Detecting and Remediating Harmful Data Shifts for the Responsible Deployment of Clinical AI Models
Open accessAbstract
Importance: Clinical artificial intelligence (AI) systems are susceptible to performance degradation due to data shifts, which can lead to erroneous predictions and potential patient harm. Proactively detecting and mitigating these shifts is crucial for maintaining AI effectiveness and safety in clinical practice. Objectives: To develop and evaluate a proactive, label-agnostic monitoring pipeline to detect and mitigate harmful data shifts in clinical AI systems and to assess the use of transfer learning and continual learning strategies in maintaining model performance. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study was conducted using electronic health record data for admissions to general internal medicine wards of 7 large hospitals (5 academic and 2 community) in Toronto, Canada, between January 1, 2010, to August 31, 2020. Inpatients (aged ≥18 years) with a hospital stay of at least 24 hours were included. Data analysis was performed from January to August 2022. Exposures: Data shifts due to changes in hospital type, critical laboratory assays, patient demographics, admission type, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was predictive performance for all-cause in-hospital mortality within the next 2 weeks, evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). Data shifts were detected using a label-agnostic monitoring pipeline employing a black box shift estimator with maximum mean discrepancy testing. Results: Data were available for 143 049 adult inpatients (mean [SD] age, 67.8 [19.6] years; 50.7% female). Significant data shifts were detected as a result of changes in younger age groups and admissions from nursing homes and acute care centers, transferring from community to academic hospitals, and changes in brain natriuretic peptide and D-dimer. Transfer learning improved model performance of community hospitals in a hospital type-dependent manner (Delta AUROC [SD], 0.05 [0.03]; Delta AUPRC [SD], 0.06 [0.04]). During the COVID-19 pandemic, drift-triggered continual learning improved overall model performance (Delta AUROC [SD], 0.44 [0.02]; P = .007, Mann-Whitney U test). Conclusions and Relevance: In this prognostic study, a proactive, label-agnostic monitoring pipeline detected harmful data shifts for a clinical AI system predicting in-hospital mortality. Transfer learning and drift-triggered continual learning strategies mitigated performance degradation, maintaining model performance across health care settings. These findings suggest that the approach used here may ensure the robust and equitable deployment of clinical AI models. Future research should explore the generalizability of this framework across diverse clinical domains, data modalities, and longer deployment periods to further validate its effectiveness.
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These frameworks primarily focus on evidence generation at the point of evaluation and provide limited guidance on how performance degradation should be detected and managed during routine clinical operation, particularly when outcome labels are delayed, incomplete, or influenced by the model's own use.
“However, these frameworks primarily focus on evidence generation at the point of evaluation and provide limited guidance on how performance degradation should be detected and managed during routine clinical operation, particularly when outcome labels are delayed, incomplete, or influenced by the model’s own use [25–27].”
From Validation is not enough: Longitudinal evidence of post-deployment fragility in clinical AI systems (2026) · cites this paper as [27]
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Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredLaboratory performance does not always translate directly to clinical practice.
“Laboratory performance does not always translate directly to clinical practice [142,143,144,145,146].”
From Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Productivity Enhancement to Creative Discovery (2025) · cites this paper as [142]
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- Authors
- Subasri, V., Krishnan, A., Kore, A., Dhalla, A., Pandya, D., Wang, B., Malkin, D., Razak, F., Verma, A. A., Goldenberg, A., & Dolatabadi, E.
- Affiliations
- University Health Network (CA)
- Vector Institute (CA)
- University of Toronto (CA)
- St. Michael's Hospital (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Subasri, Vallijah
- ORCID
- Venue
- JAMA Network Open
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2025-06-04
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- e2513685
- ISSN
- 2574-3805 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC12138723
- OpenAlex
- W4411025380
- Cited by
- 87
- References
- 75
- Citations by year
- 2026: 75 · 2025: 12
- FWCI
- 34.90
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- JAMA Network Open (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Canadian Institutes of Health Research
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Keywords
- clinical AI, in-hospital mortality prediction, maximum mean discrepancy, transfer learning, continual learning, hospital type, COVID-19 pandemic, electronic health records, model drift, patient safety, internal medicine ward, brain natriuretic peptide, D-dimer, nursing home admission, academic vs community hospitals
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Artificial Intelligence, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Ontario, Hospital Mortality, Electronic Health Records
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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