Comparative efficacy and acceptability of antidepressants, psychotherapies, and their combination for acute treatment of children and adolescents with depressive disorder: a systematic review and network meta-analysis
Open accessAbstract
Background Depressive disorders are common in children and adolescents. Antidepressants, psychotherapies, and their combination are often used in routine clinical practice; however, available evidence on the comparative efficacy and safety of these interventions is inconclusive. Therefore, we sought to compare and rank all available treatment interventions for the acute treatment of depressive disorders in children and adolescents.Methods We did a systematic review and network meta-analysis. We searched PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, PsycINFO, ProQuest, CINAHL, LiLACS, international trial registries, and the websites of regulatory agencies for published and unpublished randomised controlled trials from database inception until Jan 1, 2019. We included placebo-controlled and head-to-head trials of 16 antidepressants, seven psychotherapies, and five combinations of antidepressant and psychotherapy that are used for the acute treatment of children and adolescents (≤18 years old and of both sexes) with depressive disorder diagnosed according to standard operationalised criteria. Trials recruiting participants with treatment-resistant depression, bipolar disorder, psychotic depression, treatment duration of less than 4 weeks, or an overall sample size of fewer than ten patients were excluded. We extracted data following a predefined hierarchy of outcome measures, and assessed risk of bias and certainty of evidence using validated methods. Primary outcomes were efficacy (change in depressive symptoms) and acceptability (treatment discontinuation due to any cause). We estimated summary standardised mean differences (SMDs) or odds ratios (ORs) with credible intervals (CrIs) using network meta-analysis with random effects. This study was registered with PROSPERO, number CRD42015020841.Findings From 20 366 publications, we included 71 trials (9510 participants). Depressive disorders in most studies were moderate to severe. In terms of efficacy, fluoxetine plus cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) was more effective than CBT alone (-0·78, 95% CrI -1·55 to -0·01) and psychodynamic therapy (-1·14, -2·20 to -0·08), but not more effective than fluoxetine alone (-0·22, -0·86 to 0·42). No pharmacotherapy alone was more effective than psychotherapy alone. Only fluoxetine plus CBT and fluoxetine were significantly more effective than pill placebo or psychological controls (SMDs ranged from -1·73 to -0·51); and only interpersonal therapy was more effective than all psychological controls (-1·37 to -0·66). Nortriptyline (SMDs ranged from 1·04 to 2·22) and waiting list (SMDs ranged from 0·67 to 2·08) were less effective than most active interventions. In terms of acceptability, nefazodone and fluoxetine were associated with fewer dropouts than sertraline, imipramine, and desipramine (ORs ranged from 0·17 to 0·50); imipramine was associated with more dropouts than pill placebo, desvenlafaxine, fluoxetine plus CBT, and vilazodone (2·51 to 5·06). Most of the results were rated as "low" to "very low" in terms of confidence of evidence according to Confidence In Network Meta-Analysis.Interpretation Despite the scarcity of high-quality evidence, fluoxetine (alone or in combination with CBT) seems to be the best choice for the acute treatment of moderate-to-severe depressive disorder in children and adolescents. However, the effects of these interventions might vary between individuals, so patients, carers, and clinicians should carefully balance the risk-benefit profile of efficacy, acceptability, and suicide risk of all active interventions in young patients with depression on a case-by-case basis.Funding National Key Research and Development Program of China.
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- Findingown data
The update drew on 71 RCTs and 9510 young people with depressive disorders, allocated to 28 active treatments or four control arms.
“This updated analysis is based on 71 RCTs, which included 9510 children and adolescents with depressive disorders randomly assigned to 28 active interventions or four control conditions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
This work is the first broad systematic review and network meta-analysis of every eligible randomised trial that compared an active treatment-medication, psychotherapy, or both-with another active treatment or a control condition for short-term management of paediatric depressive disorders.
“Our study provides the first comprehensive systematic review and network meta-analysis of all available RCTs, comparing any active interventions (antidepressant, psychotherapy, and their combination) with another or control conditions for the acute treatment of depressive disorders in children and adolescents.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
High risk of bias in a study was linked to a lower dropout rate.
“and that studies with high risk of bias were associated with a lower dropout rate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For suicidality, venlafaxine carried a higher risk of suicidal behaviour or ideation than pill placebo and ten other interventions in this paediatric depression network.
“In terms of suicidality, our findings confirmed that venlafaxine is associated with an increased risk of suicidal behaviour or ideation compared with pill placebo and ten other interventions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The network meta-analysis satisfies the transitivity assumption, meaning the included comparisons are sufficiently similar in effect modifiers.
- The authors state this as an assumption: A single common heterogeneity variance applies to all comparisons in the network.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Uninformative prior distributions for treatment effects are appropriate for the network meta-analysis models.
