Artificial intelligence in support of the circular economy: ethical considerations and a path forward
Open accessAbstract
The world’s current model for economic development is unsustainable. It encourages high levels of resource extraction, consumption, and waste that undermine positive environmental outcomes. Transitioning to a circular economy (CE) model of development has been proposed as a sustainable alternative. Artificial intelligence (AI) is a crucial enabler for CE. It can aid in designing robust and sustainable products, facilitate new circular business models, and support the broader infrastructures needed to scale circularity. However, to date, considerations of the ethical implications of using AI to achieve a transition to CE have been limited. This article addresses this gap. It outlines how AI is and can be used to transition towards CE, analyzes the ethical risks associated with using AI for this purpose, and supports some recommendations to policymakers and industry on how to minimise these risks.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This article argues that AI is a crucial enabler of the circular economy (CE) but that its use for CE raises under-examined ethical risks around privacy, bias, inequality, and epistemological over-simplification. It proposes micro-, meso-, and macro-level policy recommendations to promote an ethical “AI4CE.”
Key findings
- AI can support CE by helping design and maintain circular products (e.g., “Accelerated Metallurgy,” digital twins, Apple’s on-device ML for battery charging) and by facilitating circular businesses through dynamic pricing, AI-enabled sorting, and energy optimisation; Apple’s Daisy robot can “take apart up to 200 iPhone devices per hour,” and DeepMind’s data-centre cooling system reduced Google’s cooling energy bill by 40%.
- The paper identifies four main ethical risk areas: data privacy (e.g., IoT-tracked shoes revealing geospatial data; smart meters, over 30% of UK homes/small businesses by 2020, enabling inferences about behaviour), algorithmic bias (e.g., Uber drivers in Boston “twice as likely to cancel an accepted ride” for African American-sounding names; SAT prep pricing where Asians were almost twice as likely to be offered higher prices), economic inequality/exclusion (McKinsey estimate: leading countries could capture 20–25% net AI benefits vs. 5–15% for Global South; UK internet use 99% among 16–44s vs. 54% among 75+), and epistemological risks (computing power to train state-of-the-art models rose over 300,000 times from 2012 to 2018; data centres could use 13% of world electricity by 2030 vs. 1% in 2010).
- CE progress remains limited: only 8.6% of the world economy was circular in 2020, down from 9.1% in 2018; resource extraction has tripled globally over 50 years, with demand projected to require more than two planets’ worth of resources by 2030 and three by 2050; roughly one-third of food is wasted.
- Recommendations include micro-level privacy-enhancing technologies and AI auditing, meso-level open source, reskilling, and inclusive design, and macro-level government research funding (e.g., UKRI’s £30 million CE research programme) plus guidance and standards.
Methods
- Conceptual and normative ethical analysis, combined with a review of CE literature, AI use cases, policy documents, and secondary examples; no empirical sample, experiment, or primary data collection is reported.
- The paper first outlines CE and its criticisms, then assesses how AI can aid CE, analyses ethical risks, and derives policy recommendations at micro, meso, and macro levels.
- Analysis draws on cited academic, industry, and policy sources to illustrate benefits and harms rather than testing hypotheses statistically.
Limitations
- The paper states that CE lacks an agreed definition, that its social outcomes are unclear, and that its theoretical robustness has been questioned; it also notes that AI auditing is nascent, PETs for IoT are immature, open source is limited by structural inequalities, and governance must adapt to evolving scientific knowledge.
- Evident from the text: the analysis is conceptual and illustrative rather than a systematic empirical evaluation, and the proposed recommendations are not tested or validated.
- Evident from the text: the discussion centres on AI and complementary digital technologies, with examples drawn largely from Global North contexts, so coverage of other regions and implementation contexts is limited.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 52 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Interpretationreasoning
The use of AI for CE is not just a hypothetical consideration.
“Hence, it is not just a hypothetical consideration.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
AI can make precise inferences about individual behaviours, even through seemingly banal applications.
“This example is indicative of how AI can make precise inferences about individual behaviours, even through seemingly banal applications.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Matching algorithms can help connect buyers and sellers more effectively.
“Likewise, matching algorithms can help connect buyers and sellers more effectively (Gailhofer et al. 2021).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Gailhofer et al. 2021
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- Premisecitation
Academics, businesses, and policymakers are increasingly interested in applying AI technologies for CE initiatives.
