Health Care Costs in the Last Week of Life: Associations With End-of-Life Conversations
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Life-sustaining medical care of patients with advanced cancer at the end of life (EOL) is costly. Patient-physician discussions about EOL wishes are associated with lower rates of intensive interventions. METHODS: Funded by the National Institute of Mental Health and the National Cancer Institute, Coping With Cancer is a longitudinal multi-institutional study of 627 patients with advanced cancer. Patients were interviewed at baseline and were followed up through death. Costs for intensive care unit and hospital stays, hospice care, and life-sustaining procedures (eg, mechanical ventilator use and resuscitation) received in the last week of life were aggregated. Generalized linear models were applied to test for cost differences in EOL care. Propensity score matching was used to reduce selection biases. RESULTS: Of 603 participants, 188 (31.2%) reported EOL discussions at baseline. After propensity score matching, the remaining 415 patients did not differ in sociodemographic characteristics, recruitment sites, illness acknowledgment, or treatment preferences. Further analyses, adjusted by quintiles of propensity scores and significant confounders, revealed that the mean (SE) aggregate costs of care (in 2008 US dollars) were $1876 ($177) for patients who reported EOL discussions compared with $2917 ($285) for patients who did not, a cost difference of $1041 (35.7% lower among patients who reported EOL discussions) (P =.002). Patients with higher costs had worse quality of death in their final week (Pearson production moment correlation partial r = -0.17, P =.006). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with advanced cancer who reported having EOL conversations with physicians had significantly lower health care costs in their final week of life. Higher costs were associated with worse quality of death.
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Claims the paper makes
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- Findingown data
No survival difference was linked to higher health care spending at the end of life.
“There was no survival difference associated with higher health care expenditures at the EOL.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“there was no survival difference associated with health care expenditures”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingown data
At baseline, 188 patients (31.2%) reported having had an end-of-life discussion.
“188 patients (31.2%) reported EOL discussions at baseline.”
- Also stated in: § Patient characteristics · plain
“Among them, 188 (31.2%) reported having discussed their EOL wishes with physicians.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Patient characteristics · plain
- Findingown data
Greater spending on care in the last week of life correlated with poorer overall quality of death as rated by caregivers (Pearson partial r=-0.17, p=0.006), after adjustment for age, race, gender, education, survival, and source of report.
“Patients with higher costs had worse quality of death (Pearson partial r=-0.17, p=0.006) in their final week.”
- Also stated in: § Association between medical costs, patients' quality of death and survival in the final week of life · plain
“Additional analyses using deceased patients in the study sample (N=316) showed that higher medical costs in the final week of life were associated with more physical distress in the last week of life (Pearson partial r=0.18, p=0.003) and worse overall quality of death as reported by the caregiver (Pearson partial r=-0.17, p=0.006) after controlling for age, race, gender, education, survival and”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Reports from caregivers or nurses about the patient's quality of death accurately capture the patient's quality of life in the final week.
- Also stated in: § Association between medical costs, patients' quality of death and survival in the final week of life · plain
- Findingown data
Greater spending on care in the last week of life correlated with more physical distress during that week (Pearson partial r=0.18, p=0.003), after adjustment for age, race, gender, education, survival, and source of report.
“Additional analyses using deceased patients in the study sample (N=316) showed that higher medical costs in the final week of life were associated with more physical distress in the last week of life (Pearson partial r=0.18, p=0.003) and worse overall quality of death as reported by the caregiver (Pearson partial r=-0.17, p=0.006) after controlling for age, race, gender, education, survival and”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Reports from caregivers or nurses about the patient's quality of death accurately capture the patient's quality of life in the final week.
- Findingown data
Patients reporting end-of-life discussions experienced less physical distress in the last week of life (3.6 vs 4.5, p=0.04) than those who did not.
“Patients who reported EOL discussions had less physical distress in the last week of life [3.6 (3.2) vs. 4.5 (3.7), p=0.04] than those who did not”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Reports from caregivers or nurses about the patient's quality of death accurately capture the patient's quality of life in the final week.
- Study design and conductnone given
Propensity score matching was used to reduce selection bias.
“Propensity score matching was used to reduce selection biases.”
- Also stated in: § Statistical analysis · plain
“Propensity score matching15 was used to remove the observed differences between the two groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Statistical analysis · plain
- Interpretationcitation
End-of-life discussions may lower health care spending by reducing the use of intensive care among cancer patients.
