The DOI matches its Crossref record; 35 of the 35 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 6 of the 30 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Understanding the Association Between Antidepressants and the Risk of Being Diagnosed with Dementia in Older People: A Self-Controlled Case Series Study
Open accessAbstract
Background: Given concerns about adverse outcomes for older people taking antidepressants in the literature, we investigated whether taking antidepressants elevates the risk of dementia. Objective: This study aims to investigate the putative association of antidepressants with the risk of dementia. Methods: We conducted a population-based self-controlled case series analysis of older people with dementia and taking antidepressants, using territory-wide medical records of 194,507 older patients collected by the Hospital Authority of Hong Kong, to investigate the association between antidepressant treatment and the risk of developing dementia in older people. Results: There was a significantly higher risk of being diagnosed with dementia during the pre-drug-exposed period (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 20.42 (95% CI: 18.66–22.34)) compared to the non-drug-exposed baseline period. The IRR remained high during the drug-exposed period (IRR 8.86 (7.80–10.06)) before returning to a baseline level after washout (IRR 1.12 (0.77–1.36)). Conclusion: The higher risk of dementia before antidepressant treatment may be related to emerging psychiatric symptoms co-occurring with dementia, which trigger medical consultations that result in a decision to begin antidepressants. Our findings do not support a causal relationship between antidepressant treatment and the risk of dementia.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In a territory-wide Hong Kong self-controlled case series of 2,386 older antidepressant users with first-ever dementia, dementia diagnosis risk was highest before antidepressant initiation (IRR 20.42) and remained elevated during exposure (IRR 8.86), but returned to baseline after washout (IRR 1.12). The authors conclude their findings do not support a causal association between antidepressant treatment and dementia; the pre-treatment risk may reflect emerging psychiatric symptoms co-occurring with dementia.
Key findings
- Among 194,507 people aged 65+ years, 24,646 (12.6%) received a dementia diagnosis, 18,825 had first lifetime diagnoses, and 3,757 (20.0%) had been prescribed antidepressants; after exclusions, 2,386 eligible participants were modeled (837 men, 35.1%; mean age 81.7 years, SD 7.26).
- Compared with baseline, the age-adjusted IRR for dementia diagnosis was 20.42 (95% CI 18.66–22.34) during the 50-day pre-exposure period, 8.86 (7.80–10.06) during the index drug-exposed period, 4.83 (3.28–7.13) during subsequent drug-exposed periods, and 1.12 (0.77–1.36) during washout.
- Spline-based SCCS showed dementia risk increased significantly before antidepressant initiation and peaked within 50 days before treatment; subcategory analyses for TCAs, SSRIs, and other antidepressants were consistent with the main results.
- Post-hoc analysis found first-ever dementia prevalence among people with depression-related disorders was 26.6% (648/2,432), 2.7 times the 9.7% (18,825/194,507) prevalence in the whole population.
Methods
- Population-based SCCS using territory-wide deidentified Hospital Authority of Hong Kong electronic health records; participants were aged 65+, had a first-ever dementia diagnosis during January 1, 2008–December 31, 2010 or death, and had at least one antidepressant prescription (BNF 4.3.x), with a five-year pre-study window to exclude prior dementia.
- Exclusions were antidepressant exposure shorter than seven days and/or overlapping washout and subsequent exposure; 1,300 and 71 patients were excluded respectively.
- Main analysis calculated crude incidence rates per 1,000 patient-days and age-adjusted IRRs using a non-homogeneous age-dependent Poisson SCCS model with 365-day age bands, plus nonparametric spline-based SCCS, sensitivity analyses, and post-hoc analysis.
Limitations
- Stated: a possible time lag may exist between developing dementia and formal clinical diagnosis; the authors argue that extracting diagnoses from electronic medical records is the most feasible approach and that such a lag would not contradict their conclusions.
- Stated: standard SCCS requires nonoverlapping segments, and 71 patients were excluded because washout and subsequent antidepressant exposure overlapped; the authors also note spline-based SCCS is underutilized.
