Democracy and Redistribution
Abstract
When do countries democratize? What facilitates the survival of authoritarian regimes? What determines the occurrence of revolutions, often leading to left-wing dictatorships, such as the Soviet regime? Although a large literature has developed since Aristotle through contemporary political science to answer these questions, we still lack a convincing understanding of the process of political development. Employing analytical tools borrowed from game theory, Carles Boix offers a complete theory of political transitions, in which political regimes ultimately hinge on the nature of economic assets, their distribution among individuals, and the balance of power among different social groups. Backed up by detailed historical work and extensive statistical analysis that goes back to the mid-nineteenth century, this 2003 book explains why democracy emerged in classical Athens. It also discusses the early triumph of democracy in both nineteenth-century agrarian Norway, Switzerland and northeastern America and the failure in countries with a powerful landowning class.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
As income inequality rises, democracy's costs for the wealthy increase, lowering the probability of democratic transitions.
“As income inequality rises, democracy's costs for the wealthy increase, lowering the probability of democratic transitions.”
From Unwelcome Change: Coming to Terms with Democratic Backsliding (2018) · cites this paper as Boix (2003)
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Transitions to Democracy: Toward a Dynamic Model
Rustow, D. A. (1970) · Comparative Politics · doi:10.2307/421307 · Cited by 1,915 · see citing works
What Have We Learned about the Resource Curse?
Ross, M. L. (2015) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-052213-040359 · Cited by 1,146 · see citing works
Credible Power-Sharing and the Longevity of Authoritarian Rule
Magaloni, B. (2008) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414007313124 · Cited by 1,125 · see citing works
A Complete Data Set of Political Regimes, 1800–2007
Boix, C., Miller, M., & Rosato, S. (2013) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414012463905 · Cited by 1,072 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Foundations of Limited Authoritarian Government: Institutions and Power-Sharing in Dictatorships
Boix, C., & Svolik, M. W. (2013) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.1017/s0022381613000029 · Cited by 482 · see citing works
Self-citationEconomic Inequality and Democratic Political Engagement
Solt, F. (2008) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00298.x · Cited by 948 · see citing works
Boix, C., & Stokes, S. C. (2003) · World Politics · doi:10.1353/wp.2003.0019 · Cited by 932 · see citing works
Self-citationChanging Mass Priorities: The Link between Modernization and Democracy
Inglehart, R., & Welzel, C. (2010) · Perspectives on Politics · doi:10.1017/s1537592710001258 · Cited by 750 · see citing works
Unwelcome Change: Coming to Terms with Democratic Backsliding
Waldner, D., & Lust, E. (2018) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-050517-114628 · Cited by 889 · see citing works
Is Democracy Good for the Poor?
Ross, M. L. (2006) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00220.x · Cited by 794 · see citing works
Gartzke, E. A. (2007) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00244.x · Cited by 778 · see citing works
Do Authoritarian Institutions Constrain? How Legislatures Affect Economic Growth and Investment
Wright, J. (2008) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2008.00315.x · Cited by 708 · see citing works
Political Order and One-Party Rule
Magaloni, B., & Kricheli, R. (2010) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.031908.220529 · Cited by 636 · see citing works
Gimpelson, V. E., & Treisman, D. S. (2017) · Economics and Politics · doi:10.1111/ecpo.12103 · Cited by 635 · see citing works
Power Sharing and Leadership Dynamics in Authoritarian Regimes
Svolik, M. W. (2009) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00382.x · Cited by 635 · see citing works
The Missionary Roots of Liberal Democracy
Woodberry, R. D. (2012) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055412000093 · Cited by 603 · see citing works
Oil, Nontax Revenue, and the Redistributional Foundations of Regime Stability
Morrison, K. M. (2009) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s0020818309090043 · Cited by 594 · see citing works
Epstein, D., Bates, R. H., Goldstone, J. Α., Kristensen, I., & O’Halloran, S. (2006) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00201.x · Cited by 578 · see citing works
Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy
Spolaore, E. (2007) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0297.2007.02031_3.x · Cited by 567 · see citing works
Democracy, Development, and the International System
Boix, C. (2011) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055411000402 · Cited by 532 · see citing works
Self-citationGuriev, S., & Treisman, D. (2019) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.33.4.100 · Cited by 560 · see citing works
