ADHD Medication and Substance-Related Problems
Open accessAbstract
Large within-individual claims study of ADHD medication and substance-related events.
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Cites
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Claims the paper makes
15 of 24 cited sources checked · 11 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
More recent studies report that medication treatment is linked to lower substance-related risk.
“In fact, several more recent studies have found that medication treatment is associated with decreased substance-related risk (18–20).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [18] sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
- cites [19] sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
- cites [20] source
The Discussion (Duration of stimulant medication therapy; page unavailable) reports lower subsequent substance-use rates with early, sustained ADHD stimulant treatment. The claim omits that qualification: the Results and Discussion describe higher substance-use rates among adolescents who began stimulant treatment later or received it for a shorter period, relative to the early, sustained-treatment group. The study supports an association for a particular treatment pattern, not medication treatment generally. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The Multimodal Treatment Study follow-up and a meta-analysis found no link between medication and substance use or problems.
“For example, follow-up data from the Multimodal Treatment Study of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder and a meta-analysis showed no medication associations with substance use or problems (16, 17).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationcitation
The study extends prior Swedish findings of lower substance-related problem risk with stimulant medication by showing within-individual links to both lower concurrent and lower long-term event risk.
“They extend a finding of associations between stimulant medication and lower risk of substance-related problems in Sweden by demonstrating within-individual associations with not only lower concurrent risk but also lower long-term risk of substance-related events (19).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [19] source
The Results report a within-individual association between stimulant medication and lower concurrent substance-abuse rates in the Swedish cohort. The Discussion reports a lower long-term risk association over four years, but explicitly says a within-individual analysis was not possible for the long-term outcome. Thus, the claim incorrectly describes the long-term association as within-individual. (LLM, conf=0.91)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Premisereasoning
Investigators have adopted observational designs using large health-record datasets and within-person comparisons between medicated and un-medicated periods, with each patient serving as their own control.
“Consequently, researchers have turned to observational approaches that combine large-scale health-record data with designs that make within-individual comparisons across medicated and un-medicated periods, treating each patient as their own control (26, 27).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Observational study conclusions are limited by possible confounding from differences between pharmacologically treated and untreated patients, known as confounding by indication.
“At the same time, conclusions from observational studies have been constrained by the possibility of confounding from differences between patients who are and are not treated pharmacologically (i.e., confounding by indication) (16).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] source
- Findingown data
Male patients with ADHD had higher odds of at least one substance-related event than matched non-ADHD male controls (3.2% vs 1.2%; OR=2.69, 95% CI 2.65-2.74).
“Male (3.2%) and female (2.6%) ADHD patients were more likely to have at least one substance-related event than were male (1.2%; OR = 2.69, 95% CI, 2.65–2.74) and female (0.8%; OR = 3.30, 95% CI, 3.23–3.37) controls.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted within-individual models, male patients had 19% lower odds of substance-related events two years after medicated periods (OR=0.81, 95% CI 0.78-0.85).
“However, in adjusted within-individual models, ADHD medication predicted a 19% reduction in the odds of two-years-later substance-related events among male patients (OR = 0.81, 95% CI, 0.78–0.85) and a 14% reduction among female patients (OR = 0.86, 95% CI, 0.82–0.91).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted population-level models, male patients showed a minor increase in risk of substance-related events two years after medicated periods (OR=1.02, 95% CI 0.99-1.06).
“Adjusted population models showed minor increases in risk of substance-related events among male (OR = 1.02, 95% CI, 0.99–1.06) and female (OR = 1.10, 95% CI, 1.05–1.15) patients two years after medicated periods.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
For female patients, some sensitivity analyses showed persistent associations, while others did not.
“Associations for female patients persisted in some but not all analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
For later substance-related events, SSRI use showed little difference in odds among male and female patients.
