Dietary fructose, carbohydrates, glycemic indices and pancreatic cancer risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies
Open accessAbstract
Background Dietary carbohydrates, glycemic load and glycemic index have been hypothesized to influence pancreatic cancer risk, but epidemiological studies have been inconsistent. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies to clarify these results.Methods PubMed and several other databases were searched for prospective studies of intake of carbohydrates, glycemic index and glycemic load and pancreatic cancer up to September 2011. Summary relative risks were estimated using a random effects model.Results Ten cohort studies (13 publications) were included in the meta-analysis. The summary relative risk (RR) per 10 glycemic index units was 1.02 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.93-1.12, I(2) = 0%], per 50 glycemic load units was 1.03 (95% CI: 0.93-1.14, I(2) = 10%), per 100 g/day of total carbohydrates was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.81-1.16, I(2) = 35%), and per 25 g/day of sucrose intake was 1.05 (95% CI: 0.85-1.23, I(2) = 53%). A positive association was observed with fructose intake, summary RR = 1.22 (95% CI: 1.08-1.37, I(2) = 0%) per 25 g/day.Conclusions This meta-analysis does not support an association between diets high in glycemic index, glycemic load, total carbohydrates or sucrose and pancreatic cancer risk. The finding of an increased risk with fructose intake warrants further investigation in studies with better adjustment for confounding and in non-American populations.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The association between fructose intake and incidence of pancreatic cancer remained significant in subgroups of studies that adjusted for smoking, body mass index, red and processed meat consumption, and energy intake.
“The association between fructose intake and incidence of pancreatic cancer remained significant in the subgroups of studies that adjusted for smoking, body mass index, red and processed meat consumption, and energy intake, whereas the association was diminished in the subgroups of studies that adjusted for alcohol consumption, diabetes status, or physical activity (fig 2; fig 5).72”
From Dietary sugar consumption and health: umbrella review (2023) · cites this paper as [72]
25 g/day of fructose intake is linearly associated with a 22% higher risk of pancreatic cancer (risk ratio 1.22, 1.08 to 1.37), graded low quality evidence.
“a meta-analysis conducted by Aune and colleagues found that 25 g/day of fructose intake was linearly associated with a 22% higher risk of pancreatic cancer (risk ratio 1.22, 1.08 to 1.37) (low; III).72”
From Dietary sugar consumption and health: umbrella review (2023) · cites this paper as [72]
The association between fructose intake and incidence of pancreatic cancer was diminished in subgroups of studies that adjusted for alcohol consumption, diabetes status, or physical activity.
“The association between fructose intake and incidence of pancreatic cancer remained significant in the subgroups of studies that adjusted for smoking, body mass index, red and processed meat consumption, and energy intake, whereas the association was diminished in the subgroups of studies that adjusted for alcohol consumption, diabetes status, or physical activity (fig 2; fig 5).72”
From Dietary sugar consumption and health: umbrella review (2023) · cites this paper as [72]
No significant association was observed between sucrose intake and pancreatic cancer.
“We observed no significant association between sucrose intake and pancreatic cancer.72”
From Dietary sugar consumption and health: umbrella review (2023) · cites this paper as [72]
Significant harmful associations between dietary sugar consumption and a higher risk of cancer were observed for breast cancer, breast cancer mortality, hepatocellular carcinoma, prostate cancer, pancreatic cancer, overall cancer risk, and overall cancer mortality.
“Significant harmful associations between dietary sugar consumption and a higher risk of cancer were observed for breast cancer,19 breast cancer mortality,18 hepatocellular carcinoma,18 prostate cancer,18 pancreatic cancer,72 overall cancer risk,18 and overall cancer mortality.18”
From Dietary sugar consumption and health: umbrella review (2023) · cites this paper as [72]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: the PRISMA statement
Moher, D., Liberati, A., Tetzlaff, J., Altman, D. G., & for the PRISMA Group (2009) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.b2535 · Cited by 83,823 · see citing works
Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test
Egger, M., Smith, G. D., Schneider, M., & Minder, C. (1997) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.315.7109.629 · Cited by 56,722 · see citing works
Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA Statement.
