Cited by 283Functional Brain Connectivity StudiesBayesian Modeling and Causal InferenceMental Health Research Topics

Network discovery with DCM

Open access
Friston, Karl J., Li, Baojuan, Daunizeau, Jean, Stephan, Klaas E.·2011·NeuroImage

Abstract

This paper is about inferring or discovering the functional architecture of distributed systems using Dynamic Causal Modelling (DCM). We describe a scheme that recovers the (dynamic) Bayesian dependency graph (connections in a network) using observed network activity. This network discovery uses Bayesian model selection to identify the sparsity structure (absence of edges or connections) in a graph that best explains observed time-series. The implicit adjacency matrix specifies the form of the network (e.g., cyclic or acyclic) and its graph-theoretical attributes (e.g., degree distribution). The scheme is illustrated using functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) time series to discover functional brain networks. Crucially, it can be applied to experimentally evoked responses (activation studies) or endogenous activity in task-free (resting state) fMRI studies. Unlike conventional approaches to network discovery, DCM permits the analysis of directed and cyclic graphs. Furthermore, it eschews (implausible) Markovian assumptions about the serial independence of random fluctuations. The scheme furnishes a network description of distributed activity in the brain that is optimal in the sense of having the greatest conditional probability, relative to other networks. The networks are characterised in terms of their connectivity or adjacency matrices and conditional distributions over the directed (and reciprocal) effective connectivity between connected nodes or regions. We envisage that this approach will provide a useful complement to current analyses of functional connectivity for both activation and resting-state studies.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This paper introduces a data-led DCM scheme for discovering directed, cyclic functional brain networks by Bayesian model selection over sparsity structures. It validates the approach in simulations and applies it to an attention-to-motion fMRI dataset, recovering a dense hierarchical network.

Key findings

  • DCM can discover directed cyclic graphs by scoring reduced models from a single full-model inversion using the Savage-Dickey density ratio, with model spaces optionally constrained to bidirectional connections.
  • In 200 Monte Carlo simulations, the model selection procedure attained 100% accuracy, i.e. 100% specificity and selectivity for identifying presence or absence of connections; in a 4-node simulation over 64 models, the true architecture had the greatest posterior probability under flat priors.
  • In empirical attention-to-motion fMRI with 6 regions and 256 volumes, post hoc selection over 32,768 models found a clear optimum with over 80% model posterior; three of fifteen reciprocal connections were switched off, and the inferred hierarchy order was vis, sts, pfc, ppc, ag, fef.
  • A phase-shuffled null analysis produced a much shallower log-evidence profile and retained four of fifteen connections, but with log-Bayes factors less than three relative to graphs with fewer connections.

Methods

  • The generative model is DCM for fMRI with a neuronal model based on a random differential equation, \( \dot{x}=Ax+\omega \), motivated by centre manifold/slaving-principle and mean-field assumptions; the hemodynamic Balloon model is unchanged.
  • Simulations generated synthetic fMRI from 3-node and 4-node networks over 256 bins of 3.22 s, comparing stochastic Generalised Filtering with a deterministic DCM using a discrete cosine basis; 200 Monte Carlo simulations tested sensitivity/specificity.
  • Empirical analysis used an attention-to-motion fMRI dataset, six functionally defined regions, 256 volumes, full-model inversion followed by post hoc model selection, spectral embedding, and an asymmetry index for hierarchy.

Limitations

  • Stated: simulations used the same model to generate and explain data, while empirical data offer no such guarantee; sensitivity/specificity as a function of observation noise still needs assessment; strong reciprocal connections with opposite signs were estimated inefficiently and unlikely to survive; priors were arbitrary and could be optimised; larger networks may make full-model inversion prohibitively long.
  • Stated: the null phase-shuffled analysis retained four connections, described as slightly disappointing, though evidence for them was weak (log-Bayes factors <3).
  • Evident: the empirical illustration uses one subject and an ad hoc region selection, with no group-level analysis; the neuronal model is a linear approximation that absorbs nonlinearities into fluctuations, and its hidden neuronal state is an unspecified phase variable, less physiologically grounded than DCMs for electromagnetic data.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.neuroimage.2010.12.039

Cites

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 47 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    The computational cost of using the Generalised Filtering scheme was less than the deterministic scheme (about 80 and 100 seconds per iteration during model inversion, respectively).

