Cited by 50Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource ManagementOil Palm Production and SustainabilityAgriculture, Land Use, Rural Development

Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon could be halved by scaling up the implementation of zero-deforestation cattle commitments

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Levy, Samuel A., Cammelli, Federico, Munger, Jacob, Gibbs, Holly K., Garrett, Rachael D.·2023·Global Environmental Change

Abstract

Deforestation for agriculture is a key threat to global carbon stocks, biodiversity, and indigenous ways of life. In the absence of strong territorial governance, zero-deforestation commitments (ZDCs), corporate policies to decouple food production from deforestation, remain a central tool to combat this issue. Yet evidence on their effectiveness remains mixed and the mechanisms limiting effectiveness are poorly understood. To advance understanding of ZDCs’ potential at reducing deforestation, we developed the first spatially explicit estimates of farmers’ exposure to ZDC companies in the Brazilian Amazon cattle sector. Exposure was measured by determining the market share of ZDC firms from the first full year of ZDC adoption in 2010 until 2018. Our analysis evaluated how variation in this exposure influenced deforestation. We found the G4 Agreement, the most widespread and strongly implemented cattle ZDC, reduced cattle-driven deforestation by 7,000 ± 4,000 km2 (15 ± 8%) between 2010 and 2018. Additionally, had all firms adopted and implemented an effective ZDC, cattle-driven deforestation could have dropped by 24,000 ± 13,000 km2 (51 ± 28%). These results for the world’s principal deforestation hotspot suggests supply chain policies can substantially reduce deforestation. However, their effectiveness is contingent on widespread adoption and rigorous implementation, both of which are currently insufficient to prevent large scale deforestation. Increased adoption and implementation could be incentivized through greater pressure from the Brazilian government and import countries.

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  • Existing evidence suggests that properties with recent deforestation tend to specialize in indirect supply.

    “existing evidence suggests that properties with recent deforestation tend to specialize in indirect supply (Rajão et al 2020, Skidmore et al 2021, Levy et al 2023).”

    From Cattle supply chain fidelity in the Brazilian Amazon: key considerations for deforestation monitoring (2024) · cites this paper as Levy et al 2023

    The Introduction (p. 2) describes deforestation-linked cattle passing through intermediary properties, and section 4.3 (p. 8) says producers wishing to deforest can sell indirectly. These passages support a link between deforestation and indirect supply, but do not establish that properties with recent deforestation tend to specialize in indirect supply. (LLM, conf=0.82)

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Levy, S. A., Cammelli, F., Munger, J., Gibbs, H. K., & Garrett, R. D.
Affiliations
  • ETH Zurich (CH)
  • University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
  • University of Cambridge (GB)
Corresponding author
Levy, Samuel A.
Venue
Global Environmental Change
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2023-05
Volume
80
Pages
102671
ISSN
0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4366495239
Cited by
50
References
7
Citations by year
2026: 14 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 10
FWCI
5.63
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Global Environmental Change (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • ETH Zürich Research Collection (cc-by)
Funders
  • National Science Foundation (1739253)
  • Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation
  • Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich
  • University of California, Santa Barbara
  • H2020 European Research Council (949932)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Oil Palm Production and Sustainability
  • Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › General Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agriculture, Land Use, Rural Development
Keywords
zero-deforestation commitments, cattle ranching, deforestation, Brazilian Amazon, supply chain governance, corporate environmental policy, agricultural supply chain, deforestation reduction, policy effectiveness

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