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Natural History of Asymptomatic Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction in the Community
Abstract
Background— Information is limited regarding the rates of progression to congestive heart failure (CHF) and death in individuals with asymptomatic left ventricular systolic dysfunction (ALVD). We sought to characterize the natural history of ALVD, by studying unselected individuals with this condition in the community. Methods and Results— We studied 4257 participants (1860 men) from the Framingham Study who underwent routine echocardiography. The prevalence of ALVD (visually estimated ejection fraction [EF]≤50% without a history of CHF) was 6.0% in men and 0.8% in women. During up to 12 years of follow-up, rates of CHF among subjects with normal left ventricular systolic function (EF >50%, n=4128) and ALVD (n=129) were 0.7 and 5.8 per 100 person-years, respectively. After adjustment for cardiovascular disease risk factors, ALVD was associated with a hazards ratio (HR) for CHF of 4.7 (95% CI 2.7 to 8.1), compared with individuals without ALVD. An elevated risk of CHF after ALVD was observed even in individuals without prior myocardial infarction or valvular disease, with an adjusted HR of 6.5 (CI 3.1 to 13.5). Mild ALVD (EF 40% to 50%, n=78) and moderate-to-severe ALVD (EF <40%, n=51) were associated with adjusted HRs for CHF of 3.3 (CI 1.7 to 6.6) and 7.8 (CI 3.9 to 15.6), respectively. ALVD was also associated with an increased mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.6, CI 1.1 to 2.4). The median survival of ALVD subjects was 7.1 years. Conclusion— Individuals with ALVD in the community are at high risk of CHF and death, even when only mild impairment of EF is present. Additional studies are needed to define optimal therapy for mild ALVD.
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“Moreover, there are no strategies to identify individuals at risk of developing SHDs, despite the presence of evidence-based interventions that can alter the course of patients.6-8”
From Ensemble Deep Learning Algorithm for Structural Heart Disease Screening Using Electrocardiographic Images (2025) · cites this paper as [8]
In the citing paper
“Recent guidelines have a notable emphasis on the detection of asymptomatic ventricular dysfunction (“stage B heart failure”) as part of efforts to understand and prevent overt heart failure.61”
From The Framingham Heart Study and the epidemiology of cardiovascular disease: a historical perspective (2014) · cites this paper as [61]
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Self-citationRisk factors for heart failure
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BackgroundSelf-citationCD36 Expression Contributes to Age-Induced Cardiomyopathy in Mice
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Abnormal electrocardiographic findings in athletes: recognising changes suggestive of cardiomyopathy
Drezner, J. A., Ashley, E. A., Baggish, A. L., Börjesson, M., Corrado, D., Owens, D. S., Patel, A. A., Pelliccia, A., Vetter, V. L., Ackerman, M. J., et al. (2013) · British Journal of Sports Medicine · doi:10.1136/bjsports-2012-092069 · Cited by 130
Biomarkers for heart failure: small molecules with high clinical relevance
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“Unless compensated for by hyperkinetic wall motion in remote areas, the physiological effect of a WMA is a reduction in the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) which is closely related to prognosis in chronic coronary artery disease [7-11].”
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Azad, N., & Lemay, G. (2014) · Europe PMC (PubMed Central) · doi:10.11909/j.issn.1671-5411.2014.04.008 · Cited by 161
Grigoratos, C., Barison, A., Ivanov, A., et al. (2019) · JACC. Cardiovascular imaging · doi:10.1016/j.jcmg.2018.12.029 · Cited by 119
Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction
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The Influence of Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Characteristics on Heart Failure
Myasoedova, E., Crowson, C. S., Nicola, P., Kremers, H. M., Davis, J. M., Roger, V. L., Therneau, T. M., & Gabriel, S. E. (2011) · The Journal of Rheumatology · doi:10.3899/jrheum.100979 · Cited by 116
“Medications were modeled 2 ways: (1) as use at any time where the time-dependent covariates reflected medication start dates only; and (2) as current use where the time-dependent covariates represented the time each patient was taking each medication, beginning at start date and ending at stop date for each medication.”