“Finally, SSRIs were associated with minimal differences in the odds of later substance-related events among male and female patients.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted within-individual models, ADHD medication was associated with 35% lower odds of concurrent substance-related events among men (OR=0.65, 95% CI 0.64-0.67).
“Specifically, in adjusted models, ADHD medication was associated with 35% lower odds of substance-related events among men (OR = 0.65, 95% CI, 0.64–0.67) and 31% lower odds among women (OR = 0.69, 95% CI, 0.67–0.71).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted within-individual models, female patients had 14% lower odds of substance-related events two years after medicated periods (OR=0.86, 95% CI 0.82-0.91).
“However, in adjusted within-individual models, ADHD medication predicted a 19% reduction in the odds of two-years-later substance-related events among male patients (OR = 0.81, 95% CI, 0.78–0.85) and a 14% reduction among female patients (OR = 0.86, 95% CI, 0.82–0.91).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
Within individuals, SSRI use was positively associated with substance-related events.
“Finally, and critically, the within-individual associations between SSRIs and substance-related events were positive, supporting the specificity of the associations for ADHD medication.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
Among male ADHD patients, those who ever received medication had lower odds of substance-related events than those who never received medication (3.1% vs 4.0%; OR=0.76, 95% CI 0.75-0.78).
“Male ADHD patients who ever received medication were less likely to have substance-related events (3.1%) than were those who never received medication (4.0%; OR = 0.76, 95% CI, 0.75–0.78).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
Among male patients in each of the three sensitivity groups, medication predicted lower long-term within-individual risk of substance-related events.
“For male patients in all three groups, medication was associated with reduced long-term, within-individual risk of substance-related events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
Among female ADHD patients, those who ever received medication had lower odds of substance-related events than those who never received medication (2.6% vs 2.8%; OR=0.94, 95% CI 0.91-0.97).
“There was less difference in the odds of substance-related events among female patients who received medication (2.6%) relative to those who never received medication (2.8%; OR = 0.94, 95% CI, 0.91–0.97).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted within-individual models, ADHD medication was associated with 31% lower odds of concurrent substance-related events among women (OR=0.69, 95% CI 0.67-0.71).
“Specifically, in adjusted models, ADHD medication was associated with 35% lower odds of substance-related events among men (OR = 0.65, 95% CI, 0.64–0.67) and 31% lower odds among women (OR = 0.69, 95% CI, 0.67–0.71).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted population-level models, female patients had 11% lower odds of substance-related events during medicated months compared with un-medicated months (OR=0.89, 95% CI 0.87-0.92).
“At the population level, the adjusted odds of substance-related events were 19% lower among male patients (OR = 0.81, 95% CI, 0.79–0.83) and 11% lower among female patients (OR = 0.89, 95% CI, 0.87–0.92) during medicated months relative to un-medicated months (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted population-level models, female patients showed a minor increase in risk of substance-related events two years after medicated periods (OR=1.10, 95% CI 1.05-1.15).
“Adjusted population models showed minor increases in risk of substance-related events among male (OR = 1.02, 95% CI, 0.99–1.06) and female (OR = 1.10, 95% CI, 1.05–1.15) patients two years after medicated periods.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
Female patients with ADHD had higher odds of at least one substance-related event than matched non-ADHD female controls (2.6% vs 0.8%; OR=3.30, 95% CI 3.23-3.37).
“Male (3.2%) and female (2.6%) ADHD patients were more likely to have at least one substance-related event than were male (1.2%; OR = 2.69, 95% CI, 2.65–2.74) and female (0.8%; OR = 3.30, 95% CI, 3.23–3.37) controls.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
In adjusted population-level models, male patients had 19% lower odds of substance-related events during medicated months compared with un-medicated months (OR=0.81, 95% CI 0.79-0.83).
“At the population level, the adjusted odds of substance-related events were 19% lower among male patients (OR = 0.81, 95% CI, 0.79–0.83) and 11% lower among female patients (OR = 0.89, 95% CI, 0.87–0.92) during medicated months relative to un-medicated months (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Findingown data
For male patients, results were similar across analyses of cumulative prior medication exposure, three-year intervals, stimulant-only medication, and a broader substance-related event definition.