- Evident: the observational SCCS design cannot prove causality; findings rely on ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes and prescription records, use a three-year observation period with arbitrary 50-day pre-exposure and washout windows (though sensitivity-tested), and draw on Hong Kong public hospital data covering approximately 80% of hospital admissions, which may limit generalizability.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Claims the paper makes
6 of 30 cited sources checked · 3 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationown data§ DISCUSSION
The study's results do not support a causal association between antidepressant treatment and the risk of being diagnosed with dementia.
“However, our results do not support earlier conclusions [5-8] that a causal association between antidepressant treatment and the development of dementia may exist (i.e. antidepressant drugs may increase the risk of dementia).”
- Also stated in: § CONCLUSIONS · plain
“Therefore, the findings of this pharmacoepidemiologic study do not support a causal association between antidepressant treatment and the risk of being diagnosed with dementia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 4 sources checked- cites [5] [5] Coupland CAC, Hill T, Dening T, Morriss R, Moore M, Hippisley-Cox J (2019) Anticholinergic Drug Exposure and the Risk of Dementia: A Nested CaseControl Study. JAMA Intern. Med. 179, 1084-1093. -
- cites [6] [6] Gray SL, Anderson ML, Dublin S, Hanlon JT, Hubbard R, Walker R, Yu O, Crane PK, Larson EB (2015) Cumulative use of strong anticholinergics and incident dementia: A prospective cohort study. JAMA Intern. Med. 175, 401-407. - source
The statement that “our results do not support” a causal association is the citing authors’ conclusion, not one attributed to Gray et al. Gray et al.’s Results report elevated dementia risk with heavy use of strong anticholinergic antidepressants, and the Discussion says the association does not appear to be explained by treatment of prodromal depression. This supports the cited possibility of a link, but not its extension to antidepressant treatment generally or a demonstrated causal effect. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [7] [7] Lee CWS, Lin CL, Sung FC, Liang JA, Kao CH (2016) Antidepressant treatment and risk of dementia: A population-based, retrospective case-control study. J. Clin. Psychiatry 77, 117-122. -
- cites [8] [8] Heath LM, Gray SL, Boudreau D, Edwards KL, Fullerton SM, Thummel K, Larson EB (2016) Common Antidepressant Medications and Risk of Dementia: a Prospective Cohort Study. Alzheimer's Dement. 12, P1135-P1135. - source
- Also stated in: § CONCLUSIONS · plain
- Premisecitation§ INTRODUCTION
Approximately 50% of antidepressants are prescribed for other conditions, such as off-label indications for schizophrenia, insomnia, or incontinence.
“It has been reported that approximately 50% of antidepressants are prescribed for other conditions (such as off-label indications for prescription e.g. schizophrenia, insomnia or incontinence) [11].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] [11] Moraros J, Nwankwo C, Patten SB, Mousseau DD (2017) The association of antidepressant drug usage with cognitive impairment or dementia, including Alzheimer disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Depress. Anxiety 34, 217-226. - source
The Introduction (page unavailable) says almost half of antidepressant prescriptions are for off-label indications and lists insomnia as an example. It lists anxiety and pain, however, not the citing sentence’s examples of schizophrenia and incontinence. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation§ DISCUSSION
Earlier studies reporting a potential causal relationship between antidepressant drugs and the risk of being diagnosed with dementia controlled for none or only part of depression-related disorders.
