The DOI matches its Crossref record; 13 of the 13 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Authoritarian Reversals and Democratic Consolidation
Open accessAbstract
I present a new empirical approach to the study of democratic consolidation. This approach leads to new insights into the determinants of democratic consolidation that cannot be obtained with existing techniques. I distinguish between democracies that survive because they are consolidated and those democracies that are not consolidated but survive because of some favorable circumstances. As a result, I can identify the determinants of two related yet distinct processes: the likelihood that a democracy consolidates, and the timing of authoritarian reversals in democracies that are not consolidated. I find that the level of economic development, type of democratic executive, and type of authoritarian past determine whether a democracy consolidates, but have no effect on the timing of reversals in democracies that are not consolidated. That risk is only associated with economic recessions. I also find that existing studies greatly underestimate the risk of early reversals while simultaneously overestimating the risk of late reversals, and that a large number of existing democracies are in fact consolidated.
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Cited by
The Politics of Authoritarian Rule
Svolik, M. W. (2012) · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139176040 · Cited by 2,611
Self-citationBacksliding: Democratic Regress in the Contemporary World
Haggard, S., & Kaufman, R. (2021) · doi:10.1017/9781108957809 · Cited by 464
The Justice Balance: When Transitional Justice Improves Human Rights and Democracy
Olsen, T. D., Payne, L. A., & Reiter, A. G. (2010) · Human Rights Quarterly · doi:10.1353/hrq.2010.0021 · Cited by 278
Which Democracies Will Last? Coups, Incumbent Takeovers, and the Dynamic of Democratic Consolidation
Svolik, M. W. (2015) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123413000550 · Cited by 265
Self-citationPolitical Parties and Uncertainty in Developing Democracies
Lupu, N., & Riedl, R. B. (2013) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414012453445 · Cited by 178
Metadata
- Authors
- SVOLIK, M.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2008-05
- Volume
- 102
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 153-168
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W3124322728
- Cited by
- 361
- References
- 13
- FWCI
- 46.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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