Cited by 479Gut microbiota and healthAcute Myocardial Infarction ResearchCardiac Health and Mental Health

Gut microbiota-dependent trimethylamine N-oxide in acute coronary syndromes: a prognostic marker for incident cardiovascular events beyond traditional risk factors

Open access
Li, Xinmin S., Obeid, Slayman, Klingenberg, Roland, Gencer, Baris, Mach, François, Räber, Lorenz, Windecker, Stephan, Rodondi, Nicolas +13 more·2017·European Heart Journal

Abstract

AIMS: Systemic levels of trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO), a pro-atherogenic and pro-thrombotic metabolite produced from gut microbiota metabolism of dietary trimethylamine (TMA)-containing nutrients such as choline or carnitine, predict incident cardiovascular event risks in stable primary and secondary prevention subjects. However, the prognostic value of TMAO in the setting of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) remains unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: We investigated the relationship of TMAO levels with incident cardiovascular risks among sequential patients presenting with ACS in two independent cohorts. In the Cleveland Cohort, comprised of sequential subjects (n = 530) presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) with chest pain of suspected cardiac origin, an elevated plasma TMAO level at presentation was independently associated with risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE, including myocardial infarction, stroke, need for revascularization, or death) over the ensuing 30-day (4th quartile (Q4) adjusted odds ratio (OR) 6.30, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.89-21.0, P < 0.01) and 6-month (Q4 adjusted OR 5.65, 95%CI, 1.91-16.7; P < 0.01) intervals. TMAO levels were also a significant predictor of the long term (7-year) mortality (Q4 adjusted HR 1.81, 95%CI, 1.04-3.15; P < 0.05). Interestingly, TMAO level at initial presentation predicted risk of incident MACE over the near-term (30 days and 6 months) even among subjects who were initially negative for troponin T (< 0.1 ng/mL) (30 days, Q4 adjusted OR 5.83, 95%CI, 1.79-19.03; P < 0.01). The prognostic value of TMAO was also assessed in an independent multicentre Swiss Cohort of ACS patients (n = 1683) who underwent coronary angiography. Trimethylamine N-oxide again predicted enhanced MACE risk (1-year) (adjusted Q4 hazard ratios: 1.57, 95% CI, 1.03-2.41; P <0.05). CONCLUSION: Plasma TMAO levels among patients presenting with chest pain predict both near- and long-term risks of incident cardiovascular events, and may thus provide clinical utility in risk stratification among subjects presenting with suspected ACS.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

In two independent ACS cohorts, higher plasma TMAO at presentation predicted incident MACE and long-term mortality beyond traditional risk factors. The association was also present among patients initially negative for troponin T, supporting TMAO as a potential prognostic marker in suspected ACS.

Key findings

  • In the Cleveland Cohort (n=530), elevated TMAO was independently associated with 30-day MACE (Q4 adjusted OR 6.30, 95% CI 1.89–21.0, P<0.01), 6-month MACE (Q4 adjusted OR 5.65, 95% CI 1.91–16.7, P<0.01), and 7-year all-cause mortality (Q4 adjusted HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.04–3.15, P<0.05).
  • Among initially troponin T–negative Cleveland subjects (n=418), TMAO remained predictive of 30-day MACE (Q4 adjusted OR 5.83, 95% CI 1.79–19.03, P<0.01) and 6-month MACE (Q4 adjusted OR 5.51, 95% CI 1.90–16.01, P<0.001).
  • In the independent Swiss ACS Cohort (n=1683), TMAO predicted 1-year MACE (Q4 adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.03–2.41, P<0.05); the mortality association was attenuated after adjustment.
  • Adding TMAO improved risk reclassification for 30-day MACE in Cleveland (NRI 0.36, 95% CI 0.19–0.53, P<0.001; C-statistic 0.94 vs 0.92, P<0.05) and for 1-year MACE in the Swiss cohort (NRI 0.30, 95% CI 0.16–0.44, P<0.001), though C-statistic improvement was not significant in the Swiss cohort (0.66 vs 0.64, P=0.15).