“Earlier studies [5-8] reporting a potential causal-relationship between antidepressant drugs and the risk of being diagnosed with dementia controlled for none or only part of depression-related disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 4 sources checked- cites [5] [5] Coupland CAC, Hill T, Dening T, Morriss R, Moore M, Hippisley-Cox J (2019) Anticholinergic Drug Exposure and the Risk of Dementia: A Nested CaseControl Study. JAMA Intern. Med. 179, 1084-1093. -
- cites [6] [6] Gray SL, Anderson ML, Dublin S, Hanlon JT, Hubbard R, Walker R, Yu O, Crane PK, Larson EB (2015) Cumulative use of strong anticholinergics and incident dementia: A prospective cohort study. JAMA Intern. Med. 175, 401-407. - source
The Methods (Covariates; Statistical Analyses) say the study adjusted for high depressive symptoms and, in a sensitivity analysis, recent rather than historical symptoms. The Results report elevated dementia risk for the anticholinergic-antidepressant subgroup, but the paper studies strong anticholinergic medications, not antidepressant drugs generally. Its adjustments therefore support the claim only for this narrower drug class and the depression measures described. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [7] [7] Lee CWS, Lin CL, Sung FC, Liang JA, Kao CH (2016) Antidepressant treatment and risk of dementia: A population-based, retrospective case-control study. J. Clin. Psychiatry 77, 117-122. -
- cites [8] [8] Heath LM, Gray SL, Boudreau D, Edwards KL, Fullerton SM, Thummel K, Larson EB (2016) Common Antidepressant Medications and Risk of Dementia: a Prospective Cohort Study. Alzheimer's Dement. 12, P1135-P1135. - source
- Findingown data§ ##########Figure 4
The mean (SD) time interval between two dementia diagnoses in the whole population was 114.14 (157.27) days.
“The mean (SD) of the time interval between two dementia diagnoses in the whole population was 114.14 (157.27) days.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data§ ############Table 3
The risk pattern from the spline-based SCCS is consistent with the results from the standard SCCS analysis.
“The risk pattern is consistent with the results from the standard SCCS analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data§ ABSTRACT
The risk of being diagnosed with dementia was significantly higher during the pre-drug-exposed period (IRR 20.42, 95% CI 18.66-22.34) than during the non-drug-exposed baseline period.
“There was a significantly higher risk of being diagnosed with dementia during the pre-drug-exposed period (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 20.42 (95% CI: 18.6622.34)) compared to the non-drug-exposed baseline period.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data§ ##########Figure 2
The IRR during the pre-exposure period (IRR 20.42; 95% CI 18.66-22.34) was significantly higher than any other period.
“The IRR during the pre-exposure period (IRR 20.42; 95% CI 18.66-22.34) was significantly higher than any other period.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the standard SCCS analysis, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.12 (95% CI 0.77-1.36).
“| 1.12 (0.77-1.36) | <0.1 | Washout period |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the standard SCCS analysis, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the subsequent drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 4.83 (95% CI 3.28-7.13).
“| 4.83 (3.28-7.13) | <0.001 | Subsequent drug-exposed period |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking other antidepressant drugs, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.22 (95% CI 0.60-2.50).
“| Washout period | 8 | 14455 | 0.55 | 1.22 (0.60- | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis setting the length of washout period to 70 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.89 (95% CI 7.82-10.10).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 8.89 (7.82-10.10) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis excluding individuals who died during the study period, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.03 (95% CI 0.79-1.36).
“| Washout period | 1.03 (0.79-1.36) | <0.05 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis setting the length of pre-exposure period to 30 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.42 (95% CI 7.42-9.55).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 8.42 (7.42-9.55) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis setting the length of pre-exposure period to 70 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 9.11 (95% CI 8.02-10.36).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 9.11 (8.02-10.36) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking TCAs, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 10.16 (95% CI 8.38-12.33).
“| Index drug- | 167 | 48105 | 3.47 | 10.16 (8.38- | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking SSRIs, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.16 (95% CI 6.88-9.67).
“| Index drug- | 197 | 61754 | 3.19 | 8.16 (6.88- | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis excluding any individual with drug duration <30, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 6.96 (95% CI 5.99-8.08).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 6.96 (5.99-8.08) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis setting the length of washout period to 30 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.20 (95% CI 0.88-1.66).
“| Washout period | 1.20 (0.88-1.66) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the standard SCCS analysis, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the pre-exposure period compared with the baseline period was 20.42 (95% CI 18.66-22.34).
“| 20.42 (18.66-22.34) | <0.001 | Pre-exposure period |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis using 500-day age bands, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.87 (95% CI 7.81-10.07).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 8.87 (7.81-10.07) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis setting the length of washout period to 30 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.88 (95% CI 7.82-10.08).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 8.88 (7.82-10.08) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking SSRIs, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 0.95 (95% CI 0.64-1.39).
