Cited by 3Higher Education Research StudiesCareer Development and DiversityHigher Education and Employability

Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

Open access
Harper, Casandra E., Orr, Rachael, Stolzenberg, Ellen Bara·2023·NACADA journal

Abstract

Undecided students who self-identify as uncertain of their academic path represent a unique population to support from an academic advising perspective. In a sample of 257,813 students who entered 243 four-year institutions nationally, this study examined the relationship between students who selected undecided as their intended college major and individual student characteristics. Results indicate a primary predictor of undecidedness is student acknowledgment of indecisiveness about their choice of major or career; however, undecidedness also is related to interpersonal and contextual characteristics previously unexamined. Advisors should assess students’ level of major and career certainty, concerns about financing college, and aspects of students’ identities that were predictive of undecidedness.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This study examines predictors of entering college as an undecided major among a national sample of first-time, full-time first-year students at four-year institutions. It finds that self-reported likelihood of changing majors and career undecidedness are by far the strongest predictors, with several demographic, financial, mental health, and academic self-concept variables also related to undecidedness.

Key findings

  • In the weighted/normalized sample of 248,493 students, 8.2% identified as undecided; the strongest predictors were expecting a “very good chance” of changing major (OR = 18.343, p < .001) and being undecided about career choice (OR = 17.793, p < .001).
  • Students anticipating “some chance” of changing major were nearly six times as likely to be undecided (OR = 5.954, p < .001).
  • Several factors predicted being less likely to be undecided: queer-spectrum identity (15% less likely), some/major concerns about financing college (11% less likely), receiving grants/scholarships/military aid (about 12% less likely), and feeling “not at all” or “occasionally” depressed versus frequently depressed (11% less likely).
  • Higher scores on Habits of Mind and Academic Self-Concept were also associated with lower odds of entering undecided; the model had an AUC of .904 (95% CI: .902–.907, p < .001).

Methods

  • Data came from a merged 2016 and 2017 CIRP Freshman Survey dataset: 257,813 first-time, full-time students entering 243 four-year colleges and universities; the weighted and normalized sample was 248,493.
  • The dependent variable was self-reported intended major undecidedness (undecided vs. decided); predictors included demographics, high school experiences, reasons for attending college, goals, values/attitudes, and HERI composite constructs.
  • Analyses used frequency distributions, crosstabs, and t-tests for RQ1, and logistic regression with odds ratios for RQ2; nonsignificant variables were removed using p < .01, and model fit was assessed with chi-square, −2 log likelihood, pseudo R-squared, and ROC/AUC.

Limitations

  • Stated: undecided students may feel compelled to indicate a major on the survey, and undecidedness may be more fluid than a dichotomous variable captures; the “change major” item may have been interpreted differently by undecided students.
  • Stated: the study captures students at one point and cannot determine whether initial undecided status affects college success, time to degree, or first-year adjustment; future research should examine specific groups, two-year institutions, transfer students, returning students, and post-COVID cohorts.
  • Evident from the text: the sample is limited to first-time, full-time students at four-year institutions, and the design is predictive/correlational rather than causal.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.12930/nacada-22-42

Cites

38 of 38 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

5 of 55 cited sources checked · 4 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Undecided students reported lower levels of career decision self-efficacy according to SCCT.

    “As mentioned, Bullock-Yowell et al. (2014) found undecided students reported lower levels of career decision self-efficacy according to SCCT.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bullock-Yowell et al. (2014) source
  • Findingown data
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    In a national sample of 257,813 entering students at 243 four-year institutions, the primary predictor of selecting undecided as intended major is students' acknowledgment of indecisiveness about their choice of major or career.

    “Results indicate a primary predictor of undecidedness is student acknowledgment of indecisiveness about their choice of major or career; however, undecidedness also is related to interpersonal and contextual characteristics previously unexamined.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    In the same national sample, undecidedness is also related to interpersonal and contextual characteristics that were previously unexamined.

    “Results indicate a primary predictor of undecidedness is student acknowledgment of indecisiveness about their choice of major or career; however, undecidedness also is related to interpersonal and contextual characteristics previously unexamined.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Students attending their first choice college have higher odds of being undecided (OR = 1.186, p < .001).

