Radiocarbon, Wine Jars and New Kingdom Chronology
Open accessAbstract
M. Bietak, Vorwort für das Herausgebergremium/Preface for the Editorial Board M. Bietak, N. Math, V. Müller, C. Jurman, Report on the excavations of a Hyksos Palace at Tell el-Dab`a/Avaris (23rd August–15th November 2011) I. Forstner-Müller, P. Rose, Grabungen des Österreichischen Archäologischen Instituts Kairo in Tell el-Dab`a/Avaris: Das Areal R/III. 1. Vorbericht (Herbst 2010 bis Frühjahr 2011) Ch. Reali, The Seal Impressions from `Ezbet Rushdi, Area R/III of Tell el-Dab`a: Preliminary Report M. Marée, Comments on two Tell el-Dab`a sealings M. Lehmann, Vorbericht über die Grabungstätigkeiten der Frühjahrskampagne 2011 im Areal A/I von Tell el-Dab`a F. van Koppen, M. Lehmann, A cuneiform sealing from Tell el-Dab`a and its historical context D. Collon, M. Lehmann, S.E.M. Müller, Tell el-Dab`a Sealings 2009–2011 J. Kriwet, M. Lehmann, Ein Knorpelfischrest aus der ptolemäischen Siedlung in Tell el-Dab`a, Ägypten S.E.M. Müller, Rettungsgrabung `Ezbet Ruschdi/Tell el-Dab`a (Areal R/II), Vorbericht über die Grabungskampagnen 2008/2009 M. Bietak, C. v. Rüden, J. Becker, J. Jungfleisch, L. Morgan, E. Peintner, Preliminary Report of the Tell el-Dab`a Wall Painting Project – Season 2011/2012 J. Becker, J. Jungfleisch, C. v. Rüden, From Small Fragments to Large Animals. A Large-Scale Animal Fight in ‘Palace F’ at Tell el-Dab`a J. Budka, F. Doyen, Life in New Kingdom towns in Upper Nubia – New evidence from recent excavations on Sai Island J. Budka, T. Mekis, M.-C. Bruwier, Reuse of Saite temple tombs in the Asasif during the early Ptolemaic time – the tomb group of Mw.t-Mnw from TT 414 S. Rzepka, M. Nour el-Din, A. Wodzińska, Ł.Jarmużek, Egyptian Mission Rescue Excavations in Tell el-Retaba. Part 1: New Kingdom Remains D. Aston, Radiocarbon, Wine Jars and New Kingdom Chronology A. Ben-Tor, A Decorated Box in the Collections of the Bible Lands Museum, Jerusalem. E. Braun, A Note on Relations between the Southern Levant and Egypt during Early Dynasty 0 G. Broekman, Manetho’s ‘three other kings’ between Osorthôn and Takelôthis, and their importance for the chronology of the Third Intermediate Period and the New Kingdom O. Goldwasser, Out of the mists of the alphabet: Redrawing the “Brother of the Ruler of Retjenu” J. Mynářová, North or South? A Note on the Provenance of EA 220 H. Tronchère, B. Millet, J.-P. Goiran, P. Carbonel, H. Djerbi, R. Vera, M. Torab, M. Elassal, Y. Callot, Geoarchaeological results from the harbor of Taposiris and implications concerning the construction of the harbor B. Vanthuyne, Amarna factories, workshops, faience moulds and their produce U. Zevulun, I. Ziffer, Back from the Hunt: A Pictorial Tell el-Yahudiyeh Juglet in the Eretz Israel Museum, Tel Aviv
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
Aston combines wine-jar dockets, lunar dates, and radiocarbon models to argue that the conventional New Kingdom low chronology (Tuthmosis III 1479 BC, Ramesses II 1279 BC) should be replaced by a high chronology with Tuthmosis III c. 1493 BC and Ramesses II c. 1290 BC. The wine dockets indicate shorter reigns for Horemheb and Sety I and a longer reign for Tuthmosis IV, and the 1493–1290 correlation is said to fit the radiocarbon, lunar, and archaeological evidence better than alternatives.
Key findings
- Wine dockets indicate Horemheb had no docket later than Year 14, Sety I no later than Year 8, and Tutankhamun died before his Year 10 harvest; this removes about sixteen years from the conventional chronology, reducing Sety I by two years, Horemheb by at least thirteen, and Tutankhamun by one.
- The 2010 radiocarbon model, originally based on 80 samples, gives Tuthmosis III 1494–1483 BC at 68% and 1498–1474 BC at 95%, and Ramesses II 1292–1281 BC at 68% and 1297–1273 BC at 95%; the 2013 model gives Tuthmosis III 1496–1477 BC at 68% and 1502–1470 BC at 95%, and Ramesses I 1334–1309 BC at 68% and 1340–1292 BC at 95%.
- The conventional 1479–1279 BC low chronology is at the extreme earliest edge of the 2010 two-sigma range; the proposed 1493–1290 BC correlation places Tuthmosis III, Amenophis II, and Ramesses II within the expected one-sigma range.
- The proposed high chronology is Tuthmosis III 1493–1440, Amenophis II 1442–1409, Tuthmosis IV 1409–1382, Amenophis III 1382–1344, Akhenaten 1344–1328, Tutankhamun 1325–1316, Horemheb 1313–1299, Sety I 1298–1290, and Ramesses II 1290–1224 BC; an ultra-high alternative starts Tuthmosis III in 1504 BC.
Methods
- Synthesis and argument combining published radiocarbon models (Bronk Ramsey et al. 2010; Quiles et al. 2013), New Kingdom wine dockets on amphorae, lunar dates (Tuthmosis III Year 23 Megiddo and Year 24; Ramesses II Year 52 Piramesse), Hittite-Egyptian synchronisms (Mursilis II/Horemheb), ceramic phases, Theban elite-tomb counts, and mummy-age estimates.
- Data include the 2010 radiocarbon model’s 80 samples from Hatshepsut/Tuthmosis III to Ramesses IX, with per-king counts such as 24 for Tuthmosis III, 25 for Hatshepsut, 1 for Amenophis II, 2 for Amenophis III, 17 for Akhenaten, 7 for Tutankhamun, and 2 for Ramesses II; wine dockets from Horemheb Years 2–14, c. 500 Sety I Year 8 amphora sherds, and Tutankhamun tomb dockets for Years 4, 5, 9, 10, and 31.
- Analysis compares radiocarbon probability ranges with archaeological and lunar chronologies, uses wine dockets to infer the latest vintage before a king’s death, and tests whether proposed high and ultra-high chronologies fit one-sigma/two-sigma ranges and Near Eastern synchronisms.
Limitations
- The paper states that uncertainties about the end of the Nineteenth Dynasty led it to concentrate on Tuthmosis III to Ramesses II; wine dockets do not name the pharaoh and attribution relies on external factors; jars could have been reused; some Sety I dockets are unpublished; the 2013 model makes no attempt to link Egyptian chronology with the neighbouring Near East; the 2010 model was dismissed by Huber; mummy age estimates are unreliable; and the co-regency question remains unresolved.
- The paper states that 1493 BC is astronomically less probable than 1468, 1454, or 1504 BC, though acceptable with a one-day error, and that 1504 BC is astronomically preferable; it also notes that the Akhenaten and Tutankhamun radiocarbon dates are too early, and that the 2010 Tutankhamun result does not match any chronology discussed.
- Evident from the text: the argument depends on the assumption that pharaohs were buried with the newest wine, the wine-docket record is incomplete, some arguments rest on unpublished studies, the proposed chronology requires abandoning the disputed Ramesses II Year 16/Kadashman-Enlil II synchronism, and the author self-identifies as a nonspecialist in radiocarbon.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
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Cites
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 53 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingnone given
Jar dockets from Amenophis III's palace at Malkata attest Years 1, 8, 9, 20, 24, 25, 26, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 and 38.
“whilst jar dockets from his palace at Malkata attest Years 1, (usually attributed to Akhenaten), 8, 9, 20, 24, 25, 26, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 and 38.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Dockets found in Amenophis III's tomb, KV 22, mention Years 32 and 37.