“These findings suggest that EOL discussions might reduce health care expenditures by reducing cancer patients' utilization of intensive care.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The lower medical costs among patients who reported end-of-life conversations are largely attributable to their more limited use of intensive interventions.
“Our findings demonstrate that advanced cancer patients who reported EOL conversations with physicians had lower medical costs in their final week of life compared to those who did not, which is largely a function of their more limited use of intensive interventions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Patients' self-report of having had an end-of-life discussion accurately indicates whether such a discussion took place.
- Study design and conductreasoning
The observational design prevents drawing a causal conclusion about the link between end-of-life conversations and cost differences in the last week of life.
“Because this is an observational study we cannot conclude that there is a causal relationship between EOL conversations and cost differences in the last week of life.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
This study probably underestimates total care costs because it omits outpatient services, out-of-pocket spending, and opportunity costs.
“Like most studies of medical expenditures 2,3, 23,24 which rely heavily on costs covered by insurers or Medicare, this study likely underestimates the total cost of care given that it does not include out-patient services or out-of-pocket expenditures or opportunity costs incurred by patients and their caregivers for additional pharmaceutical and home care payments.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [2]
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [3]
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- cites [23]
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- Interpretationreasoning
Since the sample used less acute care and more hospice than the national population, the cost differences might grow when generalized to areas with greater intensive care use.
“Due to a lower rate of acute care and greater use of hospice care in our sample compared to the national population, the cost differences might increase when generalized to other areas with higher use of intensive care.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The cost estimates may be conservative because the study sample received intensive medical treatment less often than samples in other studies.
“Our cost estimates may be conservative in terms of the relatively low frequency of intensive medical treatment compared to other studies of advanced cancer patients.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [20]
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- cites [21]
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- cites [22]
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- Interpretationcitation
The observed cost differences may shrink when applied to an older population, since end-of-life medical costs fall as age increases.
“The cost differences we observed may decrease when generalized to an older population since medical costs at the EOL decline with increasing age, and the average age in our sample was 59 years. 26”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [26]
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
If the national rate of reported end-of-life discussions rose to 50%, the projected cost difference would be $76,466,891, based on the annual number of US cancer deaths.
“If the national proportion of reporting EOL discussions were increased to 50%, our results suggest that we would expect a cost difference of $76,466,891, between individuals who had EOL discussions versus who had not, based upon the total number of US cancer deaths/year. 25”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25]
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductnone given
Nurses or informal caregivers provided the reports of end-of-life care and patients' quality of life in the final week before death.
“Moreover, the EOL care and patients' quality of life in the final week before death were reported by nurses or informal caregivers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 13
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 5
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataPatients who reported having end-of-life conversations with doctors at baseline were less likely to receive ventilation or resuscitation, or to be admitted to or die in an intensive care unit during the final week of life.
“Patients who reported EOL conversations with their physicians at baseline were less likely to undergo ventilation, resuscitation, be admitted to or die in an ICU in the final week of life.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Patients' self-report of having had an end-of-life discussion accurately indicates whether such a discussion took place.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the propensity-score matched cohort, adjusted aggregate costs in the last week of life were $1876 (SE=177) for patients reporting end-of-life discussions and $2917 (SE=285) for those not reporting them, a difference of $1041 (35.7% lower), p=0.002.
“Further analyses, adjusted by quintiles of propensity scores and significant confounders, revealed that the aggregate costs of care were $1876 (SE=177) for patients who reported EOL discussions compared with $2917 (SE=285) for patients who did not (in 2008 US dollars), a cost difference of $1041 (35.7% lower among patients who reported EOL discussions) [p=0.002].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Patients' self-report of having had an end-of-life discussion accurately indicates whether such a discussion took place.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe two groups showed no differences in psychological distress, quality of death, or survival.
“but the two groups did not differ in psychological distress, quality of death or survival.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThose who reported end-of-life discussions were more likely to use outpatient hospice services and to have longer hospice stays.
“They were more likely to receive outpatient hospice care and stay longer in hospice.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Patients' self-report of having had an end-of-life discussion accurately indicates whether such a discussion took place.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPatients who discuss end-of-life wishes with their doctors tend to receive fewer life-sustaining treatments and are less often admitted to intensive care.
