The DOI matches its Crossref record; 92 of the 100 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 4 of the 61 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Scientists’ warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis
Open accessAbstract
Freshwater ecosystems provide irreplaceable services for both nature and society. The quality and quantity of freshwater affect biogeochemical processes and ecological dynamics that determine biodiversity, ecosystem productivity, and human health and welfare at local, regional and global scales. Freshwater ecosystems and their associated riparian habitats are amongst the most biologically diverse on Earth, and have inestimable economic, health, cultural, scientific and educational values. Yet human impacts to lakes, rivers, streams, wetlands and groundwater are dramatically reducing biodiversity and robbing critical natural resources and services from current and future generations. Freshwater biodiversity is declining rapidly on every continent and in every major river basin on Earth, and this degradation is occurring more rapidly than in terrestrial ecosystems. Currently, about one third of all global freshwater discharges pass through human agricultural, industrial or urban infrastructure. About one fifth of the Earth's arable land is now already equipped for irrigation, including all the most productive lands, and this proportion is projected to surpass one third by midcentury to feed the rapidly expanding populations of humans and commensal species, especially poultry and ruminant livestock. Less than one fifth of the world's preindustrial freshwater wetlands remain, and this proportion is projected to decline to under one tenth by midcentury, with imminent threats from water transfer megaprojects in Brazil and India, and coastal wetland drainage megaprojects in China. The Living Planet Index for freshwater vertebrate populations has declined to just one third that of 1970, and is projected to sink below one fifth by midcentury. A linear model of global economic expansion yields the chilling prediction that human utilization of critical freshwater resources will approach one half of the Earth's total capacity by midcentury. Although the magnitude and growth of the human freshwater footprint are greater than is generally understood by policy makers, the news media, or the general public, slowing and reversing dramatic losses of freshwater species and ecosystems is still possible. We recommend a set of urgent policy actions that promote clean water, conserve watershed services, and restore freshwater ecosystems and their vital services. Effective management of freshwater resources and ecosystems must be ranked amongst humanity's highest priorities.
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Claims the paper makes
35 Not checked yet · 6 Own result · 5 Own interpretation · 5 No basis given · 4 Sources not found · 1 Supported · 1 Partly supported · accuracy not yet measured
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Freshwater biodiversity is declining rapidly on every continent and in every major river basin on Earth, and this degradation is occurring more rapidly than in terrestrial ecosystems.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Rates in the decline of both freshwater and terrestrial groups are also closely associated with extent of wetland loss (Fig. 1b).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“A linear model of global economic expansion yields the chilling prediction that human utilization of critical freshwater resources will approach one half of the Earth's total capacity by midcentury.”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“Such a linear model of global economic expansion yields the chilling prediction that human utilization of critical freshwater resources will approach and even exceed 50% of the Earth's natural supply by midcentury.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
- Rests on an assumption: If current practices continue, the past straight-line growth in human use of freshwater and land resources will persist.
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Measures of global freshwater withdrawals and total land area equipped for irrigation are rising faster than the human use of terrestrial ecological productivity (Fig. 1a).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Freshwater biodiversity is declining rapidly on every continent and in every major river basin on Earth, and this degradation is occurring more rapidly than in terrestrial ecosystems.”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · boosted
“Analysis of historical trends globally provided here shows that freshwaters are being depleted, and ecosystems degraded, even more rapidly than their terrestrial counterparts (Fig. 1; Table 1).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Turak et al. 2017 source
boostedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Also stated in: § Abstract · boosted
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Note freshwater utilization is now a stronger limiting factor on human populations than terrestrial utilization.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > CONCLUSION
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Note freshwater populations declined an estimated 81% from 1970 to 2012.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > CONCLUSION
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Loh et al. 2005 source
- Not checked yetcites WWF 2016
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The linear model projects global wetlands to disappear entirely by midcentury.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > CONCLUSION
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The human utilization of both global freshwater and terrestrial resources shows persistent and linear increases over the past half century.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Note rate of biodiversity decline is faster in freshwater than terrestrial systems, and occurring alongside reductions in Global Wetland Loss.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > CONCLUSION
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- It may state two separate claims as one. 33
- Probably not a substantial claim. 1