“Dockets found in his tomb, KV 22, mention Years 32 and 37.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Approximately 500 amphora sherds from a deposit derived from the tomb of Seti I were all inscribed with Sety I's Year 8.
“Amongst the pottery recovered, by the University of Basle MISR expedition in the Valley of the Kings, from a deposit which evidently derived from the tomb of Seti I were approximately 500 amphora sherds all inscribed with Sety I's Year 8, 51 whilst other wine dockets from the reign of Sety I are only known for Years 1 through 4 and 8.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Other wine dockets from the reign of Sety I are only known for Years 1 through 4 and 8.
“whilst other wine dockets from the reign of Sety I are only known for Years 1 through 4 and 8.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
A docket found in Gurob bears a Year 6 date.
“but a docket found in Gurob bears a Year 6 date.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingreasoning
There is an abundance of other types of datelines for Seti I which refer to Years 1-9.
“Additionally there is an abundance of other types of datelines for Seti I which refer to Years 1-9, 53 and in Year 9 work commenced in the Aswan quarries on a number of obelisks that were clearly finished by his successor, Ramesses II, which implies that Seti I could not have lived much past his ninth year.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
A wine docket of Year 36 found at Malkata, usually assigned to Amenophis III, also refers to wine from the Estate of Tuthmosis IV.
“Moreover a wine docket of Year 36 found at Malkata, and therefore usually assigned to the reign of Amenophis III, also refers to wine from the Estate of Tuthmosis IV.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
The only indisputable attested regnal dates for Tuthmosis IV comprise Years 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8.
“The only indisputable attested regnal dates for Tuthmosis IV comprise Years 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [22]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingnone given
Dated objects for Amenophis III, not including jar dockets, refer to Years 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 11, 14, 20, 27, 30, 31, 33, 35 and 36.
“For Amenophis III, dated objects, not including jar dockets, refer to Years 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 11, 14, 20, 27, 30, 31, 33, 35 and 36, whilst jar dockets from his palace at Malkata attest Years 1, (usually attributed to Akhenaten), 8, 9, 20, 24, 25, 26, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 and 38.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Under Horemheb wine dockets are known for Years 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 12, 13, and 14.
“Under Horemheb wine dockets are known for Years 2, 37 3, 38 4, 39 5, 40 6, 41 10, 42 12, 43 13, 44 and 14 45 .”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
The Year 52 Ramesses II Piramesse lunar date and the Year 23 Tuthmosis III Megiddo lunar date indicate that a minimum of 197 years elapsed between Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II.
“the Year 52 Ramesses II Piramesse lunar date and the Year 23 Tuthmosis III Megiddo lunar date indicate that a minimum 197 years elapse be- tween Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
The only certain Heb sed festival of Amenophis IV occurred in his Year 2.
“The only certain Heb sed festival of Amenophis IV 82 occured in his Year 2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [82]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingcitation
For Tuthmosis IV, with a minimum secure date of eight years, twenty-one elite tombs are known.
“For Tuthmosis IV, minimum secure date eight years: twentyone tombs.114”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [114]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
Smenkhare's Year 1 followed very closely Akhenaten's Year 17, as indicated by dockets found at Amarna.
“By the same token, Smenkhare's Year 1 followed very closely that of Akhenaten's Year 17, as indicated by the dockets found at Amarna.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
There is only one certain exception to the rule that Heb sed festivals were first celebrated in Year 30, namely Amenophis IV.
“There is only one certain exception to this rule, namely Amenophis IV”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
From the foundations of the Third Pylon at Karnak come remains of a sandstone building of Tuthmosis IV with texts referring to both a Heb sed and a renewal of a Heb sed jubilee.
“from the foundations of the Third Pylon at Karnak come the remains of a sandstone building of Tuthmosis IV with texts which refer to both a Heb sed and a renewal of a Heb sed jubilee, 95”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [95]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingnone given
A wine jar of Year 31 of Amenophis III was found in the tomb of Tutankhamun.
“the fact that a wine jar of Year 31 of (presumably) Amenophis III was found in the tomb of Tutankhamun is an important caveat to bear in mind.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Texts referring to a renewal of the Heb sed of Tuthmosis IV are also found in a temple at Amada.
“texts referring to a renewal of the Heb sed of Tuthmosis IV are also found in a temple at Amada, originally built by Tuthmosis III and Amenophis II.96”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [96]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingnone given
At Malkata, only three different years are represented on dockets with a year date before Year 20, namely Years 1, 8 and 9.
“At Malkata, only three different years are represented on dockets with a year date before Year 20, namely Years 1, 8 and 9.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The identity of the female figure shown with Tuthmosis IV on the damaged Karnak stela is not certain.
“The identity of this latter woman is not certain”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
There is no corresponding dearth of elite tombs during Amenophis II's reign.
“but if that were true, there ought to have been a corresponding dearth of elite tombs during Amenophis II's reign, but this is not the case.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Tiaa clearly survived into the reign of Tuthmosis IV since she is shown in association with him on various monuments.
“Tiaa clearly survived into the reign of Tuthmosis IV since she is shown in association with him on various monuments”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Queen Nefertiry was also a Great Royal Wife of Tuthmosis IV.
“That a queen, Nefertiry, was also a Great Royal Wife of Tuthmosis IV is certain, 131”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [131]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingnone given
The wine dockets indicate that Horemheb reigned no more than fifteen years.
“Since the wine dockets indicate that Horemheb reigned no more than fifteen years and Seti I no more than nine years”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Foundation deposits in front of KV 22 clearly show that that tomb was begun by Tuthmosis IV.
“Foundation deposits in front of KV 22, the tomb later refashioned and used by his son, Amenophis III, clearly show that that tomb, too, was begun by Tuthmosis IV. 124”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [124]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingreasoning
The association of Nipkhururia with Tutankhamun is not certain.
“However, the association of Nipkhururia with Tutankhamun is not certain”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
The recent re-clearance of KV 32 by the University of Basle MISR mission strongly suggests that the occupant was queen Tiaa, wife of Amenophis II and mother of Tuthmosis IV.
“The recent re-clearance of this tomb by the University of Basle MISR mission, strongly suggests that the occupant of this tomb was queen Tiaa, (a minor) wife of Amenophis II, and mother of Tuthmosis IV. 127”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [127]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
The wine dockets indicate that Seti I reigned no more than nine years.
“Since the wine dockets indicate that Horemheb reigned no more than fifteen years and Seti I no more than nine years”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
A minimum of twenty-one, rising to a maximum of twenty-six, elite tombs were carved in the reign of Tuthmosis IV.
“Nevertheless a minimum of twenty-one, rising to a maximum twenty-six, elite tombs, carved in the reign of Tuthmosis IV is, in comparison with those cut during the reigns of Amenophis II and Amenophis III, a surprisingly high number for a reign which only lasted eight to eleven years at most.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The seventeen Carbon 14 dates for Akhenaten and the (2010) seven for Tutankhamun are too early.
“In both cases, however, the seventeen Carbon 14 dates for Akhenaten and the (2010) seven for Tutankhamun are too early.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
In the ultra-high scenario (Tuthmosis III 1504 BC), only Ramesses II falls into the correct range.
“whilst in the second (ultrahigh), with Tuthmosis III coming to the throne in 1504 BC only Ramesses II falls into the 'correct' range.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
In both the conventional low chronology and the high and ultra-high chronology suggested in this paper, the radiocarbon dates at the two sigma range are compatible.
“then in both the conventional low chronology, (Year 1 of Tuthmosis III in 1479, and Year 1 of Ramesses II in 1279, cf.KRAUSS 2007), and the high and ultra-high chronology suggested in this paper the radiocarbon dates at the two sigma range are compatible”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
With the 2010 exception of Tutankhamun, the radiocarbon dates do not match any of the chronologies discussed in the paper.
“With the 2010 exception of Tutankhamun, for which the radiocarbon dates do not match any of the chronologies discussed in this paper”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
In the high scenario (Tuthmosis III 1493 BC, Ramesses II 1290 BC), Tuthmosis III, Ramesses II and Amenophis II fit into the expected one sigma range of the Carbon 14 results of Bronk Ramsey et al.
