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Benchmarking AlphaFold‐enabled molecular docking predictions for antibiotic discovery
Open accessAbstract
Efficient identification of drug mechanisms of action remains a challenge. Computational docking approaches have been widely used to predict drug binding targets; yet, such approaches depend on existing protein structures, and accurate structural predictions have only recently become available from AlphaFold2. Here, we combine AlphaFold2 with molecular docking simulations to predict protein‐ligand interactions between 296 proteins spanning Escherichia coli 's essential proteome, and 218 active antibacterial compounds and 100 inactive compounds, respectively, pointing to widespread compound and protein promiscuity. We benchmark model performance by measuring enzymatic activity for 12 essential proteins treated with each antibacterial compound. We confirm extensive promiscuity, but find that the average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (auROC) is 0.48, indicating weak model performance. We demonstrate that rescoring of docking poses using machine learning‐based approaches improves model performance, resulting in average auROCs as large as 0.63, and that ensembles of rescoring functions improve prediction accuracy and the ratio of true‐positive rate to false‐positive rate. This work indicates that advances in modeling protein‐ligand interactions, particularly using machine learning‐based approaches, are needed to better harness AlphaFold2 for drug discovery.
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“Within the chemoinformatics space, there are advances in computationally modeling how small molecules and proteins interact via docking.157–159”
From Connecting metabolome and phenotype: recent advances in functional metabolomics tools for the identification of bioactive natural products (2024) · cites this paper as [158]
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UCSF Chimera—A visualization system for exploratory research and analysis
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MethodHighly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold
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“This is consistent with previous assessments of AlphaFold’s fidelity to experimentally determined protein structures (Jumper et al , 2021) and suggests that the weak performance of our model arises from the docking method, and not the quality of protein structures.”
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“As positive controls for our docking simulations, we re-docked 11 experimentally evidenced protein-ligand complexes from the RCSB Protein Data Bank (Dataset EV2).”
MethodInfluentialAutoDock Vina 1.2.0: New Docking Methods, Expanded Force Field, and Python Bindings
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MethodInfluentialThe complete genome sequence of Escherichia coli K-12.
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“As shown in the workflow here, in order to leverage AlphaFold 2 for docking, we first downloaded all 296 AlphaFold 2 -predicted E. coli essential protein structures from the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database (Jumper et al , 2021 ; Varadi et al , 2022 ).”
InfluentialAccurate prediction of protein structures and interactions using a 3-track network
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“The advent of AlphaFold2 and other deep neural networks for protein folding, such as RoseTTAFold (Baek et al , 2021; Humphreys et al , 2021), has been widely anticipated and celebrated in structural biology.”
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“Model predictions based on the following rescoring functions were ensembled in sequence: RF-Score, NNScore, PLEC score, and RF-Score-VS.”
MethodHighly accurate protein structure prediction for the human proteome
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Computational approaches streamlining drug discovery
Sadybekov, A., & Katritch, V. (2023) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-023-05905-z · Cited by 1,424
“…targets lacking experimental structures, especially for target classes with less obvious structural homologies in the ligand-binding pocket, the performance of AlphaFold2 models in small-molecule docking showed disappointing results in recent assessments for GPCR and antibacterial targets 107,108 .”
BackgroundAlphaFold2 and its applications in the fields of biology and medicine
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“Wong et al. 102 combined molecular docking simulations with AF2 for protein-ligand interactions prediction.”
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Self-citationClustering predicted structures at the scale of the known protein universe
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“On the other hand, Wong et al.(57) developed a model to predict protein-ligand interactions based on AF structures and molecular docking and indicated, contrary to our results, that "molecular docking using AlphaFold2-predicted structures is similar to using experimentally determined ones.”
ResultAlphaFold2 structures guide prospective ligand discovery
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“Unfortunately, the model showed, on average, weak performance across 12 essential targets with an area under the receiver characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.48, and this was attributed to the docking method rather than AlphaFold2 predictions [93].”
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How accurately can one predict drug binding modes using AlphaFold models?
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“, 2021)—for tasks related to drug design, with mixed results (Díaz-Rovira et al., 2023; He et al., 2022; Heo & Feig, 2022; C. Lee et al., 2022; S. Lee et al., 2022; Liang et al., 2022; Qiao et al., 2022; Scardino et al., 2022; Wong et al., 2022).”