“| Washout period | 27 | 64286 | 0.42 | 0.95 (0.64- | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking other antidepressant drugs, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 9.15 (95% CI 6.42-13.04).
“| Index drug-exposed | 46 | 12728 | 3.61 | 9.15 (6.42- | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the standard SCCS analysis, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.86 (95% CI 7.80-10.06).
“| 8.86 (7.80-10.06) | <0.001 | Index drug-exposed period |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data§ REFERENCES
In the sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking TCAs, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.12 (95% CI 0.72-1.74).
“| Washout period | 21 | 47382 | 0.44 | 1.12 (0.72- | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitled
In the sensitivity analysis excluding individuals who died during the study period, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.18 (95% CI 7.17-9.34).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 8.18 (7.17-9.34) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning§ INTRODUCTION
The within-individual inference enabled controlling for any fixed covariate effect.
“The within-individual inference enabled controlling for any fixed covariate effect.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data§ ##########Figure 4
The five-year retrospective admission criterion was appropriately strict to ensure that people who truly had a first lifetime development of dementia within the study timeframe were captured.
“This indicated that our admission criterion of five years' retrospective was appropriately strict to ensure that we captured people who truly had a first lifetime development of dementia within the study timeframe.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation§ DISCUSSION
Information on relevant diagnoses may not be available for patients who are experiencing mental disorders.
“As a result, information on relevant diagnoses may not be available for patients who are experiencing mental disorders [35].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] [35] Armstrong SC, Cozza KL, Watanabe KS (1997) The misdiagnosis of delirium. Psychosomatics 38, 433-439. - source
- Interpretationown data§ DISCUSSION
There is no effect of antidepressant drugs on dementia.
“Since there was no obvious washout effect, it was reasonable to deduce that there is no effect of antidepressant drugs on dementia;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation§ DISCUSSION
Misdiagnosis, both over- and under-diagnosis, for mental disorders is not uncommon.
“However, even if all of these factors are considered, misdiagnosis (both over- and under-diagnosis) for mental disorders is not uncommon [35,36].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [35] [35] Armstrong SC, Cozza KL, Watanabe KS (1997) The misdiagnosis of delirium. Psychosomatics 38, 433-439. - source
- cites [36] [36] Perlis RH (2005) Misdiagnosis of bipolar disorder. Am. J. Manag. Care 11, 57-63. -
- Interpretationcitation§ DISCUSSION
A strong association between dementia and antidepressant drugs under these circumstances may not indicate a true causal relationship.
“Thus, a strong association between dementia and antidepressant drugs under these circumstances again may not indicate a true causal relationship [9].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] [9] Han L (2009) Antidepressant drug use and cognitive deficits in older men: addressing confounding by indication using different methods. Alzheimer's Dement. 5, e7-e7. - source
- Study design and conductcitation§ STUDY DESIGN
Using the SCCS design enabled adjustment for time-varying factors, such as age, which is a known associate of the onset of dementia.
“Using this design also enabled us to adjust for time-varying factors, such as age, which is a known associate of the onset of dementia [2].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2] [2] Fact sheets, https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/dementia, Accessed on August,25 2020. -
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning§ DISCUSSION
Mental health-related disorders of antidepressant drug users might indicate cognitive deterioration co-occurring with diseases of the nervous system and cerebral cortex, including dementia.
“Indeed, mental healthrelated disorders of antidepressant drug users might indicate cognitive deterioration (co-occurring with diseases of the nervous system and cerebral cortex (including dementia)).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ DISCUSSION
A case-control or cohort study design may not be the most appropriate for studies aiming to conclude causal associations because those designs may not have the capacity to comprehensively control for important confounding variables.
“Consequently, a case-control or a cohort study design may not be the most appropriate for studies aiming to conclude causal associations, because those designs may not have the capacity to comprehensively control for important confounding variables.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation§ STUDY DESIGN
The SCCS design allows for controlling for potential effects of measured and unmeasured time-invariant confounders that vary between individuals, such as underlying health status, genetic factors, hospital location, underlying frailty, and socio-economic status.