“Second, there has been significant growth in the use of these technologies in recent years (The State of AI in 2021 2021), with academics, businesses, and policymakers increasingly interested in applying these technologies for CE initiatives (Ellen MacArthur Foundation and Google 2019).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ellen MacArthur Foundation and Google 2019
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- Interpretationcitation
The transition towards circularity is still nascent.
“These initiatives are promising, but the transition towards circularity is still nascent.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Interpretationreasoning
Potential CE benefits could be undermined by pernicious uses of these data, such as for unwanted targeted advertising or punitive behaviours against customers not following regimented policies.
“Potential CE benefits could be undermined by pernicious uses of these data, such as for unwanted targeted advertising or punitive behaviours against customers not following regimented policies, like black-box trackers on cars for specifically profiled drivers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If data-intensive circular businesses require electricity consumption at predicted levels, many environmental aspirations of the circular economy could be undermined.
“If data-intensive circular businesses require electricity consumption at this level, then many of the environmental aspirations of the circular economy could be undermined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
AI can help ensure that the resources underpinning circular businesses are themselves sustainable, for example by optimising energy use in data centres.
“For instance, in 2016, DeepMind developed an AI system that tuned Google data centres' cooling systems based on the weather and other factors, thus reducing the cooling energy bill by 40% (Jones 2018).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Jones 2018 source
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- Interpretationnone given
Patterns in energy usage can point to when individuals wake up, go to sleep, go to work, are away, have guests over, amongst many other things.
“While energy data may not seem sensitive, patterns in energy usage can point to when individuals wake up, go to sleep, go to work, are away, have guests over, amongst many other things.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The proliferation of tracking and measurement devices, such as IoT, into personal spaces is often a prerequisite for AI-powered CE products.
“the proliferation of tracking and measurement devices, such as IoT, into personal spaces is often a prerequisite for AI-powered CE products.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Bressanelli et al. 2018 source
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- cites Ramadoss et al. 2018
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- Interpretationcitation
AI-powered digital twins can help study product performance over time and generate possible improvements, ensuring longevity.
“For example, AI-powered digital twins-virtual models that accurately reflect physical objects-can help study performance over time and generate possible improvements (What Is a Digital Twin? n.d.2022).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
Dynamic pricing algorithms can analyse many variables to calibrate price points efficiently for circular products.
“Dynamic pricing algorithms could be used to analyse many variables that should be considered in pricing, such as age of the product, wear and tear, and market conditions to calibrate pricepoints efficiently.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Of all digital tools and technologies, those that utilise AI have the most transformational potential for CE.
“These features mean that of all digital tools and technologies, those that utilise AI have the most transformational potential for CE; for instance, through facilitating widespread smart automation or breakthroughs in fundamental science that could scale CE solutions exponentially.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Without proper consideration or ethical scrutiny, the use of AI for CE could undermine its utility on account of being harmful and rejected by society.
“However, without proper consideration or ethical scrutiny, the use of these technologies could undermine their utility on account of being harmful and rejected by society (Floridi et al. 2020).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Floridi et al. 2020
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- Premisecitation
Robots integrated into disassembly lines can retrieve and recycle valuable and hazardous materials at the end of a product's lifecycle.
“Similarly, in the electronic waste sector, robots are being integrated into disassembly lines to retrieve and recycle valuable and hazardous materials at the end of a product's lifecycle (Renteria and Alvarezde-los-Mozos 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Renteria and Alvarezde-los-Mozos 2019
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- Interpretationcitation
Large transnational corporations leading the discourse on and investments in CE initiatives create a risk of co-option that could undermine market competition and consumer choice.
“Large transnational corporations leading the discourse on, and investments in, CE initiatives also create a risk of co-option, whereby powerful actors that are already prospering because of the current developmental model set the standards for CE, while also securing a position of capital accumulation within this new model (Mah 2021;Ponte 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationnone given
Geospatial data from tracking-enabled CE devices can act as a proxy for many other pieces of information about an individual, including their work, hobbies, and other behavioural patterns.
“While this model sought to minimise environmental waste, it did so at the cost of revealing an individual's geospatial data, which can act as a proxy for many other pieces of information about an individual, including their work, hobbies, and other behavioural patterns.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
There has been significant growth in the use of AI technologies in recent years.
