The Politics of Authoritarian Rule
Abstract
What drives politics in dictatorships? Milan W. Svolik argues authoritarian regimes must resolve two fundamental conflicts. Dictators face threats from the masses over which they rule - the problem of authoritarian control. Secondly from the elites with whom dictators rule - the problem of authoritarian power-sharing. Using the tools of game theory, Svolik explains why some dictators establish personal autocracy and stay in power for decades; why elsewhere leadership changes are regular and institutionalized, as in contemporary China; why some dictatorships are ruled by soldiers, as Uganda was under Idi Amin; why many authoritarian regimes, such as PRI-era Mexico, maintain regime-sanctioned political parties; and why a country's authoritarian past casts a long shadow over its prospects for democracy, as the unfolding events of the Arab Spring reveal. Svolik complements these and other historical case studies with the statistical analysis on institutions, leaders and ruling coalitions across dictatorships from 1946 to 2008.
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A rapid turnover of the incumbent elite on coming to power is rarely feasible, and any large-scale coordinated attack on the elite would likely provoke immediate resistance.
“While it might be theoretically desirable to impose a rapid turnover of the incumbent elite on coming to power, this strategy is rarely feasible. Any large-scale coordinated attack on the elite would likely provoke immediate resistance”
From Post-Populism: Transitions from Populist to Personalist Authoritarian Rule (2023) · cites this paper as Svolik, 2012
A large literature on authoritarian politics shows the centrality of information control and propaganda for authoritarian rule.
“Although not considered by Earl’s typology (19), a large literature on authoritarian politics shows the centrality of information control and propaganda for authoritarian rule (106–111).”
From Physical and virtual repertoires of contention (2022) · cites this paper as [108]
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- Authors
- Svolik, M. W.
- Affiliations
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
- Corresponding author
- Svolik, Milan W.
- ORCID
- Svolik, Milan W.
- Venue
- Cambridge University Press eBooks
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press
- Published
- 2012-09-17
- OpenAlex
- W296931085
- Cited by
- 2,611
- References
- 308
- Citations by year
- 2026: 184 · 2025: 266 · 2024: 195 · 2023: 233 · 2022: 264 · 2021: 184 · 2020: 324 · 2019: 259 · 2018: 226 · 2017: 140 · 2016: 123 · 2015: 99 · 2014: 68 · 2013: 31 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 71.77
- Type
- book
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Cambridge University Press eBooks (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › International Relations and Foreign Policy
- Keywords
- authoritarian regimes, dictatorship, authoritarian control, regime change, military dictatorship, democratic transition, Arab Spring, ruling coalition, political institutions, elite politics
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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