(2009) · PubMed Central · Cited by 44,859 · see citing works
Meta-analysis in clinical trials
DerSimonian, R., & Laird, N. (1986) · Controlled Clinical Trials · doi:10.1016/0197-2456(86)90046-2 · Cited by 39,552 · see citing works
Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta‐analysis
Higgins, J. P. T., & Thompson, S. G. (2002) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.1186 · Cited by 36,763 · see citing works
Estimates of worldwide burden of cancer in 2008: GLOBOCAN 2008
Ferlay, J., Shin, H., Bray, F., Forman, D., Mathers, C. D., & Parkin, D. M. (2010) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.25516 · Cited by 21,271 · see citing works
Operating characteristics of a rank correlation test for publication bias
Begg, C. B., & Mazumdar, M. (1994) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2533446 · Cited by 16,955 · see citing works
Food, nutrition, physical activity, and the prevention of cancer: a global perspective
Marmot, M. G., Atinmo, T., Byers, T., Chen, J., Hirohata, T., Jackson, A., James, W., Kolonel, L. N., Kumanyika, S., Leitzmann, C., et al. (2008) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.45-5024 · Cited by 5,365 · see citing works
Methods for Trend Estimation from Summarized Dose-Response Data, with Applications to Meta-Analysis
Greenland, S., & Longnecker, M. P. (1992) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116237 · Cited by 2,353 · see citing works
Stanhope, K. L., Schwarz, J. M., Keim, N. L., Griffen, S. C., Bremer, A. A., Graham, J. L., Hatcher, B., Cox, C. L., Dyachenko, A., Zhang, W., et al. (2009) · Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1172/jci37385 · Cited by 1,765 · see citing works
Carbohydrates, dietary fiber, and incident type 2 diabetes in older women
Meyer, K. A., Kushi, L. H., Jacobs, D. R., Slavin, J., Sellers, T. A., & Folsom, A. R. (2000) · The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/71.4.921 · Cited by 1,271 · see citing works
Mente, A., de Koning, L., Shannon, H. S., & Anand, S. S. (2009) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinternmed.2009.38 · Cited by 1,267 · see citing works
Type-II diabetes and pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis of 36 studies
Huxley, R., Ansary-Moghaddam, A., Berrington de González, A., Barzi, F., & Woodward, M. (2005) · British Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6602619 · Cited by 1,105 · see citing works
Glycemic index, glycemic load, and chronic disease risk—a meta-analysis of observational studies
Barclay, A. W., Petocz, P., McMillan-Price, J., Flood, V. M., Prvan, T., Mitchell, P., & Brand-Miller, J. C. (2008) · The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/87.3.627 · Cited by 1,061 · see citing works
Fasting Serum Glucose Level and Cancer Risk in Korean Men and Women
Jee, S. H. (2005) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.293.2.194 · Cited by 989 · see citing works
Physical Activity of Moderate Intensity and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes
Jeon, C. Y., Lokken, R. P., Hu, F. B., & van Dam, R. M. (2007) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc06-1842 · Cited by 758 · see citing works
Karim‐Kos, H. E., de Vries, E., Soerjomataram, I., Lemmens, V. E. P. P., Siesling, S., & Coebergh, J. W. W. (2008) · European Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1016/j.ejca.2007.12.015 · Cited by 750 · see citing works
Tobacco and the risk of pancreatic cancer: a review and meta-analysis
Iodice, S., Gandini, S., Maisonneuve, P., & Lowenfels, A. B. (2008) · Langenbeck s Archives of Surgery · doi:10.1007/s00423-007-0266-2 · Cited by 548 · see citing works
Aune, D., Greenwood, D. C., Chan, D. S. M., Vieira, R. D. C. P. A., Vieira, A., Navarro-Rosenblatt, D., Cade, J. E., Burley, V. J., & Norat, T. (2011) · Annals of Oncology · doi:10.1093/annonc/mdr398 · Cited by 492 · see citing works
Self-citationVos, M. B., Kimmons, J. E., Gillespie, C., Welsh, J. A., & Blanck, H. M. (2008) · PubMed Central · Cited by 456 · see citing works
Abnormal Glucose Metabolism and Pancreatic Cancer Mortality
Gapstur, S. M. (2000) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.283.19.2552 · Cited by 420 · see citing works
Dekker, M. J., Su, Q., Baker, C., Rutledge, A. C., & Adeli, K. (2010) · American Journal of Physiology-Endocrinology and Metabolism · doi:10.1152/ajpendo.00283.2010 · Cited by 419 · see citing works
Perez-Pozo, S. E., Schold, J. D., Nakagawa, T., Sánchez‐Lozada, L. G., Johnson, R. J., & Lillo, J. L. (2009) · International Journal of Obesity · doi:10.1038/ijo.2009.259 · Cited by 344 · see citing works
Hyper-insulinaemia and cancer, meta-analyses of epidemiological studies
Pisani, P. (2008) · Archives of Physiology and Biochemistry · doi:10.1080/13813450801954451 · Cited by 329 · see citing works
A Prospective Study of Cigarette Smoking and the Risk of Pancreatic Cancer