MethodMureddu, G. F., Agabiti, N., Rizzello, V., Forastiere, F., Latini, R., Cesaroni, G., Masson, S., Cacciatore, G., Colivicchi, F., Uguccioni, M., et al. (2012) · European Journal of Heart Failure · doi:10.1093/eurjhf/hfs052 · Cited by 118
Masci, P. G., Doulaptsis, C., Bertella, E., Torto, A. D., Symons, R., Pontone, G., Barison, A., Droogné, W., Andreini, D., Lorenzoni, V., et al. (2014) · Circulation Heart Failure · doi:10.1161/circheartfailure.113.000996 · Cited by 116
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“Congestive heart failure (CHF) remains to be one of the major cardiovascular disorders in the world”
BackgroundThe Epidemiology of Congestive Heart Failure: Contributions from the Framingham Heart Study
Mahmood, S., & Wang, T. J. (2013) · Global Heart · doi:10.1016/j.gheart.2012.12.006 · Cited by 119
Self-citationFarolfi, A., Melegari, E., Aquilina, M., et al. (2013) · Heart · doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2012-303151 · Cited by 111
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Arterial Stiffness Is Associated With Regional Ventricular Systolic and Diastolic Dysfunction
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Elevated Levels of Oxidative DNA Damage in Serum and Myocardium of Patients With Heart Failure
Kono, Y., Nakamura, K., Kimura, H., Nishii, N., Watanabe, A., Banba, K., Miura, A., Nagase, S., Sakuragi, S., KUSANO, K. F., et al. (2006) · Circulation Journal · doi:10.1253/circj.70.1001 · Cited by 107
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“Yet, a notable 62% of patients with asymptomatic LVEF decline who developed CHF had a history of baseline or interval myocardial infarction.(14) However, in the oncology setting, the association between asymptomatic LVEF decline and CHF is”
Backgroundde Lemos, J. A., McGuire, D. K., Khera, A., Das, S. R., Murphy, S. A., Omland, T., & Drazner, M. H. (2009) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2008.12.017 · Cited by 103
“0 25 (3-65) 94 (91-96) 7 (1-24) 98 (97-99) Black 688 8.”
InfluentialSundström, J. (2004) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ehj.2004.01.008 · Cited by 103
Association of Cardiorespiratory Fitness With Left Ventricular Remodeling and Diastolic Function
Brinker, S., Pandey, A., Ayers, C. R., Barlow, C. E., DeFina, L. F., Willis, B. L., Radford, N. B., Farzaneh‐Far, R., de Lemos, J. A., Drazner, M. H., et al. (2014) · JACC Heart Failure · doi:10.1016/j.jchf.2014.01.004 · Cited by 102
Fernandes, V., Polak, J. F., Edvardsen, T., Carvalho, B. S., Gomes, A. S., Bluemke, D. A., Nasir, K., O’Leary, D. H., & Lima, J. A. C. (2006) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2005.12.075 · Cited by 99
“Because asymptomatic global LV dysfunction is considered to be a subclinical marker of heart failure because of its frequent progression to symptomatic CHF ( 25 ,26), the IMT-related alterations of regional LV function reported in this study could represent the earliest signs of myocardial functional impairment in the…”
BackgroundPhosphinic peptides as zinc metalloproteinase inhibitors
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Soliman, O. I. I., Krenning, B. J., Geleijnse, M. L., Nemes, A., van Geuns, R., Baks, T., Anwar, A. M., Galema, T. W., Vletter, W. B., & ten Cate, F. J. (2007) · Echocardiography · doi:10.1111/j.1540-8175.2007.00502.x · Cited by 97
Clinical prediction of incident heart failure risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis
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“The original intention of the analysis was to develop a risk score using the available clinical variables.”
MethodYao, X., McCoy, R. G., Friedman, P. A., Shah, N. D., Barry, B. A., Behnken, E. M., Inselman, J. W., Attia, Z. I., & Noseworthy, P. A. (2020) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2019.10.007 · Cited by 98
Heart failure in younger patients: the Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC)
Wong, C. M., Hawkins, N. M., Petrie, M. C., Jhund, P. S., Gardner, R. S., Ariti, C. A., Poppe, K., Earle, N. J., WHALLEY, G. A., Squire, I. B., et al. (2014) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehu216 · Cited by 98
Ferreira, J., Ezekowitz, M. D., Connolly, S. J., Brueckmann, M., Fraessdorf, M., Reilly, P. A., Yusuf, S., & Wallentin, L. C. (2013) · European Journal of Heart Failure · doi:10.1093/eurjhf/hft111 · Cited by 96
Left Ventricular Assist Devices Are Underutilized
Miller, L. W. (2011) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.110.958991 · Cited by 97
Metadata
- Authors
- Wang, T. J., Evans, J. C., Benjamin, E. J., Levy, D., LeRoy, E. C., & Vasan, R. S.
- Affiliations
- Boston University (US)
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 2003-08-26
- Volume
- 108
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 977-982
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- OpenAlex
- W2095689312
- Semantic Scholar
- c0b4cca1f7420447dfabc94c7398e07a3c8a6163
- Cited by
- 633
- References
- 24
- Citations by year
- 2026: 21 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 28 · 2023: 22 · 2022: 20 · 2021: 45 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 36 · 2018: 29 · 2017: 39 · 2016: 32 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 28 · 2013: 37 · 2012: 36
- FWCI
- 11.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Circulation (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (5k23hl074077-03, 5k24hl004334-08, n01hc25195-41-0-1, 5r01ns017950-40)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K23 HL074077-01, K24-HL-04334-01A1, N01‐HC25195)
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (5-R01-NS-17950)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Function and Risk Factors
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Heart Failure Treatment and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiomyopathy and Myosin Studies
- Keywords
- natural history (disease), congestive heart failure, mortality risk, ejection fraction, Framingham Heart Study, community-based cohort, disease progression
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Echocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Male, Massachusetts, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Stroke Volume, Systole, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Incidence, Prevalence, Survival Rate, Proportional Hazards Models, Age of Onset, Age Distribution, Disease Progression, Ventricular Dysfunction, Left, Risk Assessment, Disease-Free Survival
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