Designing in the Face of Uncertainty: Exploiting Electronic Structure and Machine Learning Models for Discovery in Inorganic Chemistry
Open accessAbstract
Recent transformative advances in computing power and algorithms have made computational chemistry central to the discovery and design of new molecules and materials. First-principles simulations are increasingly accurate and applicable to large systems with the speed needed for high-throughput computational screening. Despite these strides, the combinatorial challenges associated with the vastness of chemical space mean that more than just fast and accurate computational tools are needed for accelerated chemical discovery. In transition-metal chemistry and catalysis, unique challenges arise. The variable spin, oxidation state, and coordination environments favored by elements with well-localized d or f electrons provide great opportunity for tailoring properties in catalytic or functional (e.g., magnetic) materials but also add layers of uncertainty to any design strategy. We outline five key mandates for realizing computationally driven accelerated discovery in inorganic chemistry: (i) fully automated simulation of new compounds, (ii) knowledge of prediction sensitivity or accuracy, (iii) faster-than-fast property prediction methods, (iv) maps for rapid chemical space traversal, and (v) a means to reveal design rules on the kilocompound scale. Through case studies in open-shell transition-metal chemistry, we describe how advances in methodology and software in each of these areas bring about new chemical insights. We conclude with our outlook on the next steps in this process toward realizing fully autonomous discovery in inorganic chemistry using computational chemistry.
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Identifying key descriptors or features in a structure-property relationship mapping has been demonstrated as an approach to revealing design principles and enabling iterative design.
“Identifying key descriptors or features in a structure-property relationship mapping has been demonstrated as an approach to revealing design principles (18,22,32,52) and enabling iterative design (70).”
From Machine Learning for the Discovery, Design, and Engineering of Materials. (2022) · cites this paper as [52]
Section 3e (Results and Discussion; page unavailable) reports that selecting important structural features reveals design rules, and gives examples of using those rules to tune properties of transition-metal complexes. It proposes that these principles could guide ligand and metal substitutions, but does not demonstrate an iterative design cycle, which is the part of the citing sentence attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredAn ANN trained on topological descriptors to predict DFT metal-ligand bond lengths was used to classify experimental spin states and even to correct DFT-based energetic predictions of spin states.
“An ANN trained on topological descriptors to predict DFT metal-ligand bond lengths (52) was used to classify experimental spin states (85) and even to correct DFT-based energetic predictions of spin states.”
From Machine Learning for the Discovery, Design, and Engineering of Materials. (2022) · cites this paper as [52]
The Results and Discussion section describes an ANN using connectivity and topology-related descriptors to predict DFT metal–ligand bond lengths and high- versus low-spin splitting. It reports 97% agreement on qualitative ground-state spin against DFT results, but explicitly says the model learns DFT answers, not experimental observations. The passages do not show the ANN correcting DFT-based spin-state energetics. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredML models, analysis of their key features, and dimensionality reduction represent important tools for building structure-property relationships and mapping chemical space.
“ML models, analysis of their key features (32,52), and dimensionality reduction (i.e., unsupervised learning) (53-56) represent important tools for building structure-property relationships and mapping chemical space (57).”
From Machine Learning for the Discovery, Design, and Engineering of Materials. (2022) · cites this paper as [52]
Beyond trial-and-error or ad hoc selection of descriptors, rigorous feature selection with ML models has emerged as a powerful tool for inferring design principles.
“Beyond trial-and-error or ad hoc selection of descriptors, rigorous feature selection with ML models has emerged as a powerful tool for inferring design principles (22,32,43,52,72,90,91).”
From Machine Learning for the Discovery, Design, and Engineering of Materials. (2022) · cites this paper as [52]
Conversely, other properties, such as the frontier orbital energies, band gap, or ionization/redox potential, depend much more on the global structure of the molecule.
“Conversely, other properties, such as the frontier orbital energies (22), band gap (44, 105), or ionization/redox potential (32,52), depend much more on the global structure of the molecule (Figure 5).”
From Machine Learning for the Discovery, Design, and Engineering of Materials. (2022) · cites this paper as [52]
Such significant differences suggest opportunities for orthogonal design of the two properties.
“Such significant differences suggest opportunities for orthogonal design of the two properties (52).”
From Machine Learning for the Discovery, Design, and Engineering of Materials. (2022) · cites this paper as [52]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Janet, J. P., Liu, F., Nandy, A., Duan, C., Yang, T., Lin, S., & Kulik, H. J.
- Affiliations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kulik, Heather J.
- Venue
- Inorganic Chemistry
- Publisher
- American Chemical Society (ACS)
- Published
- 2019-03-05
- Volume
- 58
- Issue
- 16
- Pages
- 10592-10606
- ISSN
- 0020-1669 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-510X
- OpenAlex
- W2920327541
- Cited by
- 114
- References
- 163
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 22 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 6.60
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Inorganic Chemistry (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Office of Naval Research (N00014-17-1-2956, N00014-18-1-2434)
- Division of Chemical, Bioengineering, Environmental, and Transport Systems (CBET-1704266)
- Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (D18AP00039)
- Burroughs Wellcome Fund (NA)
- Basic Energy Sciences (DE-SC0018096)
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology (NA)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Materials Science › Materials Chemistry › Machine Learning in Materials Science
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Atomic and Molecular Physics, and Optics › Advanced Chemical Physics Studies
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computational Theory and Mathematics › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
- Keywords
- transition metal chemistry, open-shell systems, electronic structure, machine learning property prediction, chemical space mapping, design rules, high-throughput computational screening, catalysis, magnetic materials, forecast uncertainty
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