Methods

  • Two independent prospective cohorts: the single-center Cleveland Cohort (n=530 sequential adults presenting to the ED with chest pain of suspected cardiac origin within 24 h) and the multicenter Swiss ACS Cohort (n=1683 ACS patients who underwent coronary angiography).
  • Plasma TMAO was quantified by stable isotope dilution LC/MS/MS; outcomes were MACE (MI, stroke, revascularization, or all-cause mortality) and all-cause mortality, with follow-up at 30 days, 6 months, and 7 years in Cleveland and 30 days and 1 year in the Swiss cohort.
  • Associations were assessed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression or Cox models adjusted for traditional risk factors, with Kaplan-Meier analysis, net reclassification improvement, and C-statistic.

Limitations

  • The authors state the findings are hypothesis generating and cannot establish a cause–effect relationship; cause of death was unavailable in the Cleveland cohort, so all-cause death was used as the mortality endpoint.
  • The authors note plasma samples were not necessarily fasting, and no information was collected on timing relative to last meal or preceding dietary patterns in either cohort.
  • The text also makes evident that this is an observational study, so residual confounding cannot be excluded despite adjustment for traditional risk factors.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1093/eurheartj/ehw582

Cites

50 of 50 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 27 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    In the Cleveland Cohort, compared with subjects in the lowest TMAO quartile, patients in the highest quartile had a significantly increased 2.29-fold risk of incident MACE at 30 days (OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.39-3.79, P < 0.01).

    “As compared with subjects in the lowest quartile of TMAO levels, patients in the highest quartile (Q4) demonstrated a significantly increased 2.29-fold risk of incident MACE at 30 days (OR, 2.29, 95% CI, 1.39-3.79;P < 0.01) (Figure 1C).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In the Cleveland Cohort, elevated plasma TMAO at presentation was independently associated with risk of MACE over 6 months (Q4 adjusted OR 5.65, 95% CI 1.91-16.7, P < 0.01).

    “and 6-month (Q4 adjusted OR 5.65, 95%CI, 1.91-16.7;P < 0.01) intervals.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In the Cleveland Cohort, TMAO level at initial presentation predicted risk of incident MACE over 30 days among subjects initially negative for troponin T (< 0.1 ng/mL) (Q4 adjusted OR 5.83, 95% CI 1.79-19.03, P < 0.01).

    “Interestingly, TMAO level at initial presentation predicted risk of incident MACE over the near-term (30 days and 6 months) even among subjects who were initially negative for troponin T (< 0.1 ng/mL) (30 days, Q4 adjusted OR 5.83, 95%CI, 1.79-19.03;P < 0.01).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In the Cleveland Cohort, among subjects initially negative for troponin T, TMAO levels remained a significant predictor of MACE at 6 months (Q4 adjusted OR 5.51, 95% CI 1.90-16.01, P < 0.001).

    “Trimethylamine N-oxide levels remained a significant predictor of MACE among these subjects at both 30 days (Q4 OR 5.83, 95% CI, 1.79-19.03;P < 0.01) and 6 months (Q4 OR 5.51, 95%CI, 1.90-16.01;P < 0.001) after adjusting for risk factors including age, gender, HDL, LDL, smoking,”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In the Cleveland Cohort, TMAO levels were higher among subjects who died during long-term 7-year follow-up.

    “TMAO levels were also higher among subjects who died in the long-term (7-year) follow-up period (Figure 1A).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 18
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 24
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Plasma TMAO levels were higher on average in the Cleveland cohort compared with the Swiss cohort, and the quartile cut-offs used for each cohort were different.

    “Plasma TMAO levels were higher on average in the Cleveland cohort compared with the Swiss cohort, and the quartile cut-offs used for each cohort were thus different.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Both plasma levels of TMAO and event rates were higher in US compared with Swiss patients.

