward, A. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abeadd · Cited by 52
Self-citationDo we have enough natural sand for low‐carbon infrastructure?
Ioannidou, D., Sonnemann, G., & Suh, S. (2020) · Journal of Industrial Ecology · doi:10.1111/jiec.13004 · Cited by 55
Peng, Y., Duan, A., Hu, W., Tang, B., Li, X., & Yang, X. (2022) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac541c · Cited by 52
The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration
Bachner, G., Lincke, D., & Hinkel, J. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-33043-z · Cited by 52
Lamers, P., Ghosh, T., Upasani, S., Sacchi, R., & Daioglou, V. (2023) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.2c04246 · Cited by 53
A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning
Buenafe, K. C. V., Dunn, D. C., Everett, J. D., Brito‐Morales, I., Schoeman, D. S., Hanson, J. O., Dabalà, A., Neubert, S., Cannicci, S., Kaschner, K., et al. (2023) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1002/eap.2852 · Cited by 59
The role of high-biodiversity regions in preserving Nature’s Contributions to People
Cimatti, M., Chaplin‐Kramer, R., & Marco, M. D. (2023) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-023-01179-5 · Cited by 54
Wang, X., Wang, Y., Lin, Q., & Yang, X. (2023) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Science · doi:10.1007/s13753-023-00514-w · Cited by 52
Projecting China's future water footprint under the shared socio-economic pathways
Xu, X., Zhang, Y., & Chen, Y. (2020) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110102 · Cited by 52
Donges, J., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Wiedermann, M., Kassel, J., Kittel, T., Kolb, J., Kolster, T., Müller-Hansen, F., Otto, I., et al. (2020) · Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) · Cited by 52
Tui, S. H.-K., Descheemaeker, K., Valdivia, R. O., Masikati, P., Sisito, G., Moyo, E. N., Crespo, O., Ruane, A. C., & Rosenzweig, C. E. (2021) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-021-03151-8 · Cited by 55
Contrasting changes in hydrological processes of the Volta River basin under global warming
Dembélé, M., Vrac, M., Ceperley, N., Zwart, S. J., Larsen, J., Dadson, S., Mariethoz, G., & Schaefli, B. (2022) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-26-1481-2022 · Cited by 52
Vos, K. D., Janssens, C., Jacobs, L., Campforts, B., Boere, E., Kozicka, M., Havlík, P., Folberth, C., Balkovič, J., Maertens, M., et al. (2023) · Nature Food · doi:10.1038/s43016-023-00770-5 · Cited by 51
Trade-offs in land-based carbon removal measures under 1.5 °C and 2 °C futures
Zhao, X., Mignone, B. K., Wise, M., & McJeon, H. C. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-46575-3 · Cited by 63
Restoration cannot be scaled up globally to save reefs from loss and degradation
Mulà, C., Bradshaw, C. J. A., Cabeza, M., Manca, F., Montano, S., & Strona, G. (2025) · Nature Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1038/s41559-025-02667-x · Cited by 51
Urbanization in India: Population and Urban Classification Grids for 2011
Balk, D. L., Montgomery, M. R., Engin, H., Lin, N., Major, E., & Jones, B. (2019) · Data · doi:10.3390/data4010035 · Cited by 51
Dong, N., Liu, Z., Luo, M., Fang, C., & Lin, H. (2019) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2018ef000932 · Cited by 57
Effects of future agricultural change scenarios on beneficial insects
Redhead, J. W., Powney, G. D., Woodcock, B. A., & Pywell, R. F. (2020) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110550 · Cited by 50
Lehtonen, H. S., Aakkula, J., Fronzek, S., Helin, J. A., Hildén, M., Huttunen, S., Kaljonen, M., Niemi, J., Palosuo, T., Pirttioja, N., et al. (2021) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-020-01734-2 · Cited by 51
Park, C. Y., Thorne, J. H., Hashimoto, S., Lee, D. K., & Takahashi, K. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146455 · Cited by 51
Material flows and GHG emissions from housing stock evolution in US counties, 2020–60
Berrill, P., & Hertwich, E. G. (2021) · Buildings and Cities · doi:10.5334/bc.126 · Cited by 53