    “Interestingly, the computational cost of using the Generalised Filtering scheme was less than the deterministic scheme (about 80 and 100 seconds per iteration during model inversion, respectively).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Generalised Filtering results are much more accurate and precise than the deterministic scheme (note the smaller confidence intervals).

    “Figure 4 shows the equivalent results for Generalised Filtering, which are much more accurate and precise (note the smaller confidence intervals in the upper left panel).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Simulated fMRI data generated using Equation 5 and the hemodynamic equations of motion exhibit the characteristic amplitude and ultra slow fluctuations seen in resting state time-series.

    “The results of these simulations are shown in Figure 2 and exhibit the characteristic amplitude and ultra slow fluctuations seen in resting state time-series.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    The use of positive and negative coupling parameters produces the anti-correlated responses seen between the first two nodes and the third.

    “The use of positive and negative coupling parameters produces the anti-correlated responses seen between the first two nodes and the third (Figure 2, upper left panel).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In contrast to deterministic schemes, stochastic DCM also infers the hidden physiological states that mediate neurovascular coupling (e.g., flow, volume and deoxyhemoglobin content).

    “Crucially, in contrast to deterministic schemes, stochastic DCM also infers the hidden physiological states that mediate neurovascular coupling (e.g., flow, volume and deoxyhemoglobin content), which are shown in the upper right panel.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 39
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 35
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The deterministic scheme, modelling fluctuations with fixed temporal basis functions, underestimates the coupling strengths and consequently overestimates the amplitude of the neuronal fluctuations (represented by exogenous inputs) causing them (i.e., it overestimates the parameters C θ).

    “It can been seen that the deterministic scheme, modelling fluctuations with fixed temporal basis functions, underestimates the coupling strengths and consequently overestimates the amplitude of the neuronal fluctuations (represented by exogenous inputs) causing them (i.e., it overestimates the parameters C θ).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The deterministic scheme's estimates are not invalid, in that the true values lie within the conditional confidence intervals; however, this model provides inefficient estimates in relation to Generalised Filtering.

    “This is not an invalid result, in that the true values lie within the conditional confidence intervals; however, this model provides inefficient estimates in relation to Generalised Filtering:”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The prefrontal cortex and visual region are the furthest apart in anatomical space but the closest pair of nodes in functional space.

    “Interestingly, the prefrontal cortex (pfc) and visual region (vis) are the furthest apart in anatomical space but the closest pair of nodes in functional space.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There is an interesting structure to the anti-edges that speaks to the well known segregation of dorsal and ventral pathways in the visual system: the missing connections are between the superior temporal sulcus and the early visual system, and between the ventral superior temporal sulcus/angular gyrus and dorsal posterior parietal cortex.

    “There is an interesting structure to the anti-edges that speaks to the well known segregation of dorsal and ventral pathways in the visual system (Ungerleider & Haxby 1994): The missing connections are between (i) the superior temporal sulcus and the early visual system, and (ii) the (ventral) superior temporal sulcus/angular gyrus and (dorsal) posterior parietal cortex.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ungerleider & Haxby 1994 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The inversion of the full model took about 16 minutes, while the post hoc search took about 16 seconds.

    “The inversion of the full model took about 16 minutes (about 16 iterations of about one minute each), while the post hoc search took about 16 seconds.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The data and noise in these simulations had a standard deviation of about 0.35 and exp(−4/2) ≈ 0.14, respectively, giving a signal to noise ratio of about 2.6.

    “The data and noise in these simulations had a standard deviation of about 0.35 and exp(−4/2) ≈ 0.14, respectively, giving a signal to noise ratio of about 2.6.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Changes in blood flow are in the order of 10%, which is in the physiologically plausible range.

    “It can be seen that changes in blood flow are in the order of 10%, which is in the physiologically plausible range.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The hierarchical ordering of nodes that maximises the average strength of forward connections relative to their backward homologue was vis, sts, pfc, ppc, ag, and fef.

    “The resulting order was vis, sts, pfc, ppc, ag, and fef, which is not dissimilar to the vertical deployment of the nodes in functional embedding space (Figure 12; lower panel).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Post hoc model selection following inversion of phase-shuffled data resulted in a nearly edgeless graph, with a log-evidence profile much shallower than for unshuffled data by an order of magnitude.

    “This selection should result in an edgeless graph, which is nearly the case but not quite: It can be seen that the log-evidence profile is much shallower in comparison to the analysis of unshuffled data (by an order of magnitude).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The model selection procedure attained 100% accuracy; the correct adjacency structure was selected in all cases.