“in the first (high) scenario, Tuthmosis III coming to the throne in 1493 BC and Ramesses II in 1290 BC, then both, and also Amenophis II, fit into the 'expected' one sigma range as indicated by the Carbon 14 results of Bronk Ramsey et al”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The follow-up 2013 study confirms the general results of the 2010 result.
“the follow-up 2013 study does confirm the general results of the 2010 result.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
In 2013, the radiocarbon accession date of Tutankhamun, at a two sigma range, would just fit the conventional low chronology.
“In 2013, the radiocarbon accession date of Tutankhamun, at a two sigma range would just fit the conventional low chronology, such as KRAUSS, 2007.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Even with those dates, the radiocarbon suggests, at a one sigma range, a start date for the reign of Tuthmosis III between 1494 and 1483 BC.
“even with those dates, the radiocarbon still suggests, at a one sigma range, a start date for the reign of Tuthmosis III between 1494 and 1483 BC.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The Year 26 amphora likely refers to the reign of Amenophis II.
“For Amenophis II, monumental evidence gives clear proof of year dates for Years 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9 and 23, hence it is not too far-fetched to assume that the year 26 amphora mentioned above does indeed refer to the reign of Amenophis II.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
The evidence from the intact tomb of Tutankhamun indicates that the pharaoh would have been buried with new wine.
“Since the evidence provided by the intact tomb of Tutankhamun indicates that the pharaoh would have been buried with new wine, it is surprising that no wine younger than Year 14 was found in the tomb of Horemheb, even allowing for the fact that the tomb was plundered and none later than Year 8 was found associated with the tomb of Seti I.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: At Tutankhamun's burial, the king was buried with the newest wine available along with perhaps some particularly good wines from earlier years.
- Interpretationnone given
Akhenaten died after the wine harvest of his Year 17.
“The Amarna interlude which follows, however, is slightly confusing but it is clear that Akhenaten died after the wine harvest of his Year 17”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
From the wine dockets it appears that Horemheb must have died in his fourteenth, or at latest, fifteenth regnal year.
“From the wine dockets it would appear that Horemheb must have died in his fourteenth, or at latest, fifteenth regnal year.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The close correlation of monumental evidence with wine jar dates indicates that Amenophis III died in his thirty-eighth or thirty-ninth regnal year.
“The close correlation of the monumental evidence with the wine jar dates clearly indicate that Amenophis III must have died in the thirty-eighth or thirty-ninth year of his reign.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The Year 10 docket from Tutankhamun's tomb must refer to a wine from the time of Akhenaten.
“One thus has to question the Year 10 docket, and indeed Tallet has convincingly demonstrated that the Year 10 must refer to a wine from the time of Akhenaten.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Tallet
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
The Year 8 wine dockets from Seti I's tomb most likely refer to the last vintage before the death of the king.
“This makes the wine jar dockets found in the Valley of the Kings highly significant since, as in the case of Horemheb, these Year 8 dockets most likely refer to the last vintage before the death of the king.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If the Gebel Barkal stela is reassigned to Year 3, the highest attested year date for Seti I is Year 9.
“If, with van Dijk, the stela is reassigned to Year 3, where stylistically it clearly belongs, then the highest attested year date for Seti I is Year 9, known in several instances.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Based on the wine dockets, Tutankhamun died in his Year 9, or 10 before the wine harvest, at the latest.
“Based on the wine dockets Tutankha-mun died in his year 9, or 10 before the wine harvest, at the latest.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The Year 31 wine jar from Tutankhamun's tomb can only have been bottled in the reign of Amenophis III.
“Since no-one has tried to argue for a reign of 31 years for Tutankhamun, this jar can only have been bottled in the reign of Amenophis III.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Osorkon II's Heb sed festival took place in his Year 30.
“thus this festival took place in Osorkon's Year 30.91”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [91]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
There is good evidence that Amenophis II's first three years, literally 2 years and four months, were in a co-regency with Tuthmosis III.
“there is also good evidence that Amenophis II's first three years (literally 2 years and four months) were in a co-regency with Tuthmosis III, 77”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [77]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
The obelisk inscription plays no part in establishing the length of reign of Amenophis II.
“The obelisk inscription, therefore, plays no part in establishing the length of reign of Amenophis II.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The missing sixteen years must be accounted for elsewhere.
“Rather these missing sixteen years must be accounted for elsewhere.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Dockets of years 21, 28, 30 and 31 of Amenophis III found at Amarna could only have got there in Year 5 of Akhenaten at the earliest.
“dockets of years 21, 28, 30 and 31 of (obviously) Amenophis III found at Amarna could only have got there in Year 5 of Akhenaten at the earliest.103”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [103]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationown data
Adding a minimum of fifteen years to the reigns of Smenkhare/Neferneferuaten and/or Ankhetkheperure is unlikely, based on the wine dockets found at Amarna.
“To add a minimum fifteen years to the reigns of Smenkhare/Neferneferuaten and/or Ankhetkheperure is again, based on the wine dockets found at Amarna, unlikely.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The king Oros in Manetho is presumably Amenophis III.
“then this king Oros is presumably Amenophis III.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
It is unlikely that a hitherto unknown king or kings await discovery.
“Theoretically it is possible that a hitherto unknown king (or kings) still await discovery, but this seems somewhat unlikely”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
Wente and van Siclen III's basic argument for a long Amenophis II reign is still valid despite Redford's denial.
“Their chronology, however, has not found much favour amongst Egyptologists; nevertheless despite the stringent denial by Redford, 80 their basic argument is still valid.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [80]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
The only place where the sixteen years can be easily absorbed is the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV.
“The only place, therefore, where these sixteen years can be at all easily absorbed is the reigns of Amenophis II -Tuthmosis IV”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The Wadi Hammamat Year 2 date and the Heb sed of Nebtawyre Mentuhotep III do not belong together.
“Inscriptions in the Wadi Hammamat refer to a Heb sed of Nebtawyre Mentuhotep III with a Year 2 date but it now seems that the two do not belong together.81”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [81]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
No years can be added to the reign of Tuthmosis III.
“Since Tuthmosis III's date of death in 30 III Peret of his Year 54 is known with certainty, no years can be added here.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Tuthmosis III died in 30 III Peret of his Year 54.
- Interpretationreasoning
Based on Manetho and references to the renewal of a Heb sed festival, Amenophis II probably lived into his thirty-fourth year.
“Yet based on Manetho and the references to the renewal of a Heb sed festival it does seem likely that Amenophis II probably did live into his thirty-fourth year”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Eleven years in the Dynasty remain unaccounted for.
“but it still leaves eleven years in the Dynasty unaccounted.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The nearest possible accession date for Ramesses II is 1290 BC.
“The nearest possibility is 1290 BC, which would imply a jiggling of the reign lengths of some of the kings between Tuthmosis III and Ay.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The distribution of jar dockets at Malkata suggests that Akhenaten's Year 1 followed very closely Amenophis III's Year 38, assuming no co-regency between Amenophis III and Akhenaten.
“The distribution of the jar dockets at Malkata suggests, assuming that there was no co-regency between Amenophis III and Akhenaten, that Akhenaten's Year 1 followed very closely that of Amenophis III's Year 38.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: There was no co-regency between Amenophis III and Akhenaten.
- Interpretationreasoning
Amenophis II celebrated two Heb sed festivals.
“As stated above there are references to a Heb sed festival and a renewal for Amenophis II, indicative that he celebrated two such festivals”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
A longer reign for Ramesses I is negated by the fact that his tomb was only hastily finished without the full plan evidenced in those of his predecessor and successor.
“A longer reign for Ramesses I seems negated by the fact that his tomb was only hastily finished without the full plan evidenced in those of both his predecessor and his successor.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The wine docket of Year 36 of the Estate of Tuthmosis IV found at Malkata could have been produced during the lifetime of the king.
