The DOI matches its Crossref record; 58 of the 58 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Distribution of North American Trees
Abstract
Currently predicted change in climate could strongly affect plant distributions during the next century. Here we determine the present-day climatic niches for 130 North American tree species. We then locate the climatic conditions of these niches on maps of predicted future climate, indicating where each species could potentially occur by the end of the century. A major unknown in this work is the extent to which populations of trees will actually track climate shifts through migration. We therefore present two extreme scenarios in which species either move entirely into future climatic niches or do not move out of their current niches. In the full-dispersal scenario, future potential ranges show decreases and increases in size, with an average decrease of 12% and a northward shift of 700 kilometers (km). In the no-dispersal scenario, potential ranges decrease in size by 58% and shift northward by 330 km. Major redistribution pressures appear to be in order under both dispersal scenarios.
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Cites
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Cited by
Boreal forest health and global change
Gauthier, S., Bernier, P., Kuuluvainen, T., Shvidenko, A. Z., & Schepaschenko, D. G. (2015) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aaa9092 · Cited by 1,225
A Global Pattern of Thermal Adaptation in Marine Phytoplankton
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Long‐distance gene flow and adaptation of forest trees to rapid climate change
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Anticipating the consequences of climate change for Canada’s boreal forest ecosystems
Price, D. T., Alfaro, R. I., Brown, K. J., Flannigan, M. D., Fleming, R. A., Hogg, E. H., Girardin, M. P., Lakusta, T., Johnston, M., McKenney, D. W., et al. (2013) · Environmental Reviews · doi:10.1139/er-2013-0042 · Cited by 599
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- McKenney, D. W., Pedlar, J. H., Lawrence, K., Campbell, K., & Hutchinson, M. F.
- Venue
- BioScience
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2007-12-01
- Volume
- 57
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 939-948
- ISSN
- 0006-3568 (ISSN-L)
- 1525-3244
- OpenAlex
- W2131766081
- Cited by
- 538
- References
- 58
- FWCI
- 12.19
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- McKenney, D. W., Pedlar, J. H., Lawrence, K., Campbell, K., & Hutchinson, M. F. (2007). Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Distribution of North American Trees. BioScience. https://doi.org/10.1641/b571106
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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