    “both the plasma levels of TMAO and the event rates were higher in the US compared with the Swiss patients”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Swiss ACS Cohort, inclusion of TMAO in the model for 1-year mortality resulted in significant improvement in NRI (0.45, P < 0.001) but no significant improvement in C-statistic (0.78 vs 0.77, P = 0.26).

    “Inclusion of TMAO in the model for predicting 1-year mortality resulted in significant improvement in NRI (0.45 (0.25-0.65),P < 0.001), but no significant improvement in C-statistic (0.78 (0.72-0.84) with TMAO vs. 0.77 (0.71-0.83) without TMAO; P = 0.26)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Swiss ACS Cohort, inclusion of TMAO in the model for MACE resulted in significant improvement in NRI (0.3, P < 0.001) but no significant improvement in C-statistic (0.66 vs 0.64, P = 0.15).

    “The inclusion of TMAO as a variable to the model prediction of MACE resulted in a significant improvement in risk estimation over traditional risk factors (NRI, 0.3 (0.16-0.44),P < 0.001); but no significant improvement in C-statistic (C-statistic, 0.66 (0.62-0.7) (with TMAO) vs. 0.64 (0.6-0.68) (without TMAO); P = 0.15).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    This prognostic value was not only true for patients with elevated troponins due to STEMI or NSTEMI, but also observed for patients who did not suffer an infarction, but were negative for troponin at initial presentation.

    “This was not only true for patients with elevated troponins due to a STEMI or NSTEMI, but also was observed for patients who did not suffer an infarction, but rather, were negative for troponin at initial presentation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    On its own, our findings are hypothesis generating for such trials, but establish the prognostic information provided by TMAO in ACS patients.

    “On its own, our findings are hypothesis generating for such trials, but establish the prognostic information provided by TMAO in ACS patients.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    TMAO promotes vascular inflammation, inducing aortic endothelial cell activation and up-regulation of adhesion proteins in animal models.

    “Trimethylamine N-oxide was also recently shown in animal models to promote vascular inflammation, inducing aortic endothelial cell activation and up-regulation of adhesion proteins.23”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [23] Seldin MM Meng Y Qi H Zhu W Wang Z Hazen SL Lusis AJ Shih DM. Trimethylamine N-oxide promotes vascular inflammation through signaling of mitogen-activated protein kinase and nuclear factor-kappaB. J Am Heart Assoc 2016;5:pii: e002767. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Platelet hyperreactivity is a risk factor for incident cardiovascular events.

    “Numerous studies have reported platelet hyperreactivity is a risk factor for incident cardiovascular events.21,22”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [21] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [22] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Elevated systemic levels of TMAO among stable subjects (n = 4007) undergoing elective diagnostic cardiac evaluations predict incident thrombotic event risks.

    “Finally, recent clinical studies have shown that elevated systemic levels of TMAO among stable subjects (n = 4007) undergoing elective diagnostic cardiac evaluations predict incident thrombotic event risks.5”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    TMAO interacts with platelets, altering stimulus-dependent calcium signalling, fostering platelet hyperreactivity and enhanced thrombosis potential in vivo.

    “This is particularly relevant given that recent human platelet and animal model studies reveal that TMAO interacts with platelets, altering stimulus-dependent calcium signalling, fostering platelet hyperreactivity and enhanced thrombosis potential in vivo.5”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Systemic TMAO levels are associated with cardiovascular risks in a variety of stable cohorts.

    “Numerous studies reveal an association between systemic TMAO levels and cardiovascular risks in a variety of stable cohorts.[1][2][3]5,[7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [1][2][3]5,[7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Adherence to a vegetarian or vegan diet compared with an omnivorous diet is associated with reduced plasma and urinary levels of TMAO.