“the wine docket of Year 36 of the Estate of Tuthmosis IV found at Malkata could have been produced during the lifetime of the king.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If the date of 1479 BC for the accession of Tuthmosis III is abandoned, then astronomically both 1504 BC and 1493 BC as the start of Tuthmosis III's reign are acceptable.
“If the date of 1479 BC for the accession of Tuthmosis III is abandoned, then astronomically, both 1504 BC and 1493 BC as the start of Tuthmosis III's reign are 'acceptable'”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [158]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
The supposed synchronism between Ramesses II's Year 16 and Year 1 of the Assyrian Kadashman-Enlil II would have to be abandoned.
“The one correlation which would, of necessity have to be abandoned is the supposed synchronism between Ramesses II's Year 16 and Year 1 of the Assyrian Kadashman-Enlil II”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Burnaburiash II cannot have come to the Babylonian throne before 1353/1352 BC, on both the here postulated high and ultra-high chronology.
“Burnaburiash II, therefore cannot have come to the Babylonian throne before that year, 1353/1352 BC, on both the here postulated high and ultra-high chronology.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Tuthmosis IV is known to have been in contact with the Babylonian king Kara-indash.
“Tuthmosis IV is known to have been in contact with the Babylonian king Kara-indash, (Amarna letters EA:64-65)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites EA:64-65
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
A third royal tomb may also have been cut during Tuthmosis IV's reign.
“Thus a third royal tomb may also have been cut during his reign.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
From Burnaburiash II's Year 1 to Kadashman-Enlil II's Year 1, a minimum of 96 years must elapse.
“from Burnaburiash II's Year 1 to Kadashman-Enlil II's Year 1, a minimum 96 years must elapse, since Burnaburiash II reigned for 27+ years, his successor, Kurtigalzu II, 25 years, his successor, Nazi-Marutttash, 26 years, and his successor, Kadashman-Turgu, 18 years.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The number of elite tombs carved in Tuthmosis IV's reign is surprisingly high for a reign lasting only eight to eleven years at most.
“Nevertheless a minimum of twenty-one, rising to a maximum twenty-six, elite tombs, carved in the reign of Tuthmosis IV is, in comparison with those cut during the reigns of Amenophis II and Amenophis III, a surprisingly high number for a reign which only lasted eight to eleven years at most.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Kadashman-Enlil I must have still been king in Babylon in Amenophis III's Year 30.
“hence Kadashman-Enlil I must have still been king in Babylon in Amenophis III's Year 30.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Tuthmosis IV probably had KV 32 carved for Tiaa's burial.
“so it was probably he who had KV 32 carved for her burial.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
With an accession date of 1504 BC for Tuthmosis III, it would be very possible for Tuthmosis IV to have reigned long enough to celebrate two Heb-sed festivals.
“It may be significant that with an accession date of 1504 BC for Tuthmosis III, it would be very possible for Tuthmosis IV to have reigned long enough to celebrate two Heb-sed festivals”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
One, and perhaps two, of Tuthmosis IV's four Great Royal Wives are probably only symbolic.
“However one, and perhaps two, of these wives are probably only symbolic.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
From a ceramic point of view, the length of time occupied by the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV ought, if at all possible, to be increased.
“it would thus appear that, from a ceramic point of view, the length of time occupied by the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV ought, if at all possible, to be increased.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
1490 BC is astronomically unacceptable as the start of Tuthmosis III's reign.
“however as pointed out above, this is astronomically unacceptable.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Estimates of the ages of pharaohs based on their mummies are somewhat unreliable.
“However, estimates of the ages of pharaohs based on their mummies are somewhat unreliable.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [142]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Hope has plausibly dated a series of true blue-painted vessels found in tombs at Giza into the reigns of Amenophis II-Tuthmosis IV.
“Hope has plausibly dated a series of true blue-painted vessels found in tombs at Giza into the reigns of Amenophis II-Tuthmosis IV”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [150]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Tuthmosis IV probably came to the throne somewhat earlier than the circa 1400 BC date implied by the accession of Tuthmosis III in 1479 BC.
“that Tuthmosis IV probably came to the throne somewhat earlier than the circa 1400 BC date implied by the accession of Tuthmosis III in 1479 BC is also indicated by the fact that Tuthmosis IV is known to have been in contact with the Babylonian king Kara-indash”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Any chronology which would have Tuthmosis III come to the throne in 1493 BC and Ramesses II in 1290 BC is more likely to be nearer the truth than any which dates the accession of Tuthmosis III in 1479 and Ramesses II in 1279 BC.
“any chronology which would have Tuthmosis III come to the throne in 1493 BC and Ramesses II in 1290 BC is more likely to be nearer the truth than any which dates the accession of Tuthmosis III in 1479 and Ramesses II in 1279 BC.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
It is unlikely that Seti I outlived his ninth year.
“as noted above it is unlikely that Seti I outlived his ninth year”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
From a purely ceramic point of view, the revised chronology would be acceptable.
“From a purely ceramic point of view, such a revised chronology would be acceptable”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
With a 1493-1290 BC correlation, the radiocarbon dates, lunar dates, wine dockets and the archaeological analysis are remarkably in accord with one another.
“With a 1493 -1290 BC correlation, however, it can be seen that the radiocarbon dates, lunar dates (even though 1504 is astronomically preferable), wine dockets and the archaeological analysis given above are remarkably in accord with one another”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Tuthmosis IV must have had a longer reign than for which he is currently given credit.
“and that Tuthmosis IV must have had a longer reign than for which he is currently given credit.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
This reduces the Tell el-Dab'a offset by 25 years.
“which thus reduces the Tell el-Dab'a offset (cf supra fn. 2) by 25 years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning
The pottery of the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV forms a distinct transitional phase between Phases 2A and 3.
“the pottery of this period forms a distinct transitional phase between Phases 2A and 3”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 59
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 51
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe recent re-clearance of the tombs of Horemheb and Sety I in the Valley of the Kings found no wine dockets later than Year 14 in Horemheb's tomb and no wine dockets later than Year 8 associated with material from the tomb of Sety I.
“This rather neat picture was, however, exploded by the recent re-clearance of the tombs of Horemheb and Sety I in the Valley of the Kings, since in Horemheb's tomb no wine dockets later than Year 14 were found, whilst no wine dockets later than Year 8 were associated with material from the tomb of Sety I.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataWine dockets found in Tutankhamun's tomb document Years 4, 5, 9, 10, and 31, with some Year 5 and Year 9 dockets referring to the Estate of Tutankhamun.
“Wine dockets found in Tutankhamun's tomb document Years 4 (six times), 5 (twelve times), 9 (six times), 10 (once) and 31 (once), all without references to the king concerned, although four of the Year 5, and one of the Year 9 dockets do say that the wine comes from the Estate of Tutankhamun, and thus a correlation with Tutankhamun is certain.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenDockets from Deir el-Medineh refer to Years 3, 14, 17, 30 and 36, whilst a Year 23 docket attributed to Amenophis III comes from Dahshur.
“Dockets from Deir el-Medineh refer to Years 3, 14, 17, 30 and 36, 30 whilst a Year 23 docket attributed to Amenophis III comes from Dahshur.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThe only certain dates known for Ramesses I are Year 1 on the stela Strasbourg 1378, and a stela unearthed in Karnak, whilst Year 2 is found on the Louvre stela C57 from Buhen.
“The only certain dates known for Ramesses I are Year 1 on the stela Strasbourg 1378, and a stela unearthed in Karnak, whilst Year 2 is found on the Louvre stela C57 from Buhen.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenReferences to a Heb sed of Hatshepsut occur on an obelisk apparently erected in Year 16.
“References to a Heb sed of Hatshepsut occur on an obelisk which was apparently erected in Year 16”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Findingown dataThe Lateran obelisk inscription records that the obelisk lay on its side for thirty-five years before Tuthmosis IV erected it.
“This bears an inscription added by Tuthmosis IV who records how the obelisk lay on its side for thirty-five years before he erected it.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationFor Amenophis II, with a minimum secure date of twenty-three years, forty elite tombs are known.
“For Amenophis II, minimum secure date twenty-three years: forty tombs.112”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [112]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationFor Amenophis III, with a minimum secure date of thirty-eight years, thirty-seven elite tombs are known.