“A major advantage of this design over classic case-control and cohort study designs is that it allows for controlling for potential effects of measured and unmeasured time-invariant confounders that vary between individuals, such as underlying health status, genetic factors, hospital location, underlying frailty, socio-economic status, etc.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] [25] Whitaker HJ, Farrington CP, Spiessens B, Musonda P (2006) Tutorial in biostatistics: The self-controlled case series method. Stat. Med. 25, 17681797. - source
- Interpretationown data§ DISCUSSION
The psychiatric symptoms of patients who begin antidepressants may be triggered by the progression of cognitive disorders.
“This indicates that, the psychiatric symptoms of patients who begin antidepressants may be triggered by the progression of cognitive disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning§ DISCUSSION
Our study potentially faced the pitfall that the washout period and period of subsequent antidepressant use may overlap.
“Our study potentially faced the same pitfalls, where there was a possibility that the washout period and period of subsequent antidepressant use may overlap.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- It may state two separate claims as one. 9
- Probably not a substantial claim. 17
- The quote only partly states this claim. 6
It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductcitation§ DATA SOURCEThe HKHA electronic health records have been validated and previously used for investigations of medication safety.
“The HKHA electronic health records have been validated, and previously used for investigations of medication safety [16-21].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 6 sources checked- cites [16] [16] Man KKC, Coghill D, Chan EW, Lau WCY, Hollis C, Liddle E, Banaschewski T, McCarthy S, Neubert A, Sayal K, Ip P, Schuemie MJ, Sturkenboom MCJM, SonugaBarke E, Buitelaar J, Carucci S, Zuddas A, Kovshoff H, Garas P, Nagy P, Inglis SK, Konrad K, Häge A, Rosenthal E, Wong ICK (2017) Association of risk of suicide attempts with methylphenidate treatment. JAMA Psychiatry 74, 1048-1055. -
- cites [17] [17] Man KKC, Coghill D, Chan EW, Lau WCY, Hollis C, Liddle E, Banaschewski T, Mccarthy S, Neubert A (2016) Methylphenidate and the risk of psychotic disorders and hallucinations in children and adolescents in a large health system. Transl. Psychiatry 6, e956-e956. -
- cites [18] [18] Man, K; Lau, WCY; Coghill, D; Besag, FMC; Cross, JH; Ip, P; Wong I (2020) Association between methylphenidate treatment and risk of seizure: A population-based self-controlled case series study. Lancet Child Adolesc. Heal. 4, 435-443. - source
- cites [19] [19] Chui CSL, Man KKC, Cheng C, Chan EW, Lau WCY, Cheng VCC, Wong DSH, Kao YY, Wong ICK (2014) An investigation of the potential association between retinal detachment and oral fluoroquinolones: a self-controlled case series study. 69, 2563-2567. -
- cites [20] [20] Wong AYS, Root A, Douglas IJ, Chui CSL, Chan EW, Ghebremichael-weldeselassie Y, Siu C, Smeeth L, Wong ICK (2016) Cardiovascular outcomes associated with use of clarithromycin : population based study. Bmj 352, h6926. -
- cites [21] [21] Lau WCY, Chan EW, Cheung CL, Sing CW, Man KKC, Lip GYH, Siu CW, Lam JKY, Lee ACH, Wong ICK (2017) Association between Dabigatran vs Warfarin and risk of osteoporotic fractures among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. JAMA - J. Am. Med. Assoc. 317, 1151-1158. -
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Premisecitation§ DISCUSSIONThe SCCS approach has been successfully applied in other epidemiological studies, including studies of herpes zoster and stroke, and methylphenidate treatment with suicide attempts, psychosis, and seizures.
