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Benchmarking AlphaFold‐enabled molecular docking predictions for antibiotic discovery
Open accessAbstract
Efficient identification of drug mechanisms of action remains a challenge. Computational docking approaches have been widely used to predict drug binding targets; yet, such approaches depend on existing protein structures, and accurate structural predictions have only recently become available from AlphaFold2. Here, we combine AlphaFold2 with molecular docking simulations to predict protein‐ligand interactions between 296 proteins spanning Escherichia coli 's essential proteome, and 218 active antibacterial compounds and 100 inactive compounds, respectively, pointing to widespread compound and protein promiscuity. We benchmark model performance by measuring enzymatic activity for 12 essential proteins treated with each antibacterial compound. We confirm extensive promiscuity, but find that the average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (auROC) is 0.48, indicating weak model performance. We demonstrate that rescoring of docking poses using machine learning‐based approaches improves model performance, resulting in average auROCs as large as 0.63, and that ensembles of rescoring functions improve prediction accuracy and the ratio of true‐positive rate to false‐positive rate. This work indicates that advances in modeling protein‐ligand interactions, particularly using machine learning‐based approaches, are needed to better harness AlphaFold2 for drug discovery.
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“Within the chemoinformatics space, there are advances in computationally modeling how small molecules and proteins interact via docking.157–159”
From Connecting metabolome and phenotype: recent advances in functional metabolomics tools for the identification of bioactive natural products (2024) · cites this paper as [158]
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MethodHighly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold
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“This is consistent with previous assessments of AlphaFold’s fidelity to experimentally determined protein structures (Jumper et al , 2021) and suggests that the weak performance of our model arises from the docking method, and not the quality of protein structures.”
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“As positive controls for our docking simulations, we re-docked 11 experimentally evidenced protein-ligand complexes from the RCSB Protein Data Bank (Dataset EV2).”
MethodInfluentialAutoDock Vina 1.2.0: New Docking Methods, Expanded Force Field, and Python Bindings
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MethodInfluentialThe complete genome sequence of Escherichia coli K-12.
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“As shown in the workflow here, in order to leverage AlphaFold 2 for docking, we first downloaded all 296 AlphaFold 2 -predicted E. coli essential protein structures from the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database (Jumper et al , 2021 ; Varadi et al , 2022 ).”
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“The advent of AlphaFold2 and other deep neural networks for protein folding, such as RoseTTAFold (Baek et al , 2021; Humphreys et al , 2021), has been widely anticipated and celebrated in structural biology.”
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A Fully In Silico Protocol to Understand Olfactory Receptor–Odorant Interactions
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“A binding affinity score of ≤−5.00 kcal.mol −1 indicates a strong affinity between the target protein and the ligand (Wong et al., 2022).”
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“…as AlphaFold2 predictions are only static snapshots and do not reflect the structural flexibility and conformational heterogeneity of proteins (Nussinov et al. 2023), rigid AlphaFold2 predictions were found to be only of mixed utility in protein–ligand docking applications (Wong et al. 2022).”
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“[47] All the docking results with a binding affinity less than −7 kcal/mol were kept as the PDB format files by Pymol.”
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“When evaluating the potential of compounds in drug discovery, a docking threshold of − 29 kJ · mol − 1 can be considered as a starting point to identify candidates with good binding [66],”
Reinventing Therapeutic Proteins: Mining a Treasure of New Therapies
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“The successes of using AlphaFold2 for drug discovery, however, are currently limited [44], but provide hope for better computational drug design [45].”
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Trends Innovations Challenges in Employing Interdisciplinary Approaches to Biomedical Sciences
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AlphaFold2 predicts interactions amidst confounding structural compatibilityPreprint
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“Docking outcomes were classified into three categories: high affinity ( Δ G ≤ (cid:0) 7.0 kcal/mol), moderate affinity (-7.0 < Δ G ≤ (cid:0) 6.0 kcal/mol), and low affinity ( Δ G > (cid:0) 6.0 kcal/mol), in accordance with previous in silico studies [31 – 33].”