“For Amenophis III, minimum secure date thirty-eight years: thirty-seven tombs.113”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [113]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
FindingcitationClose examination of Papyrus BM 10056 indicated only two numerals and not three, so a Year 30 is ruled out.
“Such a hypothesis cavalierly overrides the close examination of the indicated that, in their opinion, there were only two numerals and not three, hence a Year 30 is ruled out.75”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [75]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenInscriptions at Karnak refer to both a Heb-sed and a renewal of the Heb sed under Amenophis II.
“Inscriptions at Karnak refer to both a Heb-sed and a renewal of the Heb sed under Amenophis II”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationKV 42 was clearly made during the reign of Tuthmosis III and was only utilised during the reign of Amenophis II at the earliest.
“KV 42, clearly made during the reign of Tuthmosis III, was only utilised during the reign of Amenophis II at the earliest, 120”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [120]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningTwo dated inscriptions of Year 7 refer to Iaret as king's daughter, king's sister and Great Royal Wife, so Iaret was certainly a Great Royal Wife by that year.
“Two dated inscriptions of Year 7 refer to the king's daughter, king's sister and Great Royal Wife, Iaret, hence Iaret was certainly a Great Royal Wife by that year.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThe dates for Tuthmosis III were derived from 49 radiocarbon samples in the 2010 study, but were essentially deduced from intervening reign lengths in the 2013 study.
“the dates for Tuthmosis III were derived from 49 radiocarbon samples in the 2010 study, but were essentially deduced from intervening reign lengths in the 2013 study.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThe conventional low chronology is at the extreme earliest edge of the 2010 two sigma range, slightly less so in the 2013 result.
“In every case, however, the conventional low chronology is at the extreme earliest edge of the 2010 two sigma range, slightly less so in the 2013 result.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
FindingreasoningThe samples in the 2010 radiocarbon model were more closely linked to the actual reign of the named king than the 2013 model.
“the samples were more closely linked to the actual reign of the named king, than the 2013 model, in which the samples were not so well-dated”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe Gebel Barkal stela's Year 11 is likely a misreading and should be reassigned to Year 3.
“If, with van Dijk, the stela is reassigned to Year 3, where stylistically it clearly belongs, then the highest attested year date for Seti I is Year 9, known in several instances.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites van Dijk
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe New Kingdom radiocarbon chronology of Bronk Ramsey et al. was originally based on 80 samples extending over the reigns of Hatshepsut/Tuthmosis III to Ramesses IX and results in accession dates for kings from Tuthmosis III to Ramesses II.
“The New Kingdom radiocarbon chronology of Bronk Ramsey et al, was originally based on 80 samples which extend over the reigns of Hatshepsut/Tuthmosis III to Ramesses IX, results in the following accession dates at a 68% (1 sigma) and a 95% (2 sigma) probability (only the reigns from Tuthmosis III to Ramesses II, for which carbon 14 dates exist are listed):”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationWine dockets applied to the shoulder of amphorae at the time they were filled do not name the pharaoh; their inscriptions are generally confined to a year date, the type of product, its quantity and quality, the source of production, and in the case of wine, the vintner responsible.
“Wine dockets, applied to the shoulder of amphorae at the time they were filled, unfortunately do not name the pharaoh; inscriptions, at their most complete, being generally confined to a year date, the type of product, its quantity and quality, the source of production, and in the case of wine, the vintner responsible.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [18]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe conventional low chronology (after Krauss 2007) places Year 1 of Tuthmosis III in 1479 BC and Year 1 of Ramesses II in 1279 BC.
“Since 1479 BC had to be equivalent to Year 1 of Tuthmosis III, this resulted in the conventional 'low chronology' (after KRAUSS, 2007 17 ):”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites KRAUSS, 2007
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf Horemheb reigned for only fifteen years, and Seti I only nine, then Mininiuy's career spanned about forty years.
“If Horemheb reigned for only fifteen years, and Seti I, only nine, then Mininiuy's career spanned, a perhaps more reasonable, forty years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe only dated wine dockets attributed to Ay are three of Year 1 and one of Year 2, but monuments attest his Years 3 and 4, so a reign of four years is clear.
“The only dated wine dockets attributed to Ay are three of Year 1 and one of Year 2, but monuments attest his Years 3 and 4, so a reign of four years is clear.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningA downdating of Tuthmosis III from 1479 to 1468 does not account for all the extra years, forcing adjustment of the reign lengths of later kings.
“but a downdating of Tuthmosis III from 1479 to 1468 does not account for all the extra years, with the result that they are forced to adjust the reign lengths of the later kings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationConventional Egyptian chronology, at least before 2008, was based to a large extent on lunar correlations, most notably the Year 52 Ramesses II Piramesse lunar date and the Year 23 Tuthmosis III Megiddo lunar date, which indicate that a minimum 197 years elapse between Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II.
“Conventional Egyptian chronology, at least before 2008, was based, to a large extent, on lunar correlations, most notably the Year 52 Ramesses II Piramesse lunar date and the Year 23 Tuthmosis III Megiddo lunar date, which indicate that a minimum 197 years elapse between Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIn Year 9 work commenced in the Aswan quarries on obelisks that were finished by Ramesses II, implying that Seti I could not have lived much past his ninth year.
“and in Year 9 work commenced in the Aswan quarries on a number of obelisks that were clearly finished by his successor, Ramesses II, which implies that Seti I could not have lived much past his ninth year.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe Gebel Barkal stela, dated to Year 11, would be an anomaly, which can only be explained as an exception, an old-fashioned provincial sculptor, or a misreading of the Year date.
“Dated to Year 11, the Gebel Barkal stela would thus be an anomaly, which can only be explained as a) an exception to the rule, b) an 'old fashioned' provincial sculptor, or c) a misreading of the Year date.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf Horemheb reigned for a maximum fifteen years, then Tutankhamun must have died before his Year 10 grape harvest, and Sety I before the wine harvest of his Year 9.
“The fact that Horemheb reigned for a maximum fifteen years is now finding widespread accord, and if that is accepted, then, by the same argument, Tutankhamun must have died before his Year 10 grape harvest, and Sety I before the wine harvest of his year 9.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe 2013 model allows for a short or long reign for Tuthmosis I, Tuthmosis II and Horemheb, but makes no attempt to link Egyptian chronology with the neighbouring Near East.
“The 2013 model allows for a short or long reign for Tuthmosis I, Tuthmosis II and Horemheb, but makes no attempt to link Egyptian chronology with the neighbouring Near East.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Interpretationown dataThe number of years that have to be removed from the reigns of Tutankhamun and Horemheb, based on the wine dockets alone, amounts to fourteen years.
“However the number of years which have to be removed from the reigns of Tutankhamun and Horemheb, based on the wine dockets alone, amount to fourteen years, but a downdating of Tuthmosis III from 1479 to 1468 does not account for all the extra years, with the result that they are forced to adjust the reign lengths of the later kings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisereasoningThe fact that Horemheb reigned for a maximum fifteen years is now finding widespread accord.
“The fact that Horemheb reigned for a maximum fifteen years is now finding widespread accord, and if that is accepted, then, by the same argument, Tutankhamun must have died before his Year 10 grape harvest, and Sety I before the wine harvest of his year 9.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationBefore Year 4 all representations of Seti I carved on stelae depict him as standing upright, and only from Year 4 onwards does the stooping posture begin to replace the erect one.
“Before Year 4 all representations of Seti I carved on stelae depict him as standing upright, and only from Year 4 onwards does the stooping posture begin to replace the erect one, which is then used simultaneously with the traditional upright stance for a few years, with the bowing posture becoming predominant in his later years.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningOn astronomical grounds, 1468 BC as Year 1 of Tuthmosis III is a possibility, though it involves an error of one day in the lunar calculations.
“However, as indicated above, on astronomical grounds, 1468 BC as Year 1 of Tuthmosis III is a possibility, though it involves an error of one day in the lunar calculations on the part of Tuthmosis III's astronomers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningBased on the evidence of the extant dockets, Sety I's reign should be reduced by two years, Horemheb by at least 13 years, and Tutankhamun by one year.
