The DOI matches its Crossref record; 22 of the 22 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015
Open accessAbstract
Since the year 2000, a concerted campaign against malaria has led to unprecedented levels of intervention coverage across sub-Saharan Africa. Understanding the effect of this control effort is vital to inform future control planning. However, the effect of malaria interventions across the varied epidemiological settings of Africa remains poorly understood owing to the absence of reliable surveillance data and the simplistic approaches underlying current disease estimates. Here we link a large database of malaria field surveys with detailed reconstructions of changing intervention coverage to directly evaluate trends from 2000 to 2015, and quantify the attributable effect of malaria disease control efforts. We found that Plasmodium falciparum infection prevalence in endemic Africa halved and the incidence of clinical disease fell by 40% between 2000 and 2015. We estimate that interventions have averted 663 (542–753 credible interval) million clinical cases since 2000. Insecticide-treated nets, the most widespread intervention, were by far the largest contributor (68% of cases averted). Although still below target levels, current malaria interventions have substantially reduced malaria disease incidence across the continent. Increasing access to these interventions, and maintaining their effectiveness in the face of insecticide and drug resistance, should form a cornerstone of post-2015 control strategies. In this study, the authors present an analysis of the malaria burden in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, and quantify the effects of the interventions that have been implemented to combat the disease; they find that the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum infection has been reduced by 50% since 2000 and the incidence of clinical disease by 40%, and that interventions have averted approximately 663 million clinical cases since 2000, with insecticide-treated bed nets being the largest contributor. In one of the largest public health campaigns in history, a concerted malaria control campaign has been under way in sub-Saharan Africa for the past 15 years. Billions of dollars have been invested to provide interventions such as bed nets and antimalarial drugs but the overall effect on malaria burden remains unclear. This study uses field data from 30,000 population clusters in a sophisticated space–time modelling framework to quantify the changing Plasmodium falciparum risk (a 40% decline in case incidence since 2000) and the role of malaria interventions (around 700 million cases averted). Although below target levels, the current campaign has substantially reduced the incidence of malaria across the continent. Continued success will depend upon increasing access to these interventions, and maintaining their effectiveness in the face of insecticide and drug resistance.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“LLINs and IRS are effective strategies controlling malaria but unfortunately they can only operate indoors [41, 42].”
From Entomological indicators of malaria transmission prior to a cluster-randomized controlled trial of a 'lethal house lure' intervention in central Côte d'Ivoire (2022) · cites this paper as [42]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“The combination of LLINs and IRS has proven effective in different parts of Africa, and IRS provides more flexibility in the choice of insecticides against insecticide-resistant mosquitoes than LLINs [6, 7].”
From Characterization and abundance of malaria vectors in Sakassou, Central Côte d'Ivoire (2025) · cites this paper as [6]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“The degree of mortality concentration estimated by this study for enteric and lower respiratory infections, malaria, HIV/AIDS, neonatal disorders, and tuberculosis reflects substantial global progress in reducing mortality from these causes over the study period, underscoring the success of several public health campaigns, global commitments, and improvements in communicable-disease programmes.28,”
From Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (2024) · cites this paper as [30]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“Over the last two decades, vector control tools like long-lasting insecticide treated nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS) have played a key role in the reduction of malaria transmission in SSA [4, 5].”
