Effect of alcohol on risk of coronary heart disease and stroke: causality, bias, or a bit of both?
Open accessAbstract
Epidemiological studies of middle-aged populations generally find the relationship between alcohol intake and the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke to be either U- or J-shaped. This review describes the extent that these relationships are likely to be causal, and the extent that they may be due to specific methodological weaknesses in epidemiological studies. The consistency in the vascular benefit associated with moderate drinking (compared with non-drinking) observed across different studies, together with the existence of credible biological pathways, strongly suggests that at least some of this benefit is real. However, because of biases introduced by: choice of reference categories; reverse causality bias; variations in alcohol intake over time; and confounding, some of it is likely to be an artefact. For heavy drinking, different study biases have the potential to act in opposing directions, and as such, the true effects of heavy drinking on vascular risk are uncertain. However, because of the known harmful effects of heavy drinking on non-vascular mortality, the problem is an academic one. Studies of the effects of alcohol consumption on health outcomes should recognise the methodological biases they are likely to face, and design, analyse and interpret their studies accordingly. While regular moderate alcohol consumption during middle-age probably does reduce vascular risk, care should be taken when making general recommendations about safe levels of alcohol intake. In particular, it is likely that any promotion of alcohol for health reasons would do substantially more harm than good.
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Beneficial effects of non-heavy drinking on ischaemic diseases may be overestimated using standard epidemiological methodology because of biased comparison groups.
“and while they may be overestimated using standard epidemiological methodology because of biased comparison groups 260, biological pathways corroborate some protective effect.”
From The relationship between different dimensions of alcohol use and the burden of disease—an update (2017) · cites this paper as [260]
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- Authors
- Emberson, J. R., & Bennett, D. A.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Venue
- Vascular Health and Risk Management
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2006-08
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 239-249
- ISSN
- 1176-6344 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC1993990
- OpenAlex
- W1985731068
- Cited by
- 99
- References
- 81
- Citations by year
- 2025: 3 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 0.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Vascular Health and Risk Management (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (acceptedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Alcohol Consumption and Health Effects
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Keywords
- alcohol consumption, coronary artery disease, stroke, vascular risk, moderate drinking, heavy drinking, U-shaped relationship, J-shaped relationship, confounding, reference category, causal inference, middle-aged adults, alcohol promotion
- MeSH terms
- Alcohol Drinking, Ethanol, Blood Pressure, Coronary Disease, Hemostasis, Humans, Lipids, Risk Factors, Causality, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic, Case-Control Studies, Stroke
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