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“The largest imminent threats come from megaprojects designed to transfer water among river basins in Brazil and India (Shumilova et al. 2018), and to drain coastal wetlands in China (Cui et al. 2016).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Shumilova et al. 2018 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Global Scale Inventory (p. 7) identifies the São Francisco project in Brazil as under construction and says the Yettinahole diversion in India will damage a biodiversity hotspot. Impacts on Freshwater Ecosystems (p. 8) also describes expected harms from the Brazilian project. The paper does not rank these as the largest imminent threats. The coastal-wetlands claim is attributed to Cui et al., not this source. (LLM, conf=0.87)
- Supportedcites Cui et al. 2016 source
The Introduction describes reclamation as among the most widespread threats to coastal wetlands and reports approval to reclaim approximately 2,500 km² of China’s coastal wetlands during 2010–2020. This supports the China-specific, near-term threat for which Cui et al. is cited; the Brazil and India projects are attributed to a different source. (LLM, conf=0.86)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Sediment retention by dams leads to delta recession (Luo et al. 2017) and degraded coastal fisheries and tropical mangrove forests, indirectly affecting carbon storage that reduces greenhouse gas emissions in the latter case (Atwood et al. 2017).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Luo et al. 2017 source
Luo et al. is cited for the link between sediment retention by dams and delta recession; the fisheries, mangroves, and carbon-storage claims are attached to a different citation. The Abstract reports erosion of the Yangtze subaqueous delta after construction of the Three Gorges Dam and attributes it mainly to reduced river sediment discharge. The Discussion likewise predicts continued erosion as engineering retains more sediment. (LLM, conf=0.94)
- Supportedcites Atwood et al. 2017 source
The Atwood citation attaches to the mangrove-carbon point, not the preceding dam and delta claim. The Introduction states that mangroves store large amounts of soil carbon and that preventing emissions from the loss of those stocks can mitigate climate change. (LLM, conf=0.92)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
- Supported
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The species illustrated roughly represent the proportions of endangered freshwater vertebrates, with greater threats to fishes (a-c) than to tetrapods (c-f), and to Eurasian (a-c, f) than non-Eurasian (d-e) species”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > CONCLUSION
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The total volume of water planned for near-future diversion megaprojects is projected to exceed 1900 km 3 per year, representing an additional * 5% of total global surface freshwater flow (Shumilova et al. 2018).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Shumilova et al. 2018 source
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“About one fifth of the Earth's arable land is now already equipped for irrigation, including all the most productive lands, and this proportion is projected to surpass one third by midcentury to feed the rapidly expanding populations of humans and commensal species, especially poultry and ruminant livestock.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Scanlon et al. 2007; Ellis et al. 2010; Siebert et al. 2015
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Yet human impacts to lakes, rivers, streams, wetlands and groundwater are dramatically reducing biodiversity and robbing critical natural resources and services from current and future generations.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The more rapid increase in threats to freshwater than terrestrial ecosystems arises from the minute total volume of liquid freshwater on the Earth's surface, and from the critical roles that freshwaters serve in human economic systems (Barbier 2017).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Barbier 2017 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Domestic ruminant livestock (* 4 thousand millions globally) contribute 14.5% of all anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission, especially through the enteric fermentation by ruminants producing methane (Ripple et al. 2013).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Ripple et al. 2013 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The Living Planet Index for freshwater vertebrate populations has declined to just one third that of 1970, and is projected to sink below one fifth by midcentury.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Loh et al. 2005; WWF 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Lowering the number of ruminant livestock would have the co-benefits of improving freshwater conditions and mitigating climate change.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“megafauna (defined as fishes, amphibians, reptiles and mammals C 30 kg adult body weight) declined by 88%, with mega-fishes undergoing the largest declines (-94%, Carrizo et al. 2017;He et al. 2019).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Carrizo et al. 2017; He et al. 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Not matched
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“The Yangtze basin is among the most impacted of any large river on Earth, with the last citings of two species occurring in the 2000s; i.e., the Yangtze river dolphin Lipotes vexillifer (Turvey et al. 2007), and the Yangtze paddlefish Psephurus gladius (Zhang et al. 2009).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Global populations of domestic ruminants (cattle, sheep, and goats) (Ripple et al. 2013) poultry, and pigs (Bennett et al. 2018) used to feed the growing human population now exceed 100 million tons of carbon (Bar-On et al. 2018), and livestock populations are growing rapidly.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“The total biomass of all humans alive today constitutes approximately 60 million metric tons of carbon, which is slightly more than 10 times that of all the remaining wild mammals of the world (Smil 2011).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Smil 2011 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Agricultural practices also degrade the quality and ecological status of the freshwater ecosystems, with status improvements remaining slow and difficult long after environmental regulations have been put in place requiring such improvements (Destouni et al. 2017).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Destouni et al. 2017 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Worldwide, agriculture accounts for about 70% of all freshwater usage, compared to 20% for industry and 10% for domestic uses (FAO 2016).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites FAO 2016
