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Age-Related Changes in Thyroid Function: A Longitudinal Study of a Community-Based Cohort
Abstract
CONTEXT: In cross-sectional studies, serum TSH concentrations increase with age. This has not been examined longitudinally, and it is uncertain whether the TSH increase reflects healthy aging or occult thyroid failure. METHODS: We measured serum TSH, free T(4), thyroid peroxidase, and thyroglobulin antibodies in 1100 participants in the 1981 and 1994 Busselton Health Surveys and derived a reference group of 908 individuals without thyroid disease or thyroid antibodies. We examined changes in thyroid function longitudinally and, in 781 participants, explored associations with the CAPZB polymorphism rs10917469. RESULTS: At 13 yr follow-up, mean serum TSH increased from 1.49 to 1.81 mU/liter, a change in mean TSH (ΔTSH) of 0.32 mU/liter [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.27, 0.38, P < 0.001], whereas mean free T(4) concentration was unchanged (16.6 vs. 16.6 pmol/liter, P = 0.7). The TSH increase was most marked in the elderly, such that gender-adjusted ΔTSH increased by 0.08 mU/liter (95% CI 0.04, 0.11) for each decade of baseline age. People with higher baseline TSH values had proportionally smaller increases in TSH, with each additional 1.0 mU/liter of baseline TSH associated with a 0.13 mU/liter decrease (age and gender adjusted) in ΔTSH (95% CI 0.09, 0.16). The ΔTSH did not differ significantly by CAPZB genotype. CONCLUSIONS: Aging is associated with increased serum TSH concentrations, with no change in free T(4) concentrations. The largest TSH increase is in people with the lowest TSH at baseline. This suggests that the TSH increase arises from age-related alteration in the TSH set point or reduced TSH bioactivity rather than occult thyroid disease.
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“The first, a study of 908 individuals in the Busselton health survey, showed that TSH levels increased after a 13-year period but with no significant change in FT4 [97].”
From Age-related variation in thyroid function – a narrative review highlighting important implications for research and clinical practice (2023) · cites this paper as [97]
In the citing paper
“Furthermore, a multitude of physiological and pathophysiological influences modulates the relationship between TSH and thyroid hormones at various sites of action, thereby influencing the location of the set point in health and disease (Table 2) (8, 9, 76, 91–111).”
From Homeostatic control of the thyroid-pituitary axis: perspectives for diagnosis and treatment (2015) · cites this paper as [95]
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“Another limitation of the present study is that patients were not followed over time, but published longitudinal studies have reported that the increase in TSH over time was limited [3].”
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“In population-based studies, mean TSH levels tend to increase with age(35-38), although some studies suggest that 24-h TSH levels are decreased in aging men(39).”
BackgroundThe ageing thyroid: implications for longevity and patient care
van Heemst, D. (2024) · Nature Reviews Endocrinology · doi:10.1038/s41574-023-00911-7 · Cited by 43
“Several longitudinal studies analysed individual trajectories of thyroid status parameters over time and related these to relevant outcomes after follow-up 48–52 .”
BackgroundThyroid hormones in extreme longevity
Garasto, S., Montesanto, A., Corsonello, A., Lattanzio, F., Fusco, S., Passarino, G., Giarritta, V. P., & Corica, F. (2017) · Mechanisms of Ageing and Development · doi:10.1016/j.mad.2017.03.002 · Cited by 41
Sriphrapradang, C., Pavarangkoon, S., Jongjaroenprasert, W., Chailurkit, L., Ongphiphadhanakul, B., & Aekplakorn, W. (2013) · Clinical Endocrinology · doi:10.1111/cen.12371 · Cited by 41
Tabatabaie, V., & Surks, M. I. (2013) · Current Opinion in Endocrinology Diabetes and Obesity · doi:10.1097/01.med.0000433055.99570.52 · Cited by 40
Simonsick, E. M., Chia, C. W., Mammen, J. S., Egan, J. M., & Ferrucci, L. (2016) · The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences · doi:10.1093/gerona/glv226 · Cited by 38
Barić, A., Brčić, L., Gračan, S., Škrabić, V., Brekalo, M., Šimunac, M., Lovrić, V. T., Anić, I., Barbalić, M., Zemunik, T., et al. (2018) · Immunological Investigations · doi:10.1080/08820139.2018.1529040 · Cited by 39
Hoermann, R., Larisch, R., Dietrich, J. W., & Midgley, J. E. M. (2016) · European Journal of Endocrinology · doi:10.1530/eje-16-0031 · Cited by 37
Guglielmi, R., Frasoldati, A., Zini, M., Grimaldi, F., Gharib, H., Garber, J. R., & Papini, E. (2016) · Endocrine Practice · doi:10.4158/ep161308.or · Cited by 39
Jansen, H. I., Dirks, N. F., Hillebrand, J. J., ten Boekel, E., Brinkman, J. W., Buijs, M. M., Demir, A. Y., Dijkstra, I. M., Endenburg, S. C., Engbers, P., et al. (2024) · Thyroid · doi:10.1089/thy.2024.0346 · Cited by 38
“5 However, an increase in mean FT4 concentration varying from 0.26 pmol/L over 13 years and 4.5 pmol/L over 6.5 years of follow-up were reported as well at an older age (age at baseline around 70 years).”