“The result of the above survey would indicate that, based on the evidence of the extant dockets, Sety I's reign should be reduced by two years, Horemheb by at least 13 years and Tutankhamun by one year.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenThe time span between Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II is conventionally fixed at 200 years.
“However, as the time span between Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II is 'conventionally' fixed at 200 years it would seem impossible to remove some sixteen years from the usually accepted chronology, although recently both Krauss and Warburton, and latterly Schneider, have done just that.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIt is surprising that no wine younger than Year 14 was found in the tomb of Horemheb, and none later than Year 8 was found associated with the tomb of Seti I.
“it is surprising that no wine younger than Year 14 was found in the tomb of Horemheb, even allowing for the fact that the tomb was plundered and none later than Year 8 was found associated with the tomb of Seti I.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: At Tutankhamun's burial, the king was buried with the newest wine available along with perhaps some particularly good wines from earlier years.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenReferences to a Heb sed festival of Merenptah are historically suspect.
“References to a Heb sed festival of Merenptah are historically suspect”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenAmenophis III ruled into his thirty-eighth year at least.
“since Amenophis III ruled into his thirtyeighth year at least, then this king Oros is presumably Amenophis III.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenA long co-regency is currently unfashionable.
“However a long co-regency is currently unfashionable”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Interpretationnone givenIt is unknown from what point Tuthmosis IV reckoned the thirty-five years.
“However, we do not know from what point Tuthmosis IV reckoned these thirty-five years.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningIf the thirty-one years credited to Amenophis II by Manetho are added to his first three years of co-regency, Amenophis II had a total reign of thirty-four years.
“which, if added to the thirty one years credited to Amenophis II by Manetho, gives Amenophis II a total reign of thirty-four years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone given1476 BC as the start of Tuthmosis III's reign is astronomically impossible.
“who starts the reign of Tuthmosis III in, the astronomically impossible, 1476 BC”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted).
PremisecitationWines delivered to Deir el-Medineh came only from estates of the reigning king.
“Helck has argued for the fact that the wines delivered to Deir el-Medineh 'immer nur aus Anlagen des regierenden Königs beliefert wird'.98”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Helck
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningAdding the missing years to the reign of Ay is theoretically possible but would seriously lengthen the careers of Maya, Horemheb, and Ramesses I.
“To add these years to the reign of Ay is theoretically possible, but would seriously lengthen the careers of such men as the Overseer of the Treasury, Maya, and the military commanders and later pharaohs, Horemheb and Ramesses I.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone given1294 BC as an accession date for Ramesses II is astronomically impossible.
“However this has great problems since 1294 BC as an accession date for Ramesses II is astronomi-cally impossible.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe 2013 radiocarbon chronology gives accession dates for Tuthmosis III between 1496 and 1477 BC (68%) and between 1502 and 1470 BC (95%).
“Tuthmosis III between 1496 and 1477 BC between 1502 and 1470 BC”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningIf the remaining free years in the period 1479-1279 are given to Tuthmosis IV, he would have reigned approximately twenty-two years.
“Still if the remaining free years in the period 1479-1279 are given to Tuthmosis IV then he would have reigned for approximately twenty-two years”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenHeb sed festivals were almost invariably first celebrated in a king's Year 30, and subsequently at three or four year intervals.
“Heb sed festivals were almost invariably first celebrated in a king's Year 30, and subsequently at three or four year intervals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenAmenophis I certainly began his reign as a co-regent of Ahmose.
“as it is known that Amenophis I certainly began his reign as a co-regent of Ahmose”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningWith no co-regency, the Year 1 docket at Malkata would be of Akhenaten, and Years 8 and 9 would be of Amenophis III, with an eleven year break until the next extant year, Year 20.
“With no co-regency then the Year 1 would be of Akhenaten, and Years 8 and 9 would be of Amenophis III, with an eleven year break until the next extant year, Year 20.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: There was no co-regency between Amenophis III and Akhenaten.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPapyrus BM 10056 is almost illegible and was read as Year 30, attributed to Tuthmosis III by Glanville but credited to Amenophis II by Redford.
“This is almost illegible, yet was read as year 30, and attributed to Tuthmosis III by Glanville, 73 but, on the basis of internal evidence, credited to Amenophis II by Redford”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Glanville
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Redford
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe kings of the early Eighteenth Dynasty only counted the years of their sole reign.
“That Manetho only records thirty-one years is explained by the supposition, which seems likely, that the kings of the early Eighteenth Dynasty only counted the years of their sole reign.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe 2010 radiocarbon chronology gives accession dates for Tuthmosis III between 1494 and 1483 BC (68%) and between 1498 and 1474 BC (95%).
“Tuthmosis III between 1494 and 1483 BC between 1498 and 1474 BC”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningBoth the 1468-1279 BC and 1479-1290 BC chronological scenarios are too short.
“Both scenarios, 1468-1279 BC and 1479-1290 BC., however have the problem that they are too short”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationA king usually celebrated his first Heb sed festival in Year 30 and his second in Year 34.
“since a king usually celebrated his first Heb sed festival in Year 30, and his second in Year 34, 79”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [79]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf there were a long co-regency, the Years 8 and 9 dockets could also be of Akhenaten, and there would be no apparent eleven year gap in the extant Malkata dockets.
“However if there were a (long) co-regency, then the Years 8 and 9 could also be of Akhenaten, and there would thus be no apparent eleven year gap in the extant Malkata dockets”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe pottery from the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV forms a distinct entity, easily distinguishable from what comes before and after.
“all are agreed that the pottery from the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV form a distinct entity, easily distinguishable from what comes before and after.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [148]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationDevecchi and Miller suggest the only reliable date for the accession of Kadashman-Enlil II is to add 96 years to the accession date of Burnaburiash II.
“rather suggest the only reliable date for the accession of Kadashman-Enlil II is to add 96 years to the accession date of Burnaburiash II.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [168]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationDevecchi and Miller concluded that there is nothing to substantiate the synchronism between Ramesses II's Year 16 and Kadashman-Enlil II's Year 1.
“Devecchi and Miller have re-examined the presumed link between Ramesses II's Year 16 and Kadashman Enlil II's Year 1 and concluded that there is nothing to substantiate the synchronism”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [168]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningRamesses II came to the throne in 1290 BC.
“Ramesses II would have come to the throne in 1290 BC”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationKV 48 is ascribed to the reign of Amenophis II, and KV 36 (Maiherpere) to the reign of Tuthmosis IV.
“KV 48 is ascribed to the reign of Amenophis II, 117 and KV 36 (Maiherpere) to the reign of Tuthmosis IV, 118”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [117]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [118]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationPottery found in KV 21, 27, 44, and 45 has led to the suggestion that KV 21 dates to the reign of Amenophis II at the earliest, KV 28 to that of Tuthmosis IV, and KV 27 and KV 45 to the period Tuthmosis IV to early Amenophis III.
“Pottery found in KV 21, 27, 44, and 45 has also led to the suggestion that KV 21 dates to the reign of Amenophis II at the earliest, KV 28 to that of Tuthmosis IV, and KV 27 and KV 45 to the period Tuthmosis IV -early Amenophis III.123”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [123]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationNo historical or chronological arguments based solely on evidence of age at death of a mummy can be considered valid.
“no historical or chronological arguments based solely on evidence of age at death of a mummy can be considered valid”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [147]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningKV 32 was evidently designed for a queen and may also have been carved during Tuthmosis IV's reign.
“In addition KV 32, evidently designed for a queen, 126 may also have been carved during Tuthmosis IV's reign.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [126]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationNemirovsky, through a reanalysis of the Hittite text KBo I 10, has put forward arguments which effectively move Hattusili III one decade earlier than his conventional position.
“Nemirovsky, through a reanalysis of the Hittite text KBo I 10, has put forward a number of arguments which effectively move Hattusili III one decade earlier than his conventional position”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [161]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThere is no proof that Horemheb and/or Khay began their careers in Year 1 of Amenophis II.
