Cited by 681Gut microbiota and healthHeart Failure Treatment and ManagementSepsis Diagnosis and Treatment

Prognostic Value of Elevated Levels of Intestinal Microbe-Generated Metabolite Trimethylamine-N-Oxide in Patients With Heart Failure

Open access
Tang, W.H. Wilson, Wang, Zeneng, Fan, Yiying, Levison, Bruce, Hazen, Jennie E., Donahue, Lillian M., Wu, Yuping, Hazen, Stanley L.·2014·Journal of the American College of Cardiology

Abstract

Background Altered intestinal function is prevalent in patients with heart failure (HF), but its role in adverse outcomes is unclear. Objectives This study investigated the potential pathophysiological contributions of intestinal microbiota in HF. Methods We examined the relationship between fasting plasma trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) and all-cause mortality over a 5-year follow-up in 720 patients with stable HF. Results The median TMAO level was 5.0 μM, which was higher than in subjects without HF (3.5 μM; p < 0.001). There was modest but significant correlation between TMAO concentrations and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels (r = 0.23; p < 0.001). Higher plasma TMAO levels were associated with a 3.4-fold increased mortality risk. Following adjustments for traditional risk factors and BNP levels, elevated TMAO levels remained predictive of 5-year mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.2; 95% CI: 1.42 to 3.43; p < 0.001), as well as following the addition of estimated glomerular filtration rate to the model (HR: 1.75; 95% CI: 1.07 to 2.86; p < 0.001). Conclusions High TMAO levels were observed in patients with HF, and elevated TMAO levels portended higher long-term mortality risk independent of traditional risk factors and cardiorenal indexes.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.jacc.2014.02.617

Cites

20 of 20 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 10 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    In patients with heart failure, fasting plasma TMAO is strongly inversely correlated with eGFR.

    “stronger inverse correlation between TMAO and eGFR (r = −0.55, p <0.001) in our study cohort.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Adding TMAO to a model of traditional cardiovascular risk factors trends toward improvement in AUC (0.723 to 0.741, p = 0.096).

    “and trended towards improvement in AUC (0.723 to 0.741, p = 0.096).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In patients with heart failure, elevated TMAO remains predictive of 5-year mortality after adjustment for traditional risk factors and BNP (HR 2.2; 95% CI 1.42 to 3.43; p < 0.001).

    “Following adjustments for traditional risk factors and BNP, elevated TMAO levels remained predictive of 5-year mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42 to 3.43; p < 0.001)”
    • Also stated in: § BASELINE CHARACTERISTICS · plain
      “elevated fasting TMAO levels were associated with a 2.2-fold increase in mortality risk after adjusting for traditional risk factors and BNP (HR: 2.20; 95% CI: 1.42 to 3.43; p < 0.01)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Within the intermediate BNP range, the lower two tertiles of TMAO are associated with a 3.3-fold increased mortality risk compared with both low BNP and TMAO levels.

    “Interestingly within the intermediate BNP range (second tertile 160–505 pg/ml), the lower two tertiles of TMAO portend a 3.3-fold increase in mortality risk (95% CI: 1.4 to 8; p < 0.001), while the highest TMAO tertile (>7.2 μM) had a 5.7-fold increased mortality risk (95% CI: 2.5 to 13.2; p< 0.01) compared to both low BNP and TMAO levels.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In patients with heart failure, fasting plasma TMAO is modestly positively correlated with BNP.

    “There was modest but significant correlation between TMAO and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) (r = 0.23; p < 0.001).”
    • Also stated in: § BASELINE CHARACTERISTICS · plain
      “We found relatively modest but significant correlation between TMAO and BNP (r = 0.23; p < 0.001)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 7
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 10
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In patients with heart failure, mortality risk associated with elevated TMAO is similar among ischemic and nonischemic subjects and other clinical subgroups.

    “mortality risks were similar among ischemic and nonischemic HF subjects, as well as other clinical subgroups (Figure 2).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In patients with heart failure, plasma TMAO is weakly inversely correlated with serum arylesterase activity (r = −0.135; p < 0.001).

