Physical activity, coronary artery calcium, and cardiovascular outcomes in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)
Open accessAbstract
Introduction: Although the inverse relationship between physical activity (PA) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is well established, observational studies suggest that very high levels of PA may be harmful. This study sought to understand the relationship between PA, coronary artery calcium (CAC), and cardiovascular outcomes among individuals at different levels of risk. Methods: PA and CAC were assessed in 6777 baseline participants of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Total PA in MET-minutes per week was categorized into quartiles, and CAC was categorized as “low risk” (<100 Agatston units; n = 5180) and “high risk” (≥100 Agatston units; n = 1597). Cox proportional hazard regression analyses and Kaplan–Meier curves were generated to understand relationships between PA and CAC with CVD and all-cause mortality. Results: In low-risk participants in the highest PA quartile, there was a decrease in the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for CVD (HR, 0.72; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.56–0.94) and all-cause mortality (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.57–0.84) compared with those in the lowest PA quartile. In high-risk participants in the highest PA quartile, there was a decrease in the adjusted HR for all-cause mortality (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.47–0.74) compared with those in the lowest PA quartile. High PA was not associated with an increased risk of either outcome, regardless of CAC category, sex, or race/ethnicity. Conclusions: Our research suggests that there is no increased risk associated with high levels of PA, even among individuals at high risk of CVD.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Some studies have shown that endurance exercise reduces the risk for ischaemic events regardless of CAC score, and this reduction is greatest at the higher CAC scores.
“Some studies have shown that endurance exercise reduces the risk for ischaemic events regardless of CAC score, and this reduction is greatest at the higher CAC scores.24,26”
From Lifelong endurance exercise and its relation with coronary atherosclerosis (2023) · cites this paper as [24]
The Results (Overall Relationship Between PA, CAC and Cardiovascular Outcomes) report fewer incident CVD events with higher physical activity only for participants with CAC <100 AU; they state there was no significant association with CVD for participants with CAC ≥100 AU. The Discussion describes the largest risk differences at high CAC in another analysis, but those differences concerned mortality, not ischaemic events. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredCurrent evidence cannot relate an increased risk of ischaemic heart disease events in endurance athletes.
“current evidence cannot relate an increased risk of ischaemic heart disease events in endurance athletes.23–26”
From Lifelong endurance exercise and its relation with coronary atherosclerosis (2023) · cites this paper as [24]
The Results (Overall Relationship Between PA, CAC and Cardiovascular Outcomes; page not available) report no significant increase in incident cardiovascular disease among participants with high physical activity. However, the study examined a general MESA cohort, not endurance athletes, and its cardiovascular outcome was a composite rather than ischaemic heart disease events specifically. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Friedewald, W. T., Levy, R. I., & Fredrickson, D. S. (1972) · Clinical Chemistry · doi:10.1093/clinchem/18.6.499 · Cited by 32,423 · see citing works
Compendium of physical activities: an update of activity codes and MET intensities
AINSWORTH, B. E., HASKELL, W. L., WHITT, M. C., IRWIN, M. L., SWARTZ, A. M., STRATH, S. J., O???BRIEN, W. L., BASSETT, D. R., SCHMITZ, K. H., EMPLAINCOURT, P. O., et al. (2000) · Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise · doi:10.1097/00005768-200009001-00009 · Cited by 8,497 · see citing works