From Spatial temporal distribution of Anopheles mosquitoes in different ecological zones of Ghana (2026) · cites this paper as [4]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn the citing paper
“Widescale implementation of core vector control—specifically long-lasting insecticidal nets and indoor residual spraying—has contributed to substantial reductions in the burden of malaria.1, 2”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Liu, L., Oza, S., Hogan, D., Perin, J., Rudan, I., Lawn, J. E., Cousens, S., Mathers, C., & Black, R. E. (2015) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(14)61698-6 · Cited by 3,167
Diggle, P. J., Tawn, J. A., & Moyeed, R. A. (1998) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics) · doi:10.1111/1467-9876.00113 · Cited by 2,234
Insecticide-treated bed nets and curtains for preventing malaria
Lengeler, C. (2004) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd000363.pub2 · Cited by 1,700
A new world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2010
Gething, P. W., Patil, A. P., Smith, D. L., Guerra, C. A., Elyazar, I., Johnston, G. L., Tatem, A. J., & Hay, S. I. (2011) · Malaria Journal · doi:10.1186/1475-2875-10-378 · Cited by 1,169
Self-citationDiggle, P. J., & Ribeiro, P. J. (2007) · Springer series in statistics · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-48536-2 · Cited by 1,094
A World Malaria Map: Plasmodium falciparum Endemicity in 2007
Hay, S. I., Guerra, C. A., Gething, P. W., Patil, A. P., Tatem, A. J., Noor, A. M., Kabaria, C. W., Manh, B. H., Elyazar, I., BROOKER, S. J., et al. (2009) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000048 · Cited by 506
Self-citationEstimating the Global Clinical Burden of Plasmodium falciparum Malaria in 2007
Hay, S. I., Okiro, E. A., Gething, P. W., Patil, A. P., Tatem, A. J., Guerra, C. A., & Snow, R. W. (2010) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000290 · Cited by 374
Self-citationNoor, A. M., Kinyoki, D. K., Mundia, C. W., Kabaria, C. W., Mutua, J. W., Alegana, V. A., Fall, I. S., & Snow, R. W. (2014) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(13)62566-0 · Cited by 259
Estimates of the changing age-burden of Plasmodium falciparum malaria disease in sub-Saharan Africa
Griffin, J. T., Ferguson, N. M., & Ghani, A. C. (2014) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms4136 · Cited by 226
Self-citation
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Vos, T., Allen, C., Arora, M., Barber, R. M., Bhutta, Z. A., Brown, A., Carter, A., Casey, D. C., Charlson, F. J., Chen, A. Z., et al. (2016) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31678-6 · Cited by 7,253
Self-citationWang, H., Naghavi, M., Allen, C., Barber, R. M., Bhutta, Z. A., Carter, A., Casey, D. C., Charlson, F. J., Chen, A. Z., Coates, M. M., et al. (2016) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31012-1 · Cited by 6,596
Self-citationNaghavi, M., Abajobir, A. A., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., Abera, S. F., Aboyans, V., Adetokunboh, O., Afshin, A., Agrawal, A., et al. (2017) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(17)32152-9 · Cited by 4,821
Self-citationKyu, H. H., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., Abay, S. M., Abbafati, C., Abbasi, N., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdela, J., Abdelalim, A., et al. (2018) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32335-3 · Cited by 4,192
Liu, L., Oza, S., Hogan, D., Chu, Y., Perin, J., Zhu, J., Lawn, J. E., Cousens, S., Mathers, C., & Black, R. E. (2016) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31593-8 · Cited by 3,453
Naghavi, M., Ong, K. L., Aali, A., Ababneh, H. S., Abate, Y. H., Abbafati, C., Abbasgholizadeh, R., Abbasian, M., Abbasi-Kangevari, M., Abbastabar, H., et al. (2024) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00367-2 · Cited by 2,889
“32 At a time of growing threats to progress against malaria, including emerging parasite and vector resistance and budgetary pressures, but also amid promising new tools such as second vaccine for malaria, it is more important than ever that changing patterns of mortality are quantified and…”