“Patient-physician discussions about EOL wishes were found to be associated with lower rates of intensive interventions.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“A recent study, using data from a longitudinal, multi-institutional cohort study, Coping with Cancer (CWC), showed that EOL conversations between patients and physicians are associated with fewer life-sustaining procedures and lower rates of ICU admission.5”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5]
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataInterviewers were trained to achieve a high level of accuracy in SCID diagnoses, with a kappa greater than 0.85.
“Interviewers were trained by research staff at Yale University School of Medicine and were required to achieve a level of accuracy based on concordance with the Yale training director's rating of the Structured Clinical Interview for the DSM-IV (SCID) diagnoses (κ>0.85).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Interpretationown dataMore communication between patients and physicians is linked to better outcomes and lower medical care costs.
“Nevertheless, our study suggests that increasing communication between patients and their physicians is associated with better outcomes and less expensive medical care.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Patients' self-report of having had an end-of-life discussion accurately indicates whether such a discussion took place.
- Rests on an assumption: Reports from caregivers or nurses about the patient's quality of death accurately capture the patient's quality of life in the final week.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenDropping unmatched subjects may reduce how well the results generalize to the general population.
“In addition, exclusion of unmatched subjects from the study may limit generalizability of the results to general population.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataAfter propensity score matching, the 145 remaining patients did not differ in socio-demographic characteristics, recruitment sites, illness acknowledgement, or treatment preferences.
“After propensity score matching, the remaining 145 patients did not differ in socio-demographic characteristics, recruitment sites, illness acknowledgement or treatment preferences.”
- Also stated in: § Medical care at EOL, location of death, quality of death and survival · plain
“The deceased patients in the propensity-score matched cohort (N=145) did not differ by the variables shown in Table 2.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Medical care at EOL, location of death, quality of death and survival · plain
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe matched subjects were similar on observed variables, and potential confounders were controlled for, producing a well-balanced and adjusted sample.
“One strength of this study is that the matched subjects did not differ in observed variables, including patients' socio-demographic characteristics, cancer type, recruitment sites, treatment preferences, or illness acknowledgment. Additionally, these variables were also examined as potential confounders and were controlled for if they remained significant in the multivariate analyses. Therefore,”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenPropensity score matching cannot address unobserved biases.
“Although propensity score matching is one of the most robust methods to correct for selection bias in observables, it cannot account for hidden biases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataHigher health care spending was not linked to better outcomes at the end of life; no survival difference was found, and patients with higher spending had worse quality of life in their final week.
“In this study, higher health care costs were not associated with better outcomes at the EOL: there was no survival difference associated with health care expenditures, and patients who spent more in insured health care had worse quality of life in their final week of life.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Reports from caregivers or nurses about the patient's quality of death accurately capture the patient's quality of life in the final week.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataA wide set of covariates was included in the propensity score model predicting the likelihood of having an end-of-life discussion.
“Covariates, including age, gender, race, education, marriage status, health insurance, religion, Karnofsky score, Charlson Comorbidity Index, MQOL physical and symptom subscales, recruitment sites (Yale, Parkland, NHOH), treatment preferences and desire to know life expectancy, were included in predicting the conditional likelihood of having an EOL discussion.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe study does not cover all US geographic areas, which may matter given documented regional variation in the intensity of end-of-life care.
“Although propensity-score matching balanced differences among the recruitment sites, our study does not include all geographic areas in the United States which may be particularly important since there are documented regional differences in the intensity of EOL care. 27”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [27]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationCost estimates relied on aggregated national averages instead of medical claims data, yet they are comparable to estimates from studies using claims data.
“Another limitation is that cost estimates were based upon aggregated costs from national averages for hospitalizations, life-sustaining procedures and hospice care instead of medical claims data. Although this method may be viewed as less accurate, our cost estimates are comparable to other studies that used medical claims data.23,24”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [23]
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [24]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe cost reductions come with improved quality of life for advanced cancer patients at the end of life.
“Our study is unique in that it also suggests that these cost deductions are accompanied by a better quality of life for advanced cancer patients at the EOL.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Reports from caregivers or nurses about the patient's quality of death accurately capture the patient's quality of life in the final week.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataPotential confounders were examined and those that remained significant were controlled for in multivariate models.
“Models examined potential confounders of socio-demographic characteristics, religion, cancer type, recruitment sites, Karnofsky score, illness acknowledgement, treatment preferences and survival time using the backward selection procedure and controlled for those remained significant in the multivariate models.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The link between health care spending and patient-physician communication at the end of life has not been thoroughly studied.