Arnett, D. K., Blumenthal, R. S., Albert, M. A., Buroker, A. B., Goldberger, Z. D., Hahn, E. J., Himmelfarb, C. D., Khera, A., Lloyd-Jones, D., McEvoy, J. W., et al. (2019) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000000678 · Cited by 4,536 · see citing works
Self-citationMulti-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis: Objectives and Design
Bild, D. E. (2002) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwf113 · Cited by 3,942 · see citing works
Diagnosis and Classification of diabetes mellitus
Rossi, G. (2014) · Diapedia.org eBooks · doi:10.14496/dia..20 · Cited by 3,212 · see citing works
Coronary Calcium as a Predictor of Coronary Events in Four Racial or Ethnic Groups
Detrano, R., Guerci, A. D., Carr, J. J., Bild, D. E., Burke, G., Folsom, A. R., Liu, K., Shea, S., Szklo, M., Bluemke, D. A., et al. (2008) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa072100 · Cited by 2,989 · see citing works
Physical Activity, All-Cause Mortality, and Longevity of College Alumni
Paffenbarger, R. S., Hyde, R., Wing, A. L., & Hsieh, C.-C. (1986) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm198603063141003 · Cited by 2,742 · see citing works
Grundy, S. M., Stone, N. J., Bailey, A. L., Beam, C., Birtcher, K. K., Blumenthal, R. S., Braun, L. T., de Ferranti, S., Faiella-Tommasino, J., Forman, D. E., et al. (2019) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2018.11.003 · Cited by 2,691 · see citing works
Self-citationPhysical Fitness and All-Cause Mortality: A Prospective Study of Healthy Men and Women
Blair, S. N. (1989) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.1989.03430170057028 · Cited by 2,658 · see citing works
Assessment of Coronary Artery Disease by Cardiac Computed Tomography
Budoff, M. J., Achenbach, S. S., Blumenthal, R. S., Carr, J. J., Goldin, J. G., Greenland, P., Guerci, A. D., Lima, J. A. C., Rader, D. J., Rubin, G. D., et al. (2006) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.106.178458 · Cited by 1,391 · see citing works
The Effect of Social Desirability and Social Approval on Self-Reports of Physical Activity
Adams, S. A. (2005) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwi054 · Cited by 1,160 · see citing works
Thompson (2007) · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.107.181485 · Cited by 1,000 · see citing works
Carr, J. J., Nelson, J. C., Wong, N. D., McNitt‐Gray, M. F., Arad, Y., Jacobs, D. R., Sidney, S., Bild, D. E., Williams, O. D., & Detrano, R. (2005) · Radiology · doi:10.1148/radiol.2341040439 · Cited by 855 · see citing works
Moore, S. C., Patel, A. V., Matthews, C. E., Berrington de Gonzalez, A., Park, Y., Katki, H. A., Linet, M. S., Weiderpass, E., Visvanathan, K., Helzlsouer, K. J., et al. (2012) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001335 · Cited by 690 · see citing works
Cardiac arrest during long-distance running races
Kim, J. H., Malhotra, R., Chiampas, G., d'Hemecourt, P., Troyanos, C., Cianca, J., Smith, R. N., Wang, T. J., Roberts, W. O., Thompson, P. D., et al. (2012) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa1106468 · Cited by 597 · see citing works
Mohlenkamp, S., Lehmann, N., Breuckmann, F., Brocker-Preuss, M., Nassenstein, K., Halle, M., Budde, T., Mann, K., Barkhausen, J., Heusch, G., et al. (2008) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehn163 · Cited by 487 · see citing works
Gorelick, P. B., Furie, K. L., Iadecola, C., Smith, E. E., Waddy, S. P., Lloyd-Jones, D. M., Bae, H.-J., Bauman, M. A., Dichgans, M., Duncan, P. W., et al. (2017) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/str.0000000000000148 · Cited by 411 · see citing works
Merghani, A., Maestrini, V., Rosmini, S., Cox, A. T., Dhutia, H., Bastiaenan, R., David, S., Yeo, T. J., Narain, R., Malhotra, A., et al. (2017) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.116.026964 · Cited by 398 · see citing works
Ainsworth, B. E., Irwin, M. L., Addy, C. L., Whitt, M. C., & Stolarczyk, L. M. (1999) · Journal of Women s Health & Gender-Based Medicine · doi:10.1089/152460999319129 · Cited by 345 · see citing works
Relationship between lifelong exercise volume and coronary atherosclerosis in athletes.
