THE M31 VELOCITY VECTOR. II. RADIAL ORBIT TOWARD THE MILKY WAY AND IMPLIED LOCAL GROUP MASS
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We determine the velocity vector of M31 with respect to the Milky Way and use this to constrain the mass of the Local Group, based on Hubble Space Telescope proper-motion measurements of three fields presented in Paper I. We construct N -body models for M31 to correct the measurements for the contributions from stellar motions internal to M31. This yields an unbiased estimate for the M31 center-of-mass motion. We also estimate the center-of-mass motion independently, using the kinematics of satellite galaxies of M31 and the Local Group, following previous work but with an expanded satellite sample. All estimates are mutually consistent, and imply a weighted average M31 heliocentric transverse velocity of ( v W , v N ) = (− 125.2 ± 30.8, −73.8 ± 28.4) km s −1 . We correct for the reflex motion of the Sun using the most recent insights into the solar motion within the Milky Way, which imply a larger azimuthal velocity than previously believed. This implies a radial velocity of M31 with respect to the Milky Way of V rad, M31 = −109.3 ± 4.4 km s −1 , and a tangential velocity of V tan, M31 = 17.0 km s −1 , with a 1σ confidence region of V tan, M31 ⩽ 34.3 km s −1 . Hence, the velocity vector of M31 is statistically consistent with a radial (head-on collision) orbit toward the Milky Way. We revise prior estimates for the Local Group timing mass, including corrections for cosmic bias and scatter, and obtain M LG ≡ M MW, vir + M M31, vir = (4.93 ± 1.63) × 10 12 M ☉ . Summing known estimates for the individual masses of M31 and the Milky Way obtained from other dynamical methods yields smaller uncertainties. Bayesian combination of the different estimates demonstrates that the timing argument has too much (cosmic) scatter to help much in reducing uncertainties on the Local Group mass, but its inclusion does tend to increase other estimates by ∼10%. We derive a final estimate for the Local Group mass from literature and new considerations of M LG = (3.17 ± 0.57) × 10 12 M ☉ . The velocity and mass results at 95% confidence imply that M33 is bound to M31, consistent with expectation from observed tidal deformations.
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Such a tilt can be a result of a westward CGM wind due to the relative motion (v_cgm-wind ∼50 km/s) of the MW in the local galaxy group medium.
“Such a tilt can be a result of a westward CGM wind due to the relative motion ( v cgm -wind ∼ 50 km s -1 ) of the MW in the local galaxy group medium (van der Marel et al. 2012).”
From The Fermi/eROSITA bubbles: a look into the nuclear outflow from the Milky Way (2024) · cites this paper as van der Marel et al. 2012
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Tides, torques and the timing argument
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An updated survey of globular clusters in M31. II Newly discovered bright and remote clustersPreprint
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The Binary Galaxies NGC 147 and NGC 185
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A spectroscopic survey of EC4, an extended cluster in Andromeda's halo
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The accuracy of galaxy masses from the timing argument
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Angular momentum in the local group
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The Galaxy in Context: Structural, Kinematic, and Integrated Properties
Bland-Hawthorn, J., & Gerhard, O. (2016) · Annual Review of Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1146/annurev-astro-081915-023441 · Cited by 1,656 · see citing works
Tully, R. B., Courtois, H. M., & Sorce, J. G. (2016) · The Astronomical Journal · doi:10.3847/0004-6256/152/2/50 · Cited by 513 · see citing works
THE MILKY WAY'S CIRCULAR-VELOCITY CURVE BETWEEN 4 AND 14 kpc FROM APOGEE DATA
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ELVIS: Exploring the Local Volume in Simulations
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The RAVE survey: the Galactic escape speed and the mass of the Milky Way
Piffl, T., Scannapieco, C., Binney, J. J., Steinmetz, M., Scholz, R. ‐., Williams, M. E. K., de Jong, R. S., Kordopatis, G., Matijevič, G., Bienaymé, O., et al. (2013) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201322531 · Cited by 300 · see citing works
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Too big to fail in the Local Group
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Self-citationIs there a “too big to fail” problem in the field?