- Findingown data
Nortriptyline was worse than most active interventions.
“Nortriptyline was worse than most active interventions; however, the interpretation of this result was limited by the inconsistent loop of nortriptyline versus fluoxetine versus pill placebo.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data
Only two active treatments-fluoxetine plus CBT and fluoxetine alone-beat pill placebo on efficacy in this child and adolescent sample.
“We found that, of all the included active interventions, only fluoxetine plus CBT and fluoxetine were significantly more efficacious than pill placebo in children and adolescents with depressive disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Fluoxetine plus CBT produced a greater symptom reduction than CBT alone or psychodynamic psychotherapy, with very low confidence of evidence.
“Fluoxetine plus CBT was associated with a greater reduction in depressive symptoms than either CBT or psychodynamic psychotherapy, with very low confidence of evidence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In young people, venlafaxine is linked to a significantly higher risk of suicidal behaviour or ideation.
“We found that venlafaxine had a significantly increased risk for suicidality (suicidal behaviour or ideation) for young people, which is in line with previous reviews.10,11”
- Also stated in: § Additional information · plain
“Venlafaxine was associated with a significantly increased risk of suicidal behaviour or ideation compared with pill placebo (OR 8•31, 95% CrI 1•92-343•17) and ten other interventions (citalopram, escitalopram, fluoxetine, fluoxetine plus CBT, duloxetine, imipramine, family therapy, desvenlafaxine, CBT, and pill placebo plus CBT; ORs ranged from 5•07 to 18•98; figure 4C; appendix pp 67-69).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [10] Cipriani, 2016, Comparative efficacy and tolerability of antidepressants for major depressive disorder in children and adolescents: a network meta-analysis, Lancet source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Vitiello, 2018, Twenty years of progress in paediatric psychopharmacology: accomplishments and unmet needs, Evid Based Ment Health source
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § Additional information · plain
- Findingown data
For depressive symptoms, the network meta-analysis found that just two interventions-fluoxetine combined with CBT and fluoxetine by itself-outperformed pill placebo, psychological control conditions, and several active comparators in the acute treatment of paediatric depressive disorder.
“Our findings suggest that, in terms of efficacy, only fluoxetine plus cognitive behavioural therapy and fluoxetine alone were more efficacious than pill placebo, psychological controls and some active treatments for the acute treatment of depressive disorder in children and adolescents.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The network meta-analysis satisfies the transitivity assumption, meaning the included comparisons are sufficiently similar in effect modifiers.
- The authors state this as an assumption: A single common heterogeneity variance applies to all comparisons in the network.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Uninformative prior distributions for treatment effects are appropriate for the network meta-analysis models.
- Findingown data
Studies with more severe baseline depressive symptoms were associated with larger treatment effects.
“we found that studies in which participants had more severe depressive symptoms at baseline were associated with larger treatment effects”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Most modifiers did not significantly affect efficacy or acceptability in network meta-regression.
“Network metaregression analyses showed that most modifiers (appendix pp 90) did not significantly affect the efficacy and acceptability of interventions”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Nortriptyline and waiting list performed worse than most active treatments.
“By contrast, nortriptyline (SMDs ranged from 1•04 to 2•22) and waiting list (SMDs ranged from 0•67 to 2•08) were worse than most active interventions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For acceptability (66 RCTs, 9075 patients), dropout rates were lower with nefazodone and fluoxetine than with sertraline, imipramine, or desipramine.
“In terms of acceptability (66 RCTs, comprising 9075 patients), nefazodone and fluoxetine were asso ciated with fewer dropouts than sertraline, imipramine, and desipramine (ORs ranged from 0•17 to 0•50; figure 2B, 3, 4B).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Interpersonal psychotherapy beat every psychological control condition.
“interpersonal psychotherapy was more effective than all psychological controls (SMDs ranged from -1•37 to -0•66; figures 2A, 3, 4A; appendix pp 56-65).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the efficacy analysis of 70 RCTs with 8906 patients, just two interventions-fluoxetine plus CBT and fluoxetine-outperformed both pill placebo and psychological controls.
“In terms of efficacy (70 RCTs, comprising 8906 patients), only fluoxetine plus CBT (SMD -0•73, 95% CrI -1•39 to -0•07) and fluoxetine (-0•51, -0•84 to -0•18) were more effective than both pill placebo and psycho logical controls (SMDs ranged from -1•73 to -0•83; figures 2A, 3, 4A; appendix pp 56-65).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Node-splitting incoherence testing found significant differences between some comparisons for both efficacy and acceptability.
