The DOI matches its Crossref record; 8 of the 8 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Heat stress and the fitness consequences of climate change for terrestrial ectotherms
Abstract
Summary: Climate change will increase both average temperatures and extreme summer temperatures. Analyses of the fitness consequences of climate change have generally omitted negative fitness and population declines associated with heat stress. Here, we examine how seasonal and interannual temperature variability will impact fitness shifts of ectotherms from the past (1961–1990) to future (2071–2100), by modelling thermal performance curves (TPC s) for insect species across latitudes. In temperate regions, climate change increased the length of the growing season (increasing fitness) and increased the frequency of heat stress (decreasing fitness). Consequently, species at mid‐latitudes (20–40°) showed pronounced but heterogeneous responses to climate change. Fitness decreases for these species were accompanied by greater interannual variation in fitness. An alternative TPC model and a larger data set gave qualitatively similar results. How close maximum summer temperatures are to the critical thermal maximum of a species – the thermal buffer – is a good predictor of the change in mean fitness expected under climate change. Thermal buffers will decrease to near or below zero by 2100 for many tropical and mid‐latitude species. Our forecasts suggest that mid‐latitude species will be particularly susceptible to heat stress associated with climate change due to temperature variation.
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Cites
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Parmesan, C. (2006) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100 · Cited by 8,652
Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude
Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., Sheldon, K. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Haak, D. C., & Martin, P. R. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0709472105 · Cited by 3,840
Erosion of Lizard Diversity by Climate Change and Altered Thermal Niches
Sinervo, B., Méndez-de-la-Cruz, F., Miles, D. B., Heulin, B., Bastiaans, E., Villagrán-Santa Cruz, M., Lara-Resendiz, R., Martínez-Méndez, N., Calderón-Espinosa, M. L., Meza-Lázaro, R. N., et al. (2010) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1184695 · Cited by 1,902
Novel climates, no‐analog communities, and ecological surprises
Williams, J. W., & Jackson, S. T. (2007) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1890/070037 · Cited by 1,736
Global analysis of thermal tolerance and latitude in ectotherms
Sunday, J. M., Bates, A. E., & Dulvy, N. K. (2011) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.1295 · Cited by 1,300
Why tropical forest lizards are vulnerable to climate warming
Huey, R. B., Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Vitt, L. J., Hertz, P. E., Álvarez Pérez, H. J., & Garland, T. (2009) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2008.1957 · Cited by 962
A Global Pattern of Thermal Adaptation in Marine Phytoplankton
Thomas, M. K., Kremer, C. T., Klausmeier, C. A., & Litchman, E. (2012) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1224836 · Cited by 897
Diamond, S. E., Sorger, D. M., Hulcr, J., Pelini, S. L., Toro, I. D., Hirsch, C., Oberg, E., & Dunn, R. R. (2012) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02542.x · Cited by 259 · cited 1×
“Several other recent analyses support the negative impacts of climate change for tropical ectotherms (Huey et al. 2009; Sinervo et al. 2010; Diamond et al. 2012; Bonebrake & Deutsch 2012; Thomas et al. 2012).”
ResultSelf-citation
Cited by
Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web
Lister, B. C., & Garcia, A. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1722477115 · Cited by 730
Climate change‐mediated temperature extremes and insects: From outbreaks to breakdowns
Harvey, J. A., Heinen, R., Gols, R., & Thakur, M. P. (2020) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.15377 · Cited by 334
The Impact of Climate Change on Fertility
Walsh, B. S., Parratt, S. R., Hoffmann, A. A., Atkinson, D., Snook, R. R., Bretman, A., & Price, T. A. R. (2019) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2018.12.002 · Cited by 320
Sørensen, J. G., Kristensen, T. N., & Overgaard, J. (2016) · Current Opinion in Insect Science · doi:10.1016/j.cois.2016.08.003 · Cited by 143
Weyer, N. M. (2018) · Unpublished · doi:10.13140/rg.2.2.11625.40809 · Cited by 5
Metadata
- Authors
- Kingsolver, J. G., Diamond, S. E., & Buckley, L. B.
- Venue
- Functional Ecology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2013-07-29
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 1415-1423
- ISSN
- 0269-8463 (ISSN-L)
- 1365-2435
- OpenAlex
- W2131045871
- Cited by
- 464
- References
- 8
- FWCI
- 18.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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