BackgroundHay, S. I., Abajobir, A. A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., Abdulkader, R. S., Abdulle, A. M., Abebo, T. A., Abera, S. F., et al. (2017) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(17)32130-x · Cited by 2,083
Self-citationVersion 3 of the Global Aridity Index and Potential Evapotranspiration Database
Zomer, R. J., Xu, J., & Trabucco, A. (2022) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-022-01493-1 · Cited by 1,337
A global map of travel time to cities to assess inequalities in accessibility in 2015
Weiss, D. J., Nelson, A., Gibson, H. S., Temperley, W. H., Peedell, S., Lieber, A., Hancher, M., Poyart, E., Belchior, S., Fullman, N., et al. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature25181 · Cited by 1,238
Self-citationRanson, H., & Lissenden, N. (2016) · Trends in Parasitology · doi:10.1016/j.pt.2015.11.010 · Cited by 989
Evidence of Artemisinin-Resistant Malaria in Africa
Balikagala, B., Fukuda, N., Ikeda, M., Katuro, O. T., Tachibana, S., Yamauchi, M., Opio, W., Emoto, S., Anywar, D. A., Kimura, E., et al. (2021) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2101746 · Cited by 883
The importance of vector control for the control and elimination of vector-borne diseases
Wilson, A. L., Courtenay, O., Kelly‐Hope, L. A., Scott, T. W., Takken, W., Torr, S. J., & Lindsay, S. W. (2020) · PLoS neglected tropical diseases · doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0007831 · Cited by 936
Wang, H., Abajobir, A. A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., Abera, S. F., Abraha, H. N., Abu-Raddad, L. J., Abu-Rmeileh, N. M. E., et al. (2017) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(17)31833-0 · Cited by 801
Wang, H., Bhutta, Z. A., Coates, M. M., Coggeshall, M., Dandona, L., Diallo, K., Franca, E. B., Fraser, M., Fullman, N., Gething, P. W., et al. (2016) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31575-6 · Cited by 777
Self-citationThermal biology of mosquito‐borne disease
Mordecai, E. A., Caldwell, J. M., Grossman, M. K., Lippi, C. A., Johnson, L. R., Neira, M., Rohr, J. R., Ryan, S. J., Savage, V. M., Shocket, M. S., et al. (2019) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.13335 · Cited by 779
Bayesian Computing with INLA: A Review
Rue, H., Riebler, A., Sørbye, S. H., Illian, J. B., Simpson, D. P., & Lindgren, F. K. (2017) · Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application · doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-060116-054045 · Cited by 737
Self-citationPhillips, M. A., Burrows, J. N., Manyando, C., van Huijsduijnen, R. H., Voorhis, W. C. V., & Wells, T. N. C. (2017) · Nature Reviews Disease Primers · doi:10.1038/nrdp.2017.50 · Cited by 648
Lim, S. S., Allen, K., Bhutta, Z. A., Dandona, L., Forouzanfar, M. H., Fullman, N., Gething, P. W., Goldberg, E. M., Hay, S. I., Holmberg, M., et al. (2016) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31467-2 · Cited by 618
Self-citationWicked evolution: Can we address the sociobiological dilemma of pesticide resistance?
Gould, F., Brown, Z. S., & Kuzma, J. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aar3780 · Cited by 566
A Worldwide Map of Plasmodium falciparum K13-Propeller Polymorphisms
Ménard, D., Khim, N., Beghain, J., Adégnika, A. A., Alam, M. S., Amodu, O. K., Rahim-Awab, G., Barnadas, C., Berry, A., Boum, Y., et al. (2016) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa1513137 · Cited by 559
ICASSP 2020 - 2020 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP)
Wouters, J., Kloosterman, F., & Bertrand, A. (2020) · doi:10.1109/icassp40776.2020 · Cited by 547
Gender equality in science, medicine, and global health: where are we at and why does it matter?
Shannon, G. D., Jansen, M., Williams, K., Cáceres, C. F., Motta, A., Odhiambo, A., Eleveld, A., & Mannell, J. (2019) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(18)33135-0 · Cited by 589
Antimalarial Drug Resistance: A Threat to Malaria EliminationPreprint
Ménard, D., & Dondorp, A. M. (2017) · Cold Spring Harbor Perspectives in Medicine · doi:10.1101/cshperspect.a025619 · Cited by 520
Weiss, D. J., Lucas, T. C. D., Nguyen, M., Nandi, A. K., Bisanzio, D., Battle, K. E., Cameron, E., Twohig, K. A., Pfeffer, D. A., Rozier, J. A., et al. (2019) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(19)31097-9 · Cited by 469