“Second, there has been significant growth in the use of these technologies in recent years (The State of AI in 2021 2021), with academics, businesses, and policymakers increasingly interested in applying these technologies for CE initiatives (Ellen MacArthur Foundation and Google 2019).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites The State of AI in 2021 2021
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- Interpretationcitation
Significant progress still needs to be made if a meaningful circular transition is to take place.
“This indicates that significant progress still needs to be made if a meaningful circular transition is to take place.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The lack of theoretical robustness of the CE concept could lead organisations to appropriate the term without overhauling business practices in a meaningful way.
“Perhaps, most problematically, the lack of theoretical robustness of the CE concept could lead organisations to appropriate the term without overhauling business practices in a meaningful way.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
AI can be used to develop innovative circular business models, such as AI-based dynamic pricing.
“First, AI can be used to develop innovative circular business models, like AI-based dynamic pricing.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
AI technologies pose unique ethical risks to fundamental rights that deserve special attention.
“At the same time, these novel features mean that AI technologies pose unique ethical risks to fundamental rights that deserve special attention (Floridi and Taddeo 2016;Tsamados et al. 2021).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationcitation
Collecting geospatial data from circular products for subsequent analysis through AI applications poses a significant risk to public trust.
“The responses to this engagement exercise indicate that collecting geospatial data from circular products for subsequent analysis through AI applications pose a significant risk to public trust.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
AI is a crucial enabler for the circular economy.
“Artificial intelligence (AI) is a crucial enabler for CE.”
- Also stated in: § 3 AI and CE · plain
“AI is a key enabler of CE”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Preston 2012
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- Also stated in: § 3 AI and CE · plain
- Interpretationreasoning
AI can support the design, development, and maintenance of circular products.
“AI can support the design, development, and maintenance of circular products.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
AI-powered image recognition can identify and differentiate waste, minimising resource loss.
“AI-powered image recognition can identify and differentiate waste, minimising resource loss.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Moore 2021
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- Interpretationcitation
AI can help predict how materials change over time, including durability and potential toxicity.
“AI could also help predict how materials change over time, including considerations of durability and potential toxicity of materials (Ellen MacArthur Foundation and Google 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ellen MacArthur Foundation and Google 2019
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- Interpretationreasoning
Redressing biases might become extremely challenging because of the proliferation of AI-as-a-service and complex allocation of responsibilities.
“Additionally, because of the proliferation of AI-as-a-service-off the shelf AI systems that organisations can buy-and due to the complex allocation of responsibilities, redressing these biases might become extremely challenging.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Tailored pricing and advertising of circular products could include a variable that correlates with a protected characteristic and inadvertently lead to indirect discrimination.
“As such, it is not unreasonable to imagine tailored pricing and advertising of circular products including a variable that correlates with a protected characteristic and inadvertently leads to indirect discrimination (e.g. the inclusion of consumer's ZIP code as a variable, so as to minimise transport emissions).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
When disposed, a highly specialised plastic fork may require multiple processes and machines for its recycling.
“the fork may require multiple processes and machines for its recycling(Murray et al. 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Murray et al. 2017 source
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- Interpretationreasoning
Using AI to fulfil a narrow set of CE ambitions could come at the cost of other environmental priorities.
“Consequently, using AI to fulfil a narrow set of CE ambitions could come at the cost of other environmental priorities.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The application of AI may widen the digital divide between nations rather than close it.
“Thus, the application of AI may widen the digital divide between nations rather than close it.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Notes from the AI Frontier 2018
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- Rests on an assumption: Global South countries have fewer resources to promote an AI-powered circular transition.
- Premisecitation
Data security and liability risks are heightened within a highly interoperable ecosystem where one compromised node could impact many others.
“Data security and liability risks are heightened within a highly interoperable ecosystem where one compromised node could impact many others (Allam and Dhunny 2019;Luthra and Mangla 2018), with the effects of security breaches especially damaging in these complex and interdependent systems involving multiple stakeholders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
PETs can minimise the risks associated with data collection from devices, including IoT-embedded CE products, and subsequent inferences made by AI technologies.
“PETs can minimise the risks associated with data collection from devices, including IoTembedded CE products, and subsequent inferences made by AI technologies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
AI auditing can mitigate the risk of harmful algorithmic bias in the CE.