    “Moreover, adherence to a vegetarian or vegan diet compared with an omnivorous diet is reported to be associated with reduced plasma and urinary levels of TMAO.3,44”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [3] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [44] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    DMB, by inhibiting microbial choline and carnitine TMA lyase activities in vivo, appears to prevent foam cell formation and aortic atherosclerotic plaque formation while maintaining normal gut flora.

    “Particularly promising is the effective experimental use of 3,3-dimethyl-1-butanol (DMB), which by inhibiting microbial choline and carnitine TMA lyase activities in vivo appears to prevent foam cell formation and aortic atherosclerotic plaque formation, while maintaining a normal gut flora.38”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [38] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The higher burden of comorbidities in the Cleveland cohort may account in part for the higher TMAO levels and event rates in the US.

    “and this may account in part for these observations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The findings suggest a potential basis for a novel therapeutic target in the management of ACS patients.

    “These findings not only broaden the potential clinical utility of TMAO as an independent prognostic marker to those presenting with suspected ACS, but also suggest, in combination with the recent studies linking this metabolite to platelet function, a potential basis for a novel therapeutic target in the management of ACS patients.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The Swiss ACS Cohort was a prospective multicentre cohort based on consecutive recruitment and follow-up at 30 days and 1 year of subjects with adjudicated ACS.

    “This prospective multicentre cohort was based on consecutive recruitment and follow-up performed at 30 days (phone call) and 1 year (clinical visit) of subjects with adjudicated ACS.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The Cleveland Cohort was a single-center, prospective cohort study.

    “The Cleveland Cohort (n = 530) was a single-center, prospective cohort study approved by the Cleveland Clinic Institutional Review Board.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The present study demonstrates for the first time that systemic TMAO levels are associated with both near-term risk of MACE and long-term mortality among sequential patients presenting with complaint of chest pain and suspected ACS in two independent ACS cohorts.

    “The present study demonstrates for the first time that systemic TMAO levels are associated with both near-term risk of MACE and long term mortality, among sequential patients presenting with complaint of chest pain and suspected ACS in two independent ACS cohorts.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    TMAO has a prothrombotic effect by altering platelet calcium signalling, rendering platelets more responsive to agonists, increasing the risk of in vivo thrombus formation.

    “In addition, TMAO has a prothrombotic effect by altering platelet calcium signalling, rendering platelets more responsive to agonists, increasing the risk of in vivo thrombus formation.5”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    TMAO may serve as a clinically useful and potentially modifiable prognostic marker for both near-term and long-term cardiovascular outcomes beyond currently used risk factors and laboratory testing.

    “These studies thus add to the growing body of data demonstrating that the gut microbiota dependent metabolite, TMAO, may serve as a clinically useful and potentially modifiable prognostic marker for both near-term and long-term cardiovascular outcomes beyond currently used risk factors and laboratory testing.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    Adjustments were made for individual traditional cardiac risk factors including age, gender, HDL, LDL, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, revascularization or coronary artery disease, high sensitivity C-reactive protein, eGFR, initial cTnT, and diagnosis of STEMI, NSTEMI or unstable angina.

    “Adjustments were made for individual traditional cardiac risk factors including but not limited to age, gender, HDL, LDL, smoking, presence or absence of a history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, revascularization or coronary artery disease, high sensitivity C-reactive protein level, eGFR, initial cTnT level, and diagnosis of either STEMI, NSTEMI or unstable angina.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    TMAO levels are highly related to coronary atherosclerotic burden and plaque complexity as monitored by the SYNTAX score.

    “In line with these findings, recent studies reveal that TMAO levels are highly related to the coronary atherosclerotic burden and plaque complexity as monitored by the SYNTAX score.19”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [19] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Mediterranean diet has been shown to decrease the risk of adverse cardiovascular events in both observational and prospective studies.

    “a change in dietary habits, specifically to that of the Mediterranean type, 46 which has been shown to decrease the risk of adverse cardiovascular events in both observational and prospective studies, 47,48”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [47] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [48] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    TMAO is modifiable both with diet and with potential therapeutics under development.