    “plasma TMAO levels were weakly but significantly inversely correlated with serum arylesterase activity (r = −0.135; p < 0.001)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Over 5-year follow-up, 207 deaths occurred in the heart failure cohort.

    “Over 5-year follow-up, a total of 207 deaths occurred in our study cohort.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In patients with heart failure, plasma TMAO is positively correlated with serum uric acid levels (r = 0.29; p < 0.001).

    “and positively correlated with serum uric acid levels (r = 0.29; p < 0.001)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The study findings refine the gut hypothesis and suggest a potential association between the gut microbiota pathway and adverse prognosis in heart failure subjects.

    “These observations further refine in a large HF patient population the notion of a “gut hypothesis,” and suggest a potential association between the gut microbiota pathway of known pro-atherogenic potential to adverse prognosis in HF subjects.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    This single-center study recruited patients at the point of cardiac evaluation for coronary angiography, so selection bias may identify a higher proportion of patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy.

    “First, this is a single-center study that recruited patients at the point of cardiac evaluation for coronary angiography; hence selection bias may ensue to identify a higher proportion of patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Intestinal microbiota are implicated in regulating multiple host metabolic pathways that contribute to phenotypes such as obesity and insulin resistance.

    “Intestinal microbiota are implicated in the regulation of multiple host metabolic pathways that contribute to phenotypes such as obesity and insulin resistance (9).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [9] Nicholson, 2012, Host-gut microbiota metabolic interactions, Science source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The cohort has relatively preserved renal function and few patients with advanced cardiorenal disease or advanced heart failure, with an annualized mortality of 5.8%.

    “Also, because of this catchment, the large majority of patients have relatively preserved renal function, and few have advanced cardiorenal diseases or advanced HF (annualized mortality of 5.8%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Right heart catheterization was not performed in a large majority of subjects and was not readily available.

    “Also, this is a cohort of patients who underwent elective coronary angiography, thus right heart catheterization was not performed in a large majority of subjects and was not readily available.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The study did not have information on gastrointestinal symptoms and pathology, prior antibiotic use, or prior supplements other than those taken on the day of enrollment.

    “Specifically, we do not have any information regarding gastrointestinal symptoms and pathology or prior antibiotic use or knowledge of prior supplements other than those taken the day of enrollment.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Changes in bacterial composition serve as a primary driver of TMAO levels in other studies.

    “Changes in bacterial composition have been shown to serve as a primary driver of TMAO levels in other studies (10,15).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [10] Wang, 2011, Gut flora metabolism of phosphatidylcholine promotes cardiovascular disease, Nature source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [15] Hanley, 1983, A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases, Radiology source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Interim events and treatment may influence the primary outcome of all-cause mortality.

    “As in most outcome studies, interim events and treatment also may influence the primary outcome of all-cause mortality.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    TMAO has pro-atherogenic properties.

    “While TMAO has been shown to possess pro-atherogenic properties (10,11,17)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [10] Wang, 2011, Gut flora metabolism of phosphatidylcholine promotes cardiovascular disease, Nature source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [11] Tang, 2013, Intestinal microbial metabolism of phosphatidylcholine and cardiovascular risk, N Engl J Med source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [17] Anker, 2003, Uric acid and survival in chronic heart failure: validation and application in metabolic, functional, and hemodynamic staging, Circulation source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Only a single time-point blood draw after overnight fast was available, and no dietary history was available to confirm or refute the impact of diet on TMAO levels or their cardiorenal consequences.

    “Another potential limitation is that only a single time-point blood draw after overnight fast was available, and we do not have dietary history to confirm or refute the impact of diet on TMAO levels or their cardiorenal consequences.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
14 of 14
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Before this study, the relationship between TMAO and cardiorenal indices and long-term prognosis in chronic systolic heart failure had not been examined, and the association between elevated TMAO and poor prognosis in heart failure had not been demonstrated.

