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The Progression From Hypertension to Congestive Heart Failure
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: - To study the relative and population-attributable risks of hypertension for the development of congestive heart failure (CHF), to assess the time course of progression from hypertension to CHF, and to identify risk factors that contribute to the development of overt heart failure in hypertensive subjects. DESIGN: - Inception cohort study. SETTING: - General community. PARTICIPANTS: - Original Framingham Heart Study and Framingham Offspring Study participants aged 40 to 89 years and free of CHF. To reflect more contemporary experience, the starting point of this study was January 1, 1970. EXPOSURE MEASURES: - Hypertension (blood pressure of at least 140 mm Hg systolic or 90 mm Hg diastolic or current use of medications for treatment of high blood pressure) and other potential CHF risk factors were assessed at periodic clinic examinations. OUTCOME MEASURE: - The development of CHF. RESULTS: - A total of 5143 eligible subjects contributed 72422 person-years of observation. During up to 20.1 years of follow-up (mean, 14.1 years), there were 392 new cases of heart failure; in 91% (357/392), hypertension antedated the development of heart failure. Adjusting for age and heart failure risk factors in proportional hazards regression models, the hazard for developing heart failure in hypertensive compared with normotensive subjects was about 2-fold in men and 3-fold in women. Multivariable analyses revealed that hypertension had a high population-attributable risk for CHF, accounting for 39% of cases in men and 59% in women. Among hypertensive subjects, myocardial infarction, diabetes, left ventricular hypertrophy, and valvular heart disease were predictive of increased risk for CHF in both sexes. Survival following the onset of hypertensive CHF was bleak; only 24% of men and 31% of women survived 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: - Hypertension was the most common risk factor for CHF, and it contributed a large proportion of heart failure cases in this population-based sample. Preventive strategies directed toward earlier and more aggressive blood pressure control are likely to offer the greatest promise for reducing the incidence of CHF and its associated mortality.
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“up to 91% of all new heart failure development in the Framingham cohort occurred in people with a previous diagnosis of hypertension (275).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 (2025) · cites this paper as [275]
In the citing paper
“The vast majority of incident heart failure is preceded by hypertension;”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 (2025) · cites this paper as [275]
In the citing paper
“The vast majority of incident heart failure is preceded by hypertension; up to 91% of all new heart failure development in the Framingham cohort occurred in people with a previous diagnosis of hypertension (272).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026 (2026) · cites this paper as [272]
In the citing paper
“Using 50 years of follow up data, Levy and colleagues reported that the 5 year mortality declined in men from 70% in 1950 to 59% in 1999, and in women from 57% to 45%.58”
From The Framingham Heart Study and the epidemiology of cardiovascular disease: a historical perspective (2014) · cites this paper as [58]
In the citing paper
“Using 50 years of follow up data, Levy and colleagues reported that the 5 year mortality declined in men from 70% in 1950 to 59% in 1999, and in women from 57% to 45%.58”
From The Framingham Heart Study and the epidemiology of cardiovascular disease: a historical perspective (2014) · cites this paper as [58]
In the citing paper
“Over 50% of heart disease, stroke, and heart failure are caused by increased blood pressure.”
From São Paulo call to action for the prevention and control of high blood pressure: 2020 (2019) · cites this paper as [8]
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“In the case of the former (physiological hypertrophy), untoward sequelae do not arise over time; in the case of the latter (pathological hypertrophy), progression to a state of ventricular wall thinning, systolic and diastolic dysfunction, and a clinical syndrome of heart failure is common.(3) Further, both pathologic…”
BackgroundChen, J., Cao, T., Duan, Y., Yuan, L., & Wang, Z. (2007) · Canadian Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0828-282x(07)70857-7 · Cited by 56
“Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is an independent risk factor and can result in severe cardiovascular events such as heart failure, sudden death and others (6).”
BackgroundRegression of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy Following Stenting of Renal Artery Stenosis
Zeller, T., Rastan, A., Schwarzwälder, U., Mueller, C. E., Frank, U., Bürgelin, K., Sixt, S., Schwarz, T., Noory, E., & Neumann, F. (2007) · Journal of Endovascular Therapy · doi:10.1177/152660280701400211 · Cited by 54
“Uncontrolled hypertension promotes LVH and may lead to congestive heart failure.(4,5,14,15) Two small studies analyzing the effects of renal artery revascularization with balloon angioplasty or surgery on left ventricular morphology showed a regression of left ventricular mass that was correlated with a reduction in s…”
BackgroundWomen, Hypertension, and the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial
WENGER, N. K., Ferdinand, K. C., Merz, C. N. B., Walsh, M. N., Gulati, M., & Pepine, C. J. (2016) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.amjmed.2016.06.022 · Cited by 58
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“In order to understand the mechanism of the E 10-3 0 103 104 105 CD11c 10-3 0 103 104 105 10 -3 10 5 M H C II Ctr TAC R el at iv e M H C II of C D 11 c+ M H C II+ c el ls 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 * F 0 2 4 6 C D 11 c+ M H C II+ c el ls (% C D 45 + c el ls ) H Ctr TAC * 0 2 4 6 8 C D 11 c+ c el ls (% C D 45 + c el ls )…”
InfluentialLindholm, D. P., Fukaya, E., Leeper, N. J., & Ingelsson, E. (2018) · Journal of the American Heart Association · doi:10.1161/jaha.118.008970 · Cited by 55
The Evolution from Hypertension to Heart Failure
Sorrentino, M. J. (2019) · Heart Failure Clinics · doi:10.1016/j.hfc.2019.06.005 · Cited by 55
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Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors.