Fuchs, C. S. (1996) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.1996.00440180119015 · Cited by 327 · see citing works
Fructose-Rich Beverages and Risk of Gout in Women
Choi, H. K., Willett, W., & Curhan, G. (2010) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2010.1638 · Cited by 314 · see citing works
Boros, L. G., Puigjaner, J., Cascante, M., Lee, W. N., Brandes, J. L., Bassilian, S., Yusuf, F., Williams, R. D., Muscarella, P., Melvin, W. S., et al. (1997) · PubMed · Cited by 277 · see citing works
Bagnardi, V. (2004) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwh142 · Cited by 270 · see citing works
Montonen, J., Järvinen, R., Knekt, P., Heliövaara, M., & Reunanen, A. (2007) · Journal of Nutrition · doi:10.1093/jn/137.6.1447 · Cited by 260 · see citing works
Prospective Study of Diet and Pancreatic Cancer in Male Smokers
Stolzenberg‐Solomon, R. Z. (2002) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/155.9.783 · Cited by 255 · see citing works
Stocks, T., Rapp, K., Bjørge, T., Manjer, J., Ulmer, H., Selmer, R. M., Lukanova, A., Johansen, D., Concin, H., Tretli, S., et al. (2009) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000201 · Cited by 243 · see citing works
Dietary Sugar, Glycemic Load, and Pancreatic Cancer Risk in a Prospective Study
Michaud, D. S. (2002) · JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute · doi:10.1093/jnci/94.17.1293 · Cited by 240 · see citing works
Food consumption and the incidence of type II diabetes mellitus
Montonen, J., Järvinen, R., Heliövaara, M., Reunanen, A., Aromaa, A., & Knekt, P. (2005) · European Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1038/sj.ejcn.1602094 · Cited by 237 · see citing works
A strategy for modelling the effect of a continuous covariate in medicine and epidemiology.
Royston, P. (2000) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/1097-0258(20000730)19:14 · Cited by 234 · see citing works
Glycemic index, glycemic load, and cancer risk: a meta-analysis
Gnagnarella, P., Gandini, S., Vecchia, C. L., & Maisonneuve, P. (2008) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/87.6.1793 · Cited by 205 · see citing works
Fructose Induces Transketolase Flux to Promote Pancreatic Cancer Growth
Liu, H., Huang, D., McArthur, D. L., Boros, L. G., Nissen, N., & Heaney, A. P. (2010) · Cancer Research · doi:10.1158/0008-5472.can-09-4615 · Cited by 201 · see citing works
The effect of thiamine supplementation on tumour proliferation
Comı́n-Anduix, B., Boren, J., Martinez, S. S., Moro, C. G., Centelles, J. J., Trebukhina, R. V., Petushok, N. E., Lee, W. P., Boros, L. G., & Cascante, M. (2001) · European Journal of Biochemistry · doi:10.1046/j.1432-1327.2001.02329.x · Cited by 182 · see citing works
Larsson, S. C., Bergkvist, L., & Wolk, A. (2006) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/84.5.1171 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
Xu, X., Hausen, A. Z., Coy, J. F., et al. (2008) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.24078 · Cited by 147 · see citing works
Harnack, L., Anderson, K. E., Zheng, W., FOLSOM, A. R., Sellers, T. A., & Kushi, L. H. (1997) · PubMed · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Sugar-Sweetened Soft Drink Consumption and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Two Prospective Cohorts
Schernhammer, E. S., Hu, F. B., Giovannucci, E. L., Michaud, D. S., Colditz, G. A., Stampfer, M. J., & Fuchs, C. S. (2005) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-05-0059 · Cited by 114 · see citing works
Dietary glycemic index, glycemic load, and risk of cancer: a prospective cohort study
George, S. M., Mayne, S. T., Leitzmann, M. F., Park, Y., Schatzkin, A., Flood, A., Hollenbeck, A., & Subar, A. F. (2008) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwn347 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Schulze, M. B., Schulz, M., Heidemann, C., Schienkiewitz, A., Hoffmann, K., & Boeing, H. (2007) · British Journal Of Nutrition · doi:10.1017/s0007114507853360 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Nöthlings, U., Murphy, S. P., Wilkens, L. R., Henderson, B. E., & Kolonel, L. N. (2007) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/86.5.1495 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Postprandial glycemia, glycemic index, and the prevention of type 2 diabetes
Brand-Miller, J. C. (2004) · The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/80.2.243 · Cited by 107 · see citing works
Soft Drink and Juice Consumption and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer: The Singapore Chinese Health Study
Mueller, N. T., Odegaard, A., Anderson, K. E., Yuan, J., Gross, M., Koh, W., & Pereira, M. A. (2010) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-09-0862 · Cited by 93 · see citing works
Genkinger, J. M., Li, R., Spiegelman, D. L., Anderson, K. E., Albanes, D., Bergkvist, L., Bernstein, L., Black, A., van den Brandt, P. A., English, D. R., et al. (2012) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-11-0945-t · Cited by 91 · see citing works