“AI auditing can mitigate the risk of harmful algorithmic bias in the CE, such as that posed by circular business models that incorporate automated dynamic pricing.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Many existing experiments with automated dynamic pricing and algorithmic profiling in the wider economy have led to unfair or discriminatory outcomes.
“However, many existing experiments with automated dynamic pricing and algorithmic profiling in the wider economy have led to unfair or discriminatory outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
AI technologies for CE could have negative structural impacts.
“On top of the direct harms to individuals from AI systems for CE, these technologies could also have negative structural impacts.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Without a wider restructuring of the AI value chain, other risks from simply exporting AI could materialise, such as the use of harmfully biased or unrobust models.
“Indeed, without a wider restructuring of the AI value chain that empowers high value-added tasks being completed in the Global South, other risks from simply exporting AI could materialise, such as the use of harmfully biased or unrobust models on account of deployment in a context the system was not trained for (Danks and London 2017).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Danks and London 2017
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- Interpretationreasoning
The potential exacerbation of domestic inequalities from using AI in support of CE is an important ethical consideration.
“While the use of AI in support of CE would not be entirely to blame for these domestic inequalities-which are already materialising due to the development and deployment of other digital technologies-the potential exacerbation of these inequalities from using AI in support of CE is an important ethical consideration.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Risks could materialise even if protected characteristics are avoided, due to the potential for other attributes to act as proxies.
“On top of this, risks could materialise even if protected characteristics, like race or gender, are avoided, due to the potential for other attributes to act as proxies, as was seen in the above example.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
A shift from manufacturing to design roles may result in further geographic inequality in countries like the U.S.
“In countries like the U.S., where nearly 50% of digital service jobs exist in only ten metropolitan areas, a shift from manufacturing to design roles may result in further geographic inequality (Muro 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Muro 2020
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- Premisecitation
Data collection, analysis, and storage processes in AI development require much computational power, which consumes enormous amounts of energy.
“Likewise, data collection, analysis, and storage processes in AI development require much computational power, which consumes enormous amounts of energy (Cowls et al. 2021;Kouhizadeh et al. 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationcitation
Merely relying on AI exports to the Global South for a CE transition could further exacerbate problematic dependency-agency issues.
“Accordingly, merely relying on AI exports to the Global South for a CE transition could further exacerbate many problematic dependency-agency issues that characterise current AI dynamics (Weber 2017), and which have long been criticised by international development scholars (Frank 1986).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Weber 2017 source
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- cites Frank 1986
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- Interpretationreasoning
Given that AI standardises and scales specific decisions, the risk associated with using these systems is particularly high, if trade-offs are not adequately understood and considered.
“In fact, given that AI standardises and scales specific decisions, the risk associated with using these systems is particularly high, if trade-offs are not adequately understood and considered.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
An open source approach offers possible mitigation for the international geographic inequalities that currently characterise the use of AI in the CE.
“An open source approach offers possible mitigation for the international geographic inequalities that currently characterise the use of AI in the CE.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The rapid development and manufacturing of advanced machinery for CE will lead to extensive use of resources, causing emissions and pollution.
“The rapid development and manufacturing of advanced machinery for CE will lead to extensive use of resources, causing emissions and pollution (Blunck et al. 2019).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Blunck et al. 2019
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- Interpretationreasoning
Applying dynamic pricing to CE poses a significant ethical risk.
“These example shows how harmful biases can creep into dynamic pricing business models and suggest that applying this model to CE poses a significant ethical risk.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 28
- May combine two claims. 18
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InterpretationreasoningWithout AI, it would be extremely difficult to make sense of the data needed for CE and use them to aid in designing and maintaining products, supporting circular businesses, or achieving a high degree of circularity.
“At the same time, without AI, it would be extremely difficult to make sense of these data and use them to aid in designing and maintaining products, supporting circular businesses, or achieving a high degree of circularity in the economy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationAI can help design new materials to substitute unsustainable resources, such as harmful chemicals, enhancing durability and easing recycling.
“Similarly, AI can help design new materials to substitute unsustainable resources, such as harmful chemicals.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Gailhofer et al. 2021
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe unethical use of AI for CE presents several plausible risks, including privacy risks.
“The unethical use of AI presents several plausible risks, as we detail in the remainder of this section.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Data collection and analysis for CE could exacerbate privacy risks.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenAI can aid in designing robust and sustainable products.