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Withdrawals and diversions (Jaramillo and Destouni 2015) as well as agricultural expansion and intensification (Destouni et al. 2013) are main threats to freshwater availability and quality (Destouni and Jarsjo ¨2018), while fragmentation and flow regulation (Winemiller et al. 2016) are main threats to freshwater biodiversity by altering rivers, floodplain lakes, wetlands and estuaries.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Damages are seen in the total area of anthropogenic (urban and agricultural) modified landscapes worldwide, wetlands reduction, and amount of surface and subsurface flows that have been diminished or degraded (Gleeson et al. 2016).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Gleeson et al. 2016 source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Altered flow seasonality in rivers has led to less diverse fish assemblages, decreased inland fisheries production, less stable bird populations and lower riparian forest production (Jardine et al. 2015;Kingsford et al. 2017;Sabo et al. 2017).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Demands on global freshwaters continue to grow rapidly, with efforts to expand global food production by 50-70% before 2050 (Molden 2007;FAO 2011).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Molden 2007
- Not checked yetcites FAO 2011
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“The global human population is projected to reach 9.6-12.3thousand millions people by the year 2100, and the human appropriation of (terrestrial) net primary productivity (HANPP) to reach 40-60% (Krausmann et al. 2013).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Krausmann et al. 2013 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Increased human population and socio-economic activities also increase the pollutant and nutrient loads that deteriorate water quality and ecosystem status across different regions and countries around the world (Destouni and Jarsjo ¨2018; Levi et al. 2018).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Water withdrawals and diversions currently cause about one-quarter of the world's rivers to run dry before reaching the ocean, and have drained major inland water bodies like the Aral Sea in Central Asia (Destouni et al. 2013) and Lake Urmia in Iran (Khazaei et al. 2019).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Among the most effective methods for stabilizing human population growth are to provide primary and secondary education for girls, and voluntary family planning education for women in developing countries (Leigh and Blakely 2017).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR FRESHWATER BIODIVERSITY
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Leigh and Blakely 2017
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Therefore, a linear growth model may be able to persist well into this century, despite the obvious crises that would follow as we reach or surpass the Earth's freshwater capacity.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: If current practices continue, the past straight-line growth in human use of freshwater and land resources will persist.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Dams also prevent upstreamdownstream movement of freshwater animals, facilitate settlement of non-native species, cause local species extirpations and replacements and increase risk of waterborne diseases in reservoirs and highly altered environments by modifying productivity (Fenwick 2006;Poff and Schmidt 2016).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“The volume of water used by the energy sector alone represents about 15% of global freshwater withdrawals, and extracting and processing freshwater represents about 19% of total usage by the energy sector (Fricko et al. 2016).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Fricko et al. 2016 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Dams transform river basins by creating artificial lakes locally, fragmenting river networks, and greatly distorting natural patterns of sediment transport and seasonal variations in water temperatures and flows (Latrubesse et al. 2017).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Latrubesse et al. 2017 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Freshwater species and ecosystems are increasingly threatened by many human activities, including habitat alteration, water pollution, overfishing, exotic species introduction, river diversions, fragmentation and flow regulation, expansion of agricultural and urban landscapes, climate change, rising sea levels and altered precipitation regimes (Dudgeon 2019;Grill et al. 2019;IPBES 2019).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Freshwater ecosystems are also among the most diverse per unit habitat volume on Earth, with more than 140 000 species (i.e., fungi, plants, invertebrates, and vertebrates; c. 12% of all described species) compressed into just * 2% of the world's surface area, and a minute * 0.007% of the total planetary water supply (Reid et al. 2019).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Reid et al. 2019 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“In the twentieth century, the human population grew fourfold and human appropriation of energy from the biosphere about doubled from 13 to 25% (Krausmann et al. 2013).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Krausmann et al. 2013 source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The main conservation threats to these species come from human activities, including overharvesting, pollution, introducing invasive species, and habitat modifications (e.g., water diversions, land-use changes, climate change).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > CONCLUSION
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“The fragmentation of river corridors also reduces population sizes and gene flows of aquatic species, increasing species extinction risks (Cohen et al. 2016a, b;Dias et al. 2017).”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Cohen et al. 2016a, b
- Not checked yetcites Dias et al. 2017 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper relies on this without support.