    “Attending your first choice college | .171 | .025 | 1.186 | ***”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Undecided students comprise approximately 8% of respondents in each of the 2016 and 2017 data sets.

    “We combined data sets to understand better the experiences of undecided students, as they comprise approximately 8% of respondents in each data set.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The economic and national conditions were similar in 2016 and 2017.
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 40
  • May combine two claims. 11
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Bullock-Yowell et al. (2014) found that undecided students reported lower confidence in identifying a career path.

    “Similarly, Bullock-Yowell et al. (2014) found that undecided students reported lower confidence in identifying a career path.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bullock-Yowell et al. (2014) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Undecided students reported more negative career thinking and career decision-making difficulties.

    “Undecided students also reported more negative career thinking and career decision-making difficulties (Bullock-Yowell et al., 2014).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bullock-Yowell et al., 2014 source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationcitation

    The findings support using SCCT as a lens to focus on interpersonal and contextual variables to understand incoming students' interests and aspirations.

    “The findings support using SCCT as a lens to focus on interpersonal and contextual variables to understand incoming students' interests and aspirations (Bullock-Yowell et al., 2014).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bullock-Yowell et al., 2014 source

      The Implications for Advising section recommends SCCT as a framework for strengthening undecided students’ career decision-making self-efficacy. It also advises assessing students’ interests and internal or external barriers, but it does not specifically present SCCT as a lens for studying interpersonal and contextual variables shaping incoming students’ interests and aspirations. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Research links undecidedness and lower career decision-making self-efficacy.

    “This mirrors research linking undecidedness and lower career decisionmaking self-efficacy (Bullock-Yowell et al., 2014).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bullock-Yowell et al., 2014 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The weighted and normalized sample is 248,493, of whom 8.2% identified as undecided in response to the intended college major prompt.

    “This study's weighted and normalized sample is 248,493, 8.2% of whom identified as undecided in response to the prompt: “Please indicate your intended college major.””
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The sample is nationally representative of U.S. first-time, full-time, first-year college students.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    24.8% of undecided students reported not receiving any financial aid that need not be repaid, compared with 20.0% of declared students.

    “Regarding financial aid, 24.8% of undecided students (vs.20.0% declared) reported not receiving any financial aid that need not be repaid (e.g., grants, scholarships, military funding).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The final logistic regression model had a -2 Log Likelihood (G2) of 50038.67 and a chi-square value of 32037.15 (p < .001).

    “The À2 Log Likelihood, usually referred to as G2 or scaled deviance (Cabrera, 1994) for this model was 50038.67; the chi-square (x 2 ) value was 32037.15(p < .001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The model's pseudo R squared is .188 (Cox & Snell) and .455 (Nagelkerke).

    “Pseudo R squared | .188 (Cox & Snell), .455 (Nagelkerke)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Research has shown mixed results about differences between undecided and decided students regarding academic achievement.

    “Research has shown mixed results about the differences between undecided and decided students regarding academic achievement (Anderson et al., 1989;Foote, 1980;Leppel, 2001) and persistence (Foote, 1980;Lewallen, 1994;Spight, 2022).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Anderson et al., 1989 source
    • cites Foote, 1980
    • cites Leppel, 2001 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Students frequently decide about majors before they have adequate information about majors, careers, or the process of decision-making.

    “Further, students frequently decide about majors before they have adequate information about majors, careers, or the process of decision-making (Gordon, 1985;Grites, 1981).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Gordon, 1985

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Grites, 1981

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Concerns about the cost of education and the employment outlook for college students have heightened stress among college students.

    “Concerns about the cost of education and the employment outlook for college students have heightened stress among college students (Guo et al., 2011), which can affect how students consider and explore their major and career options (Stater, 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Guo et al., 2011
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    College costs have increased while state support for higher education declined.