“This approach has been successfully applied in other epidemiological studies which, for example, explore the association between herpes zoster and stroke [37], or the association between methylphenidate treatment with suicide attempts [16], psychosis [17] and seizures [18].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [37] [37] Langan SM, Minassian C, Smeeth L, Thomas SL (2014) Risk of stroke following herpes zoster: A self-controlled case-series study. Clin. Infect. Dis. 58, 1497-1503. - source
- cites [16] [16] Man KKC, Coghill D, Chan EW, Lau WCY, Hollis C, Liddle E, Banaschewski T, McCarthy S, Neubert A, Sayal K, Ip P, Schuemie MJ, Sturkenboom MCJM, SonugaBarke E, Buitelaar J, Carucci S, Zuddas A, Kovshoff H, Garas P, Nagy P, Inglis SK, Konrad K, Häge A, Rosenthal E, Wong ICK (2017) Association of risk of suicide attempts with methylphenidate treatment. JAMA Psychiatry 74, 1048-1055. -
- cites [17] [17] Man KKC, Coghill D, Chan EW, Lau WCY, Hollis C, Liddle E, Banaschewski T, Mccarthy S, Neubert A (2016) Methylphenidate and the risk of psychotic disorders and hallucinations in children and adolescents in a large health system. Transl. Psychiatry 6, e956-e956. -
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Premisecitation§ DISCUSSIONThe spline-based SCCS uses splines to smooth the exposure effect.
“The splinebased SCCS [27,39] use splines to smooth the exposure effect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [27] [27] Ghebremichael-Weldeselassie Y, Whitaker HJ, Farrington CP (2016) Flexible modelling of vaccine effect in self-controlled case series models. Biometrical J. 58, 607-622. -
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [39] [39] Ghebremichael-Weldeselassie Y, Whitaker HJ, Farrington CP (2017) Splinebased self-controlled case series method. Stat. Med. 36, 3022-3038. Table 1. Characteristics of participants. Table 2. CIRs of dementia being diagnosed in different periods. Table 3. Results of the standard SCCS analysis Table 4. Sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking TCAs (No. of patients = 987) Table 5. Sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking SSRIs (No. of patients = 1338) Table 6. Sensitivity analysis restricting to patients taking other antidepressant drugs (No. of patients = 300) Figure 1. source
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown data§ ############Table 3The nonparametric spline-based SCCS showed that the risk of developing dementia increased significantly before the initiation of antidepressant treatment and peaked within 50 days before treatment.
“Subsequent analysis using the nonparametric, spline-based SCCS demonstrated that the risk of developing dementia increased significantly before the initiation of antidepressant treatment, and peaked within 50 days before treatment (Figure 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown data§ ##########Figure 2The IRR during the washout period was 1.12 (95% CI 0.77-1.36), similar to baseline.
“The IRR during the washout period was 1.12 (95% CI: 0.77-1.36) (similar to baseline).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis setting the length of pre-exposure period to 70 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.16 (95% CI 0.79-1.40).
“| Washout period | 1.16 (0.79-1.40) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis in women, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.14 (95% CI 0.82-1.54).
“| Washout period | 1.14 (0.82-1.54) | <0.05 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis excluding any individual with drug duration <30, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 0.96 (95% CI 0.69-1.37).
“| Washout period | 0.96 (0.69-1.37) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis setting the length of pre-exposure period to 30 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.08 (95% CI 0.84-1.40).
“| Washout period | 1.08 (0.84-1.40) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis using 200-day age bands, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.88 (95% CI 7.82-10.09).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 8.88 (7.82-10.09) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis using 500-day age bands, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.13 (95% CI 0.87-1.47).
“| Washout period | 1.13 (0.87-1.47) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis setting the length of washout period to 70 days, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.15 (95% CI 0.83-1.34).
“| Washout period | 1.15 (0.83-1.34) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis in men, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 9.84 (95% CI 7.93-12.20).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 9.84 (7.93-12.20) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis in men, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.06 (95% CI 0.71-1.64).
“| Washout period | 1.06 (0.71-1.64) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis in women, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the index drug-exposed period compared with the baseline period was 8.42 (95% CI 7.19-9.87).
“| Index drug-exposed period | 8.42 (7.19-9.87) | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown data§ Supplementary materials of the manuscript entitledIn the sensitivity analysis using 200-day age bands, the incidence rate ratio of dementia diagnosis during the washout period compared with the baseline period was 1.13 (95% CI 0.88-1.47).