Aengevaeren, V. L., Mosterd, A., Braber, T. L., Prakken, N. H. J., Doevendans, P. A., Grobbee, D. E., Thompson, P. D., Eijsvogels, T. M. H., & Velthuis, B. K. (2017) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.117.027834 · Cited by 309 · see citing works
Physical Activity and Minority Women: A Qualitative Study
Eyler, A., Baker, E. A., Cromer, L., King, A. C., Brownson, R. C., & Donatelle, R. J. (1998) · Health Education & Behavior · doi:10.1177/109019819802500510 · Cited by 281 · see citing works
DeFina, L. F., Radford, N. B., Barlow, C. E., Willis, B. L., Leonard, D., Haskell, W. L., Farrell, S. W., Pavlovic, A., Abel, K., Berry, J. D., et al. (2019) · JAMA Cardiology · doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2018.4628 · Cited by 213 · see citing works
Physical Activity and 10-Year Mortality From Cardiovascular Diseases and All Causes
Bijnen, F. C. H., Caspersen, C. J., Feskens, E. J. M., Saris, W. H. M., Mosterd, W. L., & Kromhout, D. (1998) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.158.14.1499 · Cited by 210 · see citing works
Environmental, Policy, and Cultural Factors Related to Physical Activity Among Latina Immigrants
Evenson, K. R., Sarmiento, O. L., Macon, M. L., Tawney, K. W., & Ammerman, A. S. (2002) · Women & Health · doi:10.1300/j013v36n02_04 · Cited by 184 · see citing works
High dose and long-term statin therapy accelerate coronary artery calcification
Henein, M., Granåsen, G., Wiklund, U., Schmermund, A., Guerci, A., Erbel, R., & Raggi, P. (2015) · International Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.02.072 · Cited by 181 · see citing works
Mier, N., Medina, A. A., & Ory, M. G. (2007) · PubMed Central · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Acute Effects of 2 Hours of Moderate-Intensity Cycling on Serum Parathyroid Hormone and Calcium
Barry, D. W., & Kohrt, W. M. (2007) · Calcified Tissue International · doi:10.1007/s00223-007-9028-y · Cited by 82 · see citing works
Increased Coronary Artery Plaque Volume Among Male Marathon Runners.
Schwartz, R. S., Kraus, S. M., Schwartz, J. G., Wickstrom, K., Peichel, G. A., Garberich, R., Lesser, J. R., Oesterle, S. N., Knickelbine, T., Harris, K. M., et al. (2014) · Europe PMC (PubMed Central) · Cited by 82 · see citing works
Hair Care Practices as a Barrier to Physical Activity in African American Women
Hall, R. R., Francis, S., Whitt‐Glover, M. C., Loftin-Bell, K., Swett, K. R., & McMichael, A. J. (2012) · JAMA Dermatology · doi:10.1001/jamadermatol.2013.1946 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
Physical activity and the presence and extent of calcified coronary atherosclerosis
TAYLOR, A. J., WATKINS, T., BELL, D., CARROW, J., BINDEMAN, J., SCHERR, D., FEUERSTEIN, I., WONG, H., BHATTARAI, S., VAITKUS, M., et al. (2002) · Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise · doi:10.1097/00005768-200202000-00008 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Exertion and Acute Coronary Artery Injury
Black, M. M., Gensini, G. G., & Black, A. (1975) · Angiology · doi:10.1177/000331977502601101 · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Huebschmann, A. G., Campbell, L., Brown, C. S., & Dunn, A. L. (2015) · Women & health · doi:10.1080/03630242.2015.1101743 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
A New Powerful Nonparametric Rank Test for Ordered Alternative Problem
Shan, G., Young, D. L., & Kang, L. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0112924 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Rozanski, A., Arnson, Y., Gransar, H., Hayes, S. W., Friedman, J. D., Thomson, L., Dey, D., & Berman, D. S. (2020) · Mayo Clinic Proceedings Innovations Quality & Outcomes · doi:10.1016/j.mayocpiqo.2020.02.005 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Tolliver, S. O., Hefner, J. L., Tolliver, S., & McDougle, L. (2019) · The Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine · doi:10.3122/jabfm.2019.06.190168 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Cardiovascular Risks of Exercise
Thompson, P. D. (2001) · The Physician and Sportsmedicine · doi:10.3810/psm.2001.04.714 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Statins and coronary artery calcium: What's the score?
