Cited by 5Electoral Systems and Political ParticipationSocial and Intergroup PsychologyPopulism, Right-Wing Movements

Identity after the ballot: How winning and losing impact partisan attachments and affective polarization

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Hamrak, Bence·2025·Electoral Studies

Abstract

How do election outcomes shape partisan affective polarization? Drawing on theories of group identity, I examine how winning or losing elections affects partisan attitudes. Election outcomes can change partisans’ perceived out-group threat and in-group status at the same time. These mechanisms lead to ambivalent predictions for the affective polarization of both winners and losers. In a series of randomized survey experiments from the United States (n = 7,188), I measure in- and out-party attitudes before and after hypothetical scenarios of election outcomes. I find no evidence that losing elections increases affective polarization. While losers’ out-party evaluations remain stable, winners show warmer in-party feelings. This suggests that elections lead to winner gratification rather than loser backlash. These findings challenge common concerns about the losers’ consent in democracies — at least when it comes to the emotional effects of election outcomes among the mass public.

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Crossref · 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102967

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  • While there is some work on how electoral outcomes impact affective polarization, it does not explicitly or fully interrogate the role of power.

    “While there is some work on how electoral outcomes impact affective polarization (e.g., Andrews & Huang, 2025;Gidron & Sheffer, 2024;Hamrak, 2025;Phillips & Warner, 2026), it does not explicitly or fully interrogate the role of power.”

    From Measuring affective polarization: Matching concepts to measures (2026) · cites this paper as Hamrak, 2025

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Authors
Hamrak, B.
Affiliations
Central European University (AT)
Corresponding author
Hamrak, Bence
Venue
Electoral Studies
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2025-10
Volume
97
Pages
102967
ISSN
0261-3794 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4413122971
Cited by
5
References
60
Citations by year
2026: 5
FWCI
18.67
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Electoral Studies (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Social Science Open Access Repository (GESIS – Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Central European University
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
  • Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Populism, Right-Wing Movements
Keywords
affective polarization, election results, partisan attachment, group identity, outgroup threat, democratic legitimacy

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