“| Washout period | 1.13 (0.88-1.47) | <0.1 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationreasoning§ DISCUSSIONLack of information on relevant diagnoses may bias findings and lead to concerns about unmeasured confounders.
“This may well bias findings, and lead to concerns about unmeasured confounders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitation§ MAIN ANALYSISThe age-adjusted IRR was calculated in the standard SCCS analysis by modeling dementia diagnoses within individuals as a non-homogeneous, age-dependent Poisson process and contrasting incident rates within the same individual's person-time, using age in 365-day bands.
“The ageadjusted Incident Rate Ratio (IRR) was calculated in the standard SCCS analysis by modeling dementia diagnoses within individuals as a non-homogeneous, agedependent Poisson process and contrasting incident rates within the same individual's person-time [25], using age in 365-day bands.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] [25] Whitaker HJ, Farrington CP, Spiessens B, Musonda P (2006) Tutorial in biostatistics: The self-controlled case series method. Stat. Med. 25, 17681797. - source
It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductown data§ ##########Figure 3The analyses for each antidepressant subcategory, each gender, and the additional sensitivity analyses were consistent with the main results.
“The analyses for each subcategory (Table 4-6), each gender (Table S3-S4), and the additional sensitivity analyses (supplementary Table S5-S12), are consistent with the main results”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Premisenone given§ DISCUSSIONThe SCCS design eliminates all time-invariant confounders among individuals, including mental disorders, and introduces temporal awareness around the event of interest.
“We propose that an SCCS design may be a better way of examining whether an exposure truly represents a risk factor for an event because the design eliminates all time-invariant confounders among individuals (including mental disorders) and introduces temporal awareness around the event of interest.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown data§ DISCUSSIONThe observed increased risk of developing dementia before antidepressant treatment is not due to antidepressant treatment but precedes it, possibly reflecting emerging psychiatric symptoms or comorbid depressive complications that lead to medical consultation and a decision to prescribe antidepressants.
“A possible explanation for such a risk pattern is that the observed increased risk of developing dementia is not due to antidepressant treatment but in fact precedes it, perhaps reflecting changes in comorbid depressive complications and/or associated impairment that lead to a medical consultation, which in turn may contribute to the decision to prescribe antidepressant drugs;”
- Also stated in: § CONCLUSIONS · hedged
“The observed higher risk of dementia before the commencement of antidepressant treatment may reflect emerging psychiatric symptoms, which can co-occur with dementia. These symptoms could trigger medical consultations where a decision is made to begin antidepressant treatment.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § CONCLUSIONS · hedged
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductcitation§ SELECTION CRITERIA INCLUSION CRITERIAThe method of identifying people with dementia is consistent with previous studies.
“This method of identifying people with dementia is consistent with previous studies [22,23].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [22] [22] Rose E, Glymour MM, Quesenberry CP, Whitmer RA (2016) Inequalities in dementia incidence between six racial and ethnic groups over 14 years. Alzheimer's Dement. 12, 216-224. -
- cites [23] [23] Gilsanz P, Mayeda ER, Glymour MM, Quesenberry CP, Whitmer RA (2017) Association Between Birth in a High Stroke Mortality State, Race, and Risk of Dementia. JAMA Neurol. 74, 1056-1062. - source
It may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown data§ DISCUSSIONDepression-related disorders may be closely associated with dementia and should be strictly controlled in correlation models for prescription of antidepressant drugs and the development of dementia.
“This indicates that depression-related disorders may be closely associated with dementia and this should be strictly controlled in correlation models for prescription of antidepressant drugs and the development of dementia.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Interpretationnone given§ DISCUSSIONIf there was a time lag between developing dementia and its diagnosis, this will not contradict the study's conclusions.
“More importantly, in this study, if there was a time lag between developing dementia and its diagnosis, this will not contradict our conclusions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitation§ EXCLUSION CRITERIAExcluding subjects whose antidepressant drug exposure was shorter than seven days eliminated the impact of potentially ineffective exposures.
“Potential subjects were excluded if (a) their antidepressant drug-exposure was shorter than seven days (to eliminate the impact of potentially-ineffective exposures) and/or (b) the washout period and subsequent exposure to antidepressants overlapped (thus violating model assumptions) [25].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The quote only partly states this claim.