“In male patients, we found largely comparable associations when we examined cumulative prior medication exposure, three-year rather than two-year time intervals, stimulant medications only, and the broader substance-related event definition.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Interpretationown data
The findings suggest that ADHD medication is not likely linked to higher risk of substance-related problems during adolescence or adulthood.
“These results provide evidence that receiving ADHD medication is unlikely to be associated with greater risk of substance-related problems in adolescence or adulthood.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Interpretationown data
The repeated-events analyses may provide conservative estimates of the associations between ADHD medication and substance-related events.
“Notably, in models of first substance-related events only, medication was associated within-individuals with 55% and 43% lower odds of events among male and female patients, respectively, suggesting that results from the repeated events analyses may be conservative estimates of ADHD medication associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Primary within-individual conditional logistic regression models eliminated confounding from every factor that stayed constant for an individual over time.
“For our primary analyses, we therefore estimated associations using purely within-individual conditional logistic regression. These models compared months in which an individual received medication to months in which that same individual did not receive medication. Because each individual served as their own comparison, these models were free of confounding from all factors that were constant with”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] source
- Study design and conductreasoning
Several design features were used to try to exclude alternative explanations for the associations.
“We used multiple design features to attempt to rule out alternative explanations for the observed associations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Without randomization to medication, all plausible explanations cannot be ruled out.
“Nevertheless, lacking randomization to medication, we cannot rule out all plausible explanations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The analyses could not exclude all time-varying confounding.
“At the same time, our analyses could not exclude all time-varying confounding.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
In general, periods of medication use were linked to lower risk of substance-related events.
“Medication periods were generally associated with reduced risk of substance-related events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Study design and conductown data
The analysis adjusted statistically for the time elapsed since a prior substance-related event.
“In particular, within-individual comparisons ruled out all potential confounds that were constant within the individual over time (e.g., genetic substance-related liability), and we statistically adjusted for time since prior substance-related events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Comparisons within individuals eliminated all confounders that remained constant for a person over time.
“In particular, within-individual comparisons ruled out all potential confounds that were constant within the individual over time (e.g., genetic substance-related liability), and we statistically adjusted for time since prior substance-related events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The study sample was not nationally representative.
“However, our sample was not nationally representative, and differences in associations may reflect characteristics of the included male and female patients.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Sensitivity analyses supported the concurrent within-individual associations between ADHD medication and substance-related events.
“Sensitivity analyses supported these associations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Study design and conductreasoning
The fifth sensitivity analysis reduced the likelihood of bias due to reverse causality.
“The fifth examined only the first substance-related events in this incident diagnosis cohort, which reduced the likelihood of bias due to increased medication treatment following prior substance-related events (i.e., reverse causality).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The positive within-individual associations between SSRIs and substance-related events support the specificity of the ADHD medication associations.
“Finally, and critically, the within-individual associations between SSRIs and substance-related events were positive, supporting the specificity of the associations for ADHD medication.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 10
- May combine two claims. 18
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningSSRIs served as a negative control exposure in the tenth sensitivity analysis to assess specificity.
“Finally, in order to evaluate the specificity of the association to ADHD medication, the tenth used selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) as a negative control medication exposure (27, 30).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationStimulants reduce ADHD symptoms over the short term and are considered first-line treatment for children, adolescents, and adults.
“Stimulant medications are effective in reducing ADHD symptoms in the short-term and are recognized as the first-line treatment option for school-aged children, adolescents, and adults (10–12).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [10] source
- cites [11] source
The Medication discussion (INTRODUCTION; page unavailable) says stimulants are highly effective at reducing core ADHD symptoms in most children, and another passage says their effects are seen immediately. The guideline discusses medication treatment for school-aged children and adolescents, but it does not establish stimulants as first-line treatment for adults; that population is outside its scope. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [12] source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationResearch following individuals over time indicates that substance use disorder risk remains a concern in ADHD, partly due to shared genetic influences between the two conditions.