Self-citationBiological Control of Mosquito Vectors: Past, Present, and Future
Benelli, G., Jeffries, C. L., & Walker, T. (2016) · Insects · doi:10.3390/insects7040052 · Cited by 461
Hogan, D. R., Stevens, G. A., Hosseinpoor, A. R., & Boerma, T. (2017) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(17)30472-2 · Cited by 460
Global Epidemiology of Plasmodium vivax
Howes, R. E., Battle, K. E., Mendis, K., Smith, D. L., Cibulskis, R. E., Baird, J. K., & Hay, S. I. (2016) · American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · doi:10.4269/ajtmh.16-0141 · Cited by 425
Self-citationSpatial modeling with R‐INLA: A review
Bakka, H. C., Rue, H., Fuglstad, G., Riebler, A., Bolin, D., Illian, J., Krainski, E. T., Simpson, D., & Lindgren, F. (2018) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Computational Statistics · doi:10.1002/wics.1443 · Cited by 449
Self-citationGenetic diversity of the African malaria vector Anopheles gambiae
Miles, A., Clarkson, C. S., Kozak, K., Pearson, R. D., Donnelly, M. J., Lawniczak, M., Kwiatkowski, D. P., Stalker, J., Drury, E., Mead, D. G., et al. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature24995 · Cited by 385
Battle, K. E., Lucas, T. C. D., Nguyen, M., Howes, R. E., Nandi, A. K., Twohig, K. A., Pfeffer, D. A., Cameron, E., Rao, P. C., Casey, D., et al. (2019) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(19)31096-7 · Cited by 409
Self-citationThe Global Expansion of Dengue: How Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes Enabled the First Pandemic Arbovirus
Brady, O. J., & Hay, S. I. (2020) · Annual Review of Entomology · doi:10.1146/annurev-ento-011019-024918 · Cited by 405
Self-citationSinka, M. E., Pironon, S., Massey, N. C., Longbottom, J., Hemingway, J., Moyes, C. L., & Willis, K. J. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2003976117 · Cited by 385
Self-citationClimate change could shift disease burden from malaria to arboviruses in Africa
Mordecai, E. A., Ryan, S. J., Caldwell, J. M., Shah, M. M., & LaBeaud, A. D. (2020) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(20)30178-9 · Cited by 387
Malaria eradication within a generation: ambitious, achievable, and necessary
Feachem, R. G., Chen, I., Akbari, O. S., Bertozzi-Villa, A., Bhatt, S., Binka, F. N., Boni, M. F., Buckee, C. O., Dieleman, J. L., Dondorp, A. M., et al. (2019) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(19)31139-0 · Cited by 372
Self-citationMalaria incidence in Myanmar 2005–2014: steady but fragile progress towards elimination
Mu, T. T., Sein, A. A., Kyi, T. T., Min, M. C., Aung, N. M., Anstey, N. M., Kyaw, M. P., Soe, C., Kyi, M. M., & Hanson, J. (2016) · Malaria Journal · doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1567-0 · Cited by 332
Vector biology meets disease control: using basic research to fight vector-borne diseases
Shaw, W. R., & Catteruccia, F. (2018) · Nature Microbiology · doi:10.1038/s41564-018-0214-7 · Cited by 338
Churcher, T. S., Lissenden, N., Griffin, J. T., Worrall, E., & Ranson, H. (2016) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.16090 · Cited by 312
Self-citationCurrent vector control challenges in the fight against malaria
Benelli, G., & Beier, J. C. (2017) · Acta Tropica · doi:10.1016/j.actatropica.2017.06.028 · Cited by 324
Hammond, A., Kyrou, K., Bruttini, M., North, A. R., Galizi, R., Karlsson, X., Kranjc, N., Carpi, F. M., D’Aurizio, R., Crisanti, A., et al. (2017) · PLoS Genetics · doi:10.1371/journal.pgen.1007039 · Cited by 300
Mosquito feeding behavior and how it influences residual malaria transmission across Africa
Sherrard-Smith, E., Skarp, J. E., Beale, A. D., Fornadel, C. M., Norris, L. C., Moore, S., Mihreteab, S., Charlwood, J. D., Bhatt, S., Winskill, P., et al. (2019) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1820646116 · Cited by 310
Self-citationLloyd, C. T., Chamberlain, H. R., Kerr, D., Yetman, G., Pistolesi, L., Stevens, F. R., Gaughan, A. E., Nieves, J. J., Hornby, G., MacManus, K., et al. (2019) · Big Earth Data · doi:10.1080/20964471.2019.1625151 · Cited by 314
Golding, N., Burstein, R., Longbottom, J., Browne, A. J., Fullman, N., Osgood-Zimmerman, A. E., Earl, L., Bhatt, S., Cameron, E., Casey, D., et al. (2017) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(17)31758-0 · Cited by 304
