Cited by 105Forest Biomass Utilization and ManagementRenewable energy and sustainable power systemsBioenergy crop production and management

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Geospatial analysis of near-term potential for carbon-negative bioenergy in the United States

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Baik, Ejeong, Sanchez, Daniel L., Turner, Peter A., Mach, Katharine J., Field, Christopher B., Benson, Sally M.·2018·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

DOI 10.1073/pnas.1720338115PMC PMC5879697

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Abstract

Significance: Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is widely utilized in ambitious climate mitigation scenarios as a negative-emissions technology. However, the future technical potential of BECCS remains uncertain. Two significant deployment barriers that have largely been overlooked by previous studies are the suitability of existing storage sites and the availability of transportation of biomass and/or CO 2 . This study assesses the near-term deployment potential of BECCS in the United States in the absence of long-distance transportation networks. Considering these constraints, 30% of the projected available 2020 biomass resources can be utilized for BECCS, yielding a negative-emissions potential of 100 Mt CO 2 ⋅y −1 . The analysis further pinpoints areas with colocated resources that could be prioritized for near-term deployment of BECCS.

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Fig. 1. Distribution of biomass production. (A) County-level biomass production density (tonnes per hectare) in 2020 for the basecase scenario in BT16, potential geologic storage sites for CO2, and currently existing pipelines for CO2. The highest producing counties are located in the midwestern Corn Belt and the Southeast United States. (B) Distribution of annual biomass production per county (megatonnes). The production of biomass is skewed heavily to low values, typically below 0.1 Mt biomass.CC BY-NC-ND · PubMed Central

Fig. 2. Site-specific achievable injection rates (megatonnes per year per well) and aggregated storage capacity by basin (gigatonnes). Injection rates are calculated using site-specific data, while the storage capacity data are provided by USGS. Both injection rates and storage capacities show a wide range of values, but areas with high injection rates tend to also have large storage capacities, such as the Gulf region, the Illinois basin, and western North Dakota.CC BY-NC-ND · PubMed Central

Fig. 3. Distribution of basin storage capacities on a logarithmic scale, and the percentage of the storage basin filled from the cumulative biomass overlaying the storage basin by the year 2100. The storage capacities span orders of magnitude, ranging from 400 Mt CO2 to more than 100 Gt CO2. Two of the basins, Black Warrior Basin and Kansas Basin, reach capacity by the end of the century.CC BY-NC-ND · PubMed Central

Fig. 4. Distribution of technical potential of BECCS. (A) Map of technical potential of CO2 that would be available from biomass in 2020, under the BT16 basecase scenario. Regions with highest CO2 potential and colocated storage sites are northern Illinois basin, the Gulf region, and western North Dakota. The CO2 potential in each county translates to a power capacity of 0.1, 12, and 29 MW for the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles, respectively. (B) Cumulative sum of the potential CO2 in counties with a suitable storage site for 2020 and 2040. The lower bound of the range indicates the base case scenario, while the higher bound indicates the 4% yield increase scenario. The range of uncertainty is much larger for 2040 than for 2020.CC BY-NC-ND · PubMed Central

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Authors: Baik, E., Sanchez, D. L., Turner, P. A., Mach, K. J., Field, C. B., & Benson, S. M.
Affiliations: Stanford University (US)
Carnegie Institution for Science (US)
Corresponding author: Baik, Ejeong
ORCID: Sanchez, Daniel L.
Turner, Peter A.
Mach, Katharine J.
Field, Christopher B.
Benson, Sally M.
Venue: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
Published: 2018-03-12
Volume: 115
Issue: 13
Pages: 3290-3295
ISSN: 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1720338115
PMC: PMC5879697
OpenAlex: W2794140740
Cited by: 105
References: 36
Citations by year: 2026: 4 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 23 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 3
FWCI: 7.86
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: hybrid
doi.org
Licence: cc-by-nc-nd
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ (vor)
Locations: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Funders: Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung (UDBGA, 10704)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Forest Biomass Utilization and Management
Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Renewable energy and sustainable power systems
Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agronomy and Crop Science › Bioenergy crop production and management
Keywords: bioenergy with carbon capture and storage, carbon dioxide removal, biomass resources, biomass transportation, CO2 transport, climate change mitigation, United States
MeSH terms: Biodegradation, Environmental, Carbon, Carbon Dioxide, Conservation of Energy Resources, Environmental Monitoring, Humans, United States, Biomass, Biofuels, Bioengineering, Climate Change, Carbon Sequestration

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Geospatial analysis of near-term potential for carbon-negative bioenergy in the United States

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