    “However, this assessment was unnecessary because the model selection procedure attained 100% accuracy. In other words, the correct adjacency structure (model) was selected in all cases and, implicitly, the scheme had a 100% specificity and selectivity for identifying the presence or absence of a connection.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    For a typical fMRI study, model inversion takes about five to ten minutes on a modern computer and post hoc model selection takes a few seconds.

    “For a typical fMRI study, model inversion takes about five to ten minutes on a modern computer and post hoc model selection takes a few seconds.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    This is a surprisingly dense network, in which all but three of the fifteen reciprocal connections appear to be necessary to explain observed responses.

    “This is a surprisingly dense network, in which all but three of the fifteen reciprocal connections appear to be necessary to explain observed responses.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Both inversion of the full model and its post hoc optimization are sensitive to the shrinkage priors over the parameters.

    “Finally, both inversion of the full model and its post hoc optimization are sensitive to the shrinkage priors over the parameters.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The strength of backward connections can be greater than the strength of forward connections; all top-down connections from the frontal eye fields were stronger in absolute terms than the equivalent bottom-up connections.

    “A striking result from this data-led application was that the strength of backward connections can be greater than the strength of forward connections: note all top-down connection from the frontal eye fields were stronger in absolute terms than the equivalent bottom-up connections (Figure 12).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Findingnone given

    Increasing levels of observation noise reduces the posterior confidence in non-zero connections and predisposes them to removal during post hoc optimisation.

    “Increasing levels of noise reduces the posterior confidence in non-zero connections and predisposes them to removal during post hoc optimisation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    This difference translates into a log-odds ratio of about exp(6) ≈ 400:1 or a Z-score of about 2.8.

    “This translates into a log-odds ratio of about exp(6) ≈ 400 :1 or a Z-score of about 2.8.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The DCM network discovery scheme can be applied to experimentally evoked responses (activation studies) or endogenous activity in task-free (resting state) fMRI studies.

    “Crucially, it can be applied to experimentally evoked responses (activation studies) or endogenous activity in task-free (resting state) fMRI studies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Stochastic or random fluctuations are inevitable when modelling self-organised dynamics at a macroscopic scale.

    “This distinction is important because stochastic or random fluctuations are inevitable, when modelling self-organised dynamics at a macroscopic scale.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The DCM used in this paper is exactly the same as conventional DCM for fMRI but includes endogenous fluctuations represented by random differential equations.

    “This is exactly the same as the conventional DCM for fMRI but includes endogenous fluctuations, which are represented by random differential equations (Li et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Li et al. 2010

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  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The analytic nature of these fluctuations renders the model non-Markovian and calls for inversion schemes that eschew Markovian assumptions.

    “The last point is crucial because it renders the model non-Markovian and calls for (inversion) schemes that eschew Markovian assumptions (e.g., Generalised Filtering: Friston et al 2010; Li et al., 2011).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Friston et al 2010 source

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    • cites Li et al., 2011

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    Premisecitation

    The implicit difference in log-evidence for two models with and without a connection is the log-Bayes factor and is the most efficient statistic for testing their relative likelihood.

    “The implicit difference in log-evidence for these two models is the log-Bayes factor and (by the Neyman-Pearson Lemma) is the most efficient statistic for testing the relative likelihood of both models.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Neyman-Pearson Lemma

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    By scoring all possible models, one can in principle identify conditional dependencies and discover the underlying dependency graph.

    “This means, in principle, we have a straightforward way to identify conditional dependencies and, by scoring all possible models, discover the underlying dependency graph.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The arguments in the paper apply to any complex distributed system with coupled nonlinear dynamics.

    “Although we will focus on neuronal systems, the following arguments apply to any complex distributed system with coupled nonlinear dynamics.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Generalised Filtering represents hidden states in generalised coordinates of motion and absorbs unknown (time-invariant) parameters into the filter.

    “Recently, we introduced a Generalised Filtering scheme (Friston et al., 2010) that represents hidden states in generalised coordinates of motion and absorbs unknown (time-invariant) parameters into the filter.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Friston et al., 2010 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Only the slow dynamics are communicated among nodes, which means distributed activity can be modelled with a small number of macroscopic variables (e.g. one per node) with fast fluctuations specific to each node.

