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Accelerated Human Population Growth at Protected Area Edges
Abstract
Protected areas (PAs) have long been criticized as creations of and for an elite few, where associated costs, but few benefits, are borne by marginalized rural communities. Contrary to predictions of this argument, we found that average human population growth rates on the borders of 306 PAs in 45 countries in Africa and Latin America were nearly double average rural growth, suggesting that PAs attract, rather than repel, human settlement. Higher population growth on PA edges is evident across ecoregions, countries, and continents and is correlated positively with international donor investment in national conservation programs and an index of park-related funding. These findings provide insight on the value of PAs for local people, but also highlight a looming threat to PA effectiveness and biodiversity conservation.
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“However, as human populations adjacent to many protected areas are growing rapidly (Wittemyer et al., 2008), colonization and propagule pressures will increase.”
From Scientists' warning on invasive alien species (2020) · cites this paper as Wittemyer et al., 2008
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“Previous studies suggest that both the rate of landuse change and the growth of human populations can be fastest near protected area boundaries ( 13 -16 ), which accelerate the rate of edge degradation through increased livestock production, crop cultivation, and extraction of natural resources such as charcoal and bushmeat.”
From Cross-boundary human impacts compromise the Serengeti-Mara ecosystem (2019) · cites this paper as [13]
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“Our results confirm a study by Wittemyer et al. (2008), who revealed that average human population growth rates adjacent to 306 Protected Areas (PA) across 45 African and Latin American countries that these PAs were nearly double the average rural population growth.”
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BackgroundA community perspective on participatory conservation in western Tanzania
Wilfred, P. (2017) · European Journal of Wildlife Research · doi:10.1007/s10344-017-1116-3 · Cited by 5
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Dillon, B. G., Possingham, H. P., & Holden, M. H. (2025) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111469 · Cited by 5
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Bajwa, P., & Chauhan, N. P. S. (2019) · Ecoscience · doi:10.1080/11956860.2019.1654635 · Cited by 4
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BackgroundMoleón, M., Cortés‐Avizanda, A., Pérez‐García, J. M., Bautista, J., Geoghegan, C., Carrete, M., Amar, A., Sánchez‐Zapata, J. A., & Donázar, J. A. (2020) · Biodiversity and Conservation · doi:10.1007/s10531-020-02027-0 · Cited by 4
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“Connectivity at the species and scale of interest are poorly studied within and between many of the proposed landscape-scale linkages in KAZA [27], but with human pressure increasing throughout the region [11,28], there is a need to understand how Human Footprint Pressures are impacting connectivity for key species of…”
BackgroundDirect comparisons of logging and agroforestry influence on tropical mammals in Sarawak, Borneo
Yi, M. C. K., Kaicheen, S. S., Brodie, J. F., & Mohd‐Azlan, J. (2022) · Biotropica · doi:10.1111/btp.13134 · Cited by 4
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Huang, Z., Peng, Y., Wang, R., Cui, G., Zhang, B., & Lu, N. (2021) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su13073904 · Cited by 4
“As of 2015, anthropogenic activities are prevalent across 446 national reserves in China [20], with expectations of continued increase as the population increases [21].”
BackgroundMelangkah maju dengan REDD: isu, pilihan dan implikasi
Angelsen, A., Atmadja, S., & eds. (2010) · Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) eBooks · doi:10.17528/cifor/003050 · Cited by 4
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Al-Zubaidy, M. S. K. (2014) · American journal of civil engineering and architecture · doi:10.12691/ajcea-2-6-1 · Cited by 4
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Peres, C. A. (2013) · Conservation Biology · doi:10.1002/9781118679838.ch29 · Cited by 4
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Kisingo, A. W. (2013) · UVic’s Research and Learning Repository (University of Victoria) · Cited by 4
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Brown, N., Villada, A., & Trull, S. (2023) · Open Veterinary Science · doi:10.1515/ovs-2022-0115 · Cited by 3
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Lwankomezi, E. B., & Kaganga, L. S. (2024) · International Journal of Environmental Studies · doi:10.1080/00207233.2024.2389667 · Cited by 3
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Arı, Y. (2024) · lnternational Journal of Geography and Geography Education · doi:10.32003/igge.1492106 · Cited by 3
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Robalino, J., Mullan, K., Piaggio, M., & Guzmán, M. (2023) · Economics of Disasters and Climate Change · doi:10.1007/s41885-023-00134-0 · Cited by 5
“Moreover, increased income can attract migration from other regions (Wittemyer et al. 2008), increasing the population exposure.”
