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Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change
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Habitat degradation and climate change are thought to be altering the distributions and abundances of animals and plants throughout the world, but their combined impacts have not been assessed for any species assemblage. Here we evaluated changes in the distribution sizes and abundances of 46 species of butterflies that approach their northern climatic range margins in Britain-where changes in climate and habitat are opposing forces. These insects might be expected to have responded positively to climate warming over the past 30 years, yet three-quarters of them declined: negative responses to habitat loss have outweighed positive responses to climate warming. Half of the species that were mobile and habitat generalists increased their distribution sites over this period (consistent with a climate explanation), whereas the other generalists and 89% of the habitat specialists declined in distribution size (consistent with habitat limitation). Changes in population abundances closely matched changes in distributions. The dual forces of habitat modification and climate change are likely to cause specialists to decline, leaving biological communities with reduced numbers of species and dominated by mobile and widespread habitat generalists.
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“While the gradual decline of rare insect species has been known for quite some time (e.g. specialized butterflies [9, 66]), our results illustrate an ongoing and rapid decline in total amount of airborne insects active in space and time.”
From More than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas (2017) · cites this paper as [66]
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Roy, D. B., Ploquin, E. F., Randle, Z., Risely, K., Botham, M. S., Middlebrook, I., Noble, D. G., Cruickshanks, K. L., Freeman, S. N., & BRERETON, T. M. (2014) · Journal of Insect Conservation · doi:10.1007/s10841-014-9739-0 · Cited by 33
“Butterflies have been advocated as indicator taxa due to their rapid and sensitive responses to habitat and climate change, and their potential to represent change in other wildlife, especially insects (e.g. Thomas 2005).”
Self-citationArea selection for the conservation of butterflies in the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands
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“Local or regional losses are largely caused by human activity (e.g. Warren et al., 2001; Hill et al., 2002; Pullin, 2002; Pennisi, 2004; Thomas et al., 2004; Pounds et al., 2006).”
BackgroundPlant‐herbivore coevolution in a changing world
Leimu, R., Muola, A., Laukkanen, L., Kalske, A., Prill, N., & Mutikäinen, P. (2012) · Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata · doi:10.1111/j.1570-7458.2012.01267.x · Cited by 34
“Small populations are more prone to demographic and environmental stochasticity resulting in a greater risk of extinction (Lande, 1993; Saccheri et al., 1998; Westermeier et al., 1998).”
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“…in more fragmented environments at higher latitudes, where dispersive generalists have expanded their distributions in response to climate change but habitat specialists have shown range contractions because of habitat loss (Warren et al., 2001; Menéndez et al., 2006; White & Kerr, 2007).”
BackgroundWatts, C., & Didham, R. K. (2006) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/s00442-005-0344-5 · Cited by 33
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“…Korpela et al., 2013) and species with low mobility (Bergman et al., 2004; Merckx et al., 2010; Berg et al., 2011), that is the species that are most sensitive to habitat fragmentation and have shown the most dramatic declines (Warren et al., 2001; €Ockinger et al., 2010; Eskildsen et al., 2015).”
BackgroundClimate Change and Temporal and Spatial Mismatches in Insect Communities
Pelini, S. L., Prior, K. M., Parker, D. J., Dzurisin, J. D. K., Lindroth, R. L., & Hellmann, J. J. (2009) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-444-53301-2.00011-7 · Cited by 33
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“Ecological generalization often promotes rates of colonization in a variety of organisms, including Odonata (Powney et al. 2015), while specialization has the opposite effect (e.g., Warren et al. 2001; Ruesink 2005; Vall-llosera and Sol 2009; Dupont et al. 2011).”
BackgroundKaspari, M. E., Bujan, J., Roeder, K. A., de Beurs, K. M., & Weiser, M. D. (2019) · Ecology · doi:10.1002/ecy.2888 · Cited by 29
Konvička, M., Ričl, D., Vodičková, V., Beneš, J., & Jirkú, M. (2021) · BMC Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1186/s12862-021-01804-x · Cited by 32
Self-similar patterns of nature: insect diversity at local to global scales
Finlay, B. J., Thomas, J. A., McGavin, G. C., Fenchel, T., & Clarke, R. T. (2006) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2006.3525 · Cited by 32
Self-citationAbrupt changes in invertebrate herbivory on woody plants at the forest–tundra ecotone
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“These activities include nutrient procurement, growth, development, reproduction, and dispersal (Dennis and Shreeve 1989, 1991; Fleishman et al. 2001; Warren et al. 2001).”
BackgroundNo evidence of a plant extinction debt in highly fragmented calcareous grassland in Belgium.
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“…changing abundance of A. caja ( Conrad et al. , 2003 ) and other Lepidopteran species ( Hill et al. , 1999a,c, 2002, 2006; Parmesan et al. , 1999; Warren et al. , 2001; Hughes et al. , 2003; Hickling et al. , 2006 ), provide plausible drivers for increased movement in A. caja ; indeed, both…”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Warren, M. S., Hill, J. K., Thomas, J. A., Asher, J., Fox, R., Huntley, B., Roy, D. B., Telfer, M. G., Jeffcoate, S., Harding, P., Jeffcoate, G., Willis, S. G., Greatorex-Davies, J. N., Moss, D., & Thomas, C. D.
- Affiliations
- Butterfly Conservation (GB)
- Durham University (GB)
- Dorset Green Technology Park (GB)
- UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (GB)
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Thomas, C. D.
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2001-11
- Volume
- 414
- Issue
- 6859
- Pages
- 65-69
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- OpenAlex
- W1620630482
- Cited by
- 1,333
- References
- 33
- Citations by year
- 2026: 23 · 2025: 28 · 2024: 44 · 2023: 44 · 2022: 52 · 2021: 57 · 2020: 53 · 2019: 61 · 2018: 59 · 2017: 46 · 2016: 76 · 2015: 75 · 2014: 93 · 2013: 66 · 2012: 76
- FWCI
- 33.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- orcid.org
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (submittedVersion)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Natural Environment Research Council
- Centre for Ecology and Hydrology
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Insect Science › Lepidoptera: Biology and Taxonomy
- Keywords
- butterflies, climate change, habitat loss, range shifts, species distribution, population abundance, habitat generalists, habitat specialists, global warming, habitat degradation, Great Britain
- MeSH terms
- Adaptation, Physiological, Animals, Butterflies, Climate, Environment, United Kingdom, Population Dynamics, Seasons, Species Specificity
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