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Cited by 82Fire effects on ecosystemsPlant Water Relations and Carbon DynamicsEcology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies

Anticipating fire‐mediated impacts of climate change using a demographic framework

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Davis, Kimberley T., Higuera, Philip E., Sala, Anna·2018·Functional Ecology
DOI 10.1111/1365-2435.13132
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Abstract

Climate change indirectly affects forest ecosystems through changes in the frequency, size, and/or severity of wildfires. In addition to its direct effects prior to fire, climate also influences immediate postfire recruitment, with consequences for future vegetation structure and fire activity. A major uncertainty, therefore, is if, when and where vegetation shifts will occur. With an emphasis on species traits, we use a demographic framework to examine how the interaction of changing climate and fire will affect postfire woody vegetation recruitment and the likelihood of vegetation shifts. Each demographic stage – adult mortality, propagule availability, seed germination, seedling establishment, and seedling survival – serves as a filter through which a species must pass for establishment and recovery to occur. We apply this framework to case studies in western North American forests, including boreal and southwestern U.S. Pinus ponderosa forests, to help understand the mechanisms behind recent postfire vegetation changes. The case studies highlight how changes in climate and fire properties will make it increasingly difficult for some species to pass through each demographic filter in the future. As climate warming continues, we expect increased dominance of species that resprout following fire, maintain canopy or soil seed banks, have long distance seed dispersal, produce drought‐tolerant seedlings, and/or reach reproductive maturity quickly. The persistence of postfire vegetation shifts will depend the on ratio of recovery time to disturbance interval(s). An advantage of the demographic‐filter framework is that it places emphasis on mechanisms, thus improving our ability to anticipate future vegetation shifts. As such, it highlights the clear need for more mechanistic studies of postfire recruitment to disentangle the relative effects of multiple drivers in postfire environments. A plain language summary is available for this article.

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  • Post-fire vegetation successional trajectories depend on numerous factors, including fire size and effects, pre- and post-fire climate, recent fire history and plant life-history traits related to survival and recolonization.

    “Post-fire vegetation successional trajectories depend on numerous factors, including fire size and effects, pre-and post-fire climate, recent fire history and plant life-history traits related to survival and recolonization (Davis, Higuera, & Sala, 2018;Johnstone et al., 2016).”

    From Fire as a fundamental ecological process: Research advances and frontiers (2020) · cites this paper as Davis, Higuera, & Sala, 2018

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  • Fire as a fundamental ecological process: Research advances and frontiers

    McLauchlan, K. K., Higuera, P. E., Miesel, J., Rogers, B. M., Schweitzer, J., Shuman, J. K., Tepley, A. J., Varner, J. M., Veblen, T. T., Adalsteinsson, S. A., et al. (2020) · Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2745.13403 · Cited by 729 · see citing works

    “Post-fire vegetation successional trajectories depend on numerous factors, including fire size and effects, pre-and post-fire climate, recent fire history and plant life-history traits related to survival and recolonization (Davis, Higuera, & Sala, 2018; Johnstone et al., 2016).”
    Self-citation

Authors
Davis, K. T., Higuera, P. E., & Sala, A.
Affiliations
University of Montana (US)
Corresponding author
Davis, Kimberley T.
ORCID
Venue
Functional Ecology
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2018-05-29
Volume
32
Issue
7
Pages
1729-1745
ISSN
  • 0269-8463 (ISSN-L)
  • 1365-2435
DOI
10.1111/1365-2435.13132
OpenAlex
W2800385898
Cited by
82
References
7
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 3
FWCI
5.85
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
Functional Ecology (publishedVersion)
Funders
National Science Foundation (BCS 1461576)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
Keywords
climate change, forest fires, species traits, boreal forest, seedling establishment, seedling survival, seed germination, propagule availability, resprouting, soil seed bank, long-distance seed dispersal, drought tolerance, vegetation change

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