    “We will see that only the slow dynamics are communicated among nodes, which means we can model distributed activity with a small number of macroscopic variables (e.g. one per node) with fast fluctuations that are specific to each node.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    DCM for fMRI rests on a generative model that has two components: a neuronal model describing interactions in a distributed network of neuronal populations, and a component mapping neuronal activity to observed hemodynamic responses.

    “DCM for fMRI rests on a generative model that has two components.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Buxton et al., 1998 source

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    • cites Friston et al 2003 source

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    • cites Stephan et al., 2007 source

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given

    A detailed examination of DCM for fMRI discloses the central importance and nature of fluctuations in neurophysiologic states, which have been ignored in classical deterministic variants of dynamic causal modelling.

    “This more detailed examination of DCM for fMRI discloses the central importance (and nature) of fluctuations in neurophysiologic states, which have been ignored in classical (deterministic) variants of dynamic causal modelling.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given

    A dynamic causal model is formally a Bayesian dependency graph, in which the form of the dependencies among hidden states are described with deterministic or random differential equations.

    “It is important to realise that a dynamic causal model is (formally) a Bayesian dependency graph, in which the form of the dependencies among hidden states are described with deterministic or random differential equations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    These fluctuations are analytic (continuously differentiable).

    “(iv) these fluctuations are analytic (continuously differentiable).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Priors on the parameters should allow for slow dynamics.

    “This is important because it suggests that priors on the parameters should allow for slow dynamics.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    DCM eschews Markovian assumptions about the serial independence of random fluctuations.

    “Furthermore, it eschews (implausible) Markovian assumptions about the serial independence of random fluctuations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The equations for endogenous fluctuations can be regarded as a bilinear approximation to any nonlinear model of neuronal dynamics.

    “These equations can be regarded as a [bi]linear approximation to any nonlinear model of neuronal dynamics.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The dynamics of coupled systems can be summarised with a small number of macroscopic variables that describe their behaviour.

    “It is presented to make four key points: (i) The dynamics of coupled systems can be summarised with a small number of macroscopic variables that describe their behaviour;”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    fMRI signals scale with the predominant frequency of neuronal activity.

    “This is because it is generally assumed that fMRI signals scale with the predominant frequency of neuronal activity (Kilner et al., 2005; Laufs & Duncan 2007; Rosa et al., 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Kilner et al., 2005 source

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    • cites Laufs & Duncan 2007

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    • cites Rosa et al., 2010 source

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    Premisecitation

    The slow modes flow on the centre manifold and enslave the fast modes, which the centre manifold attracts (the slaving principle).

    “The slow modes (which flow on the centre manifold) are then said to enslave the fast modes (which the centre manifold attracts): this is the “slaving principle” (Ginzburg and Landau 1950; Carr 1981; Haken 1983).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Ginzburg and Landau 1950

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Carr 1981

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    • cites Haken 1983

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  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    There is no real difference between hidden states and parameters in DCM; therefore, it should be possible to cast unknown fluctuations in neuronal states as unknown parameters.

    “The nature of these generalised schemes speaks to the fact that there is no real difference between hidden states and parameters in DCM; therefore, it should be possible to cast unknown fluctuations in neuronal states as unknown parameters.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    An exhaustive model search can finesse the missing region problem, provided the source of common input is part of the full model and one can invert it.

    “This is because an exhaustive model search will preclude a false inference of conditional dependency between two unconnected nodes, provided the source of common input is part of the full model (and that one can invert it).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The source of common input is part of the full model and one can invert it.
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Exogenous inputs are prior expectations (usually based on known experimental design) about hidden neuronal fluctuations.

    “Equation 6 has been introduced to show the formal connection between stochastic and deterministic DCM and promote a particular perspective on exogenous inputs: namely, that they are prior expectations (usually based on known experimental design) about hidden neuronal fluctuations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The time constants of macroscopic dynamics are necessarily greater than those of the underlying microscopic dynamics.

    “(ii) the time constants of these macroscopic dynamics are necessarily greater than those of the underlying macroscopic dynamics;”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    DCM has historically been portrayed as a hypothesis-led approach to understanding distributed neuronal architectures underlying observed brain responses.

    “Historically, Dynamic Causal Modelling (DCM) has been portrayed as a hypothesis-led approach to understanding distributed neuronal architectures underlying observed brain responses (Friston et al., 2003).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Friston et al., 2003 source

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This perspective provides a graceful link (conceptually and practically) between activation and resting-state studies; i.e., activation studies can be treated as task-free and vice-versa.

