The entomological inoculation rate and Plasmodium falciparum infection in African children
Open accessAbstract
Malaria is an important cause of global morbidity and mortality. The fact that some people are bitten more often than others has a large effect on the relationship between risk factors and prevalence of vector-borne diseases. Here we develop a mathematical framework that allows us to estimate the heterogeneity of infection rates from the relationship between rates of infectious bites and community prevalence. We apply this framework to a large, published data set that combines malaria measurements from more than 90 communities. We find strong evidence that heterogeneous biting or heterogeneous susceptibility to infection are important and pervasive factors determining the prevalence of infection: 20% of people receive 80% of all infections. We also find that individual infections last about six months on average, per infectious bite, and children who clear infections are not immune to new infections. The results have important implications for public health interventions: the success of malaria control will depend heavily on whether efforts are targeted at those who are most at risk of infection.
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Heterogeneous biting is an empirical fact that a small fraction of the vertebrate population tends to supply most of the blood meals for mosquitoes.
“Heterogeneous biting, a name for the empirical fact that a small fraction of the vertebrate population tends to supply most of the blood meals for mosquitoes, is one factor that could explain what appears to be inefficient transmission”
From Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control (2014) · cites this paper as [79]
The passage labeled Abstract reports a Tanzanian study in which 20% of people received 80% of mosquito bites, and says that some people are bitten more often than others. It does not establish that this pattern generally holds across vertebrate populations or that those populations supply most mosquito blood meals. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredHeterogeneous biting could explain inefficient transmission because infectious mosquito bites are redistributed in a way that tends to reduce the number of unique individuals who would be infected.
“Heterogeneous biting, a name for the empirical fact that a small fraction of the vertebrate population tends to supply most of the blood meals for mosquitoes, is one factor that could explain what appears to be inefficient transmission because infectious mosquito bites are redistributed in a way that tends to reduce the number of unique individuals who would be infected.33,72,79,87,90”
From Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control (2014) · cites this paper as [79]
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“72,73,79 The marriage of models and large aggregated databases has made it possible to test and apply the models to an extent that has not been possible before.”
BackgroundSelf-citation
- Authors
- Smith, D. L., Dushoff, J., Snow, R. W., & Hay, S. I.
- Affiliations
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- John Radcliffe Hospital (GB)
- Kenya Medical Research Institute (KE)
- Corresponding author
- Smith, D. L.
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2005-11-24
- Volume
- 438
- Issue
- 7067
- Pages
- 492-495
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- PMC
- PMC3128496
- OpenAlex
- W1985149691
- Cited by
- 369
- References
- 32
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 18 · 2015: 25 · 2014: 23 · 2013: 30 · 2012: 33
- FWCI
- 15.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Wellcome Trust (069045, 058992)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Malaria Research and Control
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Parasitology › Bird parasitology and diseases
- Keywords
- Plasmodium falciparum, malaria, entomological inoculation rate, parasite clearance, reinfection, infection prevalence, children, vector-borne transmission
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Africa, Animals, Bites and Stings, Child, Disease Susceptibility, Humans, Insect Vectors, Models, Biological, Culicidae, Plasmodium falciparum, Sensitivity and Specificity, Prevalence, Malaria, Falciparum, Age Distribution
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