Study design and conductreasoning§ DISCUSSIONWe excluded 71 individuals whose washout period and subsequent antidepressant use overlapped to fulfill the SCCS model assumption.
“We attempted to exclude these individuals (71) to fulfill the SCCS model assumption;”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Premisenone given§ DISCUSSIONStandard SCCS only accepts nonoverlapping segments.
“Standard SCCS only accepts nonoverlapping segments, whereas some studies may not ensure this.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Study design and conductnone given§ DISCUSSIONA possible time lag between the time of developing dementia and the time of a formal clinical diagnosis of dementia may exist.
“For example, a possible time lag between the time of developing dementia and the time of a formal clinical diagnosis of dementia may exist.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitation§ EXCLUSION CRITERIAExcluding subjects whose washout period and subsequent exposure to antidepressants overlapped ensured the SCCS model assumptions were met.
“Potential subjects were excluded if (a) their antidepressant drug-exposure was shorter than seven days (to eliminate the impact of potentially-ineffective exposures) and/or (b) the washout period and subsequent exposure to antidepressants overlapped (thus violating model assumptions) [25].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] [25] Whitaker HJ, Farrington CP, Spiessens B, Musonda P (2006) Tutorial in biostatistics: The self-controlled case series method. Stat. Med. 25, 17681797. - source
The authors state this as an assumption.
The index dementia event was correctly identified as occurring during the study period.
“This assumed that the index dementia event was correctly identified as occurring during the study period.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Table 6 reports significance despite an interval crossing baseline
MajorFor subsequent exposure to other antidepressants, the reported 95% confidence interval of 0.78-8.53 includes the baseline IRR of 1. That conflicts with the reported P-value below 0.01.
“| Subsequent drug- | 8 | 4104 | 1.95 | 2.57 (0.78- | <0.01 |”
“| exposed period | | | | 8.53) | |”
MAOIs are assigned two different BNF codes
MinorThe discussion labels MAOIs as BNF 4.3.3, whereas the methods identify MAOIs as BNF 4.3.2.
“There were only three patients who were prescribed MAOIs (BNF 4.3.3) during the study period.”
“monoamine-oxidase inhibitors (4.3.2)”
Table S9 washout P-value conflicts with its confidence interval
MinorThe washout-period 95% confidence interval after excluding deaths includes the baseline IRR of 1, yet its P-value is reported as below 0.05.
“| Washout period | 1.03 (0.79-1.36) | <0.05 |”
“1.03 (0.79-1.36)”
Table S4 washout P-value conflicts with its confidence interval
MinorThe women's washout-period 95% confidence interval includes the baseline IRR of 1, yet its P-value is reported as below 0.05.
“| Washout period | 1.14 (0.82-1.54) | <0.05 |”
“1.14 (0.82-1.54)”
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Sorted by citations
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Metadata
- Authors
- Xu, Z., Yang, J., Lau, K. K., Yip, P. S. F., Wong, I. C. K., & Zhang, Q.
- Affiliations
- City University of Hong Kong (HK)
- University of Hong Kong (HK)
- UCL School of Pharmacy (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Wong, Ian C.K.
- Zhang, Qingpeng
- Venue
- Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2020-11-10
- Volume
- 78
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 735-744
- ISSN
- 1387-2877 (ISSN-L)
- 1875-8908
- OpenAlex
- W3089675543
- Semantic Scholar
- e0074b61e4d28b8a11d0f73280cb27bb94536fa4
- Cited by
- 1
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2023: 1
- FWCI
- 0.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- discovery.ucl.ac.uk
- Locations
- Journal of Alzheimer s Disease (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (71972164, 71672163)
- Health and Medical Research Fund (16171991)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Geriatrics and Gerontology › Pharmaceutical Practices and Patient Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology (medical) › Treatment of Major Depression
- Keywords
- antidepressants, dementia
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Antidepressive Agents, Dementia, Female, Hong Kong, Humans, Male, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies, Case-Control Studies, Electronic Health Records
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