    “This perspective is exploited in the last section and provides a graceful link (conceptually and practically) between activation and resting-sate studies; i.e., activation studies can be treated as task-free and vice-versa.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In DCM, models are usually inverted by optimising a free-energy bound on the model log-evidence, assuming the posterior is approximately Gaussian (the Laplace assumption).

    “In DCM, models are usually inverted by optimising a free-energy bound F (y, q) ≤ ln p(y | m) on the model log-evidence (or log marginal likelihood of the data y conditioned upon a model m), assuming the posterior is approximately Gaussian (the Laplace assumption).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Friston et al., 2003 source

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    • cites [2007]

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    • cites [2010]

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    • The authors state this as an assumption: The posterior is approximately Gaussian (the Laplace assumption).
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    The random differential equation (Equation 5) is the one used in stochastic DCM for fMRI (ignoring bilinear terms and exogenous inputs).

    “Crucially, this is the random differential equation used in stochastic DCM for fMRI (ignoring bilinear terms and exogenous inputs).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These connections do not mean direct monosynaptic connections; they show conditional dependencies mediated in a neuronally plausible polysynaptic fashion, which cannot be explained by regional activities in the other nodes considered.

    “This does not mean that there are direct (monosynaptic) connections between these regions; it means they show conditional dependencies that are mediated in a neuronally plausible (polysynaptic) fashion, which cannot be explained by regional activities in the other nodes we considered.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The resulting order places the visual cortex at the bottom of the hierarchy and the frontal eye fields at the top, which is expected from the functional anatomy of these regions.

    “This is a pleasing result because it places the visual cortex at the bottom of the hierarchy and the frontal eye fields at the top, which we would expect from the functional anatomy of these regions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The assumption of reciprocal coupling is not necessary for network discovery; it is used here to demonstrate how prior beliefs can constrain model spaces.

    “Despite this strong motivation for introducing symmetry constraints on the adjacency matrix, it should be noted that the assumption of reciprocal coupling is not necessary for network discovery; it is used here to demonstrate how prior beliefs can constrain model spaces.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    This reflects the strength of coupling between these nodes and the tight functional integration between visual and prefrontal areas during visual attention tasks.

    “This reflects the strength of the coupling between these nodes and more generally the tight functional integration between visual and prefrontal areas during visual attention tasks (e.g., Desimone & Duncan 1995; Gazzaley et al. 2007).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Desimone & Duncan 1995 source

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    • cites Gazzaley et al. 2007 source

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  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    A finite value in the adjacency matrix means that the connection has finite variance and its posterior estimate can take non-zero values.

    “Conversely, a finite value in the adjacency matrix means that the connection has finite variance and that its posterior estimate can take non-zero values.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These simulation results show only that it is possible to recover the connectivity structure from realistic responses; this rests on having the right generative model.

    “It should be remembered that these simulation results show only that it is possible to recover the connectivity structure from realistic responses; however, this clearly rests on having the right generative model.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The reciprocal coupling constraint does not mean that effective connection strengths are identical for both directions; posterior estimates of coupling can be very different.

    “Furthermore, this constraint does not mean that the effective connection strengths are identical for both directions of a reciprocal connection: the posterior estimates of coupling can be very different.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Predictive coding holds that top-down predictions suppress prediction errors in lower levels of a hierarchy.

    “Theoretically, this is consistent with predictive coding, where top-down predictions suppress prediction errors in lower levels of a hierarchy”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Summerfield et al., 2006 source

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    • cites Friston 2008

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    • cites Chen et al., 2009 source

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  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    In principle, the scheme can handle much larger networks; however, the time taken to invert the full model may become prohibitively long because the number of free parameters increases quadratically with the number of nodes.

    “In principle, the scheme can handle much larger networks; however, the time taken to invert the (full) model may become prohibitively long (because the number of free parameters increases quadratically with the number of nodes).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The coupling parameters are themselves state and implicitly time-dependent.

    “From the point of view of generative models, this suggests that the coupling parameters are themselves state and implicitly time-dependent.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    The importance of backward connections or top-down influences fits comfortably with predictive coding accounts of brain function, which emphasise the importance of predictions generated in a top-down fashion.