“The test of incoherence from the nodesplitting model showed significant differences between some comparisons in efficacy and acceptability (appendix pp 78-81).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
- Findingown data
Dropout rates were higher with imipramine than with pill placebo, desvenlafaxine, fluoxetine plus CBT, or vilazodone.
“Imipramine was associated with more dropouts than pill placebo, desvenlafaxine, fluoxetine plus CBT, and vilazodone (ORs ranged from 2•51 to 5•06; figure 2B, 3, 4B).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The proportion of inconsistent loops fell within expected ranges in local incoherence tests.
“Tests of local incoherence showed that the percentages for inconsistent loops were within the expected ranges based on the empirical data (six of 25 loops for the efficacy outcome and one of 24 for the acceptability outcome; appendix pp 74-77).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
- Study design and conductown data
Many included trials lacked adequate reporting of allocation concealment.
“Many trials did not report adequate information about allocation concealment”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The nortriptyline result was limited by an inconsistent loop involving nortriptyline, fluoxetine, and pill placebo.
“however, the interpretation of this result was limited by the inconsistent loop of nortriptyline versus fluoxetine versus pill placebo.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
To the authors' knowledge, this is the first network meta-analysis to compare psychological, pharmacological, and combined treatment for child and adolescent depressive disorder.
“To our knowledge, this is the first time that psychological intervention, pharma cological inter vention, and their combination for depressive disorder in children and adolescents have been compared in a network metaanalysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Double-blinding patients in psychotherapy trials is difficult.
“it is difficult to use a doubleblind design for patients in trials of psychotherapy”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] Boutron, 2007, Reporting methods of blinding in randomized trials assessing nonpharmacological treatments, PLoS Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
For adults with major depressive disorder, every psychotherapeutic intervention beats psychological control conditions.
“all psychotherapeutic interventions were superior to psychological control conditions.28”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [28] Barth, 2013, Comparative efficacy of seven psychotherapeutic interventions for patients with depression: a network meta-analysis, PLoS Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
In young people, after adjusting for time-varying confounders, the link between antidepressant use and suicide attempts or self-inflicted injury was attenuated and not statistically significant in two US medical claims databases.
“Two US medical claims databases that contain data on 221 028 young people with depression for the period 2004-09 showed that, after accounting for the time varying effect of confounders, the apparent association between antidepressant use and suicide attempts and selfinflicted injury was diminished and not statistically significant.33”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [33] Gibbons, 2015, Antidepressant treatment and suicide attempts and self-inflicted injury in children and adolescents, Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
The CINeMA assessment rated most comparisons as low or very low quality.
“First, according to the CINeMA assessment, the quality of most comparisons was low or very low.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Sensitivity analyses did not materially change the relative treatment effects.
“The sensitivity analyses did not materially affect the relative treatment effects (appendix pp 97-100).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The absence of reliable suicidality data for many antidepressants prevented a comprehensive assessment of risk for all interventions.
“Owing to the absence of reliable data on suicidality for many antidepressants, comprehensive assessment of the risk of suicidality for all interventions was not possible.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The certainty of evidence for fluoxetine, whether given alone or with CBT, in acute treatment of moderate-to-severe paediatric depressive disorder is low.
“Fluoxetine (alone or in combination with CBT) seems to be the best choice for the acute treatment of moderate-to-severe depressive disorder in children and adolescents but the quality of evidence is low.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The network meta-analysis satisfies the transitivity assumption, meaning the included comparisons are sufficiently similar in effect modifiers.
- The authors state this as an assumption: A single common heterogeneity variance applies to all comparisons in the network.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Uninformative prior distributions for treatment effects are appropriate for the network meta-analysis models.
- Premisecitation
The average post-treatment effect of psychotherapy for youth depression (SMD -0.29) was smaller than average effects reported for youth anxiety (SMD -0.61), ADHD (SMD -0.34), and conduct-related problems (SMD -0.46).
“The mean effects (standardised mean differ ence [SMD] -0•29) after treatment were more modest than those found for treatment of other youth problems, including anxiety (SMD -0•61), attention deficit hyper activity disorder (SMD -0•34), and conductrelated problems and disorders (SMD -0•46).9”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] Weisz, 2017, What five decades of research tells us about the effects of youth psychological therapy: a multilevel meta-analysis and implications for science and practice, Am Psychol source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
Potential selective reporting bias limits the clinical interpretation of the findings.
“Thus, the clinical interpretation of these findings is limited by the potential bias from selective reporting.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Metaregression analyses of modifiers did not materially change the outcomes.
“Although the metaregression analyses of modifiers did not materially affect the outcomes”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Most comparisons differed in baseline severity, mean age, sex ratio, and treatment duration according to the transitivity assessment.
“The assessment of transitivity showed most of the comparisons had variable baseline severity, mean age, sex ratio, and treatment duration.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
- Study design and conductown data
A sensitivity analysis that excluded non-blinded psychotherapy trials yielded findings not materially different from the primary analysis.