Palma, J. G. (2011) · Development and Change · doi:10.1111/j.1467-7660.2011.01694.x · Cited by 561 · see citing works
An Empirical Evaluation of Explanations for State Repression
HILL, D. W., & JONES, Z. M. (2014) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055414000306 · Cited by 450 · see citing works
Backsliding: Democratic Regress in the Contemporary World
Haggard, S., & Kaufman, R. (2021) · doi:10.1017/9781108957809 · Cited by 464 · see citing works
The Electoral Sweet Spot: Low‐Magnitude Proportional Electoral Systems
Carey, J. M., & Hix, S. (2011) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00495.x · Cited by 447 · see citing works
More Oil, Less Democracy: Evidence from Worldwide Crude Oil Discoveries
Tsui, K. K. (2010) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02327.x · Cited by 439 · see citing works
Gehlbach, S. G., & Keefer, P. E. (2011) · Journal of Comparative Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jce.2011.04.002 · Cited by 433 · see citing works
Time Will Tell? Temporality and the Analysis of Causal Mechanisms and Processes
Grzymała-Busse, A. M. (2010) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414010390653 · Cited by 431 · see citing works
The Effects of U.S. Foreign Assistance on Democracy Building, 1990–2003
Finkel, S. E., Pérez‐Liñán, A., & Seligson, M. A. (2007) · World Politics · doi:10.1017/s0043887100020876 · Cited by 386 · see citing works
Portents of Pluralism: How Hybrid Regimes Affect Democratic Transitions
Brownlee, J. M. (2009) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00384.x · Cited by 367 · see citing works
Authoritarian Reversals and Democratic Consolidation
Svolik, M. W. (2008) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055408080143 · Cited by 361 · see citing works
The effect of government expenditure on the environment:An empirical investigation
Halkos, G., & Paizanos, E. A. (2013) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.04.002 · Cited by 349 · see citing works
Svolik, M. W. (2018) · Quarterly Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1561/100.00018132 · Cited by 343 · see citing works
Oil and Autocratic Regime Survival
Wright, J. G., Frantz, E., & Geddes, B. (2015) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123413000252 · Cited by 190 · see citing works
Consultative Authoritarianism and Its Limits
Truex, R. (2017) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414014534196 · Cited by 247 · see citing works
The Control of Politicians in Divided Societies: The Politics of Fear
Miquel, G. P. I. (2007) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-937x.2007.00455.x · Cited by 300 · see citing works
Inequality and Regime Change: Democratic Transitions and the Stability of Democratic Rule
HAGGARD, S., & KAUFMAN, R. R. (2012) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055412000287 · Cited by 300 · see citing works
EU Democracy Promotion in the European Neighbourhood
Schimmelfennig, F., & Scholtz, H. (2008) · European Union Politics · doi:10.1177/1465116508089085 · Cited by 293 · see citing works
The Sensitive Left and the Impervious Right
Anderson, C. J., & Singer, M. (2008) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414007313113 · Cited by 311 · see citing works
Measuring High Level Democratic Principles Using the V-Dem Data
Coppedge, M., Lindberg, S. I., Skaaning, S., & Teorell, J. (2015) · International Political Science Review · doi:10.1177/0192512115622046 · Cited by 286 · see citing works
Denny, E. K., & Walter, B. F. (2014) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343313512853 · Cited by 281 · see citing works
Democratic Authoritarianism: Origins and Effects
Brancati, D. (2013) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-052013-115248 · Cited by 279 · see citing works
The Conscription of Wealth: Mass Warfare and the Demand for Progressive Taxation
Scheve, K. F., & Stasavage, D. (2010) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s0020818310000226 · Cited by 278 · see citing works
Democracy, War, and Wealth: Lessons from Two Centuries of Inheritance Taxation
Scheve, K. F., & Stasavage, D. (2012) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055411000517 · Cited by 265 · see citing works
Which Democracies Will Last? Coups, Incumbent Takeovers, and the Dynamic of Democratic Consolidation
Svolik, M. W. (2015) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123413000550 · Cited by 265 · see citing works
Inequality and Democratization: A Contractarian Approach
Ansell, B. W., & Samuels, D. (2010) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414010376915 · Cited by 257 · see citing works
Hegre, H. (2014) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343313512852 · Cited by 256 · see citing works
ZIBLATT, D. (2009) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055409090042 · Cited by 255 · see citing works
Diversity, Disparity, and Civil Conflict in Federal States
Bakke, K. M., & Wibbels, E. M. (2006) · World Politics · doi:10.1353/wp.2007.0013 · Cited by 251 · see citing works
Mining and Local Corruption in Africa
Knutsen, C. H., Kotsadam, A., Hammersmark, E. M., & Wig, T. (2016) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/ajps.12268 · Cited by 251 · see citing works