    “Furthermore, the importance of backward connections or top-down influences fits comfortably with predictive coding accounts of brain function, which emphasise the importance of predictions that are generated in a top-down fashion (Rao & Ballard 1999; Friston 2005).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Rao & Ballard 1999 source

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    • cites Friston 2005 source

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  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Having access to the adjacency matrices summarising functional brain architectures (in terms of effective connectivity) opens the door to graph theoretic analyses that leverage important advances in network theory.

    “Finally, having access to the adjacency matrices summarising functional brain architectures (in terms of effective connectivity) opens the door to graph theoretic analyses that leverage important advances in network theory (e.g., Bullmore & Sporns 2009).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bullmore & Sporns 2009 source

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  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Granger causality and DBN rest on the theory of Martingales (Markovian assumptions), which may be inappropriate for real dynamical systems whose fast fluctuations are analytic and may show critical slowing.

    “Granger causality and DBN rest on the theory of Martingales (i.e. Markovian assumptions), which may be inappropriate for real dynamical systems, whose fast fluctuations are analytic and may themselves show critical slowing (i.e., non-Markovian or long-memory behaviour); see Roebroeck et al. (2009) and Friston (2009) for discussion.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Roebroeck et al. (2009)

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    • cites Friston (2009)

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The level of noise used in the simulations is not unrealistic but guaranteed a strong connection could be estimated with a high degree of precision.

    “The level of noise used in the simulations is not unrealistic but guaranteed a strong connection could be estimated with a high degree of precision.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Model averaging and selection procedures currently applied to free-energy approximations following inversion of reduced models can be applied to the post hoc log-evidence used for model discovery.

    “In a similar vein, model averaging and selection procedures currently applied to the free-energy approximations following inversion of reduced models can be applied to the post hoc log-evidence used for model discovery (see Stephan et al. 2010 for an overview of these procedures).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Stephan et al. 2010 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    This reflects the efficiency of the model selection and explains why the authors were able to identify the correct model in all the simulations.

    “This reflects the efficiency of the model selection and explains why we were able to identify the correct model in all the simulations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Because DCM is a linear approximation, nonlinearities that cause chaotic itinerancy in real biological time-series are absorbed into the fluctuating terms inferred during model inversion.

    “Because our DCM is a linear approximation, these nonlinearities are absorbed into the fluctuating terms that are inferred during model inversion.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    The shrinkage priors can themselves be optimised using the same formalism behind post hoc model optimization.

    “however, these priors can themselves be optimised using the same formalism behind post hoc model optimization (see Friston and Penny 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Friston and Penny 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Network discovery can also be applied to bilinear and nonlinear DCMs to discover functional architectures with nonlinear (state-dependent) effects.

    “In short, network discovery can also be applied to bilinear and nonlinear DCMs to discover functional architectures with nonlinear (state-dependent) effects.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    One can model state-dependency and ensuing itinerancy by adding nonlinear (quadratic) terms to the coupling matrix.

    “One can model this state-dependency, and ensuing itinerancy, by simply adding nonlinear (quadratic) terms to the coupling matrix as described in Stephan et al., (2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Stephan et al., (2008) source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The computational expediency of functional connectivity and Granger causal schemes means they can handle vast numbers of nodes and may play a helpful role in identifying candidate networks for analyses of directed effective connectivity.

    “Having said this, the computational expediency of functional connectivity and Granger causal schemes mean that they can handle (in principle) vast numbers of nodes and may therefore play a helpful role in identifying candidate networks for the analyses of (directed) effective connectivity described in this paper.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    DCM is used routinely to invert models with thousands of free parameters.

    “Having said this, DCM is used routinely to invert models with thousands of free parameters (e.g. DCM for induced electromagnetic sources; Chen et al. 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Chen et al. 2008 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    There is no reason why exactly the same approach could not be applied to the activity of distributed modes, such as those from principal or independent component analysis.

    “Although we have illustrated the approach using region specific summaries of fMRI data from an activation study, there is no reason why exactly the same approach could not be applied to the activity of distributed modes, such as those from principal or independent component analysis (cf, Havlicek et al., 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Havlicek et al., 2010 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Granger causality may not be appropriate for fMRI time-series and performs poorly in comparison to structural (non-dynamic) approaches based upon partial correlations.

    “However, there is a growing appreciation that Granger causality may not be appropriate for fMRI time-series (e.g., Nalatore et al 2007) and performs poorly in comparison to structural (non-dynamic) approaches based upon partial correlations (Smith et al., 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Nalatore et al 2007 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Smith et al., 2010

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Post hoc log-evidences can be used for random effects model selection for group studies.