“We did a sensitivity analysis excluding nonblinded psychotherapy trials, the findings of which were not materially different from those of the primary analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
To support the transitivity assumption, the review was limited to trials of children and adolescents with depressive disorder.
“Third, in order to support transitivity assumption in the network, the review was restricted to trials involving children and adolescents with depressive disorder.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Trials with subsyndromal depressive symptoms were excluded because antidepressants are not recommended for that group.
“We excluded studies in which participants were described as having subsyndromal depressive symptoms, because anti de pressants are not recommended in this group of patients.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Fluoxetine, alone or with CBT, might be the best option for acute symptoms in children and adolescents with major depression.
“The findings suggest that fluoxetine (alone or in combination with CBT) might be considered the best option to treat acute symptoms in children and adolescents with major depression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Control conditions can reduce network connectivity and therefore statistical power.
“These control conditions can lead to reduced network connectivity in network metaanalyses and therefore low statistical power.45”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] Cipriani, 2013, Conceptual and technical challenges in network meta-analysis, Ann Intern Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Patients with psychotic or treatment-resistant depression were excluded.
“We also excluded patients with psychotic or treatmentresistant depression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Because original studies reported little information, some outcomes such as adverse events discontinuation and global functioning could not be quantified.
“Seventh, because of the paucity of information reported in the original studies, we were not able to quantify some outcomes, such as adverse events discontinuation and global functioning.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Restoring Study 329 reanalysed the data and protocol of Study 329 and found different or opposite results for the efficacy and tolerability of paroxetine and imipramine.
“Fifth, the Restoring Study 329, 39 which reanalysed the data and protocol of SmithKline Beecham's Study 329, 40 showed different and even opposite results of efficacy and tolerability of paroxetine and imipramine.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [39] Le Noury, 2015, Restoring Study 329: efficacy and harms of paroxetine and imipramine in treatment of major depression in adolescence, BMJ
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [40] Keller, 2001, Efficacy of paroxetine in the treatment of adolescent major depression: a randomized, controlled trial, J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry source
Not checked in the free run.
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 31
- May combine two claims. 31
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown data5051 (57.2%) of the sample were female.
“5051 (57•2%) of the sample population were female.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCINeMA rated 9 (12.5%) of 72 efficacy comparisons as low confidence and 63 (87.5%) as very low; for acceptability, 1 (1.3%) was high, 3 (4.0%) moderate, 13 (17.3%) low, and 58 (77.3%) very low.
“According to CINeMA, nine (12•5%) of 72 comparisons for the efficacy outcome were rated as low confidence of evidence and 63 (87•5%) as very low, and for the acceptability outcome, one (1•3%) was rated as high confidence of evidence, three (4•0%) as moderate, 13 (17•3%) as low, and 58 (77•3%) as very low (appendix pp 107-125).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataSummary effect sizes were mostly medium to large and somewhat uncertain.
“These summary effect sizes were mostly medium to large with some uncertainty, which might result from the small number of patients included, and wide credible intervals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataMedian acute treatment duration was 8 weeks (IQR 8-12).
“The median duration of the acute treatment was 8 weeks (IQR 8-12).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong 9510 patients, 7179 (75.5%) had moderate-to-severe major depressive disorder; baseline severity averaged 58.5 (SD 10.1) on CDRS-R, 23.3 (SD 8.8) on CDI, or 24.7 (11.4) on BDI.
“7179 (75•5%) of 9510 patients had moderateto severe major depressive disorder, with a mean reported baseline severity score on the Children's Depression Rating ScaleRevised of 58•5 (SD 10•1), Children's Depression Inventory of 23•3 (SD 8•8), or Beck Depression Inventory of 24•7 (11•4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAge ranged from 3 to 20 years (mean 14.0, SD 2.6); two studies included participants up to age 20 but were kept because most participants and the mean age were below 18.
“The age range was from 3 years to 20 years (mean age 14•0 years, SD 2•6); two studies included participants up to 20 years of age, but were included, because the majority of participants and the mean age were younger than 18 years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataGeographic distribution: 41 studies in North America, 12 in Europe, five in Asia, two in Australia, one in South America, seven crosscontinental, and three from other or unspecified regions.
“41 (57•7%) studies were done in North America, 12 (16•9%) in Europe, five (7•0%) in Asia, two (2•8%) in Australia, and one (1•4%) in South America, seven (9•9%) trials were crosscontinental, and the remaining three (4•2%) were either from other regions or did not specify.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataTen (14.1%) of 71 studies randomized participants to three or more groups.
