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Falling Threshold for Treatment of Borderline Elevated Thyrotropin Levels—Balancing Benefits and Risks: Evidence From a Large Community-Based Study

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Taylor, Peter N., Iqbal, Ahmed, Minassian, Caroline, Sayers, Adrian, Draman, Mohd S., Greenwood, Rosemary, Hamilton, William, Okosieme, Onyebuchi +3 more·2014·JAMA Internal Medicine

Abstract

IMPORTANCE: Rates of thyroid hormone prescribing in the United States and the United Kingdom have increased substantially. If some of the increase is due to lowering the thyrotropin threshold for treatment, this may result in less benefit and greater harm. OBJECTIVE: To define trends in thyrotropin levels at the initiation of levothyroxine sodium therapy and the risk of developing a suppressed thyrotropin level following treatment. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, AND EXPOSURE: Retrospective cohort study using data from the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Among 52,298 individuals who received a prescription for levothyroxine between January 1, 2001, and October 30, 2009, we extracted data about the thyrotropin level before levothyroxine therapy initiation, clinical symptoms, and thyrotropin levels up to 5 years after levothyroxine was initiated. We excluded persons who had a history of hyperthyroidism, pituitary disease, or thyroid surgery; those who were taking thyroid-altering medication or if the levothyroxine prescription was related to pregnancy; and those who did not have a thyrotropin level measured within 3 months before the initiation of levothyroxine. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The median thyrotropin level at the time of the index levothyroxine prescription, the odds of initiation of levothyroxine therapy at thyrotropin levels of 10.0 mIU/L or less, and the age-stratified odds of developing a low or suppressed thyrotropin level after levothyroxine therapy. RESULTS: Between 2001 and 2009, the median thyrotropin level at the initiation of levothyroxine therapy fell from 8.7 to 7.9 mIU/L. The odds ratio for prescribing levothyroxine at thyrotropin levels of 10.0 mIU/L or less in 2009 compared with 2001 (adjusted for changes in population demographics) was 1.30 (95% CI, 1.19-1.42; P < .001). Older individuals and individuals with cardiac risk factors had higher odds of initiation of levothyroxine therapy with a thyrotropin level 10.0 mIU/L or less. At 5 years after levothyroxine initiation, 5.8% of individuals had a thyrotropin level of <0.1 mIU/L. Individuals with depression or tiredness at baseline had increased odds of developing a suppressed thyrotropin level, whereas individuals with cardiac risk factors (eg, atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and raised lipid levels) did not. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: We observed a trend toward levothyroxine treatment of more marginal degrees of hypothyroidism and a substantial risk of developing a suppressed thyrotropin level following therapy. Large-scale prospective studies are required to assess the risk-benefit ratio of current practice.

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Crossref · 10.1001/jamainternmed.2013.11312

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  • Myxoedema is uncommon nowadays due to widespread thyroid function testing and a low threshold for initiating levothyroxine therapy.

    “Myxoedema is fortunately uncommon nowadays due to widespread thyroid function testing and a low threshold for initiating levothyroxine therapy.7”

    From Hypothyroidism (2024) · cites this paper as [7]

    The paper’s introductory passage reports substantially increased thyroid function testing and suggests a lowering of the thyrotropin threshold for starting levothyroxine; its Results document that lower threshold. Neither passage says that myxoedema is now uncommon or that testing and treatment practices have made it uncommon. Page numbers are not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.83)

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  • TSH normalisation was often not attained in patients 5 years post-levothyroxine in a large population dataset; 15% of patients had a TSH concentration below the reference range and 21% had a TSH concentration above the reference range.

    “TSH normalisation was often not attained in patients 5 years post-levothyroxine in a large population dataset; 15% of patients had a TSH concentration below the reference range and 21% had a TSH concentration above the reference range.7”

    From Hypothyroidism (2024) · cites this paper as [7]

    The ‘Thyrotropin Levels After Initiation of Levothyroxine Therapy’ section (page unavailable) supports the main point: many measured TSH levels were outside the stated ranges at five years. Its figures sum to 16.0% below 0.5 mIU/L and 21.5% above 5.0 mIU/L, rather than the cited 15% and 21%. It also notes that five-year TSH measurements were available for only 39.7% of eligible individuals. (LLM, conf=0.86)

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  • Depression is one of the most common comorbidities, accounting for persistent symptoms of ill health despite treatment of hypothyroidism.