    “The importance of our findings is underlined by the modifiable nature of TMAO, both with diet, and with potential therapeutics under development, offering new prospects for treatment strategies at both levels of primary and secondary prevention.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [38] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [3] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [44] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    All events were adjudicated with medical record checks.

    “All events were adjudicated with medical record checks.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    All-cause mortality at 7 years was available in 89% (n = 474) of the Cleveland Cohort subjects.

    “All-cause mortality at 7 years was available in 89% (n = 474) of the Cleveland Cohort subjects.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Follow-up in the Cleveland Cohort was completed for 30-day and 6-month outcomes.

    “Follow-up in the Cleveland Cohort was completed for 30-day and 6-month outcomes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Model validation and calibration are shown in the Supplemental Statistical Methods section.

    “Model validation and calibration are shown in the Supplemental Statistical Methods section (Supplementary material online, Table S1 and Figures S1-S3).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Animal model studies suggest that inhibition of gut microbial participants involved in metabolic production of TMAO could be an approach for high TMAO ACS patients.

    “Animal model studies suggest another approach to the high TMAO ACS patient could involve inhibition of the gut microbial participants involved in metabolic production of TMAO.49”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [49] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    For both cohorts, electrocardiographic data were verified independently by personnel at electrocardiography core facilities who were unaware of the patients' diagnoses.

    “For both the Cleveland Cohort and the Swiss ACS Cohort, electrocardiographic data were verified independently by personnel at electrocardiography core facilities who were unaware of the patients' diagnoses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Plasma samples from subjects presenting with suspected ACS were not necessarily fasting, and no information was collected on timing of presentation relative to last meal, or dietary patterns preceding presentation in either the Cleveland or Swiss ACS cohorts.

    “Another limitation of the present study is that plasma samples from subjects presenting with suspected ACS were not necessarily fasting, and no information was collected on timing of presentation relative to last meal, or dietary patterns preceding presentation in either the Cleveland or Swiss ACS cohorts.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    The diagnosis of ACS was confirmed by a chart review by an investigator who was unaware of the patients' diagnoses.

    “The diagnosis of an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) was based on the presence of MI or unstable angina, as defined in the protocol, and confirmed by a chart review by an investigator who was unaware of the patients' diagnoses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Our results are consistent with other clinical studies in showing that elevated levels of TMAO may serve as an independent risk factor of MACE and long-term all-cause mortality, including in those presenting with ACS.

    “Our results are consistent with these other clinical studies in that they show that elevated levels of TMAO may serve as an independent risk factor of MACE and long-term all-cause mortality, including in those presenting with ACS.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Sequential consenting adult subjects presenting to the emergency department with chest pain of suspected cardiac origin within 24 h of onset were eligible.

    “Sequential consenting adult subjects (ages 18 years and above) who presented to the emergency department (ED) with chest pain of suspected cardiac origin within 24 h of onset were eligible.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    TMAO appears to be not only a risk marker but also may serve as a potential therapeutic target to improve outcomes in patients, including subjects with ACS.

    “Thus, TMAO appears to not only be a risk marker, but also may serve as a potential therapeutic target to improve outcomes in patients, including subjects with ACS.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Phosphatidylcholine consumption is associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality independent of traditional risk factors.

    “recent large-scale epidemiological studies examining phosphatidylcholine ingestion, a nutrient that is more abundant in animal products, and mortality risks in >100 000 subjects with over a quarter century of follow-up, revealed phosphatidylcholine consumption is associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality independent of traditional risk factors.43”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [43] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Cause of death was not available for the Cleveland cohort, so all-cause death was used as the mortality end point.

    “Cause of death was not available for the Cleveland cohort, so all-cause death was used as the mortality end point.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
37 of 37
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The relationship between TMAO levels and incident risks in subjects with acute coronary syndromes has not yet been examined.

