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Conspiracy theories: Causes and cures
Open accessAbstract
Many millions of people hold conspiracy theories; they believe that powerful people have worked together in order to withhold the truth about some important practice or some terrible event. A recent example is the belief, widespread in some parts of the world, that the attacks of 9/11 were carried out not by Al Qaeda, but by Israel or the United States. Those who subscribe to conspiracy theories may create serious risks, including risks of violence, and the existence of such theories raises significant challenges for policy and law. The first challenge is to understand the mechanisms by which conspiracy theories prosper; the second challenge is to understand how such theories might be undermined. Such theories typically spread as a result of identifiable cognitive blunders, operating in conjunction with informational and reputational influences. A distinctive feature of conspiracy theories is their self-sealing quality. Conspiracy theorists are not likely to be persuaded by an attempt to dispel their theories; they may even characterize that very attempt as further proof of the conspiracy. Because those who hold conspiracy theories typically suffer from a crippled epistemology, in accordance with which it is rational to hold such theories, the best response consists in cognitive infiltration of extremist groups. Various policy dilemmas, such as the question whether it is better for government to rebut conspiracy theories or to ignore them, are explored in this light.
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“Similarly, different strategies for successful intervention may apply for people who hold strong anti-vaccine conspiracy beliefs than those who do not hold strong beliefs [44].”
From The Effects of Anti-Vaccine Conspiracy Theories on Vaccination Intentions (2014) · cites this paper as [44]
In the citing paper
“Conspiracist ideation is also typically immune to falsification because contradictory evidence (e.g., climate scientists being exonerated of accusations) can be accommodated by broadening the scope of the conspiracy (exonerations are a whitewash), often with considerable creativity [32].”
From The Role of Conspiracist Ideation and Worldviews in Predicting Rejection of Science (2013) · cites this paper as [32]
In the citing paper
“evidence against conspiracy theories is often construed as evidence for them, because the evidence is interpreted as arising from the conspiracy in question”
From The Role of Conspiracist Ideation and Worldviews in Predicting Rejection of Science (2013) · cites this paper as [32]
In the citing paper
“These general and robust findings help identify communicative means by which the motivated reasoning can be attenuated or circumvented [5], [32], [38], [50].”
From The Role of Conspiracist Ideation and Worldviews in Predicting Rejection of Science (2013) · cites this paper as [32]
Citations
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InfluentialConspiracy Theories in a Networked World
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“The academic study of conspiracy is important because theories, despite being typically false, possess the potential to influence mainstream moods, opinions, and behaviors (Sunstein and Vermeule, 2009).”
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Introducing conspiracy intuitions to better understand conspiracy beliefs.
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“Conspiracy theory, briefly, is ‘an effort to explain some event or practice by reference to the machinations of powerful people, who attempt to conceal their role’ (Sunstein and Vermeule, 2009: 205).”
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“These “ other ” beliefs include those related to conspir-acies: beliefs that seek to explain an event by invoking the machinations of powerful people who attempt to conceal their role while pursuing malevolent goals (Bale 2007; Sunstein and Vermeule 2009).”
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“Conspiracy theories have been considered as the outcomes of crippled epistemologies (Sunstein & Vermeule, 2009).”
Populism and Conspiracy: A Historical Synthesis of American Countersubversive Narratives
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A rhetorical perspective on conspiracies
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“I Heard That COVID-19 Was...”: Rumors, Pandemic, and Psychological Distance
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“This cell corresponds to most research on conspiracy belief in advanced democracies, which views conspiracy belief as normatively problematic (e.g., Sunstein and Vermeule 2009) or as an aberration from an accepted standard of rationality (Douglas, Sutton, and Cichocka 2017; Swami and Coles 2010;…”
BackgroundConceptual Approaches to the Study of Spatial Inequality: the Case of Russian Education
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“” Unfortunately, how to fight conspiracy theories remains a difficult question as research outside business ethics shows how difficult it is to debunk these theories and how attempts to debunk a theory often become, in the eyes of the conspiracists, evidence that the conspiracy is real (Sunstein and Vermeule 2009).”
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“Belief in conspiracies is a worldwide social phenomenon (van Prooijen & Douglas, 2018), and they are surprisingly endorsed by a significant number of citizens in both developed countries and developing countries (Sunstein & Vermeule, 2009).”
BackgroundConspiracy Theories and Democratic Legitimacy
Mittendorf, W. (2023) · Social Epistemology · doi:10.1080/02691728.2023.2172700 · Cited by 11
“Conspiracy theories are frequently described as a threat to democracy and conspiracy theorists portrayed as epistemically or morally unreasonable (Lynch 2021; Muirhead and Rosenblum 2020; Cíbik and Hardoš 2020; Cassam 2019; Stanley 2018; Sunstein and Vermeule 2009; Hofstadter 2008; Popper 1963).”
BackgroundConspiracy Theory and (or as) Folk Psychology
Keeley, B. L. (2023) · Social Epistemology · doi:10.1080/02691728.2023.2191290 · Cited by 11
“An evocative turn of phrase introduced into conspiracy theory theory by Sunstein and Vermeule (2009), but originally coined (to my knowledge) in Hardin (2002).”
BackgroundLikely and Unlikely Stories: Conspiracy Theories in an Age of Propaganda
Marmura, S. M. E. (2014) · International journal of communication · Cited by 11
Validating Conspiracy Beliefs and Effectively Communicating Scientific Consensus
Bolsen, T., & Druckman, J. N. (2018) · Weather Climate and Society · doi:10.1175/wcas-d-17-0096.1 · Cited by 11
“This is often referred to as (dis)confirmation bias (Taber and Lodge 2006; Leeper and Slothuus 2014): confirming one’s existing beliefs, or protecting one’s existing worldview, is more important than ‘‘getting it right’’ (i.e., inconsistent information is disconfirmed or rejected).”
BackgroundWang, J., Min, L., Wang, Y., Zhou, Z.-C., & Li-Qiong, Z. (2019) · International Journal of Modern Physics C · doi:10.1142/s012918311950075x · Cited by 11
Burri, M. (2022) · Economic analysis of law in European legal scholarship · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-95876-3_2 · Cited by 11
Meuer, M., Oeberst, A., & Imhoff, R. (2022) · European Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1002/ejsp.2903 · Cited by 14
Metadata
- Authors
- Sunstein, C. R., & Vermeule, A.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Political Philosophy
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2009-04-13
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 202-227
- ISSN
- 0963-8016 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9760
- OpenAlex
- W2009369609
- Cited by
- 1,050
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 92 · 2025: 90 · 2024: 98 · 2023: 109 · 2022: 161 · 2021: 107 · 2020: 102 · 2019: 78 · 2018: 63 · 2017: 39 · 2016: 33 · 2015: 31 · 2014: 23 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 10
- FWCI
- 2.31
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- nrs.harvard.edu
- Locations
- Journal of Political Philosophy (publishedVersion)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Philosophy › Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
- Keywords
- conspiracy theories, 9/11 conspiracy theories, cognitive errors, epistemology, misinformation, extremist groups, countering disinformation, public policy
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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