Papastergis, E., Giovanelli, R., Haynes, M. P., & Shankar, F. (2014) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201424909 · Cited by 225 · see citing works
Probing Galactic Halos with Fast Radio Bursts
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The Local Group on FIRE: dwarf galaxy populations across a suite of hydrodynamic simulations
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A timing constraint on the (total) mass of the Large Magellanic Cloud
Peñarrubia, J., Gómez, F. A., Besla, G., Erkal, D., & Ma, Y.-Z. (2015) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Letters · doi:10.1093/mnrasl/slv160 · Cited by 215 · see citing works
Self-citationThe apostle project: Local Group kinematic mass constraints and simulation candidate selection
Fattahi, A., Navarro, J. F., Sawala, T., Frenk, C. S., Oman, K. A., Crain, R. A., Furlong, M., Schaller, M., Schaye, J., Theuns, T., et al. (2016) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stv2970 · Cited by 214 · see citing works
Hunting for the Dark Matter Wake Induced by the Large Magellanic Cloud
Garavito-Camargo, N., Besla, G., Laporte, C. F. P., Johnston, K. V., Gómez, F. A., & Watkins, L. L. (2019) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab32eb · Cited by 206 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Magellanic Stream: Circumnavigating the Galaxy
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THE SPACE MOTION OF LEO I: THE MASS OF THE MILKY WAY'S DARK MATTER HALO
Boylan-Kolchin, M., Bullock, J. S., Sohn, S. T., Besla, G., & van der Marel, R. P. (2013) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.1088/0004-637x/768/2/140 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Orbital Histories of Magellanic Satellites Using Gaia DR2 Proper Motions
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Self-citationDwarf galaxy planes: the discovery of symmetric structures in the Local Group
Pawlowski, M. S., Kroupa, P., & Jerjen, H. (2013) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stt1384 · Cited by 178 · see citing works
McConnachie, A. W., Ibata, R., Martin, N. F., Ferguson, A. M. N., Collins, M., Gwyn, S., Irwin, M. J., Lewis, G. F., Mackey, D., Davidge, T. J., et al. (2018) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/aae8e7 · Cited by 177 · see citing works
Gómez, F. A., Besla, G., Carpintero, D. D., Villalobos, Á., O’Shea, B. W., & Bell, E. F. (2015) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.1088/0004-637x/802/2/128 · Cited by 177 · see citing works
Self-citationSalem, M., Besla, G., Bryan, G. L., Putman, M. E., van der Marel, R. P., & Tonnesen, S. K. (2015) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.1088/0004-637x/815/1/77 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
Self-citationEvidence for an Intermediate-mass Milky Way from<i>Gaia</i>DR2 Halo Globular Cluster Motions
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Scientific discovery with the James Webb Space Telescope
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Self-citationWetzel, A. R., Deason, A. J., & Garrison-Kimmel, S. (2015) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.1088/0004-637x/807/1/49 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
EVIDENCE FOR A MASSIVE, EXTENDED CIRCUMGALACTIC MEDIUM AROUND THE ANDROMEDA GALAXY
Lehner, N., Howk, J. C., & Wakker, B. P. (2015) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.1088/0004-637x/804/2/79 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Wang, W., Han, J., Cautun, M., Li, Z., & Ishigaki, M. N. (2020) · Science China Physics Mechanics and Astronomy · doi:10.1007/s11433-019-1541-6 · Cited by 141 · see citing works
Banik, I., & Zhao, H. (2022) · Symmetry · doi:10.3390/sym14071331 · Cited by 146 · see citing works
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Self-citationDust Growth and Evolution in Protoplanetary Disks
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DARK MATTER HALOS IN GALAXIES AND GLOBULAR CLUSTER POPULATIONS
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The Gas Content and Stripping of Local Group Dwarf Galaxies
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THE SPACE MOTION OF LEO I:HUBBLE SPACE TELESCOPEPROPER MOTION AND IMPLIED ORBIT
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Self-citationAction Dynamics of the Local Supercluster
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The Orbital Histories of Magellanic Satellites Using Gaia DR2 Proper Motions
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Self-citationThe hestia project: simulations of the Local Group
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First Gaia Dynamics of the Andromeda System: DR2 Proper Motions, Orbits, and Rotation of M31 and M33
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Self-citationTHE CATERPILLAR PROJECT: A LARGE SUITE OF MILKY WAY SIZED HALOS
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A dynamical model of the local cosmic expansion
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M31 satellite masses compared to ΛCDM subhaloes
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The outer halo globular cluster system of M31 – II. Kinematics
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Self-citationCosmicflows-3: Two Distance–Velocity Calculators
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The Caterpillar Project: a large suite of Milky Way sized halos
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Sohn, S. T., Watkins, L. L., Fardal, M. A., van der Marel, R. P., Deason, A. J., Besla, G., & Bellini, A. (2018) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/aacd0b · Cited by 92 · see citing works
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TOUCHING THE VOID: A STRIKING DROP IN STELLAR HALO DENSITY BEYOND 50 kpc
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Project AMIGA: The Circumgalactic Medium of Andromeda
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KINEMATICS OF OUTER HALO GLOBULAR CLUSTERS IN M31
Veljanoski, J., Ferguson, A. M. N., Mackey, D., Huxor, A. P., Irwin, M. J., Côté, P., Tanvir, N. R., Bernard, E. J., Chapman, S. C., Ibata, R., et al. (2013) · The Astrophysical Journal Letters · doi:10.1088/2041-8205/768/2/l33 · Cited by 79 · see citing works
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Local Group timing in Milgromian dynamics : a past Milky Way-Andromeda encounter at z>0.8Preprint
Zhao, H., Famaey, B., Lüghausen, F., & Kroupa, P. (2013) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201321879 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Predicted Extension of the Sagittarius Stream to the Milky Way Virial Radius
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MOND simulation suggests an origin for some peculiarities in the Local Group
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The need for speed: escape velocity and dynamical mass measurements of the Andromeda galaxy
Kafle, P. R., Sharma, S., Lewis, G. F., Robotham, A. S. G., & Driver, S. P. (2018) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/sty082 · Cited by 72 · see citing works
Nuza, S. E., Parisi, F., Scannapieco, C., Richter, P., Gottlöber, S., & Steinmetz, M. (2014) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stu643 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
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Balancing mass and momentum in the Local Group
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Does the dwarf galaxy system of the Milky Way originate from Andromeda?