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“…(Jumper et al, 2021; Baek et al, 2021), there have been several successful attempts to accelerate and improve the docking process with the use of machine learning (Corso et al, 2022; Stärk et al, 2022; Wong et al, 2022; Méndez-Lucio et al, 2021; Lu et al, 2022; Zhou et al, 2023; Isert et al, 2023).”
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FAIR data for optical tweezers experiments
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“Several investigational drug compounds have been discovered using AlphaFold and require further validation (28,29), experimentally determined structures still have a higher success rate for predicting drug interactions with proteins (30,31).”
Interactions between membrane proteins and lipid membrane revealed by cryoEM
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Benchmarking Docking Tools on Experimental and Artificial Intelligence-Predicted Protein Structures
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“In parallel, docking validation was performed by extracting co-crystalized ligands from a PDB ID: 4QDI and re-docked with the mentioned PDB MurF protein using the same procedure discussed above [28].”
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“Examples include using unrefined AF-based protein structures [10, 11] or optimizing AF-based protein models using IFD-MD (induced- fit-based protocol) [12], molecular operating environment [13, 14], or Maestro [15].”
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Combining MVD and Ridge Method to Predict CDK2 Inhibition
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Molecular Modeling of the Pathogenetic Mechanisms of Neuropsychiatric Disorders
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Identification and characterization of thermostable hydrolases for efficient patulin degradation
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“33 In our study, we utilized ESM-Fold and DiffDock2 to model protein structure and docking of antibiotic molecules, along with GNINA to refine docking poses and calculate binding affinity properties.”
Oxidation-derived metabolites sustain the antioxidant network of quercetin
Wang, Y., Moalin, M., Zhang, M., & Pastor, B. C. (2026) · Journal of Computer-Aided Molecular Design · doi:10.1007/s10822-026-00878-3 · Cited by 1
Artificial intelligence-enabled strategies for addressing bottlenecks in probiotic development
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Deep learning reveals endogenous sterols as allosteric modulators of the GPCR–Gα interface
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Optimizing Drug Discovery: Molecular Docking with Glow-Worm Swarm Optimization
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“Only the metabolites that met the cutoff RMSD between targeted and blind poses and had binding affinities � − 7.0 Kcal mol − 1 (Wong et al., 2022) were considered valid and further analyzed.”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Wong, F., Krishnan, A., Zheng, E. J., Stärk, H., Manson, A. L., Earl, A. M., Jaakkola, T., & Collins, J. J.
- Affiliations
- Broad Institute (US)
- MIT Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (US)
- Corresponding author
- Collins, James J
- ORCID
- Venue
- Molecular Systems Biology
- Published
- 2022-09-01
- Volume
- 18
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- e11081-e11081
- ISSN
- 1744-4292 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9446081
- OpenAlex
- W4294719209
- Cited by
- 284
- References
- 52
- Citations by year
- 2026: 61 · 2025: 85 · 2024: 70 · 2023: 60 · 2022: 8
- FWCI
- 30.16
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Molecular Systems Biology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Funders
- Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard
- Flu Lab, LLC
- HHS¦NIH¦National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (U19AI110818, R01‐AI146194)
- HHS¦NIH¦National Institute of General Medical Sciences (P41‐GM103311)
- James S. McDonnell Foundation
- Rosamund Zander and Hansjorg Wyss
- Sea Grape Foundation
- Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF_ 203071)
- The Audacious Project
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Drug Discovery › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protein Structure and Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › vaccines and immunoinformatics approaches
- Keywords
- AlphaFold2, molecular docking, protein-ligand interactions, antibiotic discovery, antibacterial agents, machine learning, drug target prediction, benchmarking
- MeSH terms
- Anti-Bacterial Agents, Ligands, Protein Binding, Proteins, Benchmarking, Molecular Docking Simulation
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