“Prospective studies show that risk of substance use disorders is a persisting concern in ADHD (4, 5), at least in part because the two disorders share genetic influences (6–8).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 5 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationRandomized trial conclusions are limited by sample sizes and treatment lengths too short to detect rare but serious substance-related events, by generalizability questions, and by ethical concerns about withholding effective treatment.
“Conclusions from randomized clinical trials have been constrained by sample sizes and treatment durations that may be insufficient to detect rare-yet-serious substance-related events, questions regarding generalizability, and ethical concerns about withholding efficacious treatments (24, 25).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [24] source
- cites [25] source
The Introduction and Discussion (pages not provided) support the generalizability concern: adults in ADHD trials may not represent adults with ADHD in the community. The paper describes a six-week trial and exclusions for substance abuse, but does not say that trial size or duration prevents detection of rare serious substance-related events, or discuss ethical concerns about withholding effective treatment. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationIn the Swedish population, Chang and colleagues observed lower substance-related problem risk among ADHD patients prescribed stimulants.
“Notably, Chang and colleagues (19) found that risk of substance-related problems was lower when ADHD patients in the Swedish population were prescribed stimulant medications.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [19] source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThat study also reported a long-term link between medication and lower later substance-related problem risk, using statistical covariates rather than within-individual comparisons.
“That study additionally found a long-term association between medication and lower risk for later substance-related problems, using statistical covariates but not within-individual comparisons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [19] source
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe within-individual associations between ADHD medication and substance-related events remained in the same direction in all age groups and were statistically significant in adjusted models.
“Although their point estimates varied, the within-individual associations remained in the same direction in all age groups (and were statistically significant in adjusted models).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAdjusted long-term associations pointed in the same direction across all age groups for both sexes, though not all were statistically significant.
“Additionally, the adjusted associations remained in the same direction in all age groups in both sexes, although they were not all statistically significant, likely in part because of decreased power.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong patients with prior substance use disorder diagnoses, the concurrent within-individual associations were somewhat attenuated but remained statistically significant, except in the unadjusted model for male patients.
“Among patients with prior substance use disorder diagnoses, the concurrent associations were somewhat attenuated but remained statistically significant, except in the unadjusted model for male patients (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataWhen time since last event was not adjusted for, long-term associations remained among men but were weaker among women.
“Long-term associations without adjustment for time since last event persisted among men but were attenuated among women (Table S3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn models restricted to first substance-related events, medication was associated within individuals with 55% lower odds of events among male patients and 43% lower odds among female patients.
“Notably, in models of first substance-related events only, medication was associated within-individuals with 55% and 43% lower odds of events among male and female patients, respectively, suggesting that results from the repeated events analyses may be conservative estimates of ADHD medication associations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong female patients, long-term associations were weaker (4-7% reductions, not significant) for those without other medications or with incident ADHD diagnoses, while those without psychotherapy showed a 17% reduction in later substance-related event odds.
“In contrast, female patients displayed attenuated long-term associations (4–7% reductions, which were not statistically significant) among those without other medications or with incident ADHD diagnoses, but they displayed a 17% reduction in the odds of later substance-related events among those without psychotherapy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataComparable associations were found when medication gaps were defined more conservatively, when only stimulant medication was included, and when inpatient and ambulance claims were added to the substance-related event definition.
“Defining medication gaps more conservatively, including stimulant medication only, and including inpatient and ambulance claims as substance-related events all produced comparable associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataConcurrent within-individual associations significantly differed by sex, while long-term associations did not (p = .06).