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Constrained Local UniversE Simulations: a Local Group factory
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Reconciling mass estimates of ultradiffuse galaxies
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MOND simulation suggests an origin for some peculiarities in the Local Group
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Bailing out the Milky Way: variation in the properties of massive dwarfs among galaxy-sized systems
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ON THE MASS OF THE LOCAL GROUP
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Tracing mass and light in the Universe: where is the dark matter?
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Resonant sterile neutrino dark matter in the local and high-zUniverse
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Self-citationWHERE DO GALAXIES END?Preprint
Shull, J. M. (2016) · Cited by 60 · see citing works
On the history and future of cosmic planet formation
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THE VELOCITY ANISOTROPY OF DISTANT MILKY WAY HALO STARS FROMHUBBLE SPACE TELESCOPEPROPER MOTIONS
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Self-citationConstraining dark energy through the stability of cosmic structures
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THE STRUCTURE OF THE CIRCUMGALACTIC MEDIUM OF GALAXIES: COOL ACCRETION INFLOW AROUND NGC 1097*
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The mass of our Galaxy from satellite proper motions in the Gaia era
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DESI Observations of the Andromeda Galaxy: Revealing the Immigration History of Our Nearest Neighbor
Dey, A. T., Najita, J., Koposov, S. E., Josephy-Zack, J., Maxemin, G., Bell, E. F., Poppett, C., Patel, E., Silva, L. J. B. E., Raichoor, A., et al. (2023) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/aca5f8 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Gillet, N., Ocvirk, P., Aubert, D., Knebe, A., Libeskind, N. I., Yepes, G., Gottlöber, S., & Hoffman, Y. (2015) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.1088/0004-637x/800/1/34 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Perseus I and the NGC 3109 association in the context of the Local Group dwarf galaxy structures
Pawlowski, M. S., & McGaugh, S. (2014) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stu321 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
McCall, M. L. (2014) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stu199 · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Patel, E., Besla, G., & Mandel, K. S. (2017) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stx698 · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Self-citationEVIDENCE FOR AN INTERACTION IN THE NEAREST STARBURSTING DWARF IRREGULAR GALAXY IC 10
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The outer halo globular cluster system of M31 – III. Relationship to the stellar halo
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The JWST Resolved Stellar Populations Early Release Science Program. II. Survey Overview
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Fardal, M. A., van der Marel, R. P., Law, D. R., Sohn, S. T., Sesar, B., Hernitschek, N., & Rix, H.-W. (2019) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/sty3428 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
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Gilbert, K. M., Tollerud, E., Beaton, R. L., Guhathakurta, P., Bullock, J. S., Chiba, M., Kalirai, J. S., Kirby, E. N., Majewski, S. R., & Tanaka, M. (2018) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/aa9f26 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Self-citationThe aftermath of the Great Collision between our Galaxy and the Large Magellanic Cloud
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- Authors
- van der Marel, R. P., Fardal, M., Besla, G., Beaton, R. L., Sohn, S. T., Anderson, J., Brown, T., & Guhathakurta, P.
- Affiliations
- University of Massachusetts Amherst (US)
- Columbia University (US)
- University of Virginia (US)
- Space Telescope Science Institute (US)
- University of California, Santa Cruz (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Astrophysical Journal
- Publisher
- American Astronomical Society
- Published
- 2012-06-08
- Volume
- 753
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 8
- ISSN
- 0004-637X (ISSN-L)
- 1538-4357
- OpenAlex
- W2110691121
- Cited by
- 259
- References
- 108
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 20 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 19 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 19 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 30 · 2013: 17 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 12.61
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Astrophysical Journal (publishedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (publishedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1009652, NAS 5-26555)
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NAS 526555, 526555)
- Space Telescope Science Institute (NAS5- 26555, 5-26555, 26555)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
- Keywords
- M31, Local Group mass, radial velocity, proper motions, Milky Way, head-on collisions, N-body simulations, center-of-mass motion, satellite galaxies, timing argument, M33, M32, M101, M104
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