“since there is no proof that either Horemheb and/or Khay began their careers in Year 1 of Amenophis II.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningIf Burnaburiash II corresponded with Tutankhamun, then Tutankhamun would have had to come to the throne in 1323 BC at the latest.
“then the latter would have had to come to the throne in 1323 BC at the latest.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe Amarna letters show that Burnaburiash II was in correspondence with Amenophis III and Akhenaten.
“the Amarna letters show that Burnaburiash II was in correspondence with Amenophis III, Akhenaten and, in Kitchen's opinion, Tutankhamun”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationBourriau has suggested that the pottery of Phase 3A also began to appear during the reign of Tuthmosis IV.
“Bourriau has recently suggested that the pottery of Phase 3A also began to appear during the reign”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [151]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationKara-indash's demise is generally placed around 1415/1405 BC.
“whose demise is generally placed around 1415/1405 BC”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [159]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn the latest reviews of Mesopotamian chronology by orientalists, Burnaburiash II is not thought to have corresponded with Tutankhamun.
“in the latest reviews of Mesopotamian chronology by orientalists, Burnaburiash II is not thought to have corresponded with Tutankhamun.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [167]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe reign of Burnaburiash II is dated to either 1360-1333 or 1350-1323 BC.
“The reign of Burnaburiash II is dated to either 1360-1333 or 1350-1323 BC.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisereasoningExtant records prove that Tuthmosis III reigned into his 54th year and Amenophis III outlived the wine harvest of his 38th year, so both must have lived longer than the estimated ages of their mummies.
“extant records prove that Tuthmosis III reigned into his 54 th year whilst Amenophis III outlived the wine harvest of his 38 th year, and hence both must have lived longer than the estimated ages of their mummies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationHope points out that pottery from the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV comprises one of the most innovative phases of the New Kingdom.
“Only Hope makes no formal division here but points out that pottery from the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV comprise one of the most innovative phases of the New Kingdom.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [149]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf Year 10 of Mursilis II is equivalent to 1312 BC, then Horemheb should have acceded to the throne in 1314/1313 BC.
“if Year 10 of Mursilis II is equivalent to 1312 BC, then Horemheb, who, following Wilhelm, became king of Egypt in Mursilis II's Year 8/9, should have acceded to the throne in 1314/1313 BC”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The disputed record of a solar eclipse attributed to Year 10 of Mursilis II refers to an eclipse, equated with the one experienced at Hattusha on June 24, 1312 BC.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf exactly two hundred years elapsed between Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II, then Year 1 of Tuthmosis III would fall in 1490 BC.
“if exactly two hundred years elapsed between Year 1 of Tuthmosis III and Year 1 of Ramesses II, then Year 1 of Tuthmosis III would fall in 1490 BC”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisereasoningKara-indash was in contact with the Assyrian Assur-bel-nise-su.
“who himself was in contact with the Assyrian Assur-bel-nise-su (1417-1409/1407-1399 BC).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationX-ray estimates of the ages of Tuthmosis III and Amenophis III give 35-40 and 30-35 years respectively.
“estimates obtained for the ages of Tuthmosis III and Amenophis III via X-rays give 35-40 and 30-35 years respectively”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [142]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationKrauss has argued that Nipkhururia is an aberrant form of Napkhururia, and thus Akhenaten was the recipient of EA 9.
“Krauss has argued that Nipkhururia is nothing but an aberrant form of Napkhururia, and thus Akhenaten was the recipient of EA 9”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [165]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningSince Ramesses I does not appear to have ruled for more than two years, Seti I is left with a reign of approximately eighteen years on the low chronology.
“Since Ramesses I does not appear to have ruled for more than two years, then Seti I is left with a reign of approximately eighteen years.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf the lower age-at-death estimates for Tuthmosis IV are correct, it would be unlikely that he had a long reign; if the 30-40 estimate is nearer the truth, a long reign is possible.
“If the former are correct, then it would indeed be unlikely that Tuthmosis IV had a long reign, but if the last is nearer the truth, then a long reign is possible.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The mummy labelled with the cartouche of Tuthmosis IV, found in the tomb of Amenophis II, is really his.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe 1493-1290 BC correlation for the first years of Tuthmosis III and Ramesses II is probably correct, or at least more correct than other synchronisms.
“which might, therefore, suggest that the 1493 -1290 BC correlation for the first years of Tuthmosis III and Ramesses II is probably 'correct,' or at least 'more correct,' than other synchronisms.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningRamesses II would then come to the throne in 1290 BC, with Kadashman-Enlil II succeeding Kadashman-Turgu in circa 1254 BC.
“Ramesses II would then come to the throne in 1290 BC, with the result that Kadashman Enlil II would succeed Kadashman-Turgu in circa 1254 BC, or Ramesses II's Year 36”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningWith Tuthmosis III coming to the throne in 1493 BC, the start of the New Kingdom can be placed in 1565 BC.
“with Tuthmosis III coming to the throne in 1493 BC, the start of the New Kingdom can then be placed in 1565 BC”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningShould the 1350-1323 BC date for Burnaburiash II be chosen, then Amenophis III's Year 30 would fall in 1353/1352 BC.
“Should, however the 1350-1323 BC date for Burnaburiash II be chosen then not only would it be a perfect fit in that Amenophis III's Year 30 would fall in 1353/1352 BC”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe length of time covered by the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV would be raised from thirty six years to between fifty-four and fifty six on the high chronology, and between sixty-five and sixty-seven years on the ultra-high chronology.
“the length of time covered by the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV would be raised from thirty six years, on the (2007) KRAUSS chronology quoted here, to between fifty-four and fifty six on the high chronology, and between sixty-five and sixty-seven years on the ultra-high chronology.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningDevecchi and Miller's calculation results in an accession date for Ramesses II in 1295 BC.
“This thus results in an accession date for Ramesses II in 1295 BC, a date never seriously considered by Egyptolo-gists.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThese inconsistencies arise because Bronk Ramsey et al followed a model in which Tuthmosis IV was given a short reign, and both Horemheb and Sety I reigns which now appear to be too long.
“These inconsistencies arise because Bronk Ramsey et al followed a model, in which Tuthmosis IV was given a short reign, and both Horemheb and Sety I reigns which now appear to be too long.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe correlation linking Horemheb and Mursilis II is now accepted in Schneider's latest analysis.
“a correlation which is now accepted in Schneider's latest analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [157]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningWilhelm's original position (that Ramesses II came to the throne in 1290 BC) is likely to be correct and would be confirmed by his linking of Horemheb and Mursilis II.
“Wilhelm's original position is not only likely to be correct, but would also be confirmed by his linking of Horemheb and Mursilis II”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningBoth Horemheb and Seti I had shorter reigns, of 14-15 and no more than 9 years respectively.
“this also means that both Horemheb and Seti I had shorter reigns, -of 14-15 and no more than 9 years respectively”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe Deir el-Medina Year 19 wine docket of the estate of Tuthmosis IV would obey Hornung's rule that the wine delivered to the village always came from the vineyards of the ruling pharaoh.
“the Deir el-Medina Year 19 wine docket of the estate of Tuthmosis IV would again 'obey' Hornung's rule that the wine delivered to the village always came from the vineyards of the ruling pharaoh.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenCeramicists conventionally divide New Kingdom pottery into four major phases, with the last three divided into subphases.
“Ceramicists conventionally divide New Kingdom pottery into four major phases 1-4, with the last three being divided into subphases”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationEstimates of Tuthmosis IV's age at death have varied from 25 years, 28 years, about 30, and most recently between 30 and 40 years.
“estimates of Tuthmosis IV's age at death have varied from 25 years, 138 28 years, 139 about 30, 140 and, most recently, between 30 and 40 years.141”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [138]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [139]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [140]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The mummy labelled with the cartouche of Tuthmosis IV, found in the tomb of Amenophis II, is really his.
The authors state this as an assumption.
At Tutankhamun's burial, the king was buried with the newest wine available along with perhaps some particularly good wines from earlier years.