Self-citationTrends in snakebite deaths in India from 2000 to 2019 in a nationally representative mortality study
Suraweera, W., Warrell, D. A., Whitaker, R., Menon, G. R., Rodrigues, R., Fu, S. H., Begum, R., Sati, P., Piyasena, K., Bhatia, M., et al. (2020) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.54076 · Cited by 304
Dieleman, J. L., Campbell, M., Chapin, A., Eldrenkamp, E., Fan, V. Y., Haakenstad, A., Kates, J., Liu, Y., Matyasz, T., Micah, A. E., et al. (2017) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(17)30874-7 · Cited by 317
Self-citationKleinschmidt, I., Bradley, J., Knox, T. B., Mnzava, A. P., Kafy, H. T., Mbogo, C. M., Ismail, B. A., Bigoga, J. D., Adéchoubou, A., Raghavendra, K., et al. (2018) · The Lancet Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(18)30172-5 · Cited by 294
Hamilton, W. L., Amato, R., van der Pluijm, R. W., Jacob, C. G., Quang, H. H., Nguyen, T.-N., Hien, T. T., Hongvanthong, B., Chindavongsa, K., Mayxay, M., et al. (2019) · The Lancet Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(19)30392-5 · Cited by 290
The discovery of artemisinin and the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine
Su, X., & Miller, L. H. (2015) · Science China Life Sciences · doi:10.1007/s11427-015-4948-7 · Cited by 320
Aedes Mosquitoes and Aedes-Borne Arboviruses in Africa: Current and Future Threats
Weetman, D., Kamgang, B., Badolo, A., Moyes, C. L., Shearer, F. M., Coulibaly, M. B., Pinto, J., Lambrechts, L., & McCall, P. J. (2018) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph15020220 · Cited by 290
Self-citationChanges in Malaria Epidemiology in Africa and New Challenges for Elimination
Nkumama, I. N., O’Meara, W. P., & Osier, F. H. A. (2016) · Trends in Parasitology · doi:10.1016/j.pt.2016.11.006 · Cited by 296
Housing Improvements and Malaria Risk in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Multi-Country Analysis of Survey Data
Tusting, L. S., Bottomley, C., Gibson, H. S., Kleinschmidt, I., Tatem, A. J., Lindsay, S. W., & Gething, P. W. (2017) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002234 · Cited by 282
Self-citationMapping Plasmodium falciparum Mortality in Africa between 1990 and 2015
Gething, P. W., Casey, D. C., Weiss, D. J., Bisanzio, D., Bhatt, S., Cameron, E., Battle, K. E., Dalrymple, U., Rozier, J., Rao, P. C., et al. (2016) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa1606701 · Cited by 233
Self-citationMalaria: Global progress 2000 – 2015 and future challenges
Cibulskis, R. E., Alonso, P., Aponte, J., Aregawi, M., Barrette, A., Bergeron, L., Fergus, C. A., Knox, T., Lynch, M., Patouillard, E., et al. (2016) · Infectious Diseases of Poverty · doi:10.1186/s40249-016-0151-8 · Cited by 266
Self-citationOral, ultra–long-lasting drug delivery: Application toward malaria elimination goals
Bellinger, A. M., Jafari, M., Grant, T. M., Zhang, S., Slater, H., Wenger, E. A., Mo, S., Lee, Y. L., Mazdiyasni, H., Kogan, L., et al. (2016) · Science Translational Medicine · doi:10.1126/scitranslmed.aag2374 · Cited by 263
Self-citationmalERA: An updated research agenda for malaria elimination and eradication
Rabinovich, R. N., DRAKELEY, C. J., DJIMDÉ, A. A., Hall, B., Hay, S. I., Hemingway, J., Kaslow, D. C., Noor, A., Okumu, F. O., Steketee, R. W., et al. (2017) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002456 · Cited by 263
Self-citationŞENGÜL, M. Ş., & Canpolat, E. (2022) · Insects · doi:10.3390/insects13020162 · Cited by 289
The clinical impact of artemisinin resistance in Southeast Asia and the potential for future spread
Woodrow, C. J., & White, N. J. (2016) · FEMS Microbiology Reviews · doi:10.1093/femsre/fuw037 · Cited by 263
The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900
Snow, R. W., Sartorius, B., Kyalo, D., Maina, J., Amratia, P., Mundia, C. W., Bejon, P., & Noor, A. M. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature24059 · Cited by 219
Insecticide-treated nets for preventing malaria
Pryce, J., Richardson, M., & Lengeler, C. (2018) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd000363.pub3 · Cited by 250
Lindsay, S. W., Thomas, M. B., & Kleinschmidt, I. (2021) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(21)00216-3 · Cited by 247