“We report associations separately for male and female patients because concurrent within-individual associations significantly differed by sex (long-term associations did not, p = .06).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningBoth concurrent and lagged medication status were predictors, so the lagged association would not be confounded by concurrent medication.
“We included concurrent and lagged medication status as predictors, ensuring that the lagged association was independent of concurrent medication.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataMore than 99.9% of ADHD patients could be matched to controls.
“We used conditional logistic regression to compare the risk of at least one substance-related event from 2005 onward among ADHD patients with that among non-diagnosed, non-medicated controls matched 1:1 on sex, calendar year and age of first enrollment in MarketScan, and length of enrollment in months (PROC LOGISTIC; more than 99.9% of patients could be matched).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataEven where reduced risk was not supported, little evidence indicated that medication raised the risk of substance-related events, including among patients with prior substance use disorders.
“Even when the results failed to support reductions in risk, we found almost no evidence that medication increased risk of substance-related events, even among those with pre-existing substance use disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningSome individuals may appear more than once if they changed employers covered by MarketScan.
“It is also possible, given the size of the databases, that individuals who switched MarketScan-covered employers were included as multiple enrollee observations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataFor female patients, concurrent associations were supported by many sensitivity analyses, but long-term reduced-risk associations were not consistently supported.
“Among female patients, many sensitivity analyses supported a concurrent association, but some failed to support a long-term association with reduced risk.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationown dataBecause long-term associations were weaker in female than male patients, it is possible that ADHD medication offers less long-term benefit to women.
“The finding that long-term associations were less clear among female relative to male patients may suggest that ADHD medication is associated with less long-term benefit among women.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataWhether the findings apply to patients lacking commercial health insurance is unknown.
“Fourth, we do not know whether our results would generalize to patients without commercial health insurance.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataConditional logistic regression compared ADHD patients with non-diagnosed, non-medicated controls matched one-to-one by sex, calendar year, age at first enrollment, and enrollment duration.
“We used conditional logistic regression to compare the risk of at least one substance-related event from 2005 onward among ADHD patients with that among non-diagnosed, non-medicated controls matched 1:1 on sex, calendar year and age of first enrollment in MarketScan, and length of enrollment in months (PROC LOGISTIC; more than 99.9% of patients could be matched).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataClaims data limitations constrain the conclusions, such as undiagnosed conditions, medications not captured in records, and filled prescriptions that were not consumed.
“Finally, our conclusions are constrained by the limitations of claims data, including undiagnosed conditions, medications taken outside of recorded prescriptions, and, notably, prescriptions filled but not taken.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningOnly time since the last event was controlled for, since minor age or calendar-year shifts were judged unlikely to affect within-person event risk.
“Because the relatively small changes in years of age or calendar year that occurred during follow-up were unlikely to impact within-individual risk of substance-related events, we controlled for time since last event only.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataMedication was linked to lower concurrent risk of substance-related events and, at least for men, lower long-term risk of future events.
“Rather, medication was associated with lower concurrent risk of substance-related events and, at least among men, lower long-term risk of future substance-related events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningBecause MarketScan records are de-identified, the analysis was exempt from IRB review.
“As confirmed with the University of Chicago IRB, the analysis of MarketScan data is exempt because records are de-identified.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe findings do not address possible diversion or misuse of stimulants outside treatment.
“More broadly, our results cannot speak to the possibility of diversion or misuse of stimulants outside of treatment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataFor male patients, associations were present concurrently, over the long term, at most ages, and in most sensitivity analyses.
“Among male patients, these associations held concurrently, in the long term, across most ages, and across multiple sensitivity analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
- Rests on an assumption: Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
- Rests on an assumption: ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
The paper relies on this without support.
Emergency-department claims with a non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis correspond to actual substance-related events.
“In order to exclude recurring treatment visits and ensure that claim dates corresponded with actual substance-related events, we counted follow-up months as having an event if they had at least one emergency-department claim with any non-tobacco substance use disorder diagnosis (primary or otherwise).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Filled prescriptions for ADHD medication correspond to actual medication use.