German, C. A., & Shapiro, M. D. (2020) · Atherosclerosis · doi:10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2020.11.014 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 38 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- [29]Thompson PD, Franklin BA, Balady GJ Exercise and Acute Cardiovascular Events. Circulation. 2007; 115(17): 2358– 68. 17468391
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Lifelong endurance exercise and its relation with coronary atherosclerosis
De Bosscher, R., Dausin, C., Claus, P., Bogaert, J., Dymarkowski, S., Goetschalckx, K., Ghekiere, O., Van De Heyning, C. M., Van Herck, P., Paelinck, B., et al. (2023) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehad152 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
“Some studies have shown that endurance exercise reduces the risk for ischaemic events regardless of CAC score, and this reduction is greatest at the higher CAC scores.(24,26) A first potential explanation for this apparent paradox can be found in our study as vulnerable plaques, which carry the highest risk for events…”
BackgroundCeleski, M., Gioia, G. D., Nusca, A., Segreti, A., Squeo, M. R., Lemme, E., Mango, F., Ferrera, A., Ussia, G. P., & Grigioni, F. (2024) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm13175144 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Potential mechanisms linking high-volume exercise with coronary artery calcification
Zambrano, A., Tintut, Y., Demer, L. L., & Hsu, J. J. (2023) · Heart · doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2022-321986 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Physical Activity and Progression of Coronary Artery Calcification in Men and Women
Shuval, K., Leonard, D. S., DeFina, L. F., Barlow, C. E., Berry, J. D., Turlington, W. M., Pavlovic, A., Radford, N. B., Gabriel, K. P., Khera, A., et al. (2024) · JAMA Cardiology · doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2024.0759 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Ahmad, M. I., Chevli, P. A., Mirzai, S., Spitz, J. A., Sharma, G. V., Lima, J. A. C., Nasir, K., Blaha, M. J., Pagidipati, N. J., Blumenthal, R. S., et al. (2025) · Atherosclerosis · doi:10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2025.120521 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Self-citationCho, D., Jae, S. Y., Kunutsor, S. K., Choi, J., & Gwon, J. G. (2025) · British Journal of Sports Medicine · doi:10.1136/bjsports-2024-108923 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Wang, S., Zhao, G., Zhang, C., Kang, N., Liao, W., Wang, C., & Xie, F. (2023) · Toxics · doi:10.3390/toxics11100812 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Tardo, D. T., & Papadakis, M. (2024) · Canadian Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.cjca.2024.11.013 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Kazibwe, R., Singleton, M. J., Chevli, P. A., Kazé, A. D., Namutebi, J. H., Shapiro, M. D., & Yeboah, J. (2023) · American Journal of Preventive Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ajpc.2023.100524 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationTonet, E., Arzenton, M., Pietri, M. D., Canovi, L., Lapolla, D., Sarti, A., Amantea, V., Raisi, A., Mazzoni, G., Campo, G. C., et al. (2024) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm13072044 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Sex Differences in the Impact of Exercise Volume on Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis
Abdelaziz, A. A., Elshahat, A., Gadelmawla, A. F., Desouky, M., Hafez, A. H., Abdelaziz, M., Hammad, N., Eldosoky, D. A., Bhatia, K., Filtz, A., et al. (2025) · JACC Advances · doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.101786 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationShapira‐Daniels, A., Kornej, J., Spartano, N. L., Wang, X., Zhang, Y., Pathiravasan, C. H., Liu, C., Trinquart, L., Borrelli, B., McManus, D. D., et al. (2023) · Journal of Medical Internet Research · doi:10.2196/43123 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Exercise Volume and Coronary Artery Calcification: A Systematic Review
Ellingson, C. J., Singh, J., Shafiq, M. A., Mehta, N., Sultana, S., Neary, J. P., Zhan, Y., Ahmadi, A. A., Budoff, M. J., & Dehghani, P. (2025) · CJC Open · doi:10.1016/j.cjco.2025.12.009 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Jimenez, M. P., Rojas‐Saunero, L. P., Reimer, C. J., Süel, E., Lin, P. I. D., Hystad, P., grodstein, F., Roux, A. V. D., Coull, B. A., & James, P. (2026) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwag129 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Masson, W. M., Barbagelata, L., Falconi, M. L., & de Arenaza, D. P. (2022) · Clínica e Investigación en Arteriosclerosis · doi:10.1016/j.arteri.2022.10.001 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Masson, W. M., Barbagelata, L., Falconi, M. L., & de Arenaza, D. P. (2023) · Clínica e Investigación en Arteriosclerosis (English Edition) · doi:10.1016/j.artere.2023.05.007
Exercise and sports revisited: Is too much exercise bad for your heart?