“To the best of our knowledge, the association between health care expenditures and patient-physician communication at the EOL has not been fully examined.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Patients' self-report of having had an end-of-life discussion accurately indicates whether such a discussion took place.
“EOL discussions were assessed at baseline by asking: “Have you and your doctor discussed any particular wishes you have about the care you would want to receive if you were dying?””
The paper relies on this without support.
Reports from caregivers or nurses about the patient's quality of death accurately capture the patient's quality of life in the final week.
“After the patients' death, caregivers both formal (i.e., paid clinicians such as nurses) and informal (i.e., unpaid caretakers such as spouses) were asked to assess the patients' quality of life in the period immediately prior to death e.g. “In your opinion, how would you rate overall quality of the patient's death/last week of life?””
The authors state this as an assumption.
Patients and caregivers may place different values on care.
“Additionally, we acknowledge that patients and caregivers may value care differently. Patients may consider extra dollars spent and more life-sustaining care worth the added expense whereas caregivers may devalue life-sustaining care.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Hospice is used too little by ESRD patients, including those who stop dialysis.
“it is underutilized by the ESRD population, even among patients who withdraw from dialysis.”
From Should there be an expanded role for palliative care in end-stage renal disease? (2010) · cites this paper as [11]
Before death, ESRD patients use hospice at less than half the rate of cancer patients, even when they stop dialysis first.
“Rates of hospice use before death among patients with ESRD are less than half of those seen among patients dying of cancer, even among patients with ESRD who choose to withdraw from dialysis before death [11].”
From Should there be an expanded role for palliative care in end-stage renal disease? (2010) · cites this paper as [11]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Reported symptom scores exceed the stated scale maximum
MinorThe methods define the McGill symptom burden subscale as ranging from 0 to 10, but the results report group means of 10.4 and 12.0 on that subscale. A group mean cannot exceed the scale's maximum.
“Patient's self-reported health status was measured with the physical health and symptom burden subscales of the McGill Quality of Life Questionnaire [scale 0-10, where 0=desirable and 10=undesirable)].11”
“They had more co-morbid conditions [8.5(2.7) vs. 7.9(2.7), p=0.007) but lower symptom burden [McGill symptoms subscale score [10.4(4.3) vs. 12.0(4.4), p<0.0001)].”
Overall symptom scores disagree across two partitions of the sample
MinorThe discussion groups partition the 603 patients into 188 and 415, giving an overall symptom mean of about 8.66 from the reported group means. The matched and unmatched groups also partition those 603 patients, but their reported means give an overall mean of about 11.34 for the same symptom subscale.
“Among them, 188 (31.2%) reported having discussed their EOL wishes with physicians.”
“They had more co-morbid conditions [8.5(2.7) vs. 7.9(2.7), p=0.007) but lower symptom burden [McGill symptoms subscale score [10.4(4.3) vs. 12.0(4.4), p<0.0001)].”
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- Authors
- Zhang, B., Wright, A. A., Huskamp, H. A., Nilsson, M. E., Maciejewski, M. L., Earle, C. C., Block, S. D., Maciejewski, P. K., & Prigerson, H. G.
- Affiliations
- Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US)
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Yale University (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Archives of Internal Medicine
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2009-03-09
- Volume
- 169
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 480
- ISSN
- 0003-9926 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC2862687
- OpenAlex
- W2169467289
- Cited by
- 898
- References
- 21
- Citations by year
- 2026: 20 · 2025: 25 · 2024: 35 · 2023: 45 · 2022: 57 · 2021: 58 · 2020: 69 · 2019: 66 · 2018: 57 · 2017: 80 · 2016: 57 · 2015: 67 · 2014: 50 · 2013: 61 · 2012: 50
- FWCI
- 49.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Archives of Internal Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Mental Health (MH-63892, R01MH063892)
- National Cancer Institute (R01CA106370, CA106370)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Palliative Care and End-of-Life Issues
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Palliative and Oncologic Care
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Financial Impacts of Cancer
- Keywords
- end-of-life care, advanced cancer, health care costs, advance care planning, quality of death, intensive care utilization, hospice care, mechanical ventilation, resuscitation, last week of life
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Attitude to Death, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasms, Physician-Patient Relations, Quality of Life, Terminal Care, Health Care Costs
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-09-28.
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Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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