Mulholland, H. G., Murray, L., Cardwell, C. R., & Cantwell, M. M. (2008) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.3945/ajcn.2008.26823 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
Bao, Y., Stolzenberg‐Solomon, R. Z., Jiao, L., Silverman, D. T., Subar, A. F., Park, Y., Leitzmann, M. F., Hollenbeck, A. R., Schatzkin, A. G., & Michaud, D. S. (2008) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/88.2.431 · Cited by 72 · see citing works
Glycemic index, glycemic load, and pancreatic cancer risk (Canada)
Silvera, S. A. N., Rohan, T. E., Jain, M. G., Terry, P., Howe, G. R., & Miller, A. B. (2005) · Cancer Causes & Control · doi:10.1007/s10552-004-5028-7 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Patel, A. V., McCullough, M. L., Pavluck, A., Jacobs, E. J., Thun, M. J., & Calle, E. E. (2007) · Cancer Causes & Control · doi:10.1007/s10552-006-0081-z · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Jiao, L., Flood, A. P., Subar, A. F., Hollenbeck, A. R., Schatzkin, A. G., & Stolzenberg‐Solomon, R. Z. (2009) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-08-1135 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Johnson, K. J., Anderson, K. E., Harnack, L., Hong, C.-P., & Folsom, A. R. (2005) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-05-0138 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Available Carbohydrates, Glycemic Load, and Pancreatic Cancer: Is There a Link?
Meinhold, C. L., Dodd, K., Jiao, L., Flood, A. P., Shikany, J. M., Genkinger, J. M., Hayes, R. B., & Stolzenberg‐Solomon, R. Z. (2010) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwq061 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Glycemic load, glycemic index, and pancreatic cancer risk in the Netherlands Cohort Study
Heinen, M. M., Verhage, B. A. J., Lumey, L. H., Brants, H. A. M., Goldbohm, R. A., & van den Brandt, P. A. (2008) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/87.4.970 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Soft drinks, sweetened beverages and risk of pancreatic cancer
Gallus, S., Turati, F., Tavani, A., Polesel, J., Talamini, R., Franceschi, S., & Vecchia, C. L. (2010) · Cancer Causes & Control · doi:10.1007/s10552-010-9665-8 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Zhang, J., Zhao, Z., & Berkel, H. J. (2005) · Annals of Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.annepidem.2004.11.005 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Predictors of fasting serum insulin and glucose and the risk of pancreatic cancer in smokers
Meinhold, C. L., de González, A. B., Albanes, D., Weinstein, S. J., Taylor, P. R., Virtamo, J. R. K., & Stolzenberg‐Solomon, R. Z. (2008) · Cancer Causes & Control · doi:10.1007/s10552-008-9281-z · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Simon, M. S., Shikany, J. M., Neuhouser, M. L., Rohan, T. E., Nirmal, K., Cui, Y., & Abrams, J. (2010) · Cancer Causes & Control · doi:10.1007/s10552-010-9632-4 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Dietary sugar consumption and health: umbrella review
Huang, Y., Chen, Z., Chen, B., Li, J., Yuan, X., Li, J., Wang, W., Dai, T., Chen, H., Wang, Y., et al. (2023) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj-2022-071609 · Cited by 348 · see citing works
Gordon-Dseagu, V. L. Z., Thompson, F. E., Subar, A. F., Ruder, E. H., Thiébaut, A. C. M., Potischman, N., & Stolzenberg-Solomon, R. (2017) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwx036 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
- Authors
- Aune, D., Chan, D. S. M., Vieira, A. R., Navarro Rosenblatt, D. A., Vieira, R., Greenwood, D. C., Cade, J. E., Burley, V. J., & Norat, T.
- Affiliations
- Imperial College London (GB)
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Venue
- Annals of Oncology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2012-10
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 2536-2546
- ISSN
- 0923-7534 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2145809841
- Cited by
- 111
- References
- 59
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 10 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 6
- FWCI
- 0.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Annals of Oncology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- World Cancer Research Fund (2007/SP01)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diet, Metabolism, and Disease
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Keywords
- pancreatic cancer, dietary fructose, dietary carbohydrates, glycemic index, glycemic load, sucrose intake, cancer risk, diet and cancer
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Carbohydrates, Female, Fructose, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pancreatic Neoplasms, Cohort Studies, Glycemic Index
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review