BackgroundConservation spillover effect of UNESCO World Heritage Sites into surrounding landscapes
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BackgroundMuteya, H. K., Mokuba, H. K., Sambiéni, K. R., Sikuzani, Y. U., Moyene, A. B., & Bogaert, J. (2024) · VertigO · doi:10.4000/124gl · Cited by 4
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ResultLiu, F., Zhang, P., Zhang, Y., Chen, B., Du, J., Wang, W., & Li, J. (2017) · Biodiversity Science · doi:10.17520/biods.2017134 · Cited by 3
Common property protected areas
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Shilereyo, M. T., Magige, F. J., Ogutu, J. O., & Røskaft, E. (2019) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/727206 · Cited by 3
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“The limited choices of poor-income individuals, requiring them to migrate to another region (e.g. Hoffman, 2011; Truong, 2018; Wittemyer et al., 2008), accepting (often poor) working conditions and living in distance to the job because of second home development and non-affordable prices in the…”
BackgroundTowns and Trails Drive Carnivore Connectivity using a Step Selection ApproachPreprint
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BackgroundInfluentialTemesgen, F., & Warkineh, B. (2025) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.19428 · Cited by 2
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Hilty, J., Worboys, G. L., Keeley, A. T. H., Woodley, S. J., Lausche, B. J., Locke, H., Carr, M. H., Pulsford, I., Pittock, J., White, W. J., et al. (2021) · doi:10.2305/iucn.ch.2020.pag.30.es · Cited by 8
Bergallo, H. G., dos Santos, L. N., Barros, F., Petruzzella, A., Figueiredo, B. R. S., Pereira, A. D., Latini, A. O., Lopes, A. V., Rosa, C., Filho, E. A. V., et al. (2024) · doi:10.4322/978-65-00-87228-6.cap3 · Cited by 2
Chinoitezvi, H., Kusangaya, S., Muzamba, C. P., Ndlovu, M., & Hungwe, C. (2024) · OALib · doi:10.4236/oalib.1111509 · Cited by 2
“Many people living close to parks depend largely on natural resources for their livelihood and basic needs (Wittemyer, et al., 2008) [3].”
Tscharntke, T., Leuschner, C., Veldkamp, E., Faust, H., Guhardja, E., & Bidin, A. (2010) · Environmental science and engineering · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-00493-3_1 · Cited by 2
“For example, protected areas may attract, rather than repel, human settlement, which may be due to international donor investment in national conservation programs ( Wittemeyer et al. 2008 ).”
BackgroundMüller, G. D. O., & de Oliveira, L. M. T. (2020) · Neotropical Biology and Conservation · doi:10.3897/neotropical.15.e49490 · Cited by 2
“Entretanto, áreas protegidas cercadas pela presença de populações humanas estão sujeitas a diversos impactos (Wittemyer et al. 2008).”
BackgroundEffect of Protected Areas on Human Populations in the Context of Colombian Armed Conflict, 2005–2018
Rodríguez-Díaz, R., Colino-Rabanal, V. J., Gutiérrez‐López, A., & Blanco-Villegas, M. J. (2020) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su13010146 · Cited by 2
“Attracted by the opportunities provided by protected areas, many people have settled in the vicinity of these zones [21].”