Authoritarian Institutions and Regime Survival: Transitions to Democracy and Subsequent Autocracy
Wright, J., & Escribà‐Folch, A. (2011) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123411000317 · Cited by 249 · see citing works
Transparency, Protest, and Autocratic Instability
Hollyer, J., Rosendorff, B., & Vreeland, J. (2015) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055415000428 · Cited by 168 · see citing works
Gaming Democracy: Elite Dominance during Transition and the Prospects for Redistribution
Albertus, M., & Menaldo, V. (2014) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123413000124 · Cited by 242 · see citing works
Electoral Competition, Participation, and Government Responsiveness in Mexico
CLEARY, M. R. (2007) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00251.x · Cited by 239 · see citing works
Justesen, M. K. (2008) · European Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2008.06.003 · Cited by 238 · see citing works
Paler, L. (2013) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055413000415 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
The Diffusion of Revolution: ‘1848’ in Europe and Latin America
Weyland, K. G. (2009) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s0020818309090146 · Cited by 234 · see citing works
THE LOGIC OF AUTHORITARIAN BARGAINS
Desai, R. M., Olofsgård, A., & Yousef, T. M. (2008) · Economics and Politics · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0343.2008.00337.x · Cited by 233 · see citing works
Smith, A. M. (2008) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.1017/s0022381608080754 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND DEMOCRACY
Robinson, J. A. (2006) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.9.092704.171256 · Cited by 230 · see citing works
Foreign Aid and Regime Change: A Role for Donor Intent
Bermeo, S. B. (2011) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.07.019 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
Formal Models of Nondemocratic Politics
Gehlbach, S. G., Сонин, К. И., & Svolik, M. W. (2016) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-042114-014927 · Cited by 217 · see citing works
Democratization and Economic Globalization
Milner, H. V., & Mukherjee, B. (2009) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.12.110507.114722 · Cited by 231 · see citing works
Aid Is Not Oil: Donor Utility, Heterogeneous Aid, and the Aid-Democratization Relationship
Bermeo, S. B. (2015) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s0020818315000296 · Cited by 222 · see citing works
Varieties of Democracy:Measuring Two Centuries of Political Change
Coppedge, M., Gerring, J., Knutsen, C. H., Lindberg, S. I., & Tzelgov, E. (2020) · UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) · doi:10.1017/9781108347860 · Cited by 224 · see citing works
Democratic Capital: The Nexus of Political and Economic ChangePreprint
Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (2006) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.894211 · Cited by 218 · see citing works
The taxman tools up: An event history study of the introduction of the personal income tax
Aidt, T. S., & Jensen, P. S. (2008) · Journal of Public Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2008.07.006 · Cited by 214 · see citing works
Aidt, T. S., & Dallal, B. (2007) · Public Choice · doi:10.1007/s11127-007-9234-1 · Cited by 212 · see citing works
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa
Fjelde, H., & Höglund, K. (2016) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123414000179 · Cited by 167 · see citing works
A theory of informational autocracy
Guriev, S., & Treisman, D. (2020) · Journal of Public Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104158 · Cited by 205 · see citing works
Revisiting the Resource Curse: Natural Disasters, the Price of Oil, and Democracy
Ramsay, K. W. (2011) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s002081831100018x · Cited by 196 · see citing works
EU democracy promotion in the neighbourhood: from leverage to governance?
Lavenex, S., & Schimmelfennig, F. (2011) · Democratization · doi:10.1080/13510347.2011.584730 · Cited by 202 · see citing works
Svolik, M. W. (2012) · Journal of Conflict Resolution · doi:10.1177/0022002712449327 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
Social Policy and Regime Legitimacy: The Effects of Education Reform in China
Lü, X. (2014) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055414000124 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
The relationship between affective polarization and democratic backsliding: comparative evidence
Orhan, Y. E. (2022) · Democratization · doi:10.1080/13510347.2021.2008912 · Cited by 198 · see citing works
Gassebner, M., Lamla, M. J., & Vreeland, J. R. (2013) · Journal of Conflict Resolution · doi:10.1177/0022002712446132 · Cited by 190 · see citing works
Collective Action with Uncertain Payoffs: Coordination, Public Signals and Punishment Dilemmas
Shadmehr, M., & Bernhardt, D. (2010) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055411000359 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Do Democracies Have Different Public Policies than Nondemocracies?
