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Point-of-care screening for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction using artificial intelligence during ECG-enabled stethoscope examination in London, UK: a prospective, observational, multicentre study
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Most patients who have heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction, when left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is 40% or lower, are diagnosed in hospital. This is despite previous presentations to primary care with symptoms. We aimed to test an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm applied to a single-lead ECG, recorded during ECG-enabled stethoscope examination, to validate a potential point-of-care screening tool for LVEF of 40% or lower. METHODS: We conducted an observational, prospective, multicentre study of a convolutional neural network (known as AI-ECG) that was previously validated for the detection of reduced LVEF using 12-lead ECG as input. We used AI-ECG retrained to interpret single-lead ECG input alone. Patients (aged ≥18 years) attending for transthoracic echocardiogram in London (UK) were recruited. All participants had 15 s of supine, single-lead ECG recorded at the four standard anatomical positions for cardiac auscultation, plus one handheld position, using an ECG-enabled stethoscope. Transthoracic echocardiogram-derived percentage LVEF was used as ground truth. The primary outcome was performance of AI-ECG at classifying reduced LVEF (LVEF ≤40%), measured using metrics including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and specificity, with two-sided 95% CIs. The primary outcome was reported for each position individually and with an optimal combination of AI-ECG outputs (interval range 0-1) from two positions using a rule-based approach and several classification models. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04601415. FINDINGS: Between Feb 6 and May 27, 2021, we recruited 1050 patients (mean age 62 years [SD 17·4], 535 [51%] male, 432 [41%] non-White). 945 (90%) had an ejection fraction of at least 40%, and 105 (10%) had an ejection fraction of 40% or lower. Across all positions, ECGs were most frequently of adequate quality for AI-ECG interpretation at the pulmonary position (979 [93·3%] of 1050). Quality was lowest for the aortic position (846 [80·6%]). AI-ECG performed best at the pulmonary valve position (p=0·02), with an AUROC of 0·85 (95% CI 0·81-0·89), sensitivity of 84·8% (76·2-91·3), and specificity of 69·5% (66·4-72·6). Diagnostic odds ratios did not differ by age, sex, or non-White ethnicity. Taking the optimal combination of two positions (pulmonary and handheld positions), the rule-based approach resulted in an AUROC of 0·85 (0·81-0·89), sensitivity of 82·7% (72·7-90·2), and specificity of 79·9% (77·0-82·6). Using AI-ECG outputs from these two positions, a weighted logistic regression with l2 regularisation resulted in an AUROC of 0·91 (0·88-0·95), sensitivity of 91·9% (78·1-98·3), and specificity of 80·2% (75·5-84·3). INTERPRETATION: A deep learning system applied to single-lead ECGs acquired during a routine examination with an ECG-enabled stethoscope can detect LVEF of 40% or lower. These findings highlight the potential for inexpensive, non-invasive, workflow-adapted, point-of-care screening, for earlier diagnosis and prognostically beneficial treatment. FUNDING: NHS Accelerated Access Collaborative, NHSX, and the National Institute for Health Research.
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“Models trained on clinical ECGs have been applied to wearable device ECGs, but have traditionally shown significantly lower performance on wearable device ECGs than on held-out clinical ECG test sets14,15.”
From Detection of left ventricular systolic dysfunction from single-lead electrocardiography adapted for portable and wearable devices (2023) · cites this paper as [14]
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“Consequently, the performance of models for detecting LVSD from portable device ECGs may degrade in the real-world setting, with lower performance than observed in the original single-lead derivatives of the clinical development studies14,15.”
From Detection of left ventricular systolic dysfunction from single-lead electrocardiography adapted for portable and wearable devices (2023) · cites this paper as [14]
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“Separately, a prospective multicenter study showed that a deep-learning model applied to single-lead ECGs obtained during examination with an ECG-enabled stethoscope could identify patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 40% or lower [64].”
From Deep Learning Applied to 12-Lead ECGs for Detection of Structural, Metabolic and Systemic Disease (2026) · cites this paper as [64]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Bachtiger, P., Petri, C. F., Scott, F. E., Ri Park, S., Kelshiker, M. A., Sahemey, H. K., Dumea, B., Alquero, R., Padam, P. S., Hatrick, I. R., Ali, A., Ribeiro, M., Cheung, W.-S., Bual, N., Rana, B., Shun-Shin, M., Kramer, D. B., Fragoyannis, A., Keene, D., Plymen, C. M., & Peters, N. S.
- Affiliations
- Imperial College London (GB)
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust (GB)
- Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Peters, Nicholas S
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Lancet Digital Health
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2022-02
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- e117-e125
- ISSN
- 2589-7500 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8789562
- OpenAlex
- W4206756110
- Cited by
- 167
- References
- 31
- Citations by year
- 2026: 40 · 2025: 48 · 2024: 46 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 14
- FWCI
- 21.94
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet Digital Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- National Institute for Health Research
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › ECG Monitoring and Analysis
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
- Keywords
- heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, point-of-care screening, artificial intelligence, single-lead ECG, convolutional neural networks, left ventricular ejection fraction, transthoracic echocardiography, cardiac auscultation, primary care, early diagnosis, model generalization, sex differences
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Artificial Intelligence, Electrocardiography, Female, United Kingdom, Heart Failure, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Physical Examination, Prospective Studies, Neural Networks, Computer, Stethoscopes, Point-of-Care Systems
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