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Sleep-disordered breathing in heart failure: characteristics and implications
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Effects of candesartan cilexetil in patients with severe systemic hypertension
Oparil, S., Levine, J. H., ZUSCHKE, C. A., Gradman, A. H., Ripley, E. B. D., Jones, D. W., Hardison, J., Cushing, D. J., Prasad, R., & Michelson, E. L. (1999) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0002-9149(99)00278-7 · Cited by 56
Arterial Stiffness and Vascular Load in HFpEF: Differences Among Women and Men
Lau, E. S., Panah, L. G., Zern, E. K., Liu, E. E., Farrell, R., Schoenike, M., Namasivayam, M. J., Churchill, T. W., Curreri, L. A., Malhotra, R. K., et al. (2021) · Journal of Cardiac Failure · doi:10.1016/j.cardfail.2021.10.019 · Cited by 55
Blunt cardiac injury associated with cardiac valve insufficiency: Trauma links to chronic disease?
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Gender Differences in Antihypertensive Treatment: Myths or Legends?
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Assessing the coronary circulation in hypertension
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Sleep Apnea, Hypertension, and the Effects of Continuous Positive Airway Pressure
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Tempol inhibits TGF-β and MMPs upregulation and prevents cardiac hypertensive changes
Rizzi, É., de Castro, M. M., Ceron, C. S., Neto‐Neves, E. M., Prado, C. M., Rossi, M. A., Tanus-Santos, J. E., & Gerlach, R. F. (2011) · International Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ijcard.2011.08.060 · Cited by 54
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Aging, High Altitude, and Blood Pressure: A Complex Relationship
Parati, G., Ochoa, J. E., Torlasco, C., Salvi, P., Lombardi, C., & Bilo, G. (2015) · High Altitude Medicine & Biology · doi:10.1089/ham.2015.0010 · Cited by 53
“On one hand, advancing age is associated with a progressive increase in systolic BP levels and with development and progression of arterial hypertension because of a number of factors, including atherosclerotic changes, large artery stiffening, altered renal function, and arterial baroreflex impairment (Levy et al., 1…”
InfluentialGenetic analysis of blood pressure in C3H/HeJ and SWR/J mice
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“Hypertension is associated with a two- to threefold increased risk of congestive heart failure and precedes development of the disease in 91% of patients (6).”
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“However, only 53% of patients treated for hypertension had blood pressure actually controlled to≤140/90 mmHg [4].”
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Left Ventricular Geometry and Hypotension in End-Stage Renal Disease
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Screening and treatment of hypertension in older adults: less is more?
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“For example, high BP is a cause of heart failure [61], but in an advanced stage, heart failure becomes the cause of a lower BP.”
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“Important gender differences in HF patients have been eported (4).”
BackgroundKnudsen, C. W., Riis, J. S., Finsen, A. V., Eikvar, L., Müller, C., Westheim, A. S., & Omland, T. (2003) · European Journal of Heart Failure · doi:10.1016/j.ejheart.2003.10.006 · Cited by 53
New epidemiologic perspectives concerning mild-to-moderate heart failure
Adams, K. F. (2001) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/s0002-9343(98)00383-0 · Cited by 51
Left Ventricular Hypertrophy and Obesity: Only a Matter of Fat?
Murdolo, G., Angeli, F., Reboldi, G., Giacomo, L. D., Aita, A., Bartolini, C., & Vedecchia, P. (2014) · High Blood Pressure & Cardiovascular Prevention · doi:10.1007/s40292-014-0068-x · Cited by 54
Metadata
- Authors
- Levy, D.
- Affiliations
- Framingham Heart Study (US)
- Corresponding author
- Levy, Daniel
- ORCID
- Levy, Daniel
- Venue
- JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 1996-05-22
- Volume
- 275
- Issue
- 20
- Pages
- 1557
- ISSN
- 0002-9955 (ISSN-L)
- 0098-7484
- OpenAlex
- W2023515446
- Cited by
- 2,155
- References
- 46
- Citations by year
- 2026: 32 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 62 · 2023: 85 · 2022: 82 · 2021: 73 · 2020: 71 · 2019: 86 · 2018: 70 · 2017: 75 · 2016: 68 · 2015: 98 · 2014: 86 · 2013: 102 · 2012: 108
- FWCI
- 27.57
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- JAMA (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (n01hc038038-022)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (N01-HC-38038)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Heart Failure Treatment and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Blood Pressure and Hypertension Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Function and Risk Factors
- Keywords
- hypertension, congestive heart failure, population attributable risk, heart failure risk factors, myocardial infarction, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular hypertrophy, valvular heart disease, blood pressure control, Framingham Heart Study, Framingham Offspring Study
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Diastole, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Hypertension, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Systole, Cohort Studies, Multivariate Analysis, Proportional Hazards Models, Survival Analysis, Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular, Disease Progression, Ventricular Dysfunction, Left
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