Mulligan, C. B., Sala-i-Martín, X., & Gil, R. (2003) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w10040 · Cited by 194 · see citing works
Aidt, T. S., & Jensen, P. S. (2008) · International Tax and Public Finance · doi:10.1007/s10797-008-9069-9 · Cited by 193 · see citing works
The Non-Democratic Roots of Mass Education: Evidence from 200 Years
PAGLAYAN, A. S. (2020) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055420000647 · Cited by 192 · see citing works
Toward a New Theory of Institutional Change
Weyland, K. G. (2008) · World Politics · doi:10.1353/wp.0.0013 · Cited by 191 · see citing works
Workers of the world, unite! Franchise extensions and the threat of revolution in Europe, 1820–1938
Aidt, T. S., & Jensen, P. S. (2014) · European Economic Review · doi:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.08.001 · Cited by 191 · see citing works
Ziblatt, D. (2008) · World Politics · doi:10.1353/wp.0.0021 · Cited by 187 · see citing works
Ethnic Mobilization and Ethnic Violence
Fearon, J. D. (2009) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199548477.003.0047 · Cited by 182 · see citing works
Bordering on Peace: Democracy, Territorial Issues, and Conflict
Gibler, D. M. (2007) · International Studies Quarterly · doi:10.1111/j.1468-2478.2007.00462.x · Cited by 177 · see citing works
The Human Rights Effects of World Bank Structural Adjustment, 1981-2000
Abouharb, M. R., & Cingranelli, D. L. (2006) · International Studies Quarterly · doi:10.1111/j.1468-2478.2006.00401.x · Cited by 177 · see citing works
Learning to Love Democracy: Electoral Accountability and the Success of Democracy
Svolik, M. W. (2013) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/ajps.12005 · Cited by 177 · see citing works
Abstain or Rebel: Corruption Perceptions and Voting in East European Elections
Kostadinova, T. (2009) · Politics & Policy · doi:10.1111/j.1747-1346.2009.00194.x · Cited by 177 · see citing works
The Economic Origins of Democracy Reconsidered
Freeman, J. R., & Quinn, D. P. (2012) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055411000505 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Regime Threats and State Solutions
Hassan, M. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108858960 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Goldberg, E., Wibbels, E. M., & Mvukiyehe, E. N. (2008) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414007313123 · Cited by 169 · see citing works
What halts democratic erosion? The changing role of accountability
Laebens, M. G., & Lührmann, A. (2021) · Democratization · doi:10.1080/13510347.2021.1897109 · Cited by 146 · see citing works
Does migration promote democratization? Evidence from the Mexican transition
Pfütze, T. (2012) · Journal of Comparative Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jce.2012.01.004 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Testing the Effects of Independent Judiciaries on the Likelihood of Democratic Backsliding
Gibler, D. M., & Randazzo, K. A. (2011) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00504.x · Cited by 168 · see citing works
Contain the Wealthy and Patrol the Magistrates: Restoring Elite Accountability to Popular Government
McCORMICK, J. P. (2006) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055406062071 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
When Do the Rich Vote Less Than the Poor and Why? Explaining Turnout Inequality across the World
Kasara, K., & Suryanarayan, P. (2013) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/ajps.12134 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
The Economic Origins of the Territorial State
Abramson, S. F. (2016) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s0020818316000308 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
Welzel, C. (2007) · International Political Science Review · doi:10.1177/0192512107079640 · Cited by 162 · see citing works
JHA, S., & WILKINSON, S. (2012) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s000305541200041x · Cited by 162 · see citing works
Does Religion Distract the Poor?
O, A. L. D. L., & Rodden, J. (2008) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414007313114 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
- Authors
- Boix, C.
- Affiliations
- University of Chicago (US)
- Corresponding author
- Boix, Carles
- ORCID
- Boix, Carles
- Venue
- Cambridge University Press eBooks
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press
- Published
- 2003-07-21
- OpenAlex
- W4298377943
- Cited by
- 2,211
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 72 · 2025: 161 · 2024: 65 · 2023: 142 · 2022: 171 · 2021: 104 · 2020: 278 · 2019: 265 · 2018: 148 · 2017: 102 · 2016: 90 · 2015: 86 · 2014: 82 · 2013: 71 · 2012: 84
- FWCI
- 13.78
- Type
- book
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Cambridge University Press eBooks (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Keywords
- democratization, political transition, authoritarian regime survival, revolution, redistribution, economic assets, balance of power, social groups, classical Athens, political development, game theory
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review