Comprehensive Survey of Consensus Docking for High-Throughput Virtual Screening
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“They concluded that the limitations in benchmarking are not due to the AlphaFold structures itself, but to the methods to accurately model the protein–ligand interactions [27].”
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“AlphaFold2 25 has made a breakthrough in protein structure prediction, with the predicted structures con fi rmed to be useful in DNA-binding site prediction 26,27 , antibiotic discovery 28 , and the study of intrinsically disordered proteins 29 .”
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“With the facilitation of the protein structure prediction by AlphaFold 2 [20,21], more modeled structures will undoubtedly be employed in SBVS before the target structures are solved experimentally [22,23].”
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“[74] to assess AlphaFold-enabled molecular docking predictions for drug discovery The use of AF2 together with molecular docking simulations to predict protein-ligand bindings demonstrated poor performance.”
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Self-citationRobustly interrogating machine learning-based scoring functions: what are they learning?
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“Another example is study done by Wong et al. [68] where the combined application of AF2 predicted structures with molecular docking was used to evaluate protein – ligand interactions between nearly 300 proteins from E. coli and 318 (218 active and 100 inactive) antibacterial compounds, further…”
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AlphaFold2 Predicts Whether Proteins Interact Amidst Confounding Structural Compatibility
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Self-citationHow accurately can one predict drug binding modes using AlphaFold models?
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InfluentialAn in-depth review of AI-powered advancements in cancer drug discovery
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Do Deep Learning Models for Co-Folding Learn the Physics of Protein-Ligand Interactions?Preprint
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Evaluation of AlphaFold2 Structures for Hit Identification across Multiple Scenarios
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InfluentialEssay: Using Machine Learning for Antibiotic Discovery
de la Fuente‐Núñez, C., & Collins, J. J. (2025) · Physical Review Letters · doi:10.1103/y3fg-s9vg · Cited by 13
Self-citationPutting Chemical Knowledge to Work in Machine Learning for Reactivity
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“Additionally, it also holds great promise for facilitating structure-based drug discoveries [42,46,47] and directing sitespecific mutagenesis [48,49].”
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How accurately can one predict drug binding modes using AlphaFold models?Preprint
Karelina, M., Noh, J. J., & Dror, R. O. (2023) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2023.05.18.541346 · Cited by 12
Structural biology in the age of AI
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AlphaFold3 for Structure-guided Ligand DiscoveryPreprint
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Advances and Challenges in Molecular Docking Applied to Neglected Tropical Diseases
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Metadata
- Authors
- Wong, F., Krishnan, A., Zheng, E. J., Stärk, H., Manson, A. L., Earl, A. M., Jaakkola, T., & Collins, J. J.
- Affiliations
- Broad Institute (US)
- MIT Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (US)
- Corresponding author
- Collins, James J
- ORCID
- Venue
- Molecular Systems Biology
- Published
- 2022-09-01
- Volume
- 18
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- e11081-e11081
- ISSN
- 1744-4292 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9446081
- OpenAlex
- W4294719209
- Cited by
- 284
- References
- 52
- Citations by year
- 2026: 61 · 2025: 85 · 2024: 70 · 2023: 60 · 2022: 8
- FWCI
- 30.16
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Molecular Systems Biology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Funders
- Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard
- Flu Lab, LLC
- HHS¦NIH¦National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (U19AI110818, R01‐AI146194)
- HHS¦NIH¦National Institute of General Medical Sciences (P41‐GM103311)
- James S. McDonnell Foundation
- Rosamund Zander and Hansjorg Wyss
- Sea Grape Foundation
- Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF_ 203071)
- The Audacious Project
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Drug Discovery › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protein Structure and Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › vaccines and immunoinformatics approaches
- Keywords
- AlphaFold2, molecular docking, protein-ligand interactions, antibiotic discovery, antibacterial agents, machine learning, drug target prediction, benchmarking
- MeSH terms
- Anti-Bacterial Agents, Ligands, Protein Binding, Proteins, Benchmarking, Molecular Docking Simulation
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