“Based on the finds from the intact tomb of Tutankhamun, it is probably also safe to assume that at his burial the king was buried with the newest wine available along, perhaps, with some particularly good wines from earlier years.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The absence of wine dockets later than a given regnal year in a royal tomb indicates that the king did not reign beyond that year (or died before the next harvest).
“Since the evidence provided by the intact tomb of Tutankhamun indicates that the pharaoh would have been buried with new wine, it is surprising that no wine younger than Year 14 was found in the tomb of Horemheb, even allowing for the fact that the tomb was plundered and none later than Year 8 was found associated with the tomb of Seti I.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Tuthmosis III died in 30 III Peret of his Year 54.
“Since Tuthmosis III's date of death in 30 III Peret of his Year 54 is known with certainty, no years can be added here.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
There was no co-regency between Amenophis III and Akhenaten.
“assuming that there was no co-regency between Amenophis III and Akhenaten”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The Malkata Year 36 jar had not been reused.
“assuming it had not been reused”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Tuthmosis IV's Heb sed festival references belong to jubilees celebrated in his Years 30 and 34.
“if we assume his Heb sed festival references really do belong to jubilees celebrated in his Years 30 and 34.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The chief vintner Nakht responsible for wine bottled in Year 35 of Amenophis III was the same as the one who made the Year 5 wine of Tutankhamun.
“if the chief vintner Nakht who was responsible for wine bottled in Year 35 of Amenophis III, were the same as that who made the Year 5 wine of Tutankhamun, 105”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The mummy labelled with the cartouche of Tuthmosis IV, found in the tomb of Amenophis II, is really his.
“Assuming that the mummy labelled with the cartouche of Tuthmosis IV, found in the tomb of Amenophis II is really his”
The paper relies on this without support.
The disputed record of a solar eclipse attributed to Year 10 of Mursilis II refers to an eclipse, equated with the one experienced at Hattusha on June 24, 1312 BC.
“Attributed to Year 10 of Mursilis II is a disputed record of a solar eclipse, which, if it really refers to an eclipse, is generally equated with the one experienced at Hattusha on June 24, 1312 BC.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Mainstream assessments of historical sources place the time range for the accession of Tutankhamun and his death likely in his 9th or 10th year, somewhere between ~1336/1325 and 1327/1316 BCE.
“Mainstream assessments of historical sources place the time range for the accession of Tutankhamun (the king and his court subsequently leave Amarna for Memphis early in his reign) and his death likely in his 9th or 10th year, somewhere between ~1336/1325 and 1327/1316 BCE (23, 24, 49).”
From Mediterranean radiocarbon offsets and calendar dates for prehistory (2020) · cites this paper as [49]
In section B, Radiocarbon Dates, 2013 (page not provided), Aston says the wine dockets place Tutankhamun’s death in Year 9 or, at the latest, Year 10 before the wine harvest. The same section places the move to Memphis within at most four wine harvests of Akhenaten’s death. The cited passages do not give the claimed accession and death ranges of approximately 1336/1325 to 1327/1316 BCE; the chronologies shown use different dates. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredAn alternative NK model with revised reign lengths and plausible longest reigns for the 18th Dynasty offers a different and much smaller ΔR of ~6 ± 6 14C years.
“We find that an alternative NK model33 which employs some revised reign lengths and the plausible longest reigns for the 18th Dynasty (ultra-high model)34–36, and so has a slightly different placement of the constituent groups of 14C data versus the calibration curve, offers a different (and much smaller) ΔR of ~ 6 ± 6 14C years (Supplementary Fig. S5).”
From Radiocarbon offsets and old world chronology as relevant to Mesopotamia, Egypt, Anatolia and Thera (Santorini) (2020) · cites this paper as [34]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Ultra-high accession date falls outside both two-sigma radiocarbon ranges
MajorThe paper says the ultra-high chronology is compatible with the radiocarbon dates at two sigma, but its 1504 BC accession for Tuthmosis III is outside both the 2010 range (1498-1474 BC) and the 2013 range (1502-1470 BC).
“the high and ultra-high chronology suggested in this paper the radiocarbon dates at the two sigma range are compatible”
“Tuthmosis III 1479 1476 1493 1504 1494-1483 1498-1474 1496-1477 1502-1470”
The stated ultra-high-chronology duration is too short
MajorThe ultra-high chronology dates Amenophis II from 1453 BC and Amenophis III from 1382 BC, an intervening span of 71 years rather than the stated 65-67 years.
Reported 67 · recomputed 71
“and between sixty-five and sixty-seven years on the ultra-high chronology.”
The stated high-chronology duration is too short
MajorThe high chronology dates Amenophis II from 1442 BC and Amenophis III from 1382 BC, making the intervening span 60 years, not between 54 and 56 years. This span is used to support the proposed longer reigns.
Reported 56 · recomputed 60
“the length of time covered by the reigns of Amenophis II and Tuthmosis IV would be raised from thirty six years, on the (2007) KRAUSS chronology quoted here, to between fifty-four and fifty six on the high chronology”
Wente and van Siclen are assigned two reign lengths for Amenophis II
MinorThe paper first says Wente and van Siclen allocated Amenophis II a 34-year reign, but later says they attributed him a 35-year reign.
“Thirty-four years is the length of reign allocated to Amenophis II by Wente and van Siclen III”
“Wente and van Siclen III had no hesitation in attributing a thirty-five year reign to this king.”
Two different high-chronology accession dates for Amenophis II
MinorThe high-chronology reign list begins Amenophis II's reign in 1442 BC, while the summary table gives his Year 1 as 1440 BC.
“Amenophis II 1442-1409 BC”
“Amenophis II 1425 1422 1440 1453 1441-1431 1445-1423 1451-1434 1456-1419”
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Crisis in Context: The End of the Late Bronze Age in the Eastern Mediterranean
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Mediterranean radiocarbon offsets and calendar dates for prehistory
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The New Swedish Cyprus Expedition. Excavations at Hala Sultan Tekke (The Söderberg Expedition)
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The Occupational History of the Bronze Age Harbour City of Hala Sultan Tekke, Cyprus
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Manning, S. W. (2024) · Radiocarbon · doi:10.1017/rdc.2024.44 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
“Further, since the SIP ends and the New Kingdom of Egypt likely begins sometime between ca. 1565 – 1540 BC (e.g. Aston 2012; Gautschy 2014; Ritner and Moeller 2014; Manning et al. 2020c), not only the entire LMIA period, but also the earlier portion of the subsequent LMIB period (several decades to…”
BackgroundRadiocarbon Dating and Egyptian Chronology—From the “Curve of Knowns” to Bayesian Modeling
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New Radiocarbon Dating from Late Bronze and Iron Age Gezer and Its Implications
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“2010), and which has been complemented by new series of radiocarbon data and analysis (Aston 2012 – 2013; Hagens 2014).”
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Data complexity and computer assisted chronology: Methods and discoveries
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HIERATIC WINE JAR DOCKETS FROM TUTHMOSIS’S IV TEMPLE IN GURNA
Eissa, M. A., & NASSAR, M. A. (2020) · SHEDET ANNUAL PEER-REVIEWED JOURNAL ISSUED BY THE FACULTY OF ARCHAEOLOGY FAYOUM UNIVERSITY · doi:10.21608/shedet.2020.137645 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
- Authors
- Aston, D.
- Corresponding author
- Aston, D.
- Venue
- Ägypten und Levante
- Published
- 2014
- Volume
- 22-23
- Pages
- 289-316
- ISSN
- 1015-5104 (ISSN-L)
- 1813-5145
- DOI
- 10.1553/s289
- OpenAlex
- W340450116
- Cited by
- 15
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 2 · 2020: 4 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 8.95
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- de
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Ägypten und Levante (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Archeology › Ancient Egypt and Archaeology
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Archaeology and ancient environmental studies
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Archeology › Ancient Mediterranean Archaeology and History
- Keywords
- Tell el-Dab'a, Avaris, radiocarbon dating, wine jars, seal impressions, mural painting, Sai Island, Upper Nubia, Egyptian-Nubian relations, Hyksos period
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