    “Similarly, post hoc log-evidences can be used for random effects model selection for group studies).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    This provides a DCM based on nonlinear random differential equations that can, in principle, be inverted using Generalised Filtering.

    “This provides a DCM based on nonlinear random differential equations that can, in principle, be inverted using Generalised Filtering.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
69 of 69
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The dynamics of neuronal states in one node evolve according to some unknown and immensely complicated equations of motion.

    “We will first assume that the dynamics of neuronal states in one node ξ = [ξ1,ξ2,…]T evolve according to some unknown and immensely complicated equations of motion: 1ξ.=f(ξ)`ζ.1=f1(ζ1,…,ζN)ζ.2=f2(ζ1,…,ζN)ζ.3=…”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The mapping U− :ξ → ζ is chosen so that it conforms locally to the generalised eigenvectors U(ξ) of the Jacobian.

    “We assume that this mapping U− :ξ → ζ is chosen so that it conforms locally to the generalised eigenvectors U(ξ) of the Jacobian = ∂f/∂ξ, with eigenvalues U−U = λ.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The eigenvalues associated with each mode are distributed sparsely; one or a small number are near zero, whereas the rest are large and negative.

    “Namely, we make the assumption that the eigenvalues λk=Uk−ℑUk associated with each mode ζk=Uk−ξ are distributed sparsely; λ1>λ2>λ3…∈ℜ. That is, one or a small number of them are near zero, whereas the rest are large and negative.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The dynamics of one node are determined by the mean or average activity in another (mean-field assumption).

    “To simplify the model of responses distributed over n nodes, we adopt a mean-field assumption (see Deco et al., 2008).”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Each neuron in one node sees a sufficiently large number of neurons in another to render the effective influence the same as the average over all neurons in the source node.

    “Intuitively, this is like assuming that each neuron in one node ‘sees’ a sufficiently large number of neurons in another to render the effective influence the same as the average over all neurons in the source node.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The posterior is approximately Gaussian (the Laplace assumption).

    “assuming the posterior is approximately Gaussian (the Laplace assumption).”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Neuronal fluctuations are the predominant source of hemodynamics and hemodynamic fluctuations are largely neuronal in origin.

    “This essentially treats neuronal fluctuations as the predominant source of hemodynamics and assumes hemodynamic fluctuations are largely neuronal in origin.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    All connections in the brain are directed and reciprocal.

    “To finesse this problem we can assume all connections in the brain are directed and reciprocal.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The source of common input is part of the full model and one can invert it.

    “provided the source of common input is part of the full model (and that one can invert it).”
9 of 9

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • DCM, originally developed for task data, has recently been extended to allow modelling of resting-state data and to search across a wide range of possible network matrix models.

    “while DCM, originally developed for task data, has recently been extended [54] to allow modelling of resting-state data, and to search across a wide range of possible network matrix models”

    From Functional connectomics from resting-state fMRI (2013) · cites this paper as [54]

The citation lists haven’t been fetched yet

References 109 · Cited by 283

Authors
Friston, K. J., Li, B., Daunizeau, J., & Stephan, K. E.
Affiliations
Wellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging (GB)
Corresponding author
Friston, Karl J.
Venue
NeuroImage
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2011-06
Volume
56
Issue
3
Pages
1202-1221
ISSN
1053-8119 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2021655476
Cited by
283
References
109
Citations by year
2026: 8 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 21 · 2016: 29 · 2015: 27 · 2014: 27 · 2013: 25 · 2012: 23
FWCI
13.54
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • NeuroImage (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
  • UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
Funders
  • Wellcome Trust
  • China Scholarship Council (CSC)
  • SystemsX.ch
  • University of Zurich
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Functional Brain Connectivity Studies
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Mental Health Research Topics
Keywords
network discovery, dynamic causal modeling, Bayesian model selection, functional connectivity, directed graphs, cyclic graphs, effective connectivity, fMRI time series, resting-state fMRI, brain networks, sparsity structure
MeSH terms
Algorithms, Bayes Theorem, Brain Mapping, Computer Simulation, Hemodynamics, Humans, Image Processing, Computer-Assisted, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Models, Neurological, Motion Perception, Nerve Net, Stochastic Processes, Visual Perception, Models, Statistical, Causality, Normal Distribution

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-09.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-09.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

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