GRADE guidelines: 11. Making an overall rating of confidence in effect estimates for a single outcome and for all outcomes
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GRADE requires guideline developers to make an overall rating of confidence in estimates of effect (quality of evidence-high, moderate, low, or very low) for each important or critical outcome. GRADE suggests, for each outcome, the initial separate consideration of five domains of reasons for rating down the confidence in effect estimates, thereby allowing systematic review authors and guideline developers to arrive at an outcome-specific rating of confidence. Although this rating system represents discrete steps on an ordinal scale, it is helpful to view confidence in estimates as a continuum, and the final rating of confidence may differ from that suggested by separate consideration of each domain. An overall rating of confidence in estimates of effect is only relevant in settings when recommendations are being made. In general, it is based on the critical outcome that provides the lowest confidence.
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The quality of evidence for all outcomes was judged using the GRADE system.
“The quality of evidence for all outcomes was judged using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system [35, 36].”
From Systematic review and meta-analysis of Mental Health First Aid training: Effects on knowledge, stigma, and helping behaviour (2018) · cites this paper as [36]
The certainty of evidence was graded using the GRADE approach.
“The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) approach was applied.”
From The Effectiveness of Telemedicine Solutions for the Management of Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis, and Meta-Regression (2023) · cites this paper as [36]
Existing GRADE guidance for interventions begins a body of evidence from randomized trials at high certainty and from observational studies at low certainty, then considers eight domains, five for rating down and three for rating up.
“If the relevant studies are randomized trials, the body of evidence begins as high certainty. If the relevant studies are observational, the body of evidence begins as low certainty. This initial rating is followed by consideration of eight domains, five of which may result in rating down certainty, and three in rating up.(8)”
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- Authors
- Guyatt, G., Oxman, A. D., Sultan, S., Brozek, J., Glasziou, P., Alonso-Coello, P., Atkins, D., Kunz, R., Montori, V., Jaeschke, R., Rind, D., Dahm, P., Akl, E. A., Meerpohl, J., Vist, G., Berliner, E., Norris, S., Falck-Ytter, Y., & Schünemann, H. J.
- Affiliations
- McMaster University (CA)
- Nasjonalt Kunnskapssenter for Helsetjenesten (NO)
- University of Florida Health (US)
- Iberoamerican Cochrane Centre (ES)
- University Hospital of Basel (CH)
- Mayo Clinic (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- University of Florida (US)
- University at Buffalo, State University of New York (US)
- University Medical Center Freiburg (DE)
- Oregon Health & Science University (US)
- Case Western Reserve University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Guyatt, Gordon
- ORCID
- Venue
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2013-02
- Volume
- 66
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 151-157
- ISSN
- 0895-4356 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2107021177
- Cited by
- 762
- References
- 13
- Citations by year
- 2026: 46 · 2025: 52 · 2024: 56 · 2023: 58 · 2022: 54 · 2021: 64 · 2020: 54 · 2019: 64 · 2018: 55 · 2017: 80 · 2016: 54 · 2015: 51 · 2014: 39 · 2013: 25 · 2012: 7
- FWCI
- 44.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- e-publications@bond (Bond University) (submittedVersion)
- edoc (University of Basel) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Clinical practice guidelines implementation
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Delphi Technique in Research
- Keywords
- GRADE, quality of evidence, critical outcomes, evidence-based guideline development, systematic reviews
- MeSH terms
- Clinical Competence, Epidemiologic Methods, Humans, Confidence Intervals, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Practice Guidelines as Topic, Evidence-Based Medicine, Guideline Adherence
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