“Participants were randomly assigned to three or more groups in ten (14•1%) of 71 studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataRecruitment was restricted to outpatients in 41 (55.7%) of the 71 studies.
“Only outpatients were recruited in 41 (55•7%) of 71 studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataRandomization counts were 4081 to antidepressants, 1575 to psychotherapy, 553 to combination treatment, and 3301 to psychological control or pill placebo.
“4081 participants were randomly assigned to anti depressants, 1575 to psychotherapy, 553 to a combination treatment, and 3301 to a psychological control or pill placebo.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataInterpersonal psychotherapy outperformed all psychological controls, but the evidence confidence was very low.
“We also found that interpersonal psychotherapy was more efficacious than all psychological controls, but with very low confidence of evidence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe review identified 20,366 citations, retrieved 390 full texts, and included 71 RCTs with 9510 patients published between 1986 and 2018.
“We identified 20 366 citations, retrieved the full text of 390 potentially eligible articles, and included 71 RCTs (9510 patients) published between 1986 and 2018 (figure 1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataMean study sample size was 136, with a range of 10 to 529.
“The mean study sample size was 136 participants and ranged from 10 to 529 (tables”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe network showed some global and local inconsistencies for efficacy, but few for acceptability.
“Second, in the network, we found some global and local inconsistencies in efficacy outcomes, but few in acceptability outcomes”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataIndustry funding was present in 24 of 71 studies (33.8%).
“companies funded 24 (33•8%) of 71 studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCombining fluoxetine with CBT outperformed CBT alone and psychodynamic therapy.
“Fluoxetine plus CBT was more effective than CBT (SMDs -0•78, 95% CrI -1•55 to -0•01) and psychodynamic therapy (-1•14, -2•20 to -0•08)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataGlobal incoherence testing revealed a significant difference between consistency and inconsistency models for efficacy, but not for acceptability.
“The test of global incoherence showed a significant difference between the consistency and inconsistency models for efficacy (p<0•0001), but not for acceptability (p=0•5531; appendix p 74).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe estimated median heterogeneity variance was 0.49 for efficacy and 0.32 for acceptability.
“The median heterogeneity variances were estimated at 0•49 (95% CrI 0•37-0•64) for efficacy and 0•32 (0•04-0•61) for acceptability.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor efficacy, global I2 was 56%; for acceptability, it was 14%.
“The global I² values were 56% for efficacy and 14% for acceptability.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe original protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42015020841), and protocol changes are listed in the appendix.
“The appendix (p 39) lists the changes to the original protocol, which is registered with PROSPERO, number CRD42015020841.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe uncertainty may stem from the small number of patients and wide credible intervals.
“which might result from the small number of patients included, and wide credible intervals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataConfidence in the evidence for each network estimate was evaluated with CINeMA software.
“We assessed the confidence of evidence contributing to each network estimate using the Confidence In Network MetaAnalysis (CINeMA) software.17”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] Salanti, 2014, Evaluating the quality of evidence from a network meta-analysis, PLoS One source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationConvergence was checked with trace plots and the Brooks-Gelman-Rubin statistic.
“To ensure convergence, trace plots and the BrooksGelmanRubin statistic were assessed.24”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Brooks, 1998, General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations, J Comput Graph Stat source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationEarlier meta-analyses indicated that psychotherapies, particularly CBT and interpersonal psychotherapy, were more effective than psychological control conditions for child and adolescent depression.
“especially cognitivebehavioural therapy (CBT) and interpersonal psychotherapy, appeared to be more effective compared with psychological controls in previous metaanalyses.7,8”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [7] Zhou, 2015, Comparative efficacy and acceptability of psychotherapies for depression in children and adolescents: a systematic review and network meta-analysis, World Psychiatry source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [8] Eckshtain, 2020, Meta-analysis: 13-year follow-up of psychotherapy effects on youth depression, J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenMissing continuous outcomes were handled with the last available follow-up value, and missing binary outcomes were handled under an intention-to-treat principle.
“Missing continuous outcome data were analysed using the last available followup data, and missing dicho tomous outcome data were managed according to the intentiontotreat principle.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationRisk of bias in included studies was assessed following the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions.
“We assessed the studies' risk of bias in accordance with the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions.14”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Zhou, 2017, Comparative efficacy and acceptability of antidepressants, psychological interventions, and their combination for depressive disorder in children and adolescents: protocol for a network meta-analysis, BMJ Open source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationSome antidepressants may raise the risk of suicidality.