Humanity can still halt and undo the sharp declines in freshwater life and habitats.
“slowing and reversing dramatic losses of freshwater species and ecosystems is still possible.”
“Slowing and reversing the dramatic losses of freshwater species and ecosystems is still possible.”
The paper relies on this without support.
If current practices continue, the past straight-line growth in human use of freshwater and land resources will persist.
“Therefore, a linear growth model may be able to persist well into this century, despite the obvious crises that would follow as we reach or surpass the Earth's freshwater capacity.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Technologies already exist that can manage and reduce many parts of the freshwater biodiversity crisis.
“We currently have technologies to manage and ameliorate many aspects of the freshwater biodiversity crisis-what we lack is political will.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Tropical developing countries will see the largest increases in human density and per-capita water use over the next 50 years.
“These countries expect the greatest increases in human density and per-capita water consumption in the next 50 years.”
The paper relies on this without support.
A world with reduced freshwater will harm many dimensions of human welfare.
“A world with diminished freshwaters will impoverish many aspects of human welfare, and we risk further damaging these essential life-support systems at our peril.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Moving agricultural and bioenergy production from high-income to low-income tropical regions would increase threats to species-rich tropical aquatic ecosystems.
“However, we must not relocate agricultural and bioenergy production from highincome to low-income tropical regions, which will further threaten species-rich tropical aquatic ecosystems.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The check wasn’t confident either way, so it gives no verdict — never disputed.
In the citing paper
“Inland waters cover less than 2 per cent of the Earth's surface, but support 12 per cent of known species, 1 and more than half of all fish species, 2 with high levels of endemism.3”
From Protecting and restoring habitats to benefit freshwater biodiversity (2024) · cites this paper as [3]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Rated major: it would touch a result — a value a result rests on, reported and recomputed p-values on opposite sides of the significance level, two passages that conflict with no sign which is right, or a cited work retracted before this paper was published.
In the paper
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
“The Living Planet Index for freshwater vertebrate populations has declined to just one third that of 1970, and is projected to sink below one fifth by midcentury.”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
“Note freshwater populations declined an estimated 81% from 1970 to 2012.”
Rated minor: it would not touch a result — a value no result rests on, a p-value that stays on the same side of the significance level, or a conflict that is clerical, resolved elsewhere in the paper, or outside its own findings.
In the paper
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
“LPI-FW e 8.0e10e -0.013 year 0.99 0.00018”
§ Scientists' warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis > Abstract
“e LPI-T estimates 4658 terrestrial populations of 1678 species.”
Citations
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Metadata
- Authors
- Albert, J. S., Destouni, G., Duke-Sylvester, S. M., Magurran, A. E., Oberdorff, T., Reis, R. E., Winemiller, K. O., & Ripple, W. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Louisiana at Lafayette (US)
- Stockholm University (SE)
- University of St Andrews (GB)
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul (BR)
- Texas A&M University at Galveston (US)
- Oregon State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Albert, James S.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Ambio
- Published
- 2020-02-10
- Volume
- 50
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 85-94
- ISSN
- 0044-7447 (ISSN-L)
- 1654-7209
- PMC
- PMC7708569
- OpenAlex
- W3006601371
- Cited by
- 943
- References
- 100
- Citations by year
- 2026: 149 · 2025: 175 · 2024: 181 · 2023: 149 · 2022: 156 · 2021: 107 · 2020: 24
- FWCI
- 69.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- AMBIO (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- St Andrews Research Repository (St Andrews Research Repository) (acceptedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- PUCRS Repository (Pontifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (0614334, 0741450, 1354511)
- Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas (2016-02045)
- H2020 European Research Council (AdG 250189)
- Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia de Ciência Animal (306455/2014-5)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Aquatic Ecosystems and Biodiversity
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Freshwater macroinvertebrate diversity and ecology
- Keywords
- freshwater ecosystem degradation, freshwater biodiversity loss, irrigation expansion, Living Planet Index, ecosystem services, ecological restoration, watershed management
- MeSH terms
- Brazil, China, Conservation of Natural Resources, Fresh Water, Humans, India, Ecosystem, Biodiversity
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-10-05, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-10-05 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Cited sources are checked with a language model’s help (gpt-6-sol).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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