“It can aid in designing robust and sustainable products, facilitate new circular business models, and support the broader infrastructures needed to scale circularity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationAI can analyse data collected over a product's lifecycle to make real-time efficiency improvements or determine whether a returned product should be reused, remanufactured, or recycled.
“More generally, AI can be used to analyse data collected over a product's lifecycle to either make real-time efficiency improvements or to determine whether a returned product should be reused, remanufactured, or recycled (Blunck et al. 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Blunck et al. 2019
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May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe world's current model for economic development is unsustainable because it encourages high levels of resource extraction, consumption, and waste that undermine positive environmental outcomes.
“The world's current model for economic development is unsustainable.It encourages high levels of resource extraction, consumption, and waste that undermine positive environmental outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Oberle et al. 2019
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- cites Osborne 2006
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PremisecitationOnly 8.6% of the world economy was circular in 2020, a decline from 9.1% in 2018.
“Despite predictions that the circular economy will replace the linear economy by 2029 (Hippold 2019), a 2022 report showed that only 8.6% of the world economy was circular in 2020, which is, in fact, a decline from 2018, when 9.1% of the global economy was circular (de Wit and Haigh 2022) 6 .”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites de Wit and Haigh 2022
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- cites Hippold 2019
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PremisecitationAI does not function in a vacuum; AI systems are typically developed and deployed in tandem with other digital technologies.
“However, it is important to acknowledge from the outset that AI does not function in a vacuum; AI systems are typically developed and deployed in tandem with other digital technologies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe use of AI in support of CE tacitly encourages increased data collection through allowing data analysis capabilities to be scaled, in turn threatening consumer privacy.
“Accordingly, the use of AI in support of CE tacitly encourages increased data collection through allowing data analysis capabilities to be scaled, in turn threatening consumer privacy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenAI can support the broader infrastructures needed to scale circularity.
“It can aid in designing robust and sustainable products, facilitate new circular business models, and support the broader infrastructures needed to scale circularity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationTo date, considerations of the ethical implications of using AI to achieve a transition to CE have been limited, and the potential harms from using AI for CE have not been comprehensively analysed.
“However, to date, considerations of the ethical implications of using AI to achieve a transition to CE have been limited.”
- Also stated in: § 1 Introduction: artificial intelligence, circular economy, and their challenges · plain
“By contrast, the potential for harms to emerge from using AI to achieve this circular transition has not been comprehensively analysed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Acerbi et al. 2021 source
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- Also stated in: § 1 Introduction: artificial intelligence, circular economy, and their challenges · plain
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationAI can support designers by suggesting initial designs for eco-friendly products or adjusting designs based on environmental parameters and/or considerations of other actors in the circular value chain.
“AI can support designers by suggesting initial designs for eco-friendly products or adjusting designs based on environmental parameters and/or considerations of other actors in the circular value chain (Acerbi et al. 2021;Gailhofer et al. 2021).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Acerbi et al. 2021 source
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- cites Gailhofer et al. 2021
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PremisecitationA public engagement exercise by the Geospatial Commission revealed that individuals were concerned that geospatial data are not being used in their best interests, that they could not control the use of these data meaningfully, and that there were real risks of the data being misused or breached.
“A recent public engagement exercise by the Geospatial Commissionan expert committee housed within the UK Government's Cabinet Office-revealed that individuals were concerned that geospatial data are not being used in their best interests, that they could not control the use of these data meaningfully, and that there were real risks of the data being misused or breached (Maxwell et al. 2021).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Maxwell et al. 2021
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May combine two claims.
PremisecitationCircularity can hardly be achieved without collaboration, posing a need for cooperative networks, and data and interoperable systems are critical to this end.
“A single actor does not”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenAI can facilitate new circular business models.
“It can aid in designing robust and sustainable products, facilitate new circular business models, and support the broader infrastructures needed to scale circularity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Premisenone givenAI technologies have novel features, including an ability to process vast amounts of data, autonomously or semi-autonomously, to make inferences, predictions, decisions, or generate content.
“First, AI technologies have several novel features, including an ability to process vast amounts of data, autonomously or semi-autonomously, to make inferences, predictions, decisions, or to generate content.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningFor AI-powered CE products to be designed inclusively, those creating the systems must be reflective of a society's diversity.
