Long‐term and seasonal trends in stratification in the California Current, 1950–1993
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State‐space model decomposition of subsurface temperatures from the World Ocean Database is used to detect and characterize changes in thermal stratification in the upper 200 m of the California Current System (CCS) over the period 1950–1993. Model results are analyzed at eight locations representing the meridional and offshore extent of the CCS between 31°N and 40°N. Thermocline strength, depth, and temperature are derived from the mean‐level trend term and the seasonal component of the state‐space models. Over the 44 years, the mean level of the coastal thermocline strengthened and deepened, while it weakened and shoaled offshore. These tendencies are likely the result of geostrophic adjustment to changes in basin‐scale circulation, as well as to a long‐term increase in upper ocean heat content of 2–9% throughout the study area. Reduction in nutrient inputs to the surface layer resulting from these climate signals are a likely explanation for the pronounced decline in biological production in CCS ecosystems observed over the same period. Substantial decadal variability superimposed on these linear tendencies may play a role in determining the response of the upper ocean to interannual events such as El Niño. The seasonal component of thermocline depth and strength exhibited a high degree of nonstationarity, with alternating periods of weakened and enhanced annual cycles lasting 3–5 years, along with changes in the phase. This changing seasonality may have implications for marine species whose life cycles are closely tuned to the seasonal cycle.
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Upper ocean warming could increase water column stratification, potentially counteracting the effects of intensifying upwelling-favorable winds by reducing the efficacy of coastal upwelling to deliver nutrients to the euphotic zone.
“Upper ocean warming could increase water column stratification [37][38][39], potentially counteracting the effects of intensifying upwelling-favorable winds by reducing the efficacy of coastal upwelling to deliver nutrients to the euphotic zone.”
From Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems (2015) · cites this paper as [39]
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Osgood, K. E. (2008) · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Diel vertical migration in marine dinoflagellates
Jephson, T. (2012) · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Long-term variability of the sharp thermocline in the Yellow and East China Seas
Hao, J., Chen, Y., & Wang, F. (2012) · Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology · doi:10.1007/s00343-012-1251-3 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Elliott, M. L., Schmidt, A. E., Acosta, S., Bradley, R. W., Warzybok, P., Sakuma, K. M., Field, J. C., & Jahncke, J. (2016) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/fog.12169 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Dissolved organic matter (DOM) is independently stratified in thermally stratified water bodies
Wei, M., Huang, S., & Akram, W. (2024) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120582 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Climate Change Impacts on Fisheries and Aquaculture of the United States
Introduction, Peterson, J. O., Griffis, R. B., Alaska, G. O., Zador, S. G., Sigler, M. F., Joyce, J. E., Current, C., Hunsicker, M. E., Bograd, S. J., et al. (2017) · doi:10.1002/9781119154051.ch8 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Self-citationMacro-Scale Patterns in Upwelling/Downwelling Activity at North American West Coast
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The first isolation of a cyanophage-Synechococcus system from the East China Sea
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Effects of protection and temperature variation on temporal stability in a marine reserve network
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Fisheries Stock Assessment, Environmental Variability, and CalCOFI
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Scales of Variability Relevant to Fisheries in the Southern California Current System
McClatchie, S. (2013) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-7223-6_4 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Insights for Fisheries from Experimental and Predation Studies
McClatchie, S. (2013) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-7223-6_5 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
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Climate-Driven Physical and Chemical Changes in Marine Ecosystems
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Introduction to the Fisheries and the Surveys
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Random error analysis of marine xCO2 measurements in a coastal upwelling region
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Scales of Variability Relevant to Fisheries in the Southern California Current System
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- Authors
- Palacios, D. M., Bograd, S. J., Mendelssohn, R., & Schwing, F. B.
- Affiliations
- NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2004-10
- Volume
- 109
- Issue
- C10
- ISSN
- 0148-0227 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1993530104
- Cited by
- 99
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 18 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 2.83
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Keywords
- thermocline depth, California Current System, long-term trends, seasonal variation, subsurface temperature, upper ocean heat content, geostrophic adjustment, nutrient inputs, decadal variability, El Niño, non-stationarity
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