    “The relationship between TMAO levels and incident risks in subjects with acute coronary syndromes has not yet been examined.”
    “However, the prognostic value of TMAO in the setting of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) remains unknown.....................”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The accurate diagnosis of cardiovascular events in patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes by electrocardiography and conventional laboratory tests is challenging.

    “The accurate diagnosis of cardiovascular events in patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes by electrocardiography (ECG) and conventional laboratory tests is challenging.”
2 of 2

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Circulating levels of trimethylamine N-oxide associate with cardiovascular disease and predict outcomes in multiple cardiovascular disease phenotypes, including peripheral artery disease, coronary artery disease, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure.

    “Circulating levels of TMAO have been shown to associate with CVD and predict outcomes in the presence of multiple CVD phenotypes, including peripheral artery disease (PAD)96, coronary artery disease (CAD)97, acute coronary syndrome (ACS)97–99, and heart failure100–104.”

    From Gut microbiota and cardiovascular disease. (2020) · cites this paper as [99]

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Swiss analysis is described as logistic regression but reports a hazard ratio

    Minor

    Logistic regression yields odds ratios, whereas the reported Swiss MACE estimate is a hazard ratio. The paper's Figure 3 caption instead describes a Cox model, leaving the stated analysis method inconsistent.

  • Cleveland beta-blocker total disagrees with subgroup percentages

    Minor

    With 310 patients without MACE and 220 with MACE, the subgroup percentages imply an overall beta-blocker rate of about 22.2%, not 23.1%. The difference exceeds rounding of the printed percentages.

2 of 2

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Authors
Li, X. S., Obeid, S., Klingenberg, R., Gencer, B., Mach, F., Räber, L., Windecker, S., Rodondi, N., Nanchen, D., Muller, O., Miranda, M. X., Matter, C. M., Wu, Y., Li, L., Wang, Z., Alamri, H. S., Gogonea, V., Chung, Y.-M., Tang, W. H. W., Hazen, S. L., & Lüscher, T. F.
Affiliations
  • Cleveland Clinic (US)
  • University Hospital Zurich (CH)
  • University Hospital of Geneva (CH)
  • University Hospital of Bern (CH)
  • University of Bern (CH)
  • University of Lausanne (CH)
  • University of Zurich (CH)
  • Cleveland State University (US)
Corresponding author
  • Li, Xinmin S.
  • Obeid, Slayman
  • Hazen, Stanley L.
  • Lüscher, Thomas F.
Venue
European Heart Journal
Published
2017-01-11
Volume
38
Issue
11
Pages
ehw582
ISSN
  • 0195-668X (ISSN-L)
  • 1522-9645
OpenAlex
W2579492356
Cited by
479
References
50
Citations by year
2026: 26 · 2025: 36 · 2024: 33 · 2023: 45 · 2022: 73 · 2021: 78 · 2020: 58 · 2019: 53 · 2018: 45 · 2017: 32
FWCI
22.51
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • European Heart Journal (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion)
  • Bern Open Repository and Information System (University of Bern) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • IRIS (submittedVersion)
  • SERVAL (Université de Lausanne) (submittedVersion)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
Funders
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01HL126827, P20HL113452, R01HL130819, R01HL103866)
  • National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01DK106000)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Gut microbiota and health
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Acute Myocardial Infarction Research
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Health and Mental Health
Keywords
trimethylamine N-oxide, gut microbiota, acute coronary syndrome, major adverse cardiac events, cardiovascular risk prediction, prognostic factors, mortality, atherosclerosis, thrombosis, coronary angiography, emergency department presentation, secondary prevention, primary prevention, cardiovascular risk stratification
MeSH terms
Gastrointestinal Microbiome, Cardiotonic Agents, Female, Humans, Male, Methylamines, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction, Prognosis, Biomarkers, Case-Control Studies, Risk Assessment, Stroke, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Acute Coronary Syndrome

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-09.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-09.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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