“More generally, for AI-powered CE products to be designed inclusively, those creating the systems must be reflective of a society's diversity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Many AI systems are (semi-)autonomous and opaque, making it more difficult to detect and rectify issues ex-post.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningPositive social and environmental outcomes could be undermined by a disjointed, uneven, or misguided application of AI in transitioning to a circular economy.
“Moreover, positive social and environmental outcomes could be undermined by a disjointed, uneven, or misguided application of AI in transitioning to a circular economy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: CE offers an alternative vision to the current linear economic model.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningUsing AI to develop and maintain circular products and businesses may pose significant challenges.
“Using AI to develop and maintain circular products and businesses may pose significant challenges.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: CE offers an alternative vision to the current linear economic model.
- Rests on an assumption: There has been little scrutiny of the ethical consequences of using AI to transition to CE and how to address potential risks.
- Rests on an assumption: AI will be crucial to realising the transition to CE.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThese risks can be minimised and, in some cases, avoided altogether.
“These risks can be minimised and, in some cases, avoided altogether.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: CE offers an alternative vision to the current linear economic model.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningFailing to correct the diversity gap will lead to the development of AI products that only work well for specific demographic groups.
“Failing to do so will lead to the development of AI products that only work well for specific demographic groups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Many AI systems are (semi-)autonomous and opaque, making it more difficult to detect and rectify issues ex-post.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningPrivacy, equality, and well-being could all be harmed through the unethical use of AI.
“Privacy, equality, and well-being could all be harmed through the unethical use of AI.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: CE offers an alternative vision to the current linear economic model.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningOpen source can provide a promising first step for reducing global inequalities, but it is necessary to recognise the limited change it can make within wider power structures.
“Accordingly, open source can provide a promising first step for reducing global inequalities, but it is necessary to recognise the limited change it can make within wider power structures.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe resultant shift would be a polarisation in the types of occupations available, thus leading to wage inequality.
“The resultant shift would be a polarisation in the types of occupations available, thus leading to wage inequality (Lawrence et al. 2017).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lawrence et al. 2017
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PremisecitationBamboo chopsticks are less energetically expensive than a highly specialised plastic fork.
“For example, bamboo chopsticks are less energetically expensive than a highly specialised plastic fork.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Murray et al. 2017 source
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf left unaddressed, these risks could affect the potential successful adoption of a connected circular economy or make its implementation more problematic than it needs to be through undermining public trust.
“If left unaddressed, these risks could affect the potential successful adoption of a connected circular economy or make its implementation more problematic than it needs to be through undermining public trust.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenAI has novel features including an ability to process vast amounts of data, autonomously or semi-autonomously, and to make inferences, predictions, decisions, or to generate content.
“the novel features of AI which include (i) an ability to process vast amounts of data, (ii) autonomously or semi-autonomously, and (iii) to make inferences, predictions, decisions, or to generate content.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationWhen disposed, bamboo chopsticks can be easily reassimilated into nature through bio-degradation.
“the bamboo chopsticks can be easily reassimilated into nature through bio-degradation”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Murray et al. 2017 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenAdopting AI ethics best practices within organisations, such as using privacy-enhancing technologies and AI ethics-based auditing, will help mitigate potential risks from privacy infringements and harmful biases.
“At the micro-level, adopting AI ethics best practices within organisations, such as using privacy-enhancing technologies and AI ethics-based auditing, will help mitigate potential risks from privacy infringements and harmful biases.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenPromoting open source, industry-wide collaboration on reskilling, and supporting inclusive design could help minimise the exacerbation of social and economic inequalities, both internationally and domestically.
“At the meso-level, the promotion of open source, industry-wide collaboration on reskilling, and supporting inclusive design, could help minimise the exacerbation of social and economic inequalities, both internationally and domestically.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThis figure does not necessarily suggest that CE initiatives are shrinking in real terms.
“One important caveat is that this does not necessarily suggest that CE initiatives are shrinking in real terms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningThe risk is that governance policies may standardise the wrong trade-offs and thus scale harms.
“The risk here is that governance policies may standardise the wrong trade-offs and thus scale harms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenGovernments can help address some epistemological questions associated with using AI for CE by providing further funding for research and developing guidance and standards collaboratively.
“At the macro-level, governments can help to address some of the epistemological questions associated with using AI for CE by providing further funding for research and developing guidance and standards collaboratively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningAdopting these recommendations would leverage the good potential of AI to foster CE.