“Finally, our conclusions are constrained by the limitations of claims data, including undiagnosed conditions, medications taken outside of recorded prescriptions, and, notably, prescriptions filled but not taken.”
The paper relies on this without support.
ADHD diagnosis codes or stimulant/atomoxetine prescriptions accurately identify ADHD patients.
“We identified 2 993 887 (47.2% female; Table 1) ADHD patients, defined as enrollees who received either (a) an ADHD diagnosis (ICD-9 codes 314.xx) or (b) stimulant or atomoxetine ADHD medication treatment.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Substance-related problems in childhood are rare.
“However, because substance-related problems in childhood are rare, we analyzed only those enrollment periods in which patients were at least 13 years old.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Quinn et al. (2017) found that ADHD medication-mostly stimulants-was associated with a 14 to 19% reduction in the odds of an SUD-related emergency department visit two years later, with the largest reduction among adolescents.
“Quinn et al. (2017) conducted within-individual analyses of registered health care data from nearly three million individuals with ADHD and found that ADHD medication—mostly stimulants—was associated with a 14 to 19% reduction in the odds of an SUD-related emergency department visit two years later, with the largest reduction among adolescents [61].”
From Treatment of Adolescents with Concurrent Substance Use Disorder and Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder: A Systematic Review (2021) · cites this paper as [61]
The Results section on long-term associations reports 19% lower odds of a substance-related event two years after a medicated period for male patients and 14% lower odds for female patients in adjusted within-individual models. The Method section defines these events as substance-use-disorder-related emergency-department visits, and the ADHD Medication section says most medicated patients received stimulants only. The long-term sensitivity analyses say associations were in the same direction across age groups, but our copy does not establish that the largest reduction was among adolescents. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn a large claims database of almost 3 million individuals with ADHD, Quinn et al. (2017) found that individuals treated for ADHD were approximately 50% less likely to develop new onset SUD compared to untreated individuals.
“In a large claims database of almost 3 million individuals with ADHD, Quinn et al. (2017) found that individuals treated for ADHD were * 50% less likely to develop a new onset of SUD compared to individuals who did not receive treatment.”
From The Impact of Pharmacotherapy of Childhood-Onset Psychiatric Disorders on the Development of Substance Use Disorders (2022) · cites this paper as Quinn et al. 2017
The Method (Sample) identifies nearly 3 million ADHD patients, and the Results (Concurrent Associations; page unavailable) report 55% and 43% lower odds of a first substance-related event for male and female patients during medicated periods. But those events were emergency-department claims with a substance use disorder diagnosis, not necessarily new-onset disorders; the comparison was primarily between medicated and unmedicated periods within individuals, not treated versus untreated individuals. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredQuinn et al. (2017) found an approximately 30% reduced likelihood to manifest SUD during active times of receiving versus not receiving medication treatment.
“This group also showed an * 30% reduced likelihood to manifest SUD during active times of receiving versus not receiving medication treatment (Quinn et al. 2017).”
From The Impact of Pharmacotherapy of Childhood-Onset Psychiatric Disorders on the Development of Substance Use Disorders (2022) · cites this paper as Quinn et al. 2017
The Results section reports 35% lower odds for men and 31% lower odds for women during medicated versus unmedicated months, supporting the approximate 30% figure. But the Methods define the outcome as emergency-department claims with a substance use disorder diagnosis, not the likelihood of developing SUD generally. The Discussion also cautions that filled prescriptions do not establish that medication was taken. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredStudies in samples followed over time showed that enhanced protection against the development of SUD was lost over time, presumably linked to adherence.
“Wealso noted that studies in samples followed over time showed enhanced protection against the development of SUD lost over time, presumably linked to adherence (Biederman et al. 2008; Quinn et al. 2017).”