    “Depression is one of the most common comorbidities, accounting for persistent symptoms of ill health despite treatment of hypothyroidism.7”

    From Hypothyroidism (2024) · cites this paper as [7]

    In “Clinical Data Among Individuals Prescribed Levothyroxine” (page unavailable), depression was among the most common recorded symptoms in the 60 days before treatment, at 5.8%. The paper does not establish that depression accounts for persistent ill health despite hypothyroidism treatment; its discussion of depression at five years concerns the likelihood of overtreatment, not persistent symptoms. (LLM, conf=0.84)

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  • Nine studies over nearly 30 years across five different countries show that only 50%-70% of patients prescribed levothyroxine maintain serum TSH within reference range.

    “nine studies over nearly 30 years across five different countries show that only 50% -70% of patients prescribed levothyroxine maintain serum TSH within reference range. 20,30 -34”

    From Use of liothyronine (T3) in hypothyroidism: Joint British Thyroid Association/Society for endocrinology consensus statement (2023) · cites this paper as [20]

    The section “Thyrotropin Levels After Initiation of Levothyroxine Therapy” reports percentages with low and elevated TSH after treatment; those figures imply that roughly 59%–63% of measured patients had TSH between 0.5 and 5.0 mIU/L at the reported time points. It does not report a synthesis of nine studies spanning nearly 30 years and five countries, and its follow-up measurements do not establish that patients maintained TSH in range continuously. No page number was provided in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.79)

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  • Most patients treated with LT4 in the last two decades had subclinical hypothyroidism (median TSH before treatment 6.8 to 7.9 mU/L).

    “Epidemiological data (summarized above) demonstrate most patients treated with LT4 in the last two decades had subclinical hypothyroidism (their median TSH before treatment was 6.8 to 7.9 mU/L).”

    From T4+T3 Combination Therapy: An Unsolved Problem of Increasing Magnitude and Complexity (2021) · cites this paper as [27]

    The Prescribing Patterns section reports that the annual median TSH before levothyroxine initiation fell from 8.7 to 7.9 mIU/L between 2001 and 2009, not from 6.8 to 7.9 over two decades. The Discussion reports that most patients initiated treatment with TSH at or below 10.0 mIU/L and that normal FT4 values in a measured subset were consistent with subclinical hypothyroidism, but it does not establish that most treated patients had that diagnosis. (LLM, conf=0.86)

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Cites

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Research works printed but not linked: 9

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Authors
Taylor, P. N., Iqbal, A., Minassian, C., Sayers, A., Draman, M. S., Greenwood, R., Hamilton, W., Okosieme, O., Panicker, V., Thomas, S. L., & Dayan, C.
Affiliations
  • University of Bristol (GB)
  • London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
  • Cardiff University (GB)
  • National Health Service (GB)
  • University of Exeter (GB)
  • Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital (AU)
Corresponding author
Taylor, Peter N.
Venue
JAMA Internal Medicine
Published
2014-01-01
Volume
174
Issue
1
Pages
32
ISSN
2168-6106 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2023846971
Cited by
300
References
28
Citations by year
2026: 10 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 25 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 41 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 30 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 25 · 2016: 22 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 1
FWCI
14.16
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • JAMA Internal Medicine (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion)
  • Open Research Exeter (University of Exeter) (submittedVersion)
  • Explore Bristol Research (submittedVersion)
Funders
Medical Research Council
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Thyroid Disorders and Treatments
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Thyroid and Parathyroid Surgery
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Thyroid Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
Keywords
subclinical hypothyroidism, overtreatment, thyroid function tests, older adults, cardiovascular risk factors, prescribing trends, Clinical Practice Research Datalink, United Kingdom, United States
MeSH terms
Aged, Drug Therapy, Female, United Kingdom, Humans, Hypothyroidism, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Thyrotropin, Thyroxine, Cohort Studies, Odds Ratio, Treatment Outcome, Risk Assessment

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