“Adopting these recommendations would leverage the good potential of AI to foster CE.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningCE's reduction of linear consumption will change the labour structure from creating products to maintaining products-as-a-service, leading to a greater emphasis on higher skilled work and a lesser emphasis on factory floor product creation.
“CE's reduction of linear consumption will change the labour structure from creating products to maintaining products-as-a-service.This will mean a greater emphasis on higher skilled work designing and maintaining products, and a lesser emphasis on factory floor product creation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationOne may over-simplify the ecosystem, adopting a reductionist approach, formalising what cannot be reduced to formulae, and using mathematical modelling in which crucial variables are removed.
“The risk is that one may over-simplify the ecosystem, adopting a reductionist approach, formalising what cannot be reduced to formulae, and using mathematical modelling in which crucial variables are removed (Murray et al. 2017).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Murray et al. 2017 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: Nature is a complex and balanced ecosystem.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThis figure may be indicative of higher levels of overall consumption.
“Instead, this figure may be indicative of higher levels of overall consumption.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAlgorithmic profiling is problematic.
“This is not to say that algorithmic profiling is not problematic.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sweeney 2013 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningAI and CE can be mutually supportive.
“AI and CE can be mutually supportive”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
Data collection and analysis for CE could exacerbate privacy risks.
“However, this data collection and analysis could also exacerbate privacy risks.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Nature is a complex and balanced ecosystem.
“Nature is a complex and balanced ecosystem.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Global South countries have fewer resources to promote an AI-powered circular transition.
“Global South countries have fewer resources to promote an AI-powered circular transition.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The field of AI auditing is still relatively nascent.
“It is important to stress that the field of AI auditing is still relatively nascent, meaning research is necessary for determining which framework is appropriate for a specific product or organisation.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Current reskilling initiatives are left mainly to individual organisations and are inadequate for managing longer term occupational shifts.
“Current reskilling initiatives are left mainly to individual organisations; these initiatives can help manage immediate business needs but are inadequate for managing longer term occupational shifts, due to their frequent disconnect and parochial focus.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Many AI systems are (semi-)autonomous and opaque, making it more difficult to detect and rectify issues ex-post.
“While this is true for all digital technologies, it is particularly important for AI, given that many systems are (semi-)autonomous and opaque, making it more difficult to detect and rectify issues ex-post.”
The paper relies on this without support.
CE offers an alternative vision to the current linear economic model.
“CE offers an alternative vision to the current linear economic model.”
The paper relies on this without support.
There has been little scrutiny of the ethical consequences of using AI to transition to CE and how to address potential risks.
“However, there has been little scrutiny of the ethical consequences of using AI to transition to CE and how to address potential risks.”
The paper relies on this without support.
AI will be crucial to realising the transition to CE.
“AI will be crucial to realising this transition.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The 3Rs are typically adopted, though many scholars go further through adding other 'Rs' pertaining to CE behaviours.
“The 3Rs are typically adopted, though many scholars go further through adding other 'Rs' pertaining to CE behaviours.”
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Velpandian, M., & Basu, S. (2025) · Indian Chemical Engineer · doi:10.1080/00194506.2024.2444394 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Developing the HAKI model as a conceptual framework for AI-assisted academic research
Shahini, A. (2026) · Discover Education · doi:10.1007/s44217-026-02041-4
- Authors
- Roberts, H., Zhang, J., Bariach, B., Cowls, J., Gilburt, B., Juneja, P., Tsamados, A., Ziosi, M., Taddeo, M., & Floridi, L.
- Affiliations
- Peking University (CN)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Floridi, Luciano
- ORCID
- Venue
- AI & SOCIETY
- Published
- 2022-11-28
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1451-1464
- ISSN
- 0951-5666 (ISSN-L)
- 1435-5655
- OpenAlex
- W4310248850
- Semantic Scholar
- b88f63212029a72dc1bf2848747a7d050c93f80c
- Cited by
- 123
- References
- 71
- Citations by year
- 2026: 41 · 2025: 43 · 2024: 20 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 23.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- AI & Society (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
- PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- University of Oxford
- European Commission
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Safety Research › Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Strategy and Management › Sustainable Supply Chain Management
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
- Keywords
- artificial intelligence, circular economy, AI ethics, ethical risks, sustainable product design, circular business models, resource extraction, waste reduction, sustainable development, policy recommendations
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