Divergent Representation of Precipitation Recycling in the Amazon and the Congo in CMIP6 Models
Baker, J. C. A., & Spracklen, D. V. (2022) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2021gl095136 · Cited by 50
Future Food Security in Africa Under Climate Change
Beltran-Peña, A. A., & D’Odorico, P. (2022) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2022ef002651 · Cited by 54
Panos, E., Glynn, J. D. M., Kypreos, S., Lehtilä, A., Yue, X., Gallachóir, B. Ó., Daniels, D., & Dai, H. (2023) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113642 · Cited by 60
Gómez-Sanabria, A., & Lindl, F. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-49555-9 · Cited by 52
Unaddressed non-energy use in the chemical industry can undermine fossil fuels phase-out
Zanon-Zotin, M., Baptista, L. B., Draeger, R., Rochedo, P., Szklo, A. S., & Schaeffer, R. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-52434-y · Cited by 50
Societal breakdown as an emergent property of large-scale behavioural models of land use change
Brown, C., Seo, B., & Rounsevell, M. (2019) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-10-809-2019 · Cited by 50
Harrison, P. A., Harmáčková, Z. V., Karabulut, A. A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R. W., Guisan, A., Holman, I. P., Jacobs, S., et al. (2019) · Ecology and Society · doi:10.5751/es-10818-240227 · Cited by 50
Self-citationA Framework for Global Twenty-First Century Scenarios and Models of Biological Invasions
Lenzner, B., Leclère, D., Franklin, O., Seebens, H., Roura‐Pascual, N., Obersteiner, M. H., Dullinger, S., & Essl, F. (2019) · BioScience · doi:10.1093/biosci/biz070 · Cited by 49
Bienvenido-Huertas, D., Rubio-Bellido, C., Pérez-Fargallo, A., & Pulido-Arcas, J. A. (2019) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119306 · Cited by 50
Kamei, M., Wangmo, T., Leibowicz, B. D., & Nishioka, S. (2020) · Cities · doi:10.1016/j.cities.2020.102972 · Cited by 56
Increasing heat risk in China’s urban agglomerations
Zhang, G., Zeng, G., Liang, X., & Huang, C. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac046e · Cited by 49
Transparent scenario development
Carlsen, H., Klein, R. J. T., & Wikman–Svahn, P. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3379 · Cited by 49
Wang, M., Zhang, D. Q., Su, J., Trzcinski, A. P., Dong, J. W., & Tan, S. K. (2017) · CLEAN - Soil Air Water · doi:10.1002/clen.201700111 · Cited by 49
Data-driven spatial modeling of global long-term urban land development: The SELECT model
Gao, J., & O’Neill, B. C. (2019) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.06.015 · Cited by 49
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K. L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D. S., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., Levy, M., & Solecki, W.
- Affiliations
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- University of Washington (US)
- Chulalongkorn University (TH)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- University of Denver (US)
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL)
- University of Stuttgart (DE)
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- Columbia University (US)
- Hunter College (US)
- Corresponding author
- O’Neill, Brian C.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Global Environmental Change
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-01
- Volume
- 42
- Pages
- 169-180
- ISSN
- 0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1992193293
- Cited by
- 3,359
- References
- 84
- Citations by year
- 2026: 401 · 2025: 469 · 2024: 478 · 2023: 485 · 2022: 413 · 2021: 329 · 2020: 250 · 2019: 201 · 2018: 156 · 2017: 93
- FWCI
- 266.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Global Environmental Change (publishedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Keywords
- Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, long-term scenarios, climate change mitigation, climate change adaptation, social development, expert opinion, future scenarios, human development, technology and institutions, natural resources
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