“Previous metaanalyses 10,11 have shown that anti depres sants, except for fluoxetine, do not offer a clear advantage over pill placebo for many individuals, and some antidepressants might increase risk of suicidality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [10] Cipriani, 2016, Comparative efficacy and tolerability of antidepressants for major depressive disorder in children and adolescents: a network meta-analysis, Lancet source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Vitiello, 2018, Twenty years of progress in paediatric psychopharmacology: accomplishments and unmet needs, Evid Based Ment Health source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThis pattern may be explained by most psychotherapy trials being rated high risk of bias due to nonblinding and having lower dropout and baseline severity than pharmacological trials.
“These findings might result from the fact that most psycho therapy trials, which were assessed as high risk of bias due to nonblinding of performance and personnel, had relatively lower dropout rates and baseline severity scores than the pharmacological trials (appendix pp 91-96).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataPre-specified sensitivity analyses for primary outcomes excluded trials with unpublished data, imputed data, fewer than 20 participants, inconsistent treatment durations or time points, and non-blinded assessment.
“We did pre specified sensitivity analyses for primary outcomes by omitting trials with unpublished data, trials with imputed data, trials with sample sizes smaller than 20, trials with inconsistent treatment durations and selected time points, and trials with nonblinding assessment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationIt was unclear whether combining an antidepressant with a psychological intervention was more beneficial than an antidepressant alone.
“Whether the combination of antidepressant and psychological interventions is more beneficial than antidepressants alone remains unclear.13”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Cox, 2012, Psychological therapies versus antidepressant medication, alone and in combination for depression in children and adolescents, Cochrane Database Syst Rev source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationPublication bias was assessed with comparison-adjusted funnel plots.
“We used comparisonadjusted funnel plots to assess publi cation bias.23”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] Chaimani, 2013, Graphical tools for network meta-analysis in STATA, PLoS One source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe difficulty of double-blinding psychotherapy trials compromises network transitivity and limits interpretation of the results.
“which would affect the transitivity of the whole network and restricts the interpretation of these results.15”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] Boutron, 2007, Reporting methods of blinding in randomized trials assessing nonpharmacological treatments, PLoS Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn adults with major depressive disorder, every antidepressant outperforms pill placebo in efficacy.
“all antidepressants were more efficacious than pill placebo 27”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [27] Cipriani, 2018, Comparative efficacy and acceptability of 21 antidepressant drugs for the acute treatment of adults with major depressive disorder: a systematic review and network meta-analysis, Lancet source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitationTransitivity was examined by comparing the distributions of clinical and methodological effect modifiers-such as age, sex, baseline depression severity, and treatment duration-across treatment comparisons.
“To assess transitivity, we compared the distribution of clinical and methodological variables (eg, age, sex, depressive severity at baseline, and treatment duration) that could act as effect modifiers across treatment com parisons.14”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Zhou, 2017, Comparative efficacy and acceptability of antidepressants, psychological interventions, and their combination for depressive disorder in children and adolescents: protocol for a network meta-analysis, BMJ Open source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationPrior meta-analyses found that, apart from fluoxetine, antidepressants did not clearly outperform pill placebo for many young patients.
“Previous metaanalyses 10,11 have shown that anti depres sants, except for fluoxetine, do not offer a clear advantage over pill placebo for many individuals, and some antidepressants might increase risk of suicidality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [10] Cipriani, 2016, Comparative efficacy and tolerability of antidepressants for major depressive disorder in children and adolescents: a network meta-analysis, Lancet source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Vitiello, 2018, Twenty years of progress in paediatric psychopharmacology: accomplishments and unmet needs, Evid Based Ment Health source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationPatients with subsyndromal depressive symptoms make up a substantial share of real-world clinical settings.
“They do, however, form a substantial proportion of the patients seen in realworld, clinical settings.37”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [37] Cheung, 2018, Guidelines for adolescent depression in primary care (GLAD-PC): part II. Treatment and ongoing management, Pediatrics source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataSome comparisons had relatively low or high transitivity values, so their confidence was downgraded.
“we found that some comparisons had relatively low or high values in the transitivity assessment; thus, we downgraded the confidence of these comparisons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe authors tried to retrieve all unpublished information and contact study authors, but some unpublished studies may still be missing.
“We did our best to retrieve all available unpublished information and contacted study authors for supple mentary data, but we cannot rule out the possibility that some unpublished studies are still missing.38”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] de Vries, 2019, Hiding negative trials by pooling them: a secondary analysis of pooled-trials publication bias in FDA-registered antidepressant trials, Psychol Med source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationSome adverse effects are expected in psychotherapy trials, including new symptoms and strains in the patient-therapist relationship, but few psychotherapy trials report data on adverse events and suicidality.
“Some of the adverse effects would also be expected in psychotherapy trials, including the emergence of new symptoms and strains in the patienttherapist relationship, 43 however, few psychotherapy trials report data on adverse events and suicidality.44”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenPublished data were checked against protocols or trial register reports, but main outcomes could not be examined at the individual patient level.