Brady, O. J., Godfray, H. C. J., Tatem, A. J., Gething, P. W., Cohen, J. M., McKenzie, F. E., Perkins, T. A., Reiner, R. C., Tusting, L. S., Sinka, M. E., et al. (2016) · Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · doi:10.1093/trstmh/trv113 · Cited by 241
Self-citationMapping child growth failure in Africa between 2000 and 2015
Osgood-Zimmerman, A. E., Millear, A., Stubbs, R. W., Shields, C., Pickering, B. V., Earl, L., Graetz, N., Kinyoki, D. K., Ray, S. E., Bhatt, S., et al. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature25760 · Cited by 246
Self-citationAntonio‐Nkondjio, C., Ndo, C., Njiokou, F., Bigoga, J. D., Awono‐Ambene, P., Etang, J., Ekobo, A. S., & Wondji, C. S. (2019) · Parasites & Vectors · doi:10.1186/s13071-019-3753-8 · Cited by 236
A sensory appendage protein protects malaria vectors from pyrethroids
Ingham, V. A., Anthousi, A., Douris, V., Harding, N. J., Lycett, G. J., Morris, M., VONTAS, J. G., & Ranson, H. (2019) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1864-1 · Cited by 224
Penny, M. A., Verity, R., Bever, C. A., Sauboin, C., Galactionova, K., Flasche, S., White, M. T., Wenger, E. A., de Velde, N. V., Pemberton-Ross, P. J., et al. (2015) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(15)00725-4 · Cited by 231
Self-citationWeiss, D. J., Bertozzi-Villa, A., Rumisha, S. F., Amratia, P., Arambepola, R., Battle, K. E., Cameron, E., Chestnutt, E., Gibson, H. S., Harris, J., et al. (2021) · The Lancet Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30700-3 · Cited by 236
Self-citationLoy, D. E., Liu, W., Li, Y., Learn, G. H., Plenderleith, L. J., Sundararaman, S. A., Sharp, P. M., & Hahn, B. H. (2016) · International Journal for Parasitology · doi:10.1016/j.ijpara.2016.05.008 · Cited by 226
Tatem, A. J., Jia, P., Ordanovich, D., Falkner, M., Huang, Z., Howes, R. E., Hay, S. I., Gething, P. W., & Smith, D. L. (2016) · The Lancet Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(16)30326-7 · Cited by 234
Self-citationCleaveland, S., Sharp, J. P., Abela-Ridder, B., Allan, K. J., Buza, J., Crump, J. A., Davis, A., Vilas, V. D. R., de Glanville, W. A., Kazwala, R. R., et al. (2017) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2016.0168 · Cited by 225
Mapping changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015
Tusting, L. S., Bisanzio, D., Alabaster, G., Cameron, E., Cibulskis, R. E., Davies, M., Flaxman, S. R., Gibson, H. S., Knudsen, J., Mbogo, C. N. M., et al. (2019) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1050-5 · Cited by 224
Self-citationJames, S. L., Collins, F. H., Welkhoff, P. A., Emerson, C., Godfray, H. C. J., Gottlieb, M., Greenwood, B. M., Lindsay, S. W., Mbogo, C. M., Okumu, F. O., et al. (2018) · American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · doi:10.4269/ajtmh.18-0083 · Cited by 218
Douris, V., Steinbach, D., Panteleri, R., Livadaras, I., Pickett, J. A., Leeuwen, T. V., Nauen, R., & VONTAS, J. G. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1618258113 · Cited by 213
Mapping trends in insecticide resistance phenotypes in African malaria vectors
Hancock, P. A., Hendriks, C. J. M., Tangena, J.-A., Gibson, H., Hemingway, J., Coleman, M., Gething, P. W., Cameron, E., Bhatt, S., & Moyes, C. L. (2020) · PLOS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.3000633 · Cited by 201
Self-citationEckhoff, P. A., Wenger, E. A., Godfray, H. C. J., & Burt, A. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1611064114 · Cited by 197
Self-citationGrowing evidence of Plasmodium vivax across malaria-endemic Africa
Twohig, K. A., Pfeffer, D. A., Baird, J. K., Price, R. N., Zimmerman, P. A., Hay, S. I., Gething, P. W., Battle, K. E., & Howes, R. E. (2019) · PLoS neglected tropical diseases · doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0007140 · Cited by 194
Self-citationvan den Berg, H., Bezerra, H. S. D. S., Al-Eryani, S. M. A., Chanda, E., Nagpal, B. N., Knox, T. B., Velayudhan, R., & Yadav, R. S. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-03367-9 · Cited by 206
Prevention Efforts for Malaria
Tizifa, T. A., Kabaghe, A. N., McCann, R. S., van den Berg, H., van Vugt, M., & Phiri, K. S. (2018) · Current Tropical Medicine Reports · doi:10.1007/s40475-018-0133-y · Cited by 206
How long do rapid diagnostic tests remain positive after anti-malarial treatment?