InfluentialHuang, X., Ding, L., Peng, K., Lin, L., Wang, T., Zhao, Z., Xu, Y., Lu, J., Chen, Y., Wang, W., et al. (2016) · Journal of Translational Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12967-016-1081-8 · Cited by 35
“It might be partially due to the reduced sensitivity of pituitary with the increasing age; and then high FT4 levels could not generate negative feedback to TSH and suppress secretion of TSH [32, 34].”
Mammen, J. S., McGready, J., Ladenson, P. W., & Simonsick, E. M. (2017) · Thyroid® · doi:10.1089/thy.2017.0211 · Cited by 34
“Regression to the mean has also been reported by Bremner et al . for those with lower TSH (24) and by Pearce et al . for those with higher TSH levels (25).”
Defective erythropoiesis caused by mutations of the thyroid hormone receptor α gene
Park, S., Han, C. R., Park, J. W., Zhao, L., Zhu, X., Willingham, M. C., Bodine, D. M., & Cheng, S.-Y. (2017) · PLoS Genetics · doi:10.1371/journal.pgen.1006991 · Cited by 36
Bano, A., Gan, E. H., Addison, C., Narayanan, K., Weaver, J. U., Tsatlidis, V., & Razvi, S. (2018) · The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism · doi:10.1210/jc.2018-01738 · Cited by 34
“Even in euthyroid persons, older age has been related to increasing circulating TSH without substantial changes in FT4 concentrations (21).”
BackgroundSathi, P., Kalyan, S., Hitchcock, C. L., Pudek, M. R., & Prior, J. C. (2012) · Clinical Endocrinology · doi:10.1111/cen.12128 · Cited by 34
Thyrotropin Versus Age Relation as an Indicator of Historical Iodine Intake
van de Ven, A. C., Netea-Maier, R. T., Smit, J. W. A., Kusters, R., van der Stappen, J. W. J., Pronk-Admiraal, C. J., Buijs, M. M., Schoenmakers, C. H. H., Koehorst, S. G. A., de Groot, M. J. M., et al. (2015) · Thyroid · doi:10.1089/thy.2014.0574 · Cited by 33
“It has been previously hypothesized that there is a change of the pituitary TSH set point in the elderly and higher FT 4 levels do not cause the same TSH suppression as in younger individuals (4,5).”
InfluentialIngoe, L. E., Phipps, N., Armstrong, G., Rajagopal, A., Kamali, F., & Razvi, S. (2017) · Clinical Endocrinology · doi:10.1111/cen.13440 · Cited by 35
Expert consensus on diagnosis and treatment for elderly with thyroid diseases in China (2021)
Liu, Y., Shan, Z., & Endocrine Metabolic Diseases Group of the Chinese Geriatrics Society (2021) · Aging Medicine · doi:10.1002/agm2.12165 · Cited by 33
Cho, B. A., Yoo, S., Song, Y. S., Kim, S., Lee, K. E., Shong, M., Park, Y. J., & Seo, J. (2018) · Thyroid · doi:10.1089/thy.2017.0359 · Cited by 35
Ft3 is Higher in Males than in Females and Decreases Over the Lifespan
Strich, D., Karavani, G., Edri, S., Chay, C., & Gillis, D. (2017) · Endocrine Practice · doi:10.4158/ep171776.or · Cited by 32
Jasim, S., & Gharib, H. (2017) · Endocrine Practice · doi:10.4158/ep171796.ra · Cited by 35
Associations between thyroid function and mortality: the influence of age
van de Ven, A. C., Netea-Maier, R. T., de Vegt, F., Ross, H. A., Sweep, F. C. G. J., Kiemeney, L. A., Smit, J. W., Hermus, A. R., & den Heijer, M. (2014) · European Journal of Endocrinology · doi:10.1530/eje-13-1070 · Cited by 31
“Clinical Study A C van de Ven and others Thyroid function and mortality 171 :2 above the upper limit of the currently used reference range (29, 38, 39).”
