Causes and correlates of calf mortality in captive Asian elephants (Elephas maximus)
Open accessAbstract
Juvenile mortality is a key factor influencing population growth rate in density-independent, predation-free, well-managed captive populations. Currently at least a quarter of all Asian elephants live in captivity, but both the wild and captive populations are unsustainable with the present fertility and calf mortality rates. Despite the need for detailed data on calf mortality to manage effectively populations and to minimize the need for capture from the wild, very little is known of the causes and correlates of calf mortality in Asian elephants. Here we use the world's largest multigenerational demographic dataset on a semi-captive population of Asian elephants compiled from timber camps in Myanmar to investigate the survival of calves (n = 1020) to age five born to captive-born mothers (n = 391) between 1960 and 1999. Mortality risk varied significantly across different ages and was higher for males at any age. Maternal reproductive history was associated with large differences in both stillbirth and liveborn mortality risk: first-time mothers had a higher risk of calf loss as did mothers producing another calf soon (<3.7 years) after a previous birth, and when giving birth at older age. Stillbirth (4%) and pre-weaning mortality (25.6%) were considerably lower than those reported for zoo elephants and used in published population viability analyses. A large proportion of deaths were caused by accidents and lack of maternal milk/calf weakness which both might be partly preventable by supplementary feeding of mothers and calves and work reduction of high-risk mothers. Our results on Myanmar timber elephants with an extensive keeping system provide an important comparison to compromised survivorship reported in zoo elephants. They have implications for improving captive working elephant management systems in range countries and for refining population viability analyses with realistic parameter values in order to predict future population size of the Asian elephant.
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The elephant population in zoos is generally not sustainable without imports from the wild.
“The elephant population in zoos is generally not sustainable without imports from the wild (Wiese, 2000;Hutchins & Keele, 2006;Mar, Lahdenperä & Lummaa, 2012;Kurt, 2014) due to the poor reproductive success and low survivorship of captive elephants, who suffer from a reduced median lifespan as well as a higher mortality rate than their free-ranging and semi-captive counterparts (Clubb et al., 2009”
From Continuing challenges of elephant captivity: the captive environment, health issues, and welfare implications (2024) · cites this paper as Mar, Lahdenperä & Lummaa, 2012
The Introduction says many captive Asian elephant populations face decline because of low fertility and high calf mortality, and links sustainable management to minimizing capture from the wild. The Discussion reports high calf mortality in zoos, but does not establish that zoo populations generally require imports from the wild to persist. (LLM, conf=0.84)
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Jabili, C., Sanyal, A., Choudhary, D., & Vidya, T. N. C. (2025) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-97-7324-4_24 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Tusks, testosterone and personality in male Asian elephants ( Elephas maximus )
Huguet, H., Seltmann, M. W., Htut, W., Briga, M., Lynsdale, C. L., & Lummaa, V. (2025) · Royal Society Open Science · doi:10.1098/rsos.250490 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationDierenfeld, E. S. (2018) · Novel Techniques in Nutrition & Food Science · doi:10.31031/ntnf.2018.02.000541 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Liquid and frozen storage of Asian elephant spermatozoa
Negus, C. (2021) · The Sydney eScholarship Repository (The University of Sydney) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Unravelling ceremonial calf burials among Asian elephants in Northeast IndiaPreprint
Kaswan, P., & Roy, A. (2023) · doi:10.22541/au.169035525.57926235/v1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Princée, F. P. G. (2016) · Topics in biodiversity and conservation · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-50032-4_7
(2020) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-816208-8.00022-1
Vital Signs and Parameters in Newborn Asian Elephants (Elephas maximus)
Wiedner, E. B. (2023) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-82852-9.00095-2
Elephants Working in Conservation Practice
Szydlowski, M. (2024) · CABI eBooks · doi:10.1079/9781800624498.0006
Feeding programme in captive working elephants of Myanmar
Mar, K. U. (2024) · Gajah · doi:10.2305/nfqv1302
Self-citationMar, K. U. (2024) · Animals · doi:10.3390/ani14172506
Self-citationElephant Gestation: Insights Into Idiopathic Abortions and Stillbirth
Huijsmans, T. E. R. G., Soom, A. V., Smits, K., Wauters, J., Hagan, D. A., & Hildebrandt, T. B. (2024) · Zoo Biology · doi:10.1002/zoo.21867
Development of gut microbiota composition in captive Asian elephants: a year-long analysis
Klinhom, S., Kunasol, C., Sriwichaiin, S., Kerdphoo, S., Chattipakorn, N., Chattipakorn, S. C., & Thitaram, C. (2026) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-026-46586-8
Gautam, H., Courtiol, A., Jackson, J. A., Lahdenperä, M., Seltmann, M., Delaunay, A., dos Santos, D. F., Oo, Z. M., Htut, W., & Lummaa, V. (2026) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.64898/2026.05.29.728837
Self-citationDuan, Y., Li, J., Li, Z., Wang, Z., Zhang, M., & Bi, Z. (2026) · Zoo Biology · doi:10.1002/zoo.70101
- Authors
- Mar, K. U., Lahdenperä, M., & Lummaa, V.
- Affiliations
- University of Sheffield (GB)
- University of Turku (FI)
- Institute for Advanced Study (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Lummaa, Virpi
- Venue
- PLoS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2012-03-01
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- e32335
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC3291566
- OpenAlex
- W1972977320
- Cited by
- 76
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 3 · 2013: 4
- FWCI
- 3.97
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Suomen Kulttuurirahasto
- Koneen Säätiö
- Natural Environment Research Council (NE/G007330/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Wildlife Ecology and Conservation
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Marine animal studies overview
- Health Sciences › Veterinary › Small Animals › Animal Behavior and Welfare Studies
- Keywords
- Asian elephant, calf mortality, captive elephants, stillbirth, pre-weaning mortality, maternal reproductive history, sex differences in mortality, population viability analysis, Myanmar
- MeSH terms
- Algorithms, Animals, Animals, Zoo, Myanmar, Demography, Elephants, Female, Male, Mortality, Population Dynamics, Pregnancy, Pregnancy, Animal, Probability, Reproduction, Time Factors, Models, Statistical, Stillbirth, Endangered Species
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