Dalrymple, U., Arambepola, R., Gething, P. W., & Cameron, E. (2018) · Malaria Journal · doi:10.1186/s12936-018-2371-9 · Cited by 185
Self-citationThe potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa
Sherrard-Smith, E., Hogan, A. B., Hamlet, A., Watson, O. J., Whittaker, C., Winskill, P., Ali, F., Mohammad, A. B., Uhomoibhi, P., Maikore, I., et al. (2020) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y · Cited by 179
Are malaria elimination efforts on right track? An analysis of gains achieved and challenges ahead
Dhiman, S. (2019) · Infectious Diseases of Poverty · doi:10.1186/s40249-019-0524-x · Cited by 192
Malaria Genomic Epidemiology Network, Band, G., Le, S. Q., Clarke, G. M., Kivinen, K., Hubbart, C., Jeffreys, A. E., Rowlands, K., Leffler, E. M., Jallow, M., et al. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-019-13480-z · Cited by 182
Sougoufara, S., Ottih, E. C., & Tripet, F. (2020) · Parasites & Vectors · doi:10.1186/s13071-020-04170-7 · Cited by 180
Kaindoa, E. W., Matowo, N. S., Ngowo, H. S., Mkandawile, G., Mmbando, A. S., Finda, M., & Okumu, F. O. (2017) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0177807 · Cited by 176
Deshpande, A., Miller-Petrie, M. K., Lindstedt, P. A., Baumann, M. M., Johnson, K. B., Blacker, B. F., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdelalim, A., Abdollahpour, I., et al. (2020) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(20)30278-3 · Cited by 187
Oladipo, H. J., Tajudeen, Y. A., Oladunjoye, I. O., Yusuff, S. I., Yusuf, R. O., Egbewande, O. M., Muili, A. O., Adebisi, Y. A., & El‐Sherbini, M. S. (2022) · Annals of Medicine and Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.amsu.2022.104366 · Cited by 184
Challenges and opportunities in controlling mosquito-borne infections
Ferguson, N. M. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0318-5 · Cited by 188
Staedke, S. G., Gonahasa, S., Dorsey, G., Kamya, M. R., Maiteki‐Sebuguzi, C., Lynd, A., Katureebe, A., Kyohere, M., Mutungi, P., Kigozi, S. P., et al. (2020) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30214-2 · Cited by 180
WWARN Gametocyte Study Group (2016) · BMC Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12916-016-0621-7 · Cited by 173
Incidence and admission rates for severe malaria and their impact on mortality in Africa
Camponovo, F., Bever, C. A., Galactionova, K., Smith, T. A., & Penny, M. A. (2017) · Malaria Journal · doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1650-6 · Cited by 178
Self-citationWeedall, G. D., Mugenzi, L. M. J., Menze, B. D., Tchouakui, M., Ibrahim, S. S., Adjia, N. A., Irving, H., Wondji, M. J., Tchoupo, M., Djouaka, R., et al. (2019) · Science Translational Medicine · doi:10.1126/scitranslmed.aat7386 · Cited by 160
Linking human behaviours and malaria vector biting risk in south-eastern Tanzania
Finda, M. F., Moshi, I. R., Monroe, A. C., Limwagu, A. J., Nyoni, A. P., Swai, J. K., Ngowo, H. S., Minja, E. G., Toe, L. P., Kaindoa, E. W., et al. (2019) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0217414 · Cited by 179
Humidity – The overlooked variable in the thermal biology of mosquito‐borne disease
Brown, J. J., Pascual, M., Wimberly, M. C., Johnson, L. R., & Murdock, C. C. (2023) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.14228 · Cited by 192
Behavioural adaptations of mosquito vectors to insecticide control
Carrasco, D., Léfèvre, T., Moiroux, N., Pennetier, C., Chandre, F., & Cohuet, A. (2019) · Current Opinion in Insect Science · doi:10.1016/j.cois.2019.03.005 · Cited by 162
Clarkson, C. S., Miles, A., Harding, N. J., O’Reilly, A. O., Weetman, D., Kwiatkowski, D. P., & Donnelly, M. J. (2021) · Molecular Ecology · doi:10.1111/mec.15845 · Cited by 167
Four steps to precision public health
Dowell, S. F., Blazes, D., & Desmond-Hellmann, S. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/540189a · Cited by 173