Rio, P., & Cardim, N. M. (2024) · Revista Portuguesa de Cardiologia · doi:10.1016/j.repc.2024.05.005
Cardiovascular health in master athletes engaged in competitive sport
Rodriguez, T. M., Ansai, J. H., Serantola, J. D. C., Rossi, M. B., Sciamana, C., Milan‐Mattos, J. C., & Pantoni, C. B. F. (2025) · Fisioterapia em Movimento · doi:10.1590/fm.2025.38206
Wan, Y., Yu, J., Yu, H., Yu, Q., Han, R., Fan, X., Pan, X., Yang, J., Xiang, Q., Zhang, Y., et al. (2026) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-026-26654-4
Zhang, X., Li, S., Mai, Y., Chen, H., Wu, H., Li, C., Zhao, L., & Peng, J. (2026) · Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine · doi:10.3389/fcvm.2026.1847561
Penther, J., Wilkening, N., Mavarani, L., Erbel, R., & Schmidt, B. (2026) · BMC Cardiovascular Disorders · doi:10.1186/s12872-026-06340-4
Yu, J., Shi, J., Wu, X., Xu, W., Dai, W., & Zhou, Q. (2026) · Current Psychology · doi:10.1007/s12144-026-09987-6
Exercise, Atherosclerosis, and Cardiovascular Outcomes: Evidence and Challenges
Dehesh, M., Hosseini, R., Ali, R., Kaur, J., & Villines, T. C. (2026) · Journal of Cardiovascular Development and Disease · doi:10.3390/jcdd13100479
- Authors
- GERMAN, C. A., FANNING, J., SINGLETON, M. J., SHAPIRO, M. D., BRUBAKER, P. H., BERTONI, A. G., & YEBOAH, J.
- Affiliations
- University of Chicago (US)
- Wake Forest University (US)
- Wake Forest University Health Sciences (US)
- Venue
- Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise
- Published
- 2021-12-30
- Volume
- 54
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 800-806
- ISSN
- 0195-9131 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-0315
- PMC
- PMC9203864
- OpenAlex
- W4200041536
- Cited by
- 23
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 1
- FWCI
- 1.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (n01hc95164-17-0-1, UL1TR001420, n01hc95165-34-0-1, n01hc95161-24-0-1, n01hc095169-003, n01hc95166-21-0-1, n01hc95162-31-0-1, n01hc95168-27-0-1, n01hc95160-18-0-1, n01hc095167-000, UL1TR001079, n01hc95163-22-0-1, n01hc95159-40-0-1, UL1TR000040)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (N01-HC095169, 75N92020D00001, N01-HC-095165, 75N92020D00006, N01 HC095163, 75N92020D00007, 75N92020D00002, N01-HC-095159, N01 HC095168, N01-HC-095162, N01-HC-095161, 75N92020D00005, HHSN268201500003C, HHSN26820150 0003I, 75N92020D00003, N01 HC095167, N01-HC-095160, N01 HC095166, N01 HC095164, 75N92020D00004)
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Physical Activity and Health
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Cardiac Imaging and Diagnostics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Complementary and alternative medicine › Cardiovascular and exercise physiology
- Keywords
- physical activity, coronary artery calcium, cardiovascular disease, all-cause mortality, high-intensity physical activity, cardiovascular risk, Agatston units, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, sex differences, racial and ethnic differences
- MeSH terms
- Calcium, Calcium, Dietary, Cardiovascular Diseases, Coronary Artery Disease, Coronary Vessels, Ethnicity, Humans, Risk Factors, Exercise, Atherosclerosis, Vascular Calcification
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review