From The Impact of Pharmacotherapy of Childhood-Onset Psychiatric Disorders on the Development of Substance Use Disorders (2022) · cites this paper as Quinn et al. 2017
The Discussion (page not provided) says the weaker long-term than concurrent associations suggest that some risk reduction may dissipate with time. But the Results report reduced odds of substance-related events two years later, so protection was not shown to be lost entirely; the cited passages also do not link the change to adherence. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredData from within-group designs support that unmedicated treatment periods were related to an almost 30% increase in the likelihood to develop SUD compared to medicated times.
“Data from within-group designs support that unmedicated treatment periods were related to an almost 30% increase in the likelihood to develop SUD compared to medicated times (Goldstein et al. 2013; Quinn et al. 2017).”
From The Impact of Pharmacotherapy of Childhood-Onset Psychiatric Disorders on the Development of Substance Use Disorders (2022) · cites this paper as Quinn et al. 2017
The Results section’s within-individual comparisons support an association between unmedicated months and more substance-related events. But the reported 31%–35% lower odds during medicated months correspond to roughly 45%–54% higher odds during unmedicated months when the comparison is reversed, not almost 30%. The Methods define the outcome as emergency-department claims with a substance use disorder diagnosis, not the development of a new disorder. Page numbers are not provided in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Two studies used nonstimulants, including atomoxetine and guanfacine.
“Two studies used nonstimulants, including atomoxetine and guanfacine (Molina et al. 2013; Quinn et al. 2017).”
From The Impact of Pharmacotherapy of Childhood-Onset Psychiatric Disorders on the Development of Substance Use Disorders (2022) · cites this paper as Quinn et al. 2017
Normal controls had a significantly higher rate of cocaine use (60%; p = 0.01) compared with ADHD groups.
“Normal controls had a significantly higher rate of cocaine use (60%; p = 0.01) compared to ADHD groups”
From The Impact of Pharmacotherapy of Childhood-Onset Psychiatric Disorders on the Development of Substance Use Disorders (2022) · cites this paper as Quinn et al. (2017)
The Results (Group Comparisons; page unavailable) compare overall substance-related events and report higher rates among ADHD patients than controls. Our copy does not report cocaine-use rates for these groups or the claimed 60% and p = 0.01 (searched: cocaine, normal controls, 60%, p = 0.01). The overall-event finding cannot establish or refute the cocaine-specific claim. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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- Authors
- Quinn, P. D., Chang, Z., Hur, K., Gibbons, R. D., Lahey, B. B., Rickert, M. E., Sjölander, A., Lichtenstein, P., Larsson, H., & D’Onofrio, B. M.
- Affiliations
- Örebro University (SE)
- From the Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington; the Center for Health Statistics and the Departments of Medicine and of Public Health Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago; the Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm; and the School of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
- ORCID
- Venue
- American Journal of Psychiatry
- Published
- 2017-09-01
- Volume
- 174
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 877-885
- ISSN
- 0002-953X (ISSN-L)
- 1535-7228
- PMC
- PMC5581231
- OpenAlex
- W2728417648
- Semantic Scholar
- fd3b878f14538e0045cfdb6b43d45f4a3fb5b821
- Cited by
- 187
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 16 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 20 · 2022: 23 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 23 · 2019: 20 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 6
- FWCI
- 14.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- American Journal of Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Eli Lilly and Company
- European Commission (602768)
- National Institutes of Health (UL1TR001108, TL1TR001107)
- National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH102221)
- National Institute on Drug Abuse (K99DA040727)
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Opioid Use Disorder Treatment
- Keywords
- attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, ADHD medication, stimulants, atomoxetine, substance use disorders, emergency department visits, sex differences, long-term drug effects, adolescents, adults
- MeSH terms
- Atomoxetine Hydrochloride, Adolescent, Adult, Central Nervous System Stimulants, Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity, Female, Humans, Male, Sex Factors, United States, Comorbidity, Substance-Related Disorders, Young Adult
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