The DOI matches its Crossref record; 9 of the 9 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
CO2 emissions from land‐use change affected more by nitrogen cycle, than by the choice of land‐cover data
Open accessAbstract
The high uncertainty in land‐based CO 2 fluxes estimates is thought to be mainly due to uncertainty in not only quantifying historical changes among forests, croplands, and grassland, but also due to different processes included in calculation methods. Inclusion of a nitrogen (N) cycle in models is fairly recent and strongly affects carbon (C) fluxes. In this study, for the first time, we use a model with C and N dynamics with three distinct historical reconstructions of land‐use and land‐use change (LULUC) to quantify LULUC emissions and uncertainty that includes the integrated effects of not only climate and CO 2 but also N. The modeled global average emissions including N dynamics for the 1980s, 1990s, and 2000–2005 were 1.8 ± 0.2, 1.7 ± 0.2, and 1.4 ± 0.2 GtC yr−1, respectively, (mean and range across LULUC data sets). The emissions from tropics were 0.8 ± 0.2, 0.8 ± 0.2, and 0.7 ± 0.3 GtC yr−1, and the non tropics were 1.1 ± 0.5, 0.9 ± 0.2, and 0.7 ± 0.1 GtC yr−1. Compared to previous studies that did not include N dynamics, modeled net LULUC emissions were higher, particularly in the non tropics. In the model, N limitation reduces regrowth rates of vegetation in temperate areas resulting in higher net emissions. Our results indicate that exclusion of N dynamics leads to an underestimation of LULUC emissions by around 70% in the non tropics, 10% in the tropics, and 40% globally in the 1990s. The differences due to inclusion/exclusion of the N cycle of 0.1 GtC yr−1 in the tropics, 0.6 GtC yr−1 in the non tropics, and 0.7 GtC yr−1 globally (mean across land‐cover data sets) in the 1990s were greater than differences due to the land‐cover data in the non tropics and globally (0.2 GtC yr−1). While land‐cover information is improving with satellite and inventory data, this study indicates the importance of accounting for different processes, in particular the N cycle.
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Citations
Cites
A large and persistent carbon sink in the world’s forests
Pan, Y., Birdsey, R. A., Fang, J., Houghton, R., Kauppi, P. E., Kurz, W. A., Phillips, O. L., Shvidenko, A., Lewis, S. L., Canadell, J. G., et al. (2011) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1201609 · Cited by 8,458
Nitrogen cycles: Past, present, and future
Galloway, J. N., Dentener, F. J., Capone, D. G., Boyer, E. W., Howarth, R. W., Seitzinger, S. P., Asner, G. P., Cleveland, C. C., Green, P. A., Holland, E. A., et al. (2004) · Biogeochemistry · doi:10.1007/s10533-004-0370-0 · Cited by 5,315
The Evolution and Future of Earth’s Nitrogen Cycle
Canfield, D. E., Glazer, A. N., & Falkowski, P. G. (2010) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1186120 · Cited by 2,697
Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700 to 1992
Ramankutty, N., & Foley, J. A. (1999) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/1999gb900046 · Cited by 2,074
Farming the planet: 1. Geographic distribution of global agricultural lands in the year 2000
Ramankutty, N., Evan, A. T., Monfreda, C., & Foley, J. A. (2008) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/2007gb002952 · Cited by 1,942
Klein Goldewijk, K., Beusen, A., van Drecht, G., & de Vos, M. (2011) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00587.x · Cited by 1,270 · cited 3×
“…consistent methodology by Meiyappan & Jain (2012): (i) The HYDE (Historical Database of the Global Environment) spatially explicit data set (Klein Goldewijk et al., 2010, 2011), which is the basis of the Hurtt et al. (2011) data set supplied for Earth System Models being used in the upcoming…”
MethodInfluentialNet carbon dioxide losses of northern ecosystems in response to autumn warming
Piao, S., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Peylin, P., Reichstein, M., Luyssaert, S., Margolis, H., Fang, J., Barr, A., Chen, A., et al. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06444 · Cited by 1,157
HURTT, G. C., FROLKING, S., FEARON, M. G., MOORE, B., SHEVLIAKOVA, E., MALYSHEV, S., PACALA, S. W., & HOUGHTON, R. A. (2006) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01150.x · Cited by 531
A synthesis of information on rapid land-cover change for the period 1981–2000
LEPERS, E., LAMBIN, E. F., JANETOS, A. C., DeFRIES, R., ACHARD, F., RAMANKUTTY, N., & SCHOLES, R. J. (2005) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2005)055[0115:asoior]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 478 · cited 2×
“It is widely acknowledged that a key uncertainty in LULUC emissions stems from uncertainties in estimating historical changes in areal coverage among forests, croplands, and grassland, though the uncertainties have significantly narrowed with time mainly due to improved data from satellites and inventories (Goldewijk…”
Background
Cited by
Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Bakker, D. C. E., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Luijkx, I. T., Peters, G. P., et al. (2023) · Earth System Science Data · doi:10.5194/essd-15-5301-2023 · Cited by 1,500
Self-citationFriedlingstein, P., Jones, M. W., O'Sullivan, M., Andrew, R. M., Bakker, D. C. E., Hauck, J., Le Quéré, C., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., et al. (2022) · Earth System Science Data · doi:10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022 · Cited by 1,285
Self-citationLe Quéré, C., Peters, G. P., Andres, R. J., Andrew, R. M., Boden, T. A., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Houghton, R. A., Marland, G., Moriarty, R., et al. (2014) · Earth System Science Data · doi:10.5194/essd-6-235-2014 · Cited by 450
Self-citationLand-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets
Harper, A. B., Powell, T., Cox, P. M., House, J., Huntingford, C., Lenton, T. M., Sitch, S., Burke, E., Chadburn, S. E., Collins, W. J., et al. (2018) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z · Cited by 335
Self-citationClimate–carbon cycle uncertainties and the Paris Agreement
Holden, P. B., Edwards, N. R., Ridgwell, A., Wilkinson, R. D., Fraedrich, K., Lunkeit, F., Pollitt, H., Mercure, J.-F., Salas, P., Lam, A., et al. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0197-7 · Cited by 88
Metadata
- Authors
- Jain, A. K., Meiyappan, P., Song, Y., & House, J. I.
- Venue
- Global Change Biology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2013-04-18
- Volume
- 19
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 2893-2906
- ISSN
- 1354-1013 (ISSN-L)
- 1365-2486
- OpenAlex
- W2115072069
- Cited by
- 170
- References
- 9
- FWCI
- 19.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- Jain, A. K., Meiyappan, P., Song, Y., & House, J. I. (2013). CO2 emissions from land‐use change affected more by nitrogen cycle, than by the choice of land‐cover data. Global Change Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12207
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Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