    “In chronic systolic HF, the relationship between the intestinal microbiota-generated metabolite TMAO and both cardiorenal indices and long-term clinical prognosis have not been examined.”
    “The present study is the first demonstration of an association between elevated TMAO levels and poor prognosis in patients with HF.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The healthy control cohort is comparable to the heart failure cohort except for heart failure status, so the observed TMAO difference reflects heart failure.

    “We also performed a cross-sectional comparison of TMAO levels between our cohort of stable systolic HF patients and an independent set of 300 prospectively recruited, apparently healthy individuals without known cardiac disease from a health-screening program at various locations across Cleveland, Ohio.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Renal clearance of TMAO may be impaired beyond what eGFR estimates.

    “though recognize that the kidneys may be physiologically impaired in eliminating TMAO beyond estimates of glomerular filtration rates.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Inclusion of BNP can integrate many risk profiles associated with missing New York Heart Association functional class, cachexia, and atrial fibrillation.

    “even though we believe that the inclusion of BNP can integrate many of these risk profiles.”
4 of 4

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Adjusted mortality estimate has two values

    Minor

    For the model adjusted for traditional risk factors, BNP, and eGFR, the text calls the increase 1.80-fold but gives a hazard ratio of 1.75. Both are presented to two decimal places.

  • Abstract overstates significance of the eGFR-adjusted result

    Minor

    The abstract reports p < 0.001 for the HR of 1.75, whereas its 95% confidence interval implies a two-sided p-value of approximately 0.025 under the usual Cox-model calculation. The results section reports the same estimate as p < 0.05.

2 of 2

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. Mullens, 2008, Elevated intra-abdominal pressure in acute decompensated heart failure: a potential contributor to worsening renal function?, J Am Coll Cardiol, 51, 300, 10.1016/j.jacc.2007.09.043 · DOI
  2. Anker, 2003, Uric acid and survival in chronic heart failure: validation and application in metabolic, functional, and hemodynamic staging, Circulation, 107, 1991, 10.1161/01.CIR.0000065637.10517.A0 · DOI · Paper page
  3. Uretsky, 2000, Acute coronary findings at autopsy in heart failure patients with sudden death: results from the Assessment of Treatment With Lisinopril and Survival (ATLAS) trial, Circulation, 102, 611, 10.1161/01.CIR.102.6.611 · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Tang, W. H. W., Wang, Z., Fan, Y., Levison, B., Hazen, J. E., Donahue, L. M., Wu, Y., & Hazen, S. L.
Affiliations
  • Cleveland Clinic (US)
  • Cleveland State University (US)
Corresponding author
Tang, W.H. Wilson
Venue
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2014-11
Volume
64
Issue
18
Pages
1908-1914
ISSN
0735-1097 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2118024623
Cited by
681
References
20
Citations by year
2026: 29 · 2025: 61 · 2024: 49 · 2023: 49 · 2022: 86 · 2021: 75 · 2020: 82 · 2019: 55 · 2018: 67 · 2017: 55 · 2016: 35 · 2015: 30 · 2014: 7
FWCI
17.37
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of the American College of Cardiology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
  • EngagedScholarship @ Cleveland State University (Cleveland State University) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Funders
  • Office of Dietary Supplements (R01 HL103866, P20 HL113452)
  • American Heart Association (12SDG12050473)
  • Abbott Laboratories
  • Cleveland Clinic
  • Case Western Reserve University (UL1TR000439)
  • Georgia Clinical and Translational Science Alliance
  • National Institutes of Health (UL1TR000439)
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01HL103931, P20HL113452, P01HL076491, P01HL098055, R01HL103866)
  • National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Gut microbiota and health
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Heart Failure Treatment and Management
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
Keywords
trimethylamine N-oxide, heart failure, gut microbiota, all-cause mortality, prognostic factors, brain natriuretic peptide, estimated glomerular filtration rate, cardiorenal risk, gut-heart axis
MeSH terms
Aged, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Intestinal Mucosa, Intestines, Male, Methylamines, Middle Aged, Ohio, Prognosis, Prospective Studies, Mass Spectrometry, Time Factors, Biomarkers, Survival Rate, Risk Assessment, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Microbiota

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-05.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-05.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review