“Although we have checked the published data with their protocols or trial register reports, we were not able to investigate these main outcomes at the individual patient level.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The data from included trials other than Restoring Study 329 are accurate.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDifferent doses of antidepressants might produce different treatment effects.
“Sixth, antidepressants with different doses might produce different treatment effects.41”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41] Berney, 2005, Dose-response relationship of recent antidepressants in the short-term treatment of depression, Dialogues Clin Neurosci source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataUnpublished data were obtained for 11 of the 71 included trials (15.5%).
“We retrieved unpublished information for 11 (15•5%) of the 71 included trials.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationObservational studies were excluded to reduce heterogeneity, but they can provide more real-world evidence on antidepressant effectiveness.
“We excluded obser vational studies to decrease the hetero geneity in the network metaanalysis; however, obser vational studies can provide more information about realworld evidence on antidepressant effectiveness in the studied population group.46”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [46] Kernot, 2019, One step closer to personalised prescribing of antidepressants: using real-world data together with patients and clinicians' preferences, Evid Based Ment Health source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningAntidepressants were included without therapeutic dose ranges, but potential dose effects should be considered.
“Although we included antidepressants without therapeutic dose ranges, we should consider the potential dose effects in this review.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenA hierarchy of informants for depressive rating scales was established before the study, which could reduce outcome bias.
“However, before the study, we established a hierarchy of informants of depressive rating scales, which could reduce this type of outcome bias.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningFew studies addressed relapse prevention, and some adverse effects and psychotherapy responses occur over a prolonged period, so positive results should be interpreted cautiously.
“Relatively few studies addressed the issue of preventing relapse of depression in children and adolescents, and some of the adverse effects of anti depressants and response to psychotherapy occur over a prolonged period, meaning that positive results need to be interpreted with caution.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenIn this network meta-analysis, few trials compared the same treatments, and the transitivity assumption across various control conditions was understated.
“In this network metaanalysis, a small number of trials compared the same treatments, and the assumption of transitivity over various control conditions was under stated.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataEgger's test indicated no publication bias for most outcomes, but funnel plots showed potential asymmetry.
“Fourth, despite the Egger's test showing no publication bias for most outcomes, we found some potential asymmetry of funnel plots in this network metaanalysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenDespite its limitations, this network meta-analysis is the most comprehensive analysis of the available evidence.
“Despite these limitations, the findings from this network metaanalysis represent the most comprehensive analysis of the available evidence.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
- Rests on an assumption: The data from included trials other than Restoring Study 329 are accurate.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataRisk of bias was high in 32 trials (45.1%), moderate in 32 (45.1%), and low in 7 (9.9%).
“32 trials (45•1%) were rated high on risk of bias, 32 (45•1%) as moderate, and seven (9•9%) as low (appendix pp 49-53).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningData from Restoring Study 329 were used, but the accuracy of data from other included trials could not be assured.
“We have selected the data from Restoring Study 329 for this review, but we could not assure the accuracy of the data in the other included trials.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The data from included trials other than Restoring Study 329 are accurate.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationUsing different outcomes from the same trials can introduce pharmaceutical marketing bias.
“Additionally, different outcomes from the same trials can be a source of pharmaceutical marketing bias.35”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] Lexchin, 2003, Pharmaceutical industry sponsorship and research outcome and quality: systematic review, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningTrials shorter than 4 weeks were excluded, which could reduce the effect in the final analysis.
“In this review, we have excluded trials with treatment duration of less than 4 weeks, which could reduce the effect for the final analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The existing evidence does not clearly establish that psychotherapy is more effective and safer than antidepressants for child and adolescent depressive disorder.
“However, the evidence base has not been well established that psychotherapy is more effective and safer than antidepressants in the treatment of child and adolescent depressive disorder, and whether the combination of antidepressants and psychotherapies is more beneficial than antidepressants alone remains unknown.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The network meta-analysis satisfies the transitivity assumption, meaning the included comparisons are sufficiently similar in effect modifiers.
“To assess transitivity, we compared the distribution of clinical and methodological variables (eg, age, sex, depressive severity at baseline, and treatment duration) that could act as effect modifiers across treatment com parisons.14”
The authors state this as an assumption.
A single common heterogeneity variance applies to all comparisons in the network.
“A common estimate for the heterogeneity variance was assumed for all comparisons in the entire network, and we assessed the presence of statistical heterogeneity using the magnitude of the heterogeneity variance parameter (τ²) and total I² statistic.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Uninformative prior distributions for treatment effects are appropriate for the network meta-analysis models.
“We fitted all models of network metaanalysis with uninformative previous distributions for the treatment effects.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The network meta-analysis transitivity assumption holds across the various control conditions.