Shaw, W. R., Marcenac, P., Childs, L. M., Buckee, C. O., Baldini, F., Sawadogo, S. P., Dabiré, R. K., Diabaté, A., & Catteruccia, F. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms11772 · Cited by 164
The epidemiology of febrile illness in sub-Saharan Africa: implications for diagnosis and management
Maze, M. J., Bassat, Q., Feasey, N., Mandomando, I., Musicha, P., & Crump, J. A. (2018) · Clinical Microbiology and Infection · doi:10.1016/j.cmi.2018.02.011 · Cited by 174
Bertozzi-Villa, A., Bever, C. A., Koenker, H. M., Weiss, D. J., Vargas-Ruiz, C. A., Nandi, A. K., Gibson, H. S., Harris, J., Battle, K. E., Rumisha, S. F., et al. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-23707-7 · Cited by 166
Self-citationThe role of early detection and treatment in malaria elimination
Landier, J., Parker, D. M., Thu, A. M., Carrara, V. I., Lwin, K. M., Bonnington, C. A., Pukrittayakamee, S., Delmas, G., & Nosten, F. H. (2016) · Malaria Journal · doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1399-y · Cited by 170
Chinmedomics, a new strategy for evaluating the therapeutic efficacy of herbal medicines
Han, Y., Sun, H. J., Zhang, A., Yan, G., & Wang, X. (2020) · Pharmacology & Therapeutics · doi:10.1016/j.pharmthera.2020.107680 · Cited by 168
Triple Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies for Malaria – A New Paradigm?
van der Pluijm, R. W., Amaratunga, C., Dhorda, M., & Dondorp, A. M. (2020) · Trends in Parasitology · doi:10.1016/j.pt.2020.09.011 · Cited by 187
Metadata
- Authors
- Bhatt, S., Weiss, D. J., Cameron, E., Bisanzio, D., Mappin, B., Dalrymple, U., Battle, K. E., Moyes, C. L., Henry, A., Eckhoff, P. A., Wenger, E. A., Briët, O., Penny, M. A., Smith, T. A., Bennett, A., Yukich, J., Eisele, T. P., Griffin, J. T., Fergus, C. A., Lynch, M., Lindgren, F., Cohen, J. M., Murray, C. L. J., Smith, D. L., Hay, S. I., Cibulskis, R. E., & Gething, P. W.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Intellectual Ventures (United States) (US)
- Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (CH)
- University of California, San Francisco (US)
- Tulane University (US)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- World Health Organization (CH)
- University of Bath (GB)
- Clinton Health Access Initiative (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- Corresponding author
- Gething, P. W.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2015-09-16
- Volume
- 526
- Issue
- 7572
- Pages
- 207-211
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- PMC
- PMC4820050
- OpenAlex
- W1729017034
- Cited by
- 3,225
- References
- 22
- Citations by year
- 2026: 211 · 2025: 277 · 2024: 329 · 2023: 298 · 2022: 343 · 2021: 397 · 2020: 401 · 2019: 271 · 2018: 248 · 2017: 239 · 2016: 185 · 2015: 20
- FWCI
- 247.73
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Pure (University of Bath) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- The University of Bath Online Publications Store (The University of Bath) (submittedVersion)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- World Health Organization
- Wellcome Trust (095066)
- Medical Research Council (MR/K00669X/1)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Malaria Research and Control
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Parasitology › Bird parasitology and diseases
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › History › History of Medicine and Tropical Health
- Keywords
- malaria control, Plasmodium falciparum, sub-Saharan Africa, insecticide-treated nets, clinical malaria incidence, malaria prevalence, spatio-temporal modeling, malaria burden, antimalarial drugs, insecticide resistance
- MeSH terms
- Africa, Animals, Antimalarials, Child, Child, Preschool, Drug Resistance, Humans, Insecticides, Plasmodium falciparum, Incidence, Prevalence, Databases, Factual, Malaria, Falciparum, Risk Assessment, Endemic Diseases, Insecticide-Treated Bednets
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