BackgroundWei, Z., Zengrang, X., & Shi-ping, M. A. O. (2019) · 自然资源学报 · doi:10.31497/zrzyxb.20191012 · Cited by 2
Adamo, S. B., & Curran, S. R. (2011) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-0186-5_7 · Cited by 2
Sepúlveda, M. A. (2013) · University of Minnesota Digital Conservancy (University of Minnesota) · Cited by 2
Coupled human and natural systems approach to tiger conservation in Chitwan, Nepal and beyond
Carter, N. (2013) · Michigan State University Libraries · doi:10.25335/m5b72b · Cited by 2
Ecosystems and ecosystem-based management
Haas, C. A., Frimpong, E. A., & Karpanty, S. M. (2009) · VTechWorks (Virginia Tech) · Cited by 2
Versiani, N. F. (2016) · Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations (Universidade de São Paulo) · doi:10.11606/t.59.2016.tde-11072016-100016 · Cited by 2
Miranda, J. J., Corral, L., Blackman, A., Asner, G. P., & Lima, E. (2014) · doi:10.18235/0011667 · Cited by 2
Economics of carbon sequestration in forestry
Sohngen, B. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-91013-2.00062-9 · Cited by 2
Durán, A. P. (2014) · UPT. Syiah Kuala University Library (Syiah Kuala University) · Cited by 2
Vulnerability of wilderness areas to day-use visits
McCarley, T. R., Aycrigg, J. L., Martinuzzi, S., Belote, R. T., & Holmes, T. P. (2023) · Environmental Conservation · doi:10.1017/s0376892923000279 · Cited by 1
Brazner, J., MacKinnon, F., Walker, J., Cameron, R., & Crewe, T. L. (2024) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2024.121818 · Cited by 2
Angaye, T., & Lelei, K. E. (2025) · Greener Journal of Ecology and Ecosolution · doi:10.15580/gjee.2025.1.032425046 · Cited by 1
Forbes, R. E., Everatt, K. T., Spong, G., & Kerley, G. I. H. (2025) · Mammal Research · doi:10.1007/s13364-025-00812-2 · Cited by 1
“However, even in protected areas, many cheetah populations are declining (Durant et al. 2022) due to human and livestock encroachment (which often results in conflict) and associated prey depletion (Wittemyer et al. 2008; Lindsey et al. 2017).”
Global rural settlement expansion rivals its urban counterpart in biodiversity impact
Liu, Z., Fang, C., Huang, S., Li, G., Bao, C., Sun, S., Guan, L., & Liu, M. (2025) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-025-03082-7 · Cited by 2
“21, we extracted the extents of urban settlement expansion on non-settlement land (USE), rural settlement expansion on non-settlement land (RSE), and rural-to-urban settlement conversion (RUSC) from 2000 to 2020.”
Amadi, N., Nyimale, A. G., Luiselli, L., Petrozzi, F., Fa, J. E., Chimela, W., Aruchi, W.-E., Ndidi, A. P., & Chukwu, H. O. (2025) · Urban Ecosystems · doi:10.1007/s11252-025-01877-2 · Cited by 1
“…ecological relevance, especially in tropical regions where rapid settlement expansion and infrastructural development—even within biodiversity hotspots and in proximity to conservation areas—are reshaping habitat availability and resource distribution (Wittemyer et al. 2008; Seto et al. 2012).”
Zimmermann, A., & McQuinn, B. (2026) · doi:10.1093/9780191949869.001.0001 · Cited by 1
Allin, P., Seydou, F. M., Radloff, F. G. T., Davies, A. B., & Leslie, A. J. (2026) · Wildlife Biology · doi:10.1002/wlb3.01523 · Cited by 1
Mialhe, F., Piron, A., Floch, A. L., Griffon, S., Scholte, P. T., Pradel, R., Ze, S. O., Guerbois, C., Pays, O., Church, J. M., et al. (2026) · African Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/aje.70162 · Cited by 2
Metadata
- Authors
- Wittemyer, G., Elsen, P., Bean, W. T., Burton, A. C. O., & Brashares, J. S.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Berkeley (US)
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
- Corresponding author
- Wittemyer, George
- Brashares, Justin S.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2008-07-04
- Volume
- 321
- Issue
- 5885
- Pages
- 123-126
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2093559267
- Cited by
- 731
- References
- 20
- Citations by year
- 2026: 32 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 35 · 2023: 48 · 2022: 43 · 2021: 45 · 2020: 49 · 2019: 44 · 2018: 41 · 2017: 44 · 2016: 37 · 2015: 38 · 2014: 41 · 2013: 52 · 2012: 39
- FWCI
- 37.06
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Wildlife Ecology and Conservation
- Keywords
- protected areas, population growth, rural settlement, conservation effectiveness, biodiversity conservation, donor funding, conservation funding, Africa, Latin America
- MeSH terms
- Conservation of Natural Resources, Financial Support, Humans, Infant, Infant Mortality, International Agencies, Latin America, Population Growth, Poverty, Rural Population, Ecosystem, Africa South of the Sahara, Biodiversity
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