    “College costs have increased while state support for higher education declined (Alexander, 2000;Archibald & Feldman, 2010;Honu, 2019).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Alexander, 2000 source
    • cites Archibald & Feldman, 2010 source
    • cites Honu, 2019
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Students from families with lower socioeconomic status may be more drawn to majors leading to higher-paying jobs after graduation, such as business, technical, and life/health science fields.

    “Students from families with a lower socioeconomic status may be more drawn to majors leading to higher-paying jobs after graduation, such as business, technical, and life/health science fields (Ma, 2009).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ma, 2009

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Students with parents in professional or executive occupations associated with higher socioeconomic status are more likely to major in engineering and the sciences.

    “Additionally, students with parents in professional or executive occupations associated with higher socioeconomic status are more likely to major in engineering and the sciences (Leppel et al., 2001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Leppel et al., 2001 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Heightened stress from concerns about cost of education and employment outlook can affect how students consider and explore their major and career options.

    “Concerns about the cost of education and the employment outlook for college students have heightened stress among college students (Guo et al., 2011), which can affect how students consider and explore their major and career options (Stater, 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Stater, 2011 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Women are more likely to select majors in social sciences, humanities, and health-related fields.

    “Women are more likely to select majors in social sciences, humanities, and health-related fields (Porter & Umbach, 2006;Simpson, 2001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Porter & Umbach, 2006 source
    • cites Simpson, 2001 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Undecided students were more likely to identify occupational preparation or a desire to become educated as reasons for attending college.

    “For example, undecided students were more likely to identify occupational preparation or a desire to become educated as reasons for attending college (Gordon & Steele, 2003).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Gordon & Steele, 2003 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Families with high socioeconomic status secure advantages for their children and influence college major decisions through family work values, risk aversion, academic support, and preparation for college.

    “Families with high socioeconomic status secure advantages for their children and influence college major decisions through family work values, risk aversion, academic support, and preparation for college (Ma, 2009).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ma, 2009

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Multiple studies have found that men are more likely than women to major in business, science, math, and engineering.

    “Multiple studies have found that men are more likely than women to major in business, science, math, and engineering (Leslie et al., 1998;Mullen, 2014;Porter & Umbach, 2006).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Leslie et al., 1998

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Mullen, 2014

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Porter & Umbach, 2006 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Research has shown mixed results about differences between undecided and decided students regarding persistence.

    “Research has shown mixed results about the differences between undecided and decided students regarding academic achievement (Anderson et al., 1989;Foote, 1980;Leppel, 2001) and persistence (Foote, 1980;Lewallen, 1994;Spight, 2022).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Foote, 1980
    • cites Lewallen, 1994

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Spight, 2022

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Students with more liberal views were more likely to select a non-science major.

    “Political views might also play a role: Students with more liberal views were more likely to select a non-science major (Porter & Umbach, 2006).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Porter & Umbach, 2006 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    As many as 75% of college students will change their major at least once.

    “As many as 75% of college students will change their major at least once (Gordon & Steele, 2015).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Gordon & Steele, 2015

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Orndorff and Herr (1996) found undecided students scored lower on career development activities such as identifying and exploring values, major decidedness, and career decidedness.

    “Orndorff and Herr (1996) found undecided students scored lower on career development activities-such as identifying and exploring valuesmajor decidedness, and career decidedness.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Orndorff and Herr (1996) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Respondents who might have felt compelled or persuaded to select a major on their campus before they were truly ready would not be bound by those pressures when completing this survey.

    “Further, any respondents who might have felt compelled or persuaded to select a major on their campus before they were truly ready would not be bound by those pressures when completing this survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    In SCCT, student background characteristics and differential access to career information or opportunities inform early learning experiences, which influence self-efficacy and outcome expectations.

    “In SCCT, student background characteristics (e.g., socioeconomic status, parental education) and differential access to career information or opportunities (e.g., role model exposure, support for activities) inform early learning experiences, which influence selfefficacy and outcome expectations (Lent et al., 1994).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Lent et al., 1994 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Study design and conductnone given

    No major differences in the survey designs or administration procedures between the 2016 and 2017 survey administrations would impact the analyses.

