Global blue carbon accumulation in tidal wetlands increases with climate change
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Abstract Coastal tidal wetlands produce and accumulate significant amounts of organic carbon (C) that help to mitigate climate change. However, previous data limitations have prevented a robust evaluation of the global rates and mechanisms driving C accumulation. Here, we go beyond recent soil C stock estimates to reveal global tidal wetland C accumulation and predict changes under relative sea level rise, temperature and precipitation. We use data from literature study sites and our new observations spanning wide latitudinal gradients and 20 countries. Globally, tidal wetlands accumulate 53.65 (95%CI: 48.52–59.01) Tg C yr−1, which is ∼30% of the organic C buried on the ocean floor. Modeling based on current climatic drivers and under projected emissions scenarios revealed a net increase in the global C accumulation by 2100. This rapid increase is driven by sea level rise in tidal marshes, and higher temperature and precipitation in mangroves. Countries with large areas of coastal wetlands, like Indonesia and Mexico, are more susceptible to tidal wetland C losses under climate change, while regions such as Australia, Brazil, the USA and China will experience a significant C accumulation increase under all projected scenarios.
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Globally, tidal marshes and mangroves capture 196.72 Tg CO2 per year, which is 30% of the organic C deposited on the ocean floor.
“Globally, tidal marshes and mangroves capture 196.72 Tg CO2 per year, which is 30% of the organic C deposited on the ocean floor.205”
From Technologies and perspectives for achieving carbon neutrality (2021) · cites this paper as [205]
The C stored in coastal ecosystems as blue C can be preserved over millennia, and C sequestration efficiency in marine ecosystems is much higher than that of terrestrial ecosystems.
“The C stored in these coastal ecosystems as blue C can be preserved over millennia, together with the continuous accretion of soil and sediment organic C driven by sea-level rise, the C sequestration efficiency in marine ecosystems is much higher than that of terrestrial ecosystems.205,206”
From Technologies and perspectives for achieving carbon neutrality (2021) · cites this paper as [205]
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- Authors
- Wang, F., Sanders, C. J., Santos, I. R., Tang, J., Schuerch, M., Kirwan, M. L., Kopp, R. E., Zhu, K., Li, X., Yuan, J., Liu, W., & Li, Z.
- Affiliations
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- State Key Laboratory of Estuarine and Coastal Research (CN)
- Southern Cross University (AU)
- University of Lincoln (GB)
- William & Mary (US)
- Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US)
- University of California, Santa Cruz (US)
- Xiaoliang Research Station for Tropical Coastal Ecosystems, Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, and the CAS Engineering Laboratory for Ecological Restoration of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510650, China
- Corresponding author
- Wang, Faming
- Sanders, Christian J
- ORCID
- Venue
- National Science Review
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2020-12-15
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- nwaa296-nwaa296
- ISSN
- 2053-714X (ISSN-L)
- 2095-5138
- PMC
- PMC8433083
- OpenAlex
- W3112344741
- Cited by
- 408
- References
- 74
- Citations by year
- 2026: 89 · 2025: 106 · 2024: 80 · 2023: 62 · 2022: 59 · 2021: 12
- FWCI
- 17.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- National Science Review (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Lincoln Repository (University of Lincoln) (acceptedVersion)
- W&M Publish (College of William & Mary) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- NOAA Institutional Repository (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (31670621, 31870463)
- Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (GML2019ZD0408)
- Guangdong Natural Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars
- CAS Youth Innovation Promotion Association
- National Forestry and Grassland Administration Youth Talent Support Program (2020BJ003)
- R & D program of Guangdong Provincial Department of Science and Technology (2018B030324003)
- I.R.S.
- Australian Research Council (DE160100443, DP150103286, DE140101733, LE140100083)
- NOAA National Estuarine Research Reserve Science Collaborative (NA09NOS4190153, NA14NOS4190145)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Coastal wetland ecosystem dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Peatlands and Wetlands Ecology
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Soil Science › Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics
- Keywords
- blue carbon, tidal wetlands, organic carbon accumulation, coastal carbon sequestration, sea level rise, mangroves, tidal marshes, climate change impacts, latitudinal gradient
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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