Hypothyroidism after hemithyroidectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Cooper, D., Kaur, R., Ayeni, F. E., Eslick, G. D., & Edirimanne, S. (2024) · Thyroid Research · doi:10.1186/s13044-024-00200-z · Cited by 33
“Age has been observed to be associated with thyroid decline and elevated TSH levels [76–78], with studies showing a TSH increase of 0.08 mU/L per decade of age [79] which may explain the preponderance of older patients in the hypothyroid group.”
BackgroundInfluentialTozzoli, R., D’Aurizio, F., Metus, P., Steffan, A., Mazzon, C., & Bagnasco, M. (2018) · Journal of Endocrinological Investigation · doi:10.1007/s40618-018-0825-0 · Cited by 29
Thyroid Function Reference Intervals by Age, Sex, and Race
Li, Q., Tang, Y., Yu, X., Qin, G., Tian, L., Cheng, L., Lü, Y., Zhao, Z., Liu, L., Zhang, K., et al. (2025) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/annals-24-01559 · Cited by 29
Hill, M., Třískala, Z., Honců, P., Krejčí, M., Kajzar, J., Bičı́ková, M., Ondřejíková, L., Jandová, D., & Sterzl, I. (2020) · Physiological Research · doi:10.33549/physiolres.934523 · Cited by 31
Heterogeneity and Dynamics of Vasculature in the Endocrine System During Aging and Disease
Stücker, S., Angelis, J. E. D., & Kusumbe, A. P. (2021) · Frontiers in Physiology · doi:10.3389/fphys.2021.624928 · Cited by 32
Draft of Russian Clinical Practice Guidelines «Male hypogonadism»
Dedov, I. I., Mokrysheva, N. G., Mel'nichenko, G. A., Rozhivanov, R. V., Kamalov, A. A., Mkrtumyan, A. M., Khalimov, Y. S., & Ворохобина, Н. В. (2022) · Obesity and metabolism · doi:10.14341/omet12817 · Cited by 32
Thyroid function tests and early outcomes of acute ischemic stroke in older euthyroid patients
Forti, P., Maioli, F., Coveri, M., Nativio, V., Arnone, G., Loreti, A., Zoli, M., Sacquegna, T., & Procaccianti, G. (2014) · Experimental Gerontology · doi:10.1016/j.exger.2014.11.011 · Cited by 29
“Possible explanations for these changes include age-related alteration in the hypothalamic-pituitary set point for TSH because of diminished sensitivity to negative feed-back, a decrease in TSH bioactivity, decreased responsiveness of the thyroid gland, or alterations in the clearance of peripheral thyroid hormones (B…”
Influential
Metadata
- Authors
- Bremner, A. P., Feddema, P., Leedman, P. J., Brown, S. J., Beilby, J. P., Lim, E. M., Wilson, S. G., O'Leary, P. C., & Walsh, J. P.
- Affiliations
- The University of Western Australia (AU)
- Curtin University (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Walsh, John P.
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism
- Publisher
- The Endocrine Society
- Published
- 2012-05
- Volume
- 97
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1554-1562
- ISSN
- 0021-972X (ISSN-L)
- 1945-7197
- OpenAlex
- W1978327859
- Cited by
- 336
- References
- 33
- Citations by year
- 2026: 22 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 23 · 2021: 30 · 2020: 16 · 2019: 27 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 30 · 2016: 20 · 2015: 23 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 17.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (submittedVersion)
- eSpace (Curtin University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Thyroid Disorders and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Thyroid Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Hormonal and reproductive studies
- Keywords
- serum TSH, free thyroxine, healthy aging, thyroid peroxidase antibodies, thyroglobulin antibodies, longitudinal cohort
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aging, Autoantibodies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Iodide Peroxidase, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Thyroglobulin, Thyroid Function Tests, Thyroid Gland, Thyrotropin, Thyroxine
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