    “No major differences in the survey designs or administration procedures between these two survey administrations would impact our analyses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The CIRP Freshman Survey has been administered annually for more than 50 years to more than 15 million students and is widely used in research studies and institutional assessments.

    “This survey has been administered annually for more than 50 years to more than 15 million students and is widely used in research studies and institutional assessments (Higher Education Research Institute [HERI], 2023).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Higher Education Research Institute [HERI], 2023

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    In SCCT, learning experiences, contextual influences, self-efficacy, and expectations create the foundation for career and educational interests.

    “The learning experiences, contextual influences, self-efficacy, and expectations create the foundation for career and educational interests (Lent et al., 1994).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Lent et al., 1994 source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    In SCCT, self-efficacy, outcome expectations, goals, gender, ethnicity, and social supports contribute to developing interests, decision-making, and success within career and educational applications.

    “SCCT suggests that all these variables contribute to developing interests, decision-making, and success within career and educational applications (Lent et al., 2000).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Lent et al., 2000 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The survey question about intended college major was phrased so that respondents were free to mark what they intended to choose as a major, even if institutional restrictions might have prevented them from doing so upon college entry.

    “The question was phrased so that respondents were free to mark what they intended to choose as a major, even if institutional restrictions might have prevented them from doing so upon college entry.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation
    § Demographics, Purpose, and Dreams: Predicting Entering College as an Undecided Major Student

    Social Cognitive Career Theory (SCCT) highlights the interpersonal and contextual variables that influence the career choice process among young adults.

    “SCCT highlights the interpersonal and contextual variables that influence the career choice process among young adults (Lent et al., 1994).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Lent et al., 1994 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The weights were normalized to avoid false effects due to inflated sample sizes.

    “We also normalized the weights to avoid false effects due to inflated sample sizes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Prior research defines an AUC greater than .90 as excellent.

    “which prior research defined as having an AUC greater than .90(Scruggs, 2013;Trost et al., 2012).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Scruggs, 2013 source
    • cites Trost et al., 2012

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Our large sample size led us to use a more stringent criterion for variable inclusion (p < .01).

    “Our large sample size led us to use a more stringent criterion for variable inclusion (p < .01).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Graunke et al. (2006) identified the benefits of being undecided if students' commitment to the institution and desire to complete a degree were high.

    “Graunke et al. (2006) identified the benefits of being undecided if students' commitment to the institution and desire to complete a degree were high.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Graunke et al. (2006) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The study captured students at one point and does not know whether initial undecided status played any role in their college success.

    “Another limitation is that we captured these students at one point and do not know whether this initial undecided status played any role in their college success.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    The study offers more predictors and odds ratios of undecidedness across a wider variety of student characteristics, values, and experiences.

    “This study offers more predictors and odds ratios of undecidedness across a wider variety of student characteristics, values, and experiences.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Talking with students about career and major uncertainty eases the anxiety such uncertainty may create.

    “easing the anxiety such uncertainty may create (Gordon & Steele, 2003;Hagstrom et al., 1997).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Gordon & Steele, 2003 source
    • cites Hagstrom et al., 1997 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Undecided students may feel compelled to indicate a major on the survey.

    “One potential limitation of this study is that undecided students may feel compelled to indicate a major on the survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The study's sample is representative of first-year college students at four-year institutions.

    “This study of a representative sample of first-year college students at four-year institutions”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: There is a gap in research on undecided students because of the time elapsed since they have been studied on a national scale.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Undecidedness may be more fluid than can be captured by a dichotomous variable.

    “In other words, undecidedness may be more fluid than can be captured by a dichotomous variable.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Lower-income students may feel the pressure of not delaying their progress or extending their time to degree by being undecided.

    “Lower-income students may feel the pressure of not delaying their progress or extending their time to degree by being undecided.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    There may be students who selected undecided but are nearly certain about their major choice or are choosing between clear options.

    “Conversely, there may be students who selected undecided but are nearly certain about their major choice or are choosing between clear options.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Talking with students about their career and major uncertainty helps normalize the developmental and exploratory experience.