“the assumption of transitivity over various control conditions was under stated.”
“in order to support transitivity assumption in the network”
The paper relies on this without support.
The data from included trials other than Restoring Study 329 are accurate.
“we could not assure the accuracy of the data in the other included trials.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Treatment options for a child or adolescent with IBD who is diagnosed with anxiety or depression can include psychotherapy such as CBT and medications like SSRIs.
“Treatment options for a child or adolescent with IBD who is diagnosed with anxiety or depression can include psychotherapy such as CBT and medications like selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) (94).”
From The 2023 Impact of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Canada: Mental Health and Inflammatory Bowel Disease (2023) · cites this paper as [94]
The Introduction describes CBT and SSRIs as treatments studied for depressive disorder in children and adolescents, and the ‘Implications of all the available evidence’ section identifies fluoxetine, alone or with CBT, as a possible choice for moderate-to-severe depression. The paper does not establish these options specifically for children or adolescents with IBD; it mentions anxiety only in comparisons with depression research. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe risk of recurrence after the first two episodes of depression is substantially less than after the third and subsequent episodes.
“In addition, the risk of recurrence after the first two episodes is substantially less than after the third and subsequent episodes, indicating an early potential for recovery on which interventions should capitalise. 488”
From Time for united action on depression: a Lancet–World Psychiatric Association Commission (2022) · cites this paper as [488]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
A selected outcome falls outside the stated time window
MinorThe methods say that outcomes unavailable at eight weeks were taken from weeks 4-16, but the trial table lists a selected timepoint of 36 weeks.
“If information at 8 weeks was not available, we used data from 4-16 weeks (we gave preference to the timepoint closest to 8 weeks; if equidistant, we took the longer outcome).14”
“Trowell et al (2007) K-SADS MDD or dysthymia Psychodynamic therapy (24•7 sessions); family therapy (11 sessions) 35/37 36 (36)”
Outpatient-only trial percentage is incorrect
MinorThe stated 41 outpatient-only studies represent 57.7% of 71 studies, not 55.7%.
Reported 55.7 · recomputed 57.746479
“Only outpatients were recruited in 41 (55•7%) of 71 studies.”
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Time for united action on depression: a Lancet–World Psychiatric Association Commission
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- Authors
- Zhou, X., Teng, T., Zhang, Y., Del Giovane, C., Furukawa, T. A., Weisz, J. R., Li, X., Cuijpers, P., Coghill, D., Xiang, Y., Hetrick, S. E., Leucht, S., Qin, M., Barth, J., Ravindran, A. V., Yang, L., Curry, J., Fan, L., Silva, S. G., Cipriani, A., & Xie, P.
- Affiliations
- The Affiliated Yongchuan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University (CN)
- Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University (CN)
- Kyoto University (JP)
- Harvard University (US)
- Amsterdam Public Health (NL)
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- University of Auckland (NZ)
- Technical University of Munich (DE)
- University of Zurich (CH)
- Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CA)
- Duke University (US)
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Xie, Peng
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Lancet Psychiatry
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-07
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 581-601
- ISSN
- 2215-0366 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7303954
- OpenAlex
- W2959400609
- Cited by
- 367
- References
- 49
- Citations by year
- 2026: 62 · 2025: 66 · 2024: 60 · 2023: 65 · 2022: 61 · 2021: 43 · 2020: 9
- FWCI
- 5.86
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Discovery Research Portal (University of Dundee) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Bern Open Repository and Information System (University of Bern) (submittedVersion)
- IRIS UNIMORE (University of Modena and Reggio Emilia) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- mediaTUM (Technical University of Munich) (submittedVersion)
- ResearchSpace (University of Auckland) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Funders
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20005)
- NIHR Clinical Research Network Thames Valley and South Midlands
- College of Agricultural and Life Sciences
- Janssen Canada
- Royal Society
- Angelini Pharma
- Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland
- Fondazione Cariplo
- National Institute for Health Research (RP-2017-08-ST2-006)
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (81701342, 81873800)
- National Basic Research Program of China (2017YFA0505700)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Treatment of Major Depression
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychotherapy Techniques and Applications
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Mental Health Treatment and Access
- Keywords
- antidepressants, psychotherapy, childhood depression, adolescent depression, depressive disorders, fluoxetine, cognitive behavioral therapy, psychodynamic psychotherapy, combination therapy, antidepressant efficacy, treatment acceptability, treatment discontinuation, placebo response, comparative treatment effectiveness, network meta-analysis ranking, treatment-resistant depression, bipolar disorder, psychotic depression, children and adolescents
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Antidepressive Agents, Child, Depressive Disorder, Humans, Psychotherapy, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Evidence-Based Medicine
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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