    “Talking with students about their career and major uncertainty also helps normalize the developmental and exploratory experience (Grites, 1981;Titley & Titley, 1980)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Grites, 1981

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Titley & Titley, 1980
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The study does not know if undecided students conceptualized moving from undecided to a major as a change in their major.

    “In response to the question measuring the likelihood of changing major, we do not know if undecided students conceptualized moving from undecided to a major as a change in their major.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
45 of 45
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Research on undecided majors is dated.

    “Research on undecided majors is dated.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The literature focused more on predictors of decided majors than on variables related to students who select undecided as a major choice.

    “While our study examines variables related to students who select undecided as a major choice, the literature focused more on predictors of decided majors.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Research on undecidedness is often conflated with career uncertainty.

    “Additionally, research on undecidedness is often conflated with career uncertainty.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    More recent research on undecided students focuses on programs and experiences rather than individual student characteristics.

    “More recent research on undecided students focuses on programs and experiences rather than individual student characteristics.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Students who self-identify as undecided are only a portion of the students in college who are unsure of their academic and career plans.

    “Students who self-identify as undecided are only a portion of the students in college who are unsure of their academic and career plans.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The economic and national conditions were similar in 2016 and 2017.

    “The economic and national conditions were arguably similar in 2016 and 2017.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The sample is nationally representative of U.S. first-time, full-time, first-year college students.

    “This study explores the characteristics of incoming undecided students within a nationally representative sample of U.S. first-time, fulltime, first-year college students.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Much of the literature on undecidedness is dated.

    “Research has found correlations or suggested potential areas related to undecidedness; however, much of this literature is dated.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    There is a gap in research on undecided students because of the time elapsed since they have been studied on a national scale.

    “This study of a representative sample of first-year college students at four-year institutions contributes to the gap in the research on undecided students because of the time that has elapsed since these students have been studied on a national scale.”
9 of 9

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Overall prediction accuracy differs between text and table

    Major

    The text reports that the model correctly predicted 88.0% of cases, while Table 1 reports 92.5% for the same model.

  • Not all remaining predictors have negative associations

    Minor

    The statement says all remaining variables predict lower odds of being undecided, but attending a first-choice college and being prelaw have odds ratios greater than one.

  • Science-related career effect is overstated

    Minor

    The reported odds ratio of .716 corresponds to 28.4% lower odds, rather than 34% lower odds.

  • Largest reported reduction for the science-contribution goal is too high

    Minor

    Relative to the essential category, the lowest odds ratio shown is .666, corresponding to 33.4% lower odds-not the stated maximum of 41%.

  • Claim of p < .001 for all other predictors conflicts with table

    Minor

    The text assigns p < .001 to all other predictors, but Table 1 marks prelaw with ** rather than ***, indicating the less stringent p < .01 level.

  • Career-training effect is overstated

    Minor

    The odds ratio of .764 for "somewhat important" corresponds to 23.6% lower odds, rather than 27%.

6 of 6

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. Grites, T. J. (1981). Being “undecided” might be the best decision they could make. The School Counselor, 29(1), 41– 46. https://www.jstor.org/stable/23901105
  2. Pearson, C., & Dellmann-Jenkins,M. (1997). Parental influence on a student’s selection of a college major. College Student Journal, 31(3), 301– 313.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Harper, C. E., Orr, R., & Stolzenberg, E. B.
Affiliations
  • University of Missouri (US)
  • Higher Education Research Institute at CRESST
Corresponding author
Harper, Casandra E.
Venue
NACADA journal
Published
2023-12
Volume
43
Issue
2
Pages
136-145
ISSN
  • 0271-9517 (ISSN-L)
  • 2330-3840
OpenAlex
W4392608608
Cited by
3
References
37
Citations by year
2026: 2 · 2025: 1
FWCI
2.21
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
NACADA Journal (publishedVersion)
Funders
National Academic Advising Association
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education Research Studies
  • Social Sciences › Safety Research › Career Development and Diversity
  • Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education and Employability
Keywords
academic advising, college